Palin does have the inside track to win the nomination. He's right about that.
In 2008, despute being a 'maverick', she wholeheartedly embraced and worked to sell TARP, even though she later claimed to disagree. She also changed her position on Capping Emissions in 2009 when that became unpopular. She said it was man-made, remember?
So he's probably right that she'd be controlled by her handlers. She'd take what positions are popular.
And he's probably right that it's just a damn popularity contest. hearing 333386 say that he'd vote for the pro-AWB, pro-obamacare Trump over 'milk toast pawlenty' shows me that some voters just want to be entertained, nothing more.