be cautiously optimistic, not cocky
remember Kerry
Don't think thats being cocky, just more realistic. Yes Kerry was ahead in the national polls which really mean nothing. However Kerry's electoral map is much different then Obamas map. By nov 2nd 2004 2 days before the election Kerry had 242 electoral votes vs bush who had 296 electoral votes. Its basically now reversed and Obama has a huge electoral lead on mccain. So Kerry had the lead in the national polls, but was behind bush by 54 electoral votes. Anyone watching that election should have known that bush was going to win since he was far ahead in the electoral vote. Now the same can be said for Obama as he is far ahead in the electoral vote to mccain.
The news stations will continue to try and make this out like its going to be a close race, and so will the Obama camp, however the fact that mccains camp is falling apart and theres internal break up in the mccain camp tells alot. The news stations want to make it a close race so they have something to report on, Obama will say its a close race so his support stays strong and he has a good turn out on Nov 4th.
So I'm not being cocky, just more so realistic with my prediction.