What would we do without TheGrinch telling us every week that the fix is in, our votes don't matter, we are all doomed, etc.? lol
Maybe one of these days you can spell out this grand conspiracy? Who fixed our election in 2016? When, where, why, how, etc.?
lol.. just remember the posts are timed stamped so when it comes true you can ask me then ;D
Rand Paul up, Clinton down in 2016 presidential poll
Cue 2012, where every candidate is "up" when they first announce and FOX says they're hot that week.
Remember, at one point, fcking sittin-on-couch-with-pelosi-supporting-global-warming newt gingrich was up by 25 points over everyone lol. CAIN led, that simple minded, "999" spouting slut-whore of a person.
Wasn't Rudy Giuliani in the lead this time 8 years ago, and after the first debate he dropped to last.
There was a time when fred thompson led lol.
http://www.reuters.com/article/2007/06/19/us-usa-politics-poll-idUSN1918714220070619
He was SO unprepared. He knew SO little about the history, the issues, policy, he was just a dumb main, period.
And he led lol. Trump led. Cain led. Newt led. Santorum led.
Everyone in the clown car gets their 15 minutes in the lime light before crashing back to Earth.
The most likely scenario is that Cruz and Walker will split the Tea Party vote. Rendering it ineffective. Rubio and Rand are nothing more than background filler, Rubio simply because he is most likely angling for the VP pick on down the road. Neither of those has a chance of winning. They know it. And so to their supporters. Carson, Huck, Trump and Christie will be there (if they decide to enter at all) for no other reason than to make sure the oxygen content of the room doesn't rise to dangerous levels. At this point the good ol' establishment boy Jeb will swoop in and pick up the nomination.
Clinton is far ahead of Cruz in all the polls including Fox News polls.
She's definitely going to be formidable. Not because she is a stellar, but because the MSM will prop her up and cover her sins
If only the republicans could create their own news network. You know, one that would be fair and balanced. it could be #1 in cable news. Maybe they could invent some #1 newsprint and website too. Then things could even out. They could have a TV network bashing obama 24/7, and then it could bash hilary 24/7.
If only. But we live in a world where the "mainstream media" is why Hilary will win, and not because we live in a country where 51% of the nation are mother fcking liberals. Right?
Good one.
If only the republicans could create their own news network. You know, one that would be fair and balanced. it could be #1 in cable news. Maybe they could invent some #1 newsprint and website too. Then things could even out. They could have a TV network bashing obama 24/7, and then it could bash hilary 24/7.
If only. But we live in a world where the "mainstream media" is why Hilary will win, and not because we live in a country where 51% of the nation are mother fcking liberals. Right?
If only the republicans could create their own news network. You know, one that would be fair and balanced. it could be #1 in cable news. Maybe they could invent some #1 newsprint and website too. Then things could even out. They could have a TV network bashing obama 24/7, and then it could bash hilary 24/7.
If only. But we live in a world where the "mainstream media" is why Hilary will win, and not because we live in a country where 51% of the nation are mother fcking liberals. Right?
it just pisses me off, after the last 2 obama landslid-ish wins, to see repubs conceding the election 18 months ahead of time, and already blaming "the media" for their loss.
"I'll try my best, but the other team will probably win because the refs hate us..."
Instead, they should tell us what they would do BETTER. All i hear from Rand is "hilary bad". But I dont know what in the world Rand even stands for. none of us do, since he has been tea party and RINO in the past 3 years.
Did you forget about FOX? All the folks on the right that I know watch FOX.
She's definitely going to be formidable. Not because she is a stellar, but because the MSM will prop her up and cover her sins, and a plethora of mindless drones will vote for her regardless of what comes out of her mouth (or her past).
You're 100% accurate.
Like it or not Hillary Clinton will be our next President.
Women, Blacks & Gays will decide our next "se- election"
Now let be go and puke !! :-X
keep voting the two party system..
go Merica' !
Wrong you dishonest troll.
na.... that was pretty spot on...cant be denied... if it could.. you would have disputed it in your first post response to it.
What is the number of Republicans who have declared their presidential run vs the number of Democrats?
yep, i was being sarcastic. Repubs play this big victim card, blaming channels like MSNBC that nobody watches, any time a dem wins. yet these same networks were powerless to stop Bush, oddly ;)
Dude the way you hand out beat downs to hypocrites is something of an art now.
every election is the same. Most conservatives on getbig as scared to commit to positions until after the candidate is decided. They can't say how they feel about the friggin patriot act. and they always try to tell us a RINO is the only one that can win. 08, 12, and probably 2016 too.
youre bending over backwards to defend rubio 24/7. He's your #1 pick, huh? I just think he'll rattle too easy. I like candidated more seasoned with gravitas. Rubio dribbles water when he's nervous - you don't get that with a rudy, huck, romney, jeb or a christie. Rubio is too green. seems like you love the dude tho, going so far out of your way to defend him.
This is why I ignore you, you dishonest troll. lol
What did he say that was dishonest?
What did he say that was dishonest?
Karl Rove: Populists Like Trump, Sanders Can't Win Major Party Nod
Poll: Any GOP Hopeful Beats Hillary in 6 Battleground States
(http://www.newsmax.com/CMSPages/GetFile.aspx?guid=c28db795-d18f-4262-b562-e129d6e64898&SiteName=Newsmax&maxsidesize=600)
Image: Poll: Any GOP Hopeful Beats Hillary in 6 Battleground States (Scott Olson/Getty Images)
By Melanie Batley
Thursday, 16 Jul 2015
Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton would lose to a generic Republican presidential candidate in six battleground states if the election were held today, a new poll has found.
The poll, commissioned by the conservative super PAC American Crossroads, was conducted by Vox Populi from July 7-8 of 1,670 registered voters. It found that in Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Nevada, Ohio and Virginia, a Republican candidate would win with 50 percent of the vote while Clinton would draw 42 percent.
The same survey in May found that in a matchup with a Republican, Clinton would lose by a 10-point margin at 41 percent compared to 51 percent.
"Despite three months of campaigning and trying to rehabilitate her image, Hillary Clinton continues to struggle in key battleground states," Ian Prior, the communications director for American Crossroads, said in a statement, according to The Hill.
"As rumors of Joe Biden's entry into the race grow, Democrats should pay very close attention to Hillary's glaring and irreparable weaknesses."
The poll also found that just 38 percent of voters in those states have a favorable view of Clinton while 53 percent have an unfavorable view. And a majority of voters surveyed, or 56 percent, say they don't trust Clinton, while 58 percent believe she would "do or say anything" to get elected.
Meanwhile, more respondents said they would prefer seeing Vice President Joe Biden as the next president in a matchup with Clinton, 34 percent compared to 30 percent.
http://www.newsmax.com/Newsfront/hillary-florida-ohio-colorado/2015/07/16/id/657350/#ixzz3g5Xv68NQ
38% favorability?? ???
That's pitiful.
How many elections has a Clinton lost to a Republican?
Giuliani: Trump, Hillary Won't Be the Nominees
it is funny to read these month to month progressions. the 'experts' are basically no more accurate than the people on this board lmao.
right now, JOE BIDEN is beating EVERYBODY. lets bump this next year for a hearty laugh.
Clinton's standing as of today: North Carolina Democratic Presidential Primary PPP (D) Clinton 37, Biden 30, Sanders 17, Webb 3, Chafee 2, O'Malley 1, Lessig 0 Clinton +7
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/president/
Biden at 30 percent without formally declaring shows just how wounded Hillary is at this point. Not going to be quite the coronation I thought it would be.
Realize that these polls change daily and, like this one, are attributed to those polled in only one state. When the primaries begin, is when the real action gets going. A lot can happen between now and Tuesday, March 1, 2016 otherwise known as "Super Tuesday" when the primaries commence. Primary elections can continue well into June and are subject to change. Some states are not on the calendar as of yet.
check the Vegas odds for president...
that is ALL you need to know..
</thread>
Really? Vegas odds determine our next president? Over one year out?
Poll: Trump ahead of Carson; Clinton still front-runner
2016 Presidential Money Race: Third Quarter Filings
http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/graphics/2015-october-fec-filings/table/
Controversy??? Since when getting caught in a bunch of lies a controversy? Don't sugar coat it, lying is lying. What this shows is that folks are very gullible. Did I ever tell you about the time I.....?
politico jumped the gun with the headline.
therefore we can cancel out the 8 proven lies from carson's book.
#GOPLogic
One lie does it for me. Can't ever trust what someone says after that. Harsh, I know.
So you don't trust Hillary Clinton?
good point - one lie and the person is a liar.
of course hilary is a liar and full of shit. Not sure why hilary being a liar excuses Carson being a liar?
You're right one liar does not excuse another liar. One thing I want to mention is that Hillary seems to be a much more savvy liar. Carson's lies are way to easy to expose. He's been caught dead to rights and yet he hangs on to the lie for dear life. Also, some of his lies seem to have no real purpose, thus the question as to him being a pathological liar.
Hillary and Trump have serious trust issues with potential voters.
CNN Poll: Rubio, Cruz Beat Hillary
(http://www.newsmax.com/CMSPages/GetFile.aspx?guid=c679281c-5f22-4619-b172-ba03c4388686&SiteName=Newsmax&maxsidesize=600)
Image: CNN Poll: Rubio, Cruz Beat Hillary (Wire Services Photo)
By Greg Richter
Wednesday, 23 Dec 2015
A new CNN/ORC poll shows Democratic front-runner Hillary Clinton maintaining her commanding lead, though she would face a challenge from the top three Republicans if a general election were held today.
Clinton's national support had been waning, but she was able to boost her numbers following Saturday's Democratic debate.
The poll talked to registered voters who are Democrats or independents who lean Democratic.
•Hillary Clinton: 50 percent
•Bernie Sanders 34 percent
•Martin O'Malley 3 percent
Here's how Clinton fares in head-to-head matchups with the top three Republicans among registered voters:
•Hillary Clinton has 49 percent against Donald Trump at 47 percent
•Hillary Clinton has 46 percent against Ted Cruz at 48 percent
•Hillary Clinton has 46 percent against Marco Rubio at 49 percent
The poll was conducted by phone December 17-21 and talked to 1,018 adults. The margin of error for the entire sample was plus-or-minus 3 percentage points. The margin for the 414 registered Democrats or Democratic leaning independents is plus-or-minus 5 percentage points.
http://www.newsmax.com/Politics/poll-marco-rubio-ted-cruz-beat/2015/12/23/id/706984/#ixzz3vC58uZ6a
I'll keep saying it until I'm blue in the face, "She is a very weak candidate and very vulnerable come next autumn"
Her dishonesty poll numbers are off the charts. And people don't like her.
That said, the MSM is a powerful tool that will compensate for problems with likeability and lack of integrity. Just look at how much cover she is getting. I just looked a compilation of some of her greatest hits. The sniper fire lie was pretty egregious. But you will not see the MSM questioning her integrity when she becomes the nominee.
Sanders: Trump a 'Pathological Liar' celebrating on 9/11 when the Twin Towers went down," Sanders said. "That's a lie. There is no evidence, there was never anything on television. It never happened. He has not apologized. He keeps saying it. That is pathological liar."
http://www.newsmax.com/Headline/sanders-trump-pathological-liar/2016/01/17/id/709812/#ixzz3xcZupmkB
Hillary Clinton and Marco Rubio Get Des Moines Register Endorsement
This is from July 9, 2015. I don't know if it would be this bad, but she likely beats Trump badly, unless she is indicted, in which case she still probably wins a close one.
Projection shows Clinton defeats Donald Trump 419-119 on Electoral College map
(http://cdn2-b.examiner.com/sites/default/files/styles/image_content_width/hash/e4/e8/e4e8d8dd32a95c58d2254fc6a0613798.png?itok=rkQpyK_t)
As seen above, Hillary Clinton would dominate Donald Trump on the Electoral College map
Screenshot by Ryan Witt
Donald Trump announced his presidential campaign June 16, and according to a poll released yesterday from Public Policy Polling Trump is now leading all Republican candidates in North Carolina. A CNN/ORC poll has Trump second among all Republican candidates nationally, and a Quinnipiac University poll has Trump placing second in the key state of Iowa. Suddenly analysts are beginning to consider the possibility that Trump really could win the Republican Party nomination for president. If so, as the above Electoral College map shows, Democrats may be elated. According to the most recent polling available, Trump would lose against Clinton 119-419 in a theoretical Electoral College matchup. Follow me on Facebook and Twitter for more Electoral College and polling updates throughout the 2016 presidential election.
So how is this projections made?
First, the projection takes into account how Democrats and Republicans performed in the last three presidential elections. While past results do not always indicate future performance, the recent presidential elections give us a fairly good idea of how the demographics of each state favor or disfavor each party. More emphasis is put on the last presidential election in 2012 since that date is obviously more recent and, therefore, more likely to be accurate.
Second, trends for each state are considered. Trends are determined by looking at the last three presidential elections and also the changing demographics of each state.
Finally, the projection also accounts for any polling done within that state and the national polls done thus far. Unfortunately there are no polls available showing how Clinton would perform against Trump in individual states. What is available is national polls which show Clinton performing very strong against Trump. See below:
Clinton 59% v. Trump 35% (CNN Opinion Research 6/28)
Clinton 51% v. Trump 34% (Fox News 6/23)
Clinton 50% v. Trump 32% (Quinnipiac 5/26)
The Real Clear Politics of average of the three polls gives Clinton a 19.6 point lead over Trump. In comparison, Real Clear Politics average gives Clinton only a 3.8 point lead over Senator Rand Paul.
In 2012 President Obama won the Electoral College 332-206 despite only beating Mitt Romney by 3 points nationally. The last time a candidate won by double digits nationally was Ronald Reagan in 1984, who won by 18 points against Walter Mondale. In that election Reagan won the Electoral College 525-13.
Using the national polls and past results here is what a Trump versus Clinton Electoral College map would look like. This projection is actually generous to Trump, assuming he would only lose to Clinton by 14 points nationally, and that he would not suffer from the "bandwagon effect" in which voters flood to the candidate they perceive as the "winning candidate" if polls are lopsided leading up to an election.
Safe States for Clinton
State, Electoral Votes, 04 Result, 08 Result, 12 Result
California (55) –(D) 54%-44%, (D) 61%-37%, 37%, (D) 60%-37%
Colorado (9) - (R) 52%-47%, (D) 54%-45%, (D) 51%-46%
Connecticut (7) – (D) 54%-44%, (D) 61%-38%, (D) 58%-41%
Delaware (3) – (D) 53%-46%, (D) 62%-37%, (D) 59%-40%
Florida (29) - (R) 52%-49%, (D) 51%-48%, (D) 50%-49%
Hawaii (4) – (D) 54%-45%, (D) 72%-27%, (D) 71%-28%
Illinois (20) – (D) 55%-45%, (D) 62%-37%, (D) 58%-41%
Iowa (6) - (R) 50%-49%, (D) 54%-44%, (D) 52%-46%
Maine (4) – (D) 54%-45%, (D) 58%-40%, (D) 56%-41%
Maryland (10) – (D) 56%-43%, (D) 62%-37%, (D) 62%-37%
Massachusetts (11) – (D) 62%-37%, (D) 62%-36%, (D) 61%-38%
Michigan (16) – (D) 51%-48%, (D) 57%-41%, (D) 54%-45%
Minnesota (10) – (D) 51%-48%, (D) 54%-44%, (D) 53%-45%
Nevada (6) – (R) 51%-48%, (D) 55%-43%, (D) 52%-46%
New Hampshire (4) - (D) 50%-49%, (D) 54%-45%, (D) 52%-46%
New Mexico (5) – (R) 50%-49%, (D) 57%-42%, (D) 53%-43%
New Jersey (14) – (D) 53%-46%, (D) 57%-42%, (D) 58%-41%
New York (29) – (D) 58%-40%, (D) 63%-36%, (D) 63%-35%
North Carolina (15) - (R) 56%-44%, (D) 50%-49%, (R) 50%-48%
Ohio (18) - (R) 51%-49%, (D) 52%-47%, (D) 51%-48%
Oregon (7) – (D) 52%-47%, (D) 57%-40%, (D) 54%-42%
Pennsylvania (20) - (D) 51%-49%, (D) 55%-44%, (D) 52%-47%
Rhode Island (4) – (D) 59%-39%, (D) 63%-35%, (D) 63%-35%
Vermont (3) – (D) 59%-39%, (D) 68%-30%, (D) 67%-31%
Virginia (13) – (R) 54%-46, (D) 53%-46%, (D) 51%-47%
Washington (12) – (D) 53%-46%, (D) 58%-41%, (D) 57%-41%
Wisconsin (10) - (D) 50%-49%, (D) 56%-42%, (D) 53%-46%
Total Electoral Votes: 353
Analysis: As shown here a Trump versus Clinton matchup would really be over before it even began. By simply holding on to the states that Obama won in 2008 Clinton would already have over 270 votes, but given the strength of her polling against Trump she adds on to Obama's safe state territory with North Carolina.
Safe Trump States
State, Electoral Votes, 04 Result, 08 Result, 12 Result, Most Recent Poll
Alabama (9) – (R) 63%-37%, (R) 60%-39%, (R) 61%-38%
Arkansas (6) - (R) 54%-45%, (R) 59%-39%, (R) 61%-37%
Idaho (4) - (R) 69%-30%, (R) 62%-36%, (R) 65%-33%
Kansas (6) - (R) 62%-37%, (R) 57%-42%, (R) 60%-38%
Kentucky (8) - (R) 60%-40%, (R) 57%-41%, (R) 60%-38%
Nebraska (5) - (R) 66%-33%, (R) 56%-42%, (R) 60%-38%
North Dakota (3) - (R) 63%-36%, (R) 53%-45%, (R) 58%-39%
Oklahoma (7) - (R) 66%-34%, (R) 66%-34%, (R) 67%-33%
South Dakota (3) - (R) 60%-38%, (R) 53%-45%, (R) 58%-40%
Tennessee (11) - (R) 57%-43%, (R) 57%-42%, (R) 59%-39%
Utah (6) - (R) 73%-26%, (R) 63%-34%, (R) 73%-25%
West Virginia (5) - (R) 56%-43%, (R) 56%-43%, (R) 62%-36%
Wyoming (3) - (R) 69%-29%, (R) 65%-33%, (R) 69%-28%
Total Electoral Votes: 73
Analysis: Given a 14 point loss nationally to Clinton, Trump would only be assured of states that Mitt Romney by a very large margin in 2012. These states cover a vast amount of territory, but tend to have very few voters and therefore very few Electoral College votes.
Swing States
State, Electoral Votes, 04 Result, 08 Result, 12 Result
Alaska (3) – (R) 61%-36%, (R) 59%-38%, (R) 55%-41%, Projected Clinton Win
Arizona (11) - (R) 55%-44%, (R) 54%-45%, (R) 54%-45%, Projected Clinton Win
Georgia (16) - (R) 58%-41%, (R) 52%-47%, (R) 53%-45%, Projected Clinton Win
Indiana (11) - (R) 60%-39%, (D) 50%-49%, (R) 54%-44%, Projected Clinton Win
Louisiana (8 ) - (R) 57%-42%, (R) 59%-40%, (R) 58%-41%, Projected Trump Win
Mississippi (6) - (R) 60%-40%, (R) 56%-43%, (R) 55%-44%, Projected Clinton Win
Missouri (10) - (R) 53%-46%, (R) 49%-49%, (R) 54%-44%, Projected Clinton Win
South Carolina (9) - (R) 58%-41%, (R) 54%-45%, (R) 55%-44%, Projected Clinton Win
Texas (38) - (R) 61%-38%, (R) 56%-44%, (R) 57%-41%, Projected Trump Win
Analysis: The strength of Clinton versus Trump really shows up in the "swing state" analysis. States that Republican can usually count on like Alaska, Georgia, Mississippi, and South Carolina all the sudden become competitive if given Trump's large deficit nationally. Trump is projected to hold on to Texas and Louisiana by slim margin, but otherwise Clinton takes states that Romney won by less than 14 points in 2008, giving Clinton an even bigger lead. The final result after adding up all the Clinton wins is 419 electoral
http://www.examiner.com/article/projection-shows-clinton-defeats-donald-trump-419-119-on-electoral-college-map
Btw, this may have been from before Trump began his rise.
Stossel: Why Marco Rubio and Hillary Clinton are 2016's likely nominees
it's nonstop Rubio love from you. what is that, 2, 3, 4 pro-Rubio articles or polls from you tonight?
sheesh. If you want a pro-amnesty robot, I guess rubio is the man for the job.
It's from July 2015.
Those who think the race is over on either side after three contests should look at the 92 election, where Bill Clinton did not win a primary/caucus until the sixth state. This is more analogous to the GOP race today.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Democratic_Party_presidential_primaries,_1992
Why President Trump Would Be A Bigger Disaster Than Hillary
For conservatives, supporting Trump would mean facilitating their own destruction.
By David Harsanyi
Trump supporters take note: Hillary has received a million more votes than Trump so far.
And she sucks!
Be careful how you talk about your next president. :-\
Be careful how you talk about your next president. :-\
Pay attention Trump supporters.
Nate Silver
@NateSilver538
Here's what the map might look like in an election held today. Trump's Rust Belt strength would help him keep MO, IN
(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CeU210ZUIAEk_SQ.jpg)
Nate Silver @NateSilver538 · Mar 24
BTW, a lot could change. Clinton can't take anything for granted. But that's about what a 10-11% Dem win would look like these days.
https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/713036414745575424/photo/1?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw
Nate has been wrong about Trump for months now, like some other people on this sub-forum
At some point you have to realize when you are continually wrong people don't you very serious.
lol You sound like those Ron Paul supporters from a few years ago. Smoke and mirrors. Plug your ears. Cover your eyes.
Why?
The guy has been dead wrong for months now.
Would you give the ball to the guy who has missed the last 13 shots in a row when the game is on the line?
I wouldn't.
Are you high? Silver has been spot on about almost everything. The only thing he missed badly was Sanders winning Michigan, which everyone missed. Other than that, his projections have been incredibly accurate.
No, I'm not high just repeating what is already well known by people who follow politics.
I could literally cut and paste similar articles all day long. There are these two things known as REALITY and GOOGLE which do exist.
If Nate Silver's political predictions were a basketball team they would be The Washington Generals.
He has been terrible and he has lost a ton of credibility.
Nate Silver: Trump Has About 5% Chance Of Winning
Statistician and writer Nate Silver joins Anderson Cooper to share his evaluation of the Trump campaign.
ANDERSON COOPER, CNN: You might have noticed, we talked a bit about polls around here, so does Donald Trump, so do all kinds of candidates whether they're gaining or boasting or slipping and complaining. For better or worse, polling drives the conversation right now and a new conversation started comes out pretty much daily.
Our next guest made his reputation by picking the right polling data and using it much more -- well to make much more accurate predictions, extremely accurate predictions. Nate Silver, FiveThirtyEight.com joins us tonight to talk about what the numbers can and can't say right now about the state of the race.
So it's really fascinating because you put the chance of Donald Trump or Ben Carson actually getting the GOP nomination and put it around 5 percent.
NATE SILVER, FIVETHIRTYEIGHT: Maybe about 5 percent each, somewhere around there.
COOPER: Why so low?
SILVER: So there are couple things to think about. One is that if you look back at history, you've never seen candidates like Donald Trump certainly or Ben Carson win a party nomination. And secondly, if you look at the polling, a lot of times a candidate who is leading the polls now mid-September didn't win the nomination, didn't even come close. So if you look four years ago, Rick Perry was in the midst of a surge right now. Eight years ago on the democratic side, you had Howard Dean or 12 years ago rather, Howard Dean was surging, Hillary Clinton was still away ahead of Barack Obama in 2008. Rudy Giuliani was leading the polls in 2008. I think people, there's so much interest in this election, in this campaign, people forget that polls five months before Iowa historically have told you very, very little.
Ok now you're just trolling. You pulled a discussion from September, six months ago, when everyone and their mother gave Trump no chance? Pitiful. No wonder you didn't include a link.
And somehow, this prediction trumps (so to speak) how Silver has since nailed nearly every primary and caucus in the race. Dude you are wasting my time.
You are missing the boat by a mile by focusing on the trivial stuff like period jokes and making fun of peoples disabilities. From Reagan all the way up to Obama, each one of those guys just had that "it" factor. It's hard to explain but the way W had that folksy charm. He was the guy you are excited to hear is coming to the party because he's just a likable person. Obama the way he energized the minorities and youth. Clinton with his political astuteness. They all just had that rare form of charisma that got people off their asses and to the ballots to put them in office.
Look at the latest Trump interview on Face The Nation. He OWNS that reporter and controls the interview for the entire 17 minutes. Say what you want about his politics, Trump is an incredible communicator.
Well except me
Trolling?
Your track record has been TERRIBLE here lately. Just dead wrong with predictions for months and months on end.
I think Jeb or Rubio is gonna be the nominee ;D :D
Pay attention Trump supporters.
Nate Silver
@NateSilver538
Here's what the map might look like in an election held today. Trump's Rust Belt strength would help him keep MO, IN
(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CeU210ZUIAEk_SQ.jpg)
Nate Silver @NateSilver538 · Mar 24
BTW, a lot could change. Clinton can't take anything for granted. But that's about what a 10-11% Dem win would look like these days.
https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/713036414745575424/photo/1?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw
That's fair. My mom is in the same boat.
She hates Trump and Hillary SO much. So many people do.
Maybe as a nation we are finally turning a corner.
United against Hillary and Trump for a better tomorrow 2016. (Copyright pending)
:D
I do not believe that the US is that insane.
I do not believe that the US is that insane.
Will they be assigning 20 reporters to dig into Hillary's past?
Will they be assigning 20 reporters to dig into Hillary's past?
Will they be assigning 20 reporters to dig into Hillary's past?
Washington Post assigns army of 20 to dig into 'every phase' of Trump's life
By PAUL BEDARD (@SECRETSBEDARD) • 5/11/16
The Washington Post has built a sizable army of reporters to dig into every facet of Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump's life, urged on by new owner Jeff Bezos to reveal everything about the potential nominees.
Post Associate Editor Bob Woodward revealed Wednesday that the Post has assigned 20 staffers to Trump. In addition the paper plans a book.
"There's a lot we don't know," he told the National Association of Realtors convention in Washington. "We have 20 people working on Trump, we're going to do a book, we're doing articles about every phase of his life," he added.
Woodward, who has interviewed Trump, said that he has begun looking into Trump's New York real estate deals. "The New York real estate world is more complex than the CIA," he said.
On Wednesday, the Post poured on several Trump stories, including a deep dig into his sex talk on radio host Howard Stern's show.
He also said that the paper is trying to get to the "essence" of Hillary Rodham Clinton, but he dismissed suggestions that she used a personal email server to distribute classified information.
"I don't think anyone feels that there was intent on her part to distribute classified information in a way that was illegal or jeopardized security," he assured the crowd.
Still, he did mention Watergate when discussing the email scandal.
"To do this, quite frankly, doesn't make sense and back to Watergate, the burglary, five burglars, business suits, arrested in the Democratic headquarters. And the reaction was gee, 'That's unusual.' My reaction, Carl Bernstein's reaction was WTF?"
He said that Bezos has urged the Post to run as many stories on Trump and the other candidates so that voters can't say they didn't know about the eventual president.
"He said, 'Look the job at the Washington Post has to be tell us everything about who the eventual nominee will be in both parties, 15 part, 16 part series, 20 part series, we want to look at every part of their lives and we're never going get the whole story of course but we can get the best attainable," said the famed reporter.
http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/woodward-20-wapo-reporters-dig-dirt-on-trump-every-phase-of-his-life/article/2591021
Will they be assigning 20 reporters to dig into Hillary's past?
typical right-wing victimhood statement, right here.
I wondered how many weeks it'd take you to defend Trump at every turn. The answer is "less than one".
Shut the heck up troll.
Trump: 'Anything I Say Right Now' Is a 'Suggestion'
Nate Silver Gives Trump 25 Percent Chance to Beat Clinton
(http://www.newsmax.com/CMSPages/GetFile.aspx?guid=f38a4a40-f30b-4b50-a150-c974bd0fcb25&SiteName=Newsmax&maxsidesize=600)
Image: Nate Silver Gives Trump 25 Percent Chance to Beat Clinton (Getty Images)
By Joe Crowe | Monday, 16 May 2016
Nate Silver, editor-in-chief of poll analysis website FiveThirtyEight, said Donald Trump has a 25 percent chance of winning the 2016 presidential election.
In an interview on CNN's "Reliable Sources," Silver said Hillary Clinton is more likely to win than her Republican opponent "if you held the election today."
Silver said he has been surprised by Trump's success. His site had predicted before the primaries that Trump had a 5-percent chance of capturing the Republican presidential nomination and would "flame out" during the primaries.
"This is one of the crazier things we've seen in politics for a long time," Silver said in the CNN interview.
The 25-percent prediction for Trump could also change, Silver explained, because of the possibility of world events continuing to shape voters' opinions. "You can have recessions, you can have terror attacks," said the editor-in-chief.
Silver noted that in his site's analyses, while he predicted that she would win, he said Hillary Clinton "is not a very popular candidate herself."
A Salon editorial about the 538 site pointed out that Trump's rise raises questions about Silver's website and its analysis of polls.
Silver has mentioned before that poll results should not lead to overconfidence, but the Salon editorial said that 538 might have become too confident in its own predictions when it made the 5-percent prediction about Trump.
In the CNN interview, Silver called on journalists to be more accountable about covering political news. He said Trump ran on "a lot of misinformation, and we're the information industry."
http://www.newsmax.com/Politics/Nate-Silver-Donald-Trump-Hillary-Clinton-Election-2016/2016/05/16/id/729008/#ixzz48q36QyuJ
That's probably the first time I have agreed with Salon on anything but they are correct, it is a question that needs to be asked.
PredictIt currently reads about a 60 - 40, Hillary.
Sounds about right, but there is a long way to go in this crazy campaign.
The one thing I've learned is to avoid trying to make sense of it.
I agree. Someone was talking to me last week about all the logical reasons why Trump will get crushed by Hillary. I told him we made those same logical arguments about why Trump would not sniff the GOP nomination. Logic is pretty much out the window.
Just heard someone say Hillary has been running for president for ten years and is struggling to take out one candidate, while Trump--a political neophyte--took out sixteen candidates in eleven months. Pretty remarkable when you think about it.
Yes, and the fact that information can be found to show a real battle in those key states, should throw cold water on the Hillary clowns.
Polls have been tightening in battleground states.
And let's not forget that anyone with even a hint of awareness, realizes there is absolutely nothing to Hillary. Whether or not that would stop someone from voting for her against Trump, I don't know. But when you have a good look at what she's about, there really isn't anything to show more than a drunken Obama in a wig.
She is a miserable excuse for a leader, and she may actually be dangerously deranged.
I agree with everything except the deranged part. She's not crazy. She's just a typical greedy, partisan, dishonest, big government liberal. Very predictable.
I agree with everything except the deranged part. She's not crazy. She's just a typical greedy, partisan, dishonest, big government liberal. Very predictable.
Trump keeps talking about women, the women card, the women vote.
Not a smart way to win women. Talk about jobs, the economy, solutions to crime, and other things which affect them.
Women will mobilize and it won't be for him. (Although at this point, that feels intentional)
Hillary has a bigger problem with men than he does with women.
The number of female voters has exceeded the number of male voters in every presidential election since 1964
http://www.cawp.rutgers.edu/sites/default/files/resources/genderdiff.pdf
Hillary/Sanders. *face palm*
Bernie’s The Early Favorite For Clinton’s Running Mate
Tuesday, May 17, 2016
They may still be embroiled in a contentious primary race, but Democratic voters appear to want Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders to run on the same presidential ticket later this year.
A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that from a list of five potential vice presidential picks, 36% of Likely Democratic Voters think Sanders should be Clinton’s running mate. Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren comes in a distant second with 19%, while 10% prefer Housing and Urban Development Secretary Julian Castro.
Eight percent (8%) of Democrats think Clinton should tap New Jersey Senator Cory Booker for the VP spot, while just two percent (2%) say that of former Maryland Governor Martin O'Malley who dropped out of the 2016 Democratic presidential race in the early going. However, 12% of Democrats prefer some other candidate not listed, and 13% are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
Among all Likely Voters, Sanders is still the favorite with 26%, followed by Warren with 13%. Booker and O’Malley each come in with six percent (6%), while Castro is the favorite of five percent (5%). But 44% of voters are looking elsewhere, including 25% who prefer some other candidate and 19% who are not sure.
Seventy-eight percent (78%) of all voters say the vice presidential nominee will be important to how they vote in the upcoming presidential election, but that includes only 33% who say it is Very Important. Seventy-seven percent (77%) of Democrats consider the veep spot to be important to their vote, compared to 85% of GOP voters. Still, GOP voters (34%) are slightly less likely than Democrats (37%) to say the candidate in the number two slot is Very Important.
(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.
The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on May 11-12, 2016 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
On the Republican side, former House Speaker Newt Gingrich and former presidential candidate Dr. Ben Carson are early favorites among GOP voters to run alongside presumptive nominee Donald Trump.
Because of the anti-establishment tone of Trump's and Sanders' campaigns, some have suggested that they should reach outside their party for a running mate, but voters strongly disagree. Sixty-eight percent (68%) say it’s at least somewhat important for a presidential candidate to pick someone from his or her own party to be the vice presidential candidate, including 35% who say that’s Very Important. Thirty percent (30%) don’t think it’s important, including only six percent (6%) who say it’s Not At All Important.
Republicans (50%) are far more likely than Democrats (32%) and voters not affiliated with either major party (21%) to think it’s Very Important for a presidential nominee to choose within the party.
Twenty-six percent (26%) of unaffiliated voters think Sanders should be Clinton’s vice presidential pick, while 10% prefer Warren. However, nearly half of these voters prefer someone else or are not sure.
Most Republicans don’t prefer any of the candidates listed, but Sanders still leads the pack among GOP voters with 15%.
Forty percent (40%) of voters under 40 think Sanders should be Clinton’s running mate, a view shared by just 21% of middle-aged voters and 17% of senior citizens. Though Sanders draws the most support in all three age groups, those 40 and over are more likely to prefer another candidate to any of those listed.
Interestingly given the heavy media coverage about Sanders’ struggles to gain their support, black voters (34%) feel even more strongly than white voters (22%) do that Sanders should be Clinton’s running mate. An even higher number (42%) of other minority voters support Sanders on the ticket with Clinton.
Despite the surprising success of Sanders, Democrats remain overwhelmingly convinced that Clinton is their party's likely presidential nominee for 2016.
The success of Sanders in the 2016 campaign has exposed the growing rift between the Democratic party establishment and the party’s more progressive wing. Forty-seven percent (47%) of Democrats believe the Democratic Party should be more like Clinton, but 39% say it should be more like Sanders. Twelve percent (12%) say the party should be like neither one.
Warren is perhaps just as popular as Sanders on the political left, but only 30% of Democrats last August thought the Massachusetts senator should have run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2016. Forty-five percent (45%) said she shouldn’t run.
So far the Clinton-Trump race looks like it’s going to be a close one.
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2016/bernie_s_the_early_favorite_for_clinton_s_running_mate
Put a dangerous, not-too-bright, uninformed, intemperate, dishonest narcissist in control of the military and give him access to nuclear weapons: vote Donald Trump for president.
Exactly.
I would rather vote MY conscience than just "give it" to the idiots that are in the big 2.
Help Ensure A Stacked Liberal Supreme Court and a Socialist for Vice President: Vote Gary Johnson for President
Put a dangerous, not-too-bright, uninformed, intemperate, dishonest narcissist in control of the military and give him access to nuclear weapons: vote Donald Trump for president.
Their agenda is to serve the top 1% even if that means killing off the middleclass. They cant run on this so they create an enemy to take focus away.
Dictators all over use this method all the time. If you convince and scare the population enough you can do almost anything.
This Dos Equis. What a cut-and-paste warrior. Not a single, original (political) thought in his his head. Just a bot. ::)
:)Yeah. Kinda funny, moron. Kinda funny. ::)
Poll: 71 percent of Dems think Clinton should keep running even if indicted
Published June 01, 2016
FoxNews.com
A strong majority of Democratic voters think Hillary Clinton should keep running for president even if she is charged with a felony in connection with her private email use while secretary of state, according to a new poll.
Clinton was strongly criticized in a State Department inspector general report last week about her email use.
The report found repeated warnings about cybersecurity were ignored and staffers who expressed concerns were told “never to speak of the Secretary’s personal email system again.”
Yet, this seems not to be a big issue among Democrats. The Rasmussen poll released Tuesday found 71 percent of Democratic voters believe she should keep running even if indicted, a view shared by only 30 percent of Republicans and 46 percent of unaffiliated voters. Overall, 50 percent of those polled said she should keep running.
The FBI investigation into her email practices is still ongoing. Democratic primary rival Bernie Sanders has avoided commenting specifically on that probe, but campaign manager Jeff Weaver on Wednesday questioned whether she could keep going if an indictment comes down.
"That would be difficult to continue running a race," Weaver told Fox News on Wednesday, when asked about the poll.
The email scandal could still be problematic for Clinton's general election hopes, with 40 percent of all voters saying they are less likely to vote for Clinton because of it -- though 48 percent of voters said it would have no impact on their vote.
The Democratic primary frontrunner’s argument that she did nothing illegal with her email use is also apparently failing to sway many voters. According to the poll, 65 percent of voters consider it likely that Clinton broke the law with her email use, with 47 percent saying it’s very likely.
The poll of 1,000 likely voters was conducted May 29-30. It had a margin of error of 3 percentage points.
http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2016/06/01/poll-71-percent-dems-think-clinton-should-keep-running-even-if-indicted.html?intcmp=hpbt2
Yeah. Kinda funny, moron. Kinda funny. ::)
That is pretty ridiculous.
If she's actually indicted, she should drop out. It's stupid for her to stay in.
Trump will just keep calling her "crooked Hillary" and have an indictment to show as proof.
She's probably still the favorite even if she is indicted.
I can't imagine... Insanity.
Democrats support their person just like Republicans do. It's not like Trump doesn't have his own legal issues right now either.
Not criminal of course, but not necessarily any better to be honest.
It is crazy. Trump wasn't too far off when he joked about not losing support even if he shot someone.
most trump supporters don't reach their position through logic or reason.
it's emotion (fear or anger), resentment (vote against establishment), or ignorance (unaware of his lack of knowledge and dangerous statements thus far).
He's just too erratic, period.
How can he President of Trump U and the USA?
Did he mean he will be President of only the US?
Odd, stupid, tweets.
This is our next president? What an embarrassment.
Trump: Judge in Trump U Case Is Mexican, Has 'Absolute Conflict'
(http://www.newsmax.com/CMSPages/GetFile.aspx?guid=28108595-163a-4807-9510-7e74c930a687&SiteName=Newsmax&maxsidesize=600)
Image: Trump: Judge in Trump U Case Is Mexican, Has 'Absolute Conflict' (Photo by Elijah Nouvelage/Getty Images)
By Jason Devaney | Thursday, 02 Jun 2016
Donald Trump has stepped up his attacks on the judge presiding over the Trump University class action lawsuit, saying Thursday his "Mexican heritage" should preclude him from working the case.
U.S. District Judge Gonzalo Curiel has "an absolute conflict" in the case because of his "Mexican heritage" and his membership in a Latino lawyers association, reports The Wall Street Journal.
"I'm building a wall. It's an inherent conflict of interest," Trump said.
Trump, the presumptive Republican nominee for president, also accused Curiel of being an ex-colleague and friend of a lawyer representing one of the plaintiffs in the civil case.
"Neither Judge Curiel's ethnicity nor the fact that we crossed paths as prosecutors in the U.S. Attorney's Office well over a decade ago is to blame" for Trump's remarks, said the attorney, Jason Forge.
Curiel would not comment, but his brother told the Journal, "He's taking it pretty much in stride."
With the Trump University case making headlines, Trump has been critical of the case and the judge. He called him a "hater of Donald Trump" this week.
Last Friday, Trump said Curiel "happens to be, we believe, Mexican, which is great. I think that's fine."
On Thursday, Trump used Twitter to blast the case.
Donald J. Trump ✔@realDonaldTrump
Even though I have a very biased and unfair judge in the Trump U civil case in San Diego, I have thousands of great reviews & will win case!
6:54 AM - 2 Jun 2016
Donald J. Trump ✔@realDonaldTrump
After the litigation is disposed of and the case won, I have instructed my execs to open Trump U(?), so much interest in it! I will be pres.
7:02 AM - 2 Jun 2016
http://www.newsmax.com/Newsfront/donald-trump-trump-university-mexican-judge/2016/06/02/id/732058/#ixzz4AXIvXutH
I'm so sick of this asshole tossing this election away to that rotten disgusting communist criminal lying bitch
I'm so sick of this asshole tossing this election away to that rotten disgusting communist criminal lying bitch
This is very true.
Seriously, he can't possibly think he would actually win a majority of the US people with this type of discussion. It does lend some credibility that he never really ran to "win" in the first place.
He can win. You can pretty much throw logic out the window. There is no logical way a man like Trump could say the things he has said, acted the way he did, not spend much of anything during the primaries and caucuses, not spend time on the ground in most places, and become the Republican nominee. But it happened. We are in the middle of some unprecedented craziness.
It's all over but the crying. Trump vs. Hillary.
http://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/california
It's all over but the crying. Trump vs. Hillary.
http://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/california
What a disaster
What a disaster
Pocahontas as VP? No thank you.
Hillary picking another female would be a political disaster.
Hillary picking another female would be a political disaster.
It's all over but the crying. Trump vs. Hillary.
http://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/california
Recent poles indicate Trump's support is slipping this past week or so. He's down 10 points. Clinton's support is on the rise.
it's not over yet.
Hilary could be indicted any time. Trump could be ousted by his own party at any time.
Trump is likely 1/2 a BILLION behind Hilary in fundraising. His own team says he's not filling holes and baffling them by almost purposefully under-achieving. More and more repubs are talking about just plain choosing someone else at the convention.
We could be looking at Biden/Warren vs Ryan/Rubio for all we know. 2016 is a year like none other.
Mccain led obama twice - once when he became the presumptive nominee, and once when he chose Word Salad as his veep.
Ten days later, both times, it was back to the shitter.
I don't know about you, but I have paid more attention to this Presidential primary than any before. Like you suggest, nothing is a done deal yet. The next 5 months should be very interesting.
You do realize Hillary is not the only democrat running for President, while Trump is pretty much the only choice the republicans have at this point. Bernie Sanders pulled a fair number of Northern California votes. He won't win the democratic nomination. Most of his votes will go to Clinton in the general election.
Recent poles indicate Trump's support is slipping this past week or so. He's down 10 points. Clinton's support is on the rise.
Hillary has always been essentially the only person running for the Democrat nomination. The other three were smart enough to drop out early when they realized the fix was in and she had already been coronated. Sanders had nothing more than a symbolic run. Hillary was crowned before she even formally announced she was running.
Trump, on the other hand, beat 16 other Republican candidates. It was an actual race. He had enormous advantages with the billions in free media coverage, but he it was an actual competition.
Bravo for Trump. He's a (dirty) fighter for sure, but I doubt he will be our next President. As for the media, it is said that any media coverage is better than no media coverage, even when it's negative. Trump's shenanigans have kept him at the forefront. I have a sense though that folks are getting tired of him. I could be dead wrong, but that's what I feel.
The media has been holding a lot of "bad" info on Trump, because they wanted him to be the nominee. They believe he is easy to beat. I think they're wrong. We've all been wrong about Trump. Something very different is happening. People just don't give a rip about all of the bad things Trump brings to the table. They are angry. Fed up with the folks in DC.
In addition to that, Hillary is horrible. Take a look at her negatives. Just as bad as Trump's negatives. She is incredibly unlikeable and untrustworthy. Have you seen her integrity poll numbers?
I once thought Trump had no chance to be the nominee and, even if he won, would get killed in November. I don't believe that anymore.
I'll give you that our Presidential options in this election are few if any. Unfortunately, one of these two will likely be our next President. If it's Trump and he can't deliver on his promises to these angry folks, his life will be in great danger, I suspect.
Do you really expect any politician to deliver on his/her promises?
I'm voting for Gary Johnson.
Do you really expect any politician to deliver on his/her promises?
I'm voting for Gary Johnson.
Do you really expect any politician to deliver on his/her promises?
I'm voting for Gary Johnson.
One can hope....
Any particular reason you're voting for him?
Because I refuse to vote for Hillary or Trump and I agree with Gary Johnson on several issues. Also, he doesn't have integrity problems like Hillary or Trump.
Hillary Clinton loves people with your type of rationale.
I don't care.
Gary Johnson
Gary Johnson is going to be a warrior in combating Radical Islamic Terrorism.
Trying saying that with a straight face.
Hillary is a vile, disgusting, corrupt human being and even she is more equipped to face the realities of terrorism versus "do nothing" Gary Johnson.
I can say that with a straight face a lot more than I can say "President Trump" or "President Hillary." Gary Johnson isn't going to win. We are going to be stuck with Trump or Hillary. They are both horrible. Our country is screwed. Good luck defending either of those terds.
....I agree with Gary Johnson on several issues. Also, he doesn't have integrity problems like Hillary or Trump.
This is refreshing if true. It is also possible no one has bothered to scrutinize Johnson to the degree they have Hillary and Trump, because he isn't a viable candidate yet. -wonder how the general public will react to his former association with marijuana?
I can say that with a straight face a lot more than I can say "President Trump" or "President Hillary." Gary Johnson isn't going to win. We are going to be stuck with Trump or Hillary. They are both horrible. Our country is screwed. Good luck defending either of those terds.
Gary Johnson has some decent ideas but his 1776 ideology is not equipped to face the realities of 2016 Radical Islamic Terrorism.
This is refreshing if true. It is also possible no one has bothered to scrutinize Johnson to the degree they have Hillary and Trump, because he isn't a viable candidate yet. -wonder how the general public will react to his former association with marijuana?
Gary Johnson has some decent ideas but his 1776 ideology is not equipped to face the realities of 2016 Radical Islamic Terrorism.
Libertarians aren't serious about enforcing immigration laws.
most would agree trump isn't either.
He is just as serious about a wall, as he is about manually pulling all the illegals from their homes, and sending them back. ANd he's said it's 34 million. Not 11 as most people estimate.
He's going to send 11 or 12% of the US population to live somewhere else.
I'd say that proposal isn't serious either.
OR I can beat your argument another way. In July 2015, Trump said the "good illegals" can stay.
So either way - Trump isn't serious about stopping the illegals.
Give me an argument FOR Gary Johnson. Not another generic anti-Trump diatribe.
Johnson will reduce military spending by over 40%. This will greatly reduce our spending and maybe just keep the nation out of bankruptcy.
I knew I was wasting my time.
Didn't even answer the question.
Islamic Terrorists want to murder people in the United States and I've yet to see a single argument to how Gary Johnson and his platform is going to do a damn thing to combat this.
He was governor of New Mexico, so he has been vetted somewhat. I don't think people care about reformed pot heads.
Somewhat perhaps. I'm unsure that Governors are vetted all that much. While I could give a flying fuck whether someone smokes dope or not, a lot of conservative folks do.
Campaign in disarray.
Fox News Poll: Clinton up by 6 points, 89 percent say 'hot-headed' describes Trump
Who are the 11% of Americans that look at Trump and say "Wow, that is one calm and level-headed man!"
???
This is actually a good question.
I thought Trump said no VP announcement friday because it'd be inappropriate?
bottom line - are you voting for Hillary yes or no?
fck no. libertarian. unless trump is ousted at the convention, which I still believe in. Then whoever takes his slot.
he's just too dangerous and will give us 8 years of hilary.
Fact: You are either going to live in Trump town or Hillary town, that's the 2 choices. You can protest all you want, you can waste a vote on open- borders-Johnson but that doesn't accomplish anything but help elect Hillary in the end and get you moved to Hillary Town.
Fact: You are either going to live in Trump town or Hillary town, that's the 2 choices. You can protest all you want, you can waste a vote on open- borders-Johnson but that doesn't accomplish anything but help elect Hillary in the end and get you moved to Hillary Town.
It's not a wasted vote if you vote for what you believe.
If anything people should do so to move towards the end of the 2 party system.
If not. You're saying the status quo is ok with you.
It's not a wasted vote if you vote for what you believe.
If anything people should do so to move towards the end of the 2 party system.
If not. You're saying the status quo is ok with you.
Governor Pence's convention speech.
Senior Dems Concerned That Clinton Is Spending Millions on Ads That Aren’t Working
Heatstreet ^ | 22 Jul 2016 | Emily Zanotti
Posted on 7/22/2016, 12:02:21 PM by mandaladon
Some Democrats are privately worrying that Hillary Clinton has been spending too much money and seeing too few results.
Clinton, who has way more cash on hand than Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump, has been outspending the New York real estate mogul at a rate of 15-1 but has seen her lead shrink to single digits in certain key states.
According to The Hill, senior Democrats met with Clinton in DC on Monday and mentioned a recent Florida poll that showed Trump pulling ahead in the Sunshine State. They questioned whether Clinton was really running her campaign effectively, having spent about $47 million in television ads.
Trump himself has spent next to nothing. A few SuperPACs and the NRA have run around $3 million in anti-Clinton ads, focusing only on her position on the Second Amendment.
The good news for Clinton is that the worrywarts were a minority, even among the professional strategists in the meeting, according to one source at the table. That source said the concern was largely voiced by “bed-wetters.”
But Clinton needs to start pulling ahead of Trump if she intends to sustain the lead all the way through November. Trump will likely get a polling boost from his convention speech, and while some Republicans are splitting off the party in protest, led by Ted Cruz, who is trying to make them feel better about their decision to abstain, Trump supporters are feeling stronger than ever.
(Excerpt) Read more at heatst.com ...
Bloomberg will endorse Clinton at DNC
Donald Trump bounces into the lead
CNN ^ | July 25th, 2016 | By Jennifer Agiesta
Posted on 7/25/2016, 9:09:10 AM by Mariner
(CNN)The bounce is back.
Donald Trump comes out of his convention ahead of Hillary Clinton in the race for the White House, topping her 44% to 39% in a four-way matchup including Gary Johnson (9%) and Jill Stein (3%) and by three points in a two-way head-to-head, 48% to 45%. That latter finding represents a 6-point convention bounce for Trump, which are traditionally measured in two-way matchups.
There hasn't been a significant post-convention bounce in CNN's polling since 2000. That year Al Gore and George W. Bush both boosted their numbers by an identical 8 points post-convention before ultimately battling all the way to the Supreme Court.
(Excerpt) Read more at cnn.com ...
Let's pray Trump doesn't see this as a sign to up the stupid.
The thing too is that Trump has spent no money at all thus far.
I know, but that's one of the things which concerns me about his possible intent. And the anti-Trump ads playing his own words are brutal.
The one w the kids are watching is brutal.I think it has....people will remember that
But - it has had no effect at all
She may recover with a small bump from the convention this week
Let's pray Trump doesn't see this as a sign to up the stupid.
post convention bounce.
mccain led obama in the days after his convention. Two weeks later, he gave up that lead and never had it again.
The thing too is that Trump has spent no money at all thus far.
That's 'cause he doesn't have much to spend. ;) He only pays taxes on $500,000 or less. He may be under investigation by the FEC for potentially lying to them about his income by hugely over inflating it. It's a federal offense should he be charged and found guilty, punishable by a big fine and up to 12 years in prison. He's known as the "king of Welfare" in some circles because he culls so many deductions and favors from the U.S. government.
I was just talking to someone about a guy who was inflating his business income on his tax returns and using it as a basis to obtain loans. Don't know if Trump did anything similar, but apparently that kind of thing happens.
Lenders won't write a loan for Trump. He's proven to be a poor credit risk. Private investors are the source on whichTrump relies.
I was just talking to someone about a guy who was inflating his business income on his tax returns and using it as a basis to obtain loans. Don't know if Trump did anything similar, but apparently that kind of thing happens.
Gallup Poll: Clinton's Unfavorable Rating at All-Time High
By Mark Swanson | Tuesday, 26 Jul 2016
Hillary Clinton is viewed unfavorably by 57 percent of Americans, an all-time worst in her political career and a precipitous drop from just two years ago, according to the latest Gallup poll.
Just 38 percent view Clinton favorably, compared to 55 percent in 2014, Gallup reported. Further, Clinton's image took a 3-point dive in just one month, down from 41 percent favorable in June.
Clinton's highest favorable rating was at 67 percent in late 1998.
Other results:
Donald Trump's image is at 36 percent favorable, 59 percent unfavorable the past seven days;
71 percent of Democrats and left-leaning independents view Clinton favorably;
Trump's favorability among Republicans improved to 72 percent during convention week.
Gallup reported that the only comparable election between two highly unpopular candidates was 1992 (Ross Perot, George H.W. Bush).
Gallup surveyed 3,545 Americans age 18 and older with a +/- error of 3 points.
http://www.newsmax.com/Politics/Gallup-Clinton-Unfavorable-All-Time/2016/07/26/id/740517/#ixzz4FXJzXh75
Harry Reid To Intel Community: Give Donald Trump Fake Briefings
huffingtonpost.com ^ | 7/27/16 | Ryan Grim
Posted on 7/27/2016,
PHILADELPHIA - Senate Minority Leader Harry Reid (D-Nev.) is advising intelligence officials that if they end up giving GOP presidential nominee Donald Trump classified briefings during the campaign, they should just fake it and make sure not to divulge anything important.
“How would the CIA and the other intelligence agencies brief this guy? How could they do that? I would suggest to the intelligence agencies, if you’re forced to brief this guy, don’t tell him anything, just fake it, because this man is dangerous,” Reid said in an interview with The Huffington Post Wednesday afternoon. “Fake it, pretend you’re doing a briefing, but you can’t give the guy any information.”
“This guy, he’s part of a foreign power,” Reid continued. “We knew he liked Putin before this, but this is quite ridiculous.”
(Excerpt) Read more at huffingtonpost.com ...
;D :D :D :D
Poll: Donald Trump Sees 17-Point Positive Swing in Two Weeks
And real 'funny' how Reid is openly talking about telling MORE lies, as we haven't had enough of those already with Hillary.
Unbelievable, all the way.
Trump is talking out of both sides of his mouth.
DONALD TRUMP QUIETLY PETITIONS TO FILL HIS RESORTS WITH MORE FOREIGN WORKERS
So much for bringing jobs back to America.
"Donald Trump has made bringing jobs back to America a cornerstone of his campaign.
A BuzzFeed News investigation reported that in his continuing effort to make America great again, the G.O.P. nominee recently applied for 65 H-2B visas to fill a mix of housekeeping, cooking, and wait-staff positions at his Mar-a-Lago resort in Palm Beach. He is also seeking an additional 13 foreign workers for cooking and wait-staff roles at the Trump National Golf Club in Jupiter. The jobs will span an eight-month period from October of this year to the end of May 2017 and will all pay less than $15 per hour. Both resorts will pay housekeepers a rate of $10.17 per hour, wait staff $11.13 per hour, and cooks $12.74 per hour. (Trump did not respond to a BuzzFeed News request for comment.)
....of the 250 jobs available at the Mar-a-Lago resort between the beginning of 2013 and the fall of 2015, Americans only filled four, with the remaining 246 jobs going to foreign workers on H2-B visas.
,,,, maybe Trump simply didn’t try very hard to hire Americans first."
http://www.vanityfair.com/news/2016/07/donald-trump-foreign-workers?mbid=nl_CH_579a3e5a1aa2e58f5210e349&CNDID=17877087&spMailingID=9271940&spUserID=MTMzMTgyNDA4NjQ5S0&spJobID=962294233&spReportId=OTYyMjk0MjMzS0
Somebody needs to put that mummy back into his sarcophagus.
Interesting.
A lot of people are stupid, delusional or just plain blind.
Hillary voters, you mean.
I know, Prime. Not sure what we can do about it, though, because they seem to be chronically delusional and possibly under some powerful form of hypnosis.
I've maintained all along that in this election, U.S. citizens have no great choice for President. We've been left trying to decide which is the best of the worst. Can we have a do-over? ;)
Does this mean you've joined Team Trump?
Does this mean you've joined Team Trump?
;D Not even if my life depended on it. He represents everything I dislike.
he is a lifelong liberal and democrat - whats the problem with him?
You dont like his hairdo ?
why are YOU voting for him then?????????????????
he is a lifelong liberal and democrat - whats the problem with him?
You dont like his hairdo ?
The second presidential debate will be a town meeting, where half of the questions will come from participants and the other from the moderator. The moderator's questions will be based on public interest topics determined via social media and other sources.
^ Interesting, Prime.
Looks like the overgrown teenager with dumb ideas (Johnson) is doing his part to get Hillary the job.
pull johnson out, no pun intended, and hilary leads by more.
AND that Koch = Hillary
Don't forget that part.
Mostly False - don't forget this part.
http://www.snopes.com/koch-brothers-officially-endorse-hillary-clinton/
No, but the fact is that everything's been divided into Globalists VS. Americans, and Hillary's feet are entirely and firmly planted on the same side as the Koch Brothers. They are members of the same group, in the only fight which matters any more. The false idea that the two parties are opposed is having a difficult time finding cover lately.
Hillary is a neocon globalist bitch and only morons and blacks will claim support for her. That is the real story.
Seems like there are a lot of 'morons and blacks' and don't forget about women, Latinos and several other minorities.
Well, Prime. I can't help but join you in hoping and praying Hillary will do right. Unless Trump dusts-off the money pile, I think we can figure who will win.
Say, when you have a moment or two to read something interesting, I'd like to know your opinion on it. It is 3rd post down on this quora page - the one by "Mark Hughes, Screenwriter, Film Critic at Forbes".
https://www.quora.com/Could-Trump-be-a-Democratic-plant-1
uneducated people love a WWE wrestler president.
Can't wait till all the Rapefugees are running around all over our country spreading DIEversity after Hildog becomes POTUS
Thanks for the link. That was an interesting read to be sure.
Is Mark Hughes clairvoyant? He wrote his opinion/theory on August 30, 2015 which was only a couple of months after Trump announced his intention to run for President. Amazing! What is even more amazing is that he could very well be right. While I'm not one who normally puts a lot of stock in conspiracy theories, politics is a strange game and politicians are capable of playing the game very well in order to succeed with their goals.
There is a saying that goes, "Where there's smoke, there's fire." Meaning, if it looks like something is wrong, something probably is wrong. People like to think where there's smoke, there's fire, so they will always believe you were involved even if you weren't. The Clintons have sent enough smoke signals over the years which indicate some things were/are probably amiss. It is hard to imagine Trump as a puppet, but his ego is so disproportionate to his accomplishments that it is laughable and also makes him vulnerable. He could be easily used as a pawn simply by massaging that giant ego.
Why does it often seem that folks with a southern drawl can and will sell anything to anyone? I have a longtime friend from Texas whose accent is similar to Bill Clinton's. This friend is such an excellent con-artist that he's made a good living simply by convincing people he has an opportunity for them that they cannot resist.
1. The only question in my mind, is what knowledge Trump has about it. I'd like to think he's in it to win. But if he doesn't spend the necessary money, then it looks like he's avoiding making any substantial attack on her. How else can it be viewed?
2. Fact is, though, there are still about three months left and maybe we'll see something unexpected. I just don't know anymore, really. But it doesn't look good for those who don't fancy Hillary as CiC.
3. Yes, I know the type, believe me. Imo, it is a way to 'play dumb' and get others to feel immune from being conned by someone who is so simple-acting.
1. It is one thing to hint at something and/or to call your opponent names. You need more than knowledge to out and out accuse someone of something specific; you need proof. Otherwise it is slander and slander can backfire.
2. Yes a lot can happen in three months. So far this past week, things don't look very good for Trump. He is 15 points down in the poles. Every day, it gets worse.
I don't think he has many campaign offices, if any. It doesn't make sense. He isn't spending money, maybe to show himself as good w money, but no way he doesn't understand he'll lose without it unless something totally unexpected happens.
he has spent $1mil on fall tv commercials. hilary has bought 98 million worth.
I know he gets free coverage every time he tweets, but 1) it's having less and less impact as he's not as new anymore, and 2) not everyone watches cable news all day to hear about it.
the commercials during 'dancing with the stars' and the rio olympics will reach non-political people. The videos of trump mocking handicapped and saying he could shoot someone and still get elected - those are being heard by people who don't like politics but will vote against him becase of the commercials.
Trump not building much of an infrastructure - that is what ben carson did. he was running a book sales campaign, and using his $ to build officers would have shown a real investment. He didn't want to do that, and i started a thread in Oct of last year pointing out it wasn't a true campaign. Is trump running one?
Just saw he does have at least a few offices, so that's better than I thought.
But if she's putting 100x the money on TV and radio, no way he doesn't realize what to expect from that. The tweets can't work against it and neither can anything else but the same media.
Imo, since she's making him out to be a dumbass in her ads, he needs to show why she's worse than a dumbass. Plenty of data to back him up, so I wish he'd get started right now.
Yeah, he's very casual for a guy in his position.
Down 4+ points in every poll, doing very poorly in the swing states.
Controversies in a few areas at once.
His own party rebelling against him.
Public confidence in him dropping.
And not buying tv time? Nuts.
If he continues exactly like this, everyone (and I mean everyone) will know he's cooperating. Seems as though he can't avoid making ads, then. So will he just make weak ads or what?
so far, Hilary's ground/get-out-the-vote team is at least ten times bigger.
This kind of infrastructure doesn't matter much for polls in early August. But late October, it definitely will. When Team Hilary is driving busloads of African-American voters to the polls on election day in swing states, it'll matter. When commercials are needed to share whatever october surprise Hilary has in store for Trump, she has the ad space purchased already.
trump just isn't building the things that candidates always do.
Crazy. Or so it seems. I wish Straw Man would reappear and update his stand.
See, he made a comment today saying "she's not strong enough to be president".
Besides being a weak ass comment, it looks like he is welcoming women to view it in the wrong way.
Of all the things to say about her, why choose that? Why give the enemies so much room to use against you?
I don't believe this poll for a second. The media is proving itself to be more and more deceitful everyday and the average American is absolutely clueless about it.
(http://www.getbig.com/boards/index.php?action=dlattach;topic=568927.0;attach=685006;image)
Does this mean you believe Hillary actually scores 60% and Trump has 20%? Just wondering, since most folks who say they don't believe the polls are rooting for the loser.
Besides the Melania misstep, by all accounts Trump had a very solid RNC convention. A flash poll from CNN showed that well over 70% of CNN viewers on both sides of the aisle reacted favorably to his last day speech as well.
For him to drop like a rock in the polls days after a solid performance defies all logic. The media is clearly in bed with the Democratic party and it is taking more measures to prop them up.
I'm not saying that Trump doesn't shoot himself in the foot with these little vendettas that he caries...he does. But the fact that the media is deceiving and covering up for a political party to this degree should scare the shit out of anybody.
Besides the Melania misstep, by all accounts Trump had a very solid RNC convention. A flash poll from CNN showed that well over 70% of CNN viewers on both sides of the aisle reacted favorably to his last day speech as well.
For him to drop like a rock in the polls days after a solid performance defies all logic. The media is clearly in bed with the Democratic party and it is taking more measures to prop them up.
I'm not saying that Trump doesn't shoot himself in the foot with these little vendettas that he caries...he does. But the fact that the media is deceiving and covering up for a political party to this degree should scare the shit out of anybody.
A lot of Bernie guys moved into Hillary camp. You also have trump acting like an ass 24/7. Makes perfect sense why pols have changed fast
A lot of Bernie guys moved into Hillary camp. You also have trump acting like an ass 24/7. Makes perfect sense why pols have changed fast
A lot of Bernie guys moved into Hillary camp. You also have trump acting like an ass 24/7. Makes perfect sense why pols have changed fast
wow, he just gave the wealthy the big middle finger.
I wonder how coach will explain away this one.
Its all flop sweat. no one cares what he says any longer.
Its all flop sweat. no one cares what he says any longer.
Completely unheard of in politics... "I may stop fundraising"
What a mess.
Not a mess if planned to help lose the House and Senate
it's a day day when we read such a headline. It'w 3 months until election day and Trump is STILL attacking his own party instead of Hillary.
What date will he, you know, STOP ATTACKING REPUBLICANS? Maybe not at all. Sick to my stomach reading this headline. Hillary running de facto unopposed pretty soon. :(
http://insider.foxnews.com/2016/08/09/report-bernie-sanders-just-bought-third-home-600k-lake-house (http://insider.foxnews.com/2016/08/09/report-bernie-sanders-just-bought-third-home-600k-lake-house)
3 Homes for Bernie! Sanders Reportedly Buys $600K Vermont Lake House
He sold a previous one recently to pay for that one. So he only has 2.
600k for a house isn't some fat cat house.
Hell. How many politicians love in houses worth millions?
Please anyone refute this.
http://thehill.com/blogs/pundits-blog/presidential-campaign/291286-is-trump-deliberately-throwing-the-election-to
Please anyone refute this.
http://thehill.com/blogs/pundits-blog/presidential-campaign/291286-is-trump-deliberately-throwing-the-election-to
LOL Trump is only 6 points up in TX.
fckign hilary could end up winning texas. unreal. just unreal.
That can't possibly happen.
That can't possibly happen.
That can't possibly happen.
I did my part for HRC. Not that her campaign funds are running out.
I did my part for HRC. Not that her campaign funds are running out.
I did my part for HRC. Not that her campaign funds are running out.
You have hit rock bottom
You have hit rock bottom
Prime, are you all excited from thinking it's a handwritten note?
You know better than that.
You have hit rock bottom
Nope, not excited at all. It's handwritten but not sent personally to me, therefore it is generic. No doubt millions of these are sent out to those who've donated.
Don't take it too seriously. The donation was only for $10.
Nope, not excited at all. It's handwritten but not sent personally to me, therefore it is generic. No doubt millions of these are sent out to those who've donated.
could have fed some poor kenyan immigrant like obama when he was a child in Africa for a month on $10 and instead you sent it to hillary who is worth hundreds of millions.
Makes a lot of sense to me. ::)
could have fed some poor kenyan immigrant like obama when he was a child in Africa for a month on $10 and instead you sent it to hillary who is worth hundreds of millions.
Makes a lot of sense to me. ::)
Biden/Warren would motivate the left/dem base and do way better than hilary.
Ryan/Rubio (rubio making lots of noise lately ;) ) would be very good for motivating the repub base to vote.
New Trump Ad: Clinton's Racist Remarks about "Super Predators"
https://www.instagram.com/p/BJkj25RD44E/ (https://www.instagram.com/p/BJkj25RD44E/)
Trump FINALLY had something that was getting traction on CLinton... the emails. He FINALLY had something that msnbc was starting shows with. He was being quiet, he was using the same stump speech for 7 straight shows, and he was making traction in the polls.
SO he had to change that, of course ;)
He calls hilary a bigot, which really isn't going to help him. But it sure is helping her suddenly ;) He finally had her on the ropes, so he completely snatches defeat from the jaws of victory.
e-mails aren't going away.
This forecast changes daily. Interesting to look at the trends. Hillary had a huge lead. Trump had a slight light on 30 July. Hillary a huge lead after the convention, which she maintains, but things are starting to tighten again.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/
just like 2008.... mccain had a lead twice. once after winning the delegates, once after the convention. This is 2008 all over again. It'd take a miracle for trump to have a clear lead like hilary has. He'll look okay in a swing poll here and there, but with his massive money disadvantage, he NEEDS a 3-5 point lead to cleanly win it.
except this time, it ain't McCain.
Current Electoral Vote: 262 Clinton/Kaine, Toss Ups 122, Trump/Pence 154
270 Electoral votes needed to win the Presidency.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/2016_elections_electoral_college_map.html
Trump has a monster hill to climb. But hilary is looking legit sick. If she's sleeping 18 hours a day, that's huge.
did she have campaign events? True she has nothing until debates? Website said she had a few
It most interesting comment I derived from this interview is that HRC is addicted to power. This seem plausible. What I don't get is why it would set her apart from Trump. He to, is clearly addicted to power. The fact that he supposedly lays his personal life out with no restraint for all the world to see, seems to prove how powerful or untouchable he believes he is. Only an egomaniac would have the guts to do this. Is being this narcissistic a plus or a minus?
Would love to see Dr. Stein have more influence or make a push in this election but she just seems stuck in that 2 to 4% range.
Would love to see Dr. Stein have more influence or make a push in this election but she just seems stuck in that 2 to 4% range.
The good news is that in 2 weeks, when Biden/Kaine attack Trump and the cracks in his inconsistent immigration plan arrive... when his debate performance does nothing but make his base smile while the rest of the nation marvels at what an ass he is...
The good news is that when polls start to favor Hilary once again, we can all go back to pretending they're all stupid and dumb and wrong. THIS week, yes, post that shit... polls are awesome.
Rassmussen is the only poll showing Trump leading hilary nationally?
wasnt rassmussen the only poll to claim Romney would win in 2012? LOL!
Going Out on a Limb: Romney Beats Obama, Handily
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/political_commentary/commentary_by_michael_barone/going_out_on_a_limb_romney_beats_obama_handily
.
Looks like a dead heat.
Oh yeah! ::)
Oh yeah! ::)
Hillary looks like dog shit lately. The trend is definately moving more torwards Trump w this scandalfest w benghazi, the emails, the clinton cash, her disastrous health, etc
Hillary looks like dog shit lately. The trend is definately moving more torwards Trump w this scandalfest w benghazi, the emails, the clinton cash, her disastrous health, etc
You mad?
Nope. The game of politics is fun. ;)
No doubt. Her post-convention bounce is gone. I still think she is likely to win, but it's looking like it's going to be close.
Neither candidate has the required 270 electoral votes to win. Currently, this mostly hangs on those 122 toss up electoral votes.
Well it's nothing if not entertaining this cycle.
I think it is very interesting that Trump is as far behind in New Jersey and New York as he is. Do his "homies" know something that Texas doesn't?
That's a story by Michael Barone. You are incapable of telling the truth.
http://www.breitbart.com/big-government/2012/10/29/romney-rasmussen-win-election/
Oct 29, 2012 ;)
According to the latest Rasmussen state polls, Mitt Romney is in position to win the presidency; he should win at least 279 electoral votes. Romney leads in Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Colorado, and New Hampshire; Obama leads in Nevada. Wisconsin and Iowa are tied. Were Romney to win both Wisconsin and Iowa, he’d secure another 16 electoral votes, putting him at 295 electoral votes. By way of contrast, George W. Bush won 286 electoral votes in 2004.
I think it is very interesting that Trump is as far behind in New Jersey and New York as he is. Do his "homies" know something that Texas doesn't?
Trump went down to Mexico and faced the music like a Boss.
I look to see him gain 2 to 4 points off that move alone.
Meanwhile Hillary still hiding like a ghost.
So now you post a poll over a week before the election.
they were the only ones who predicted a romney win, right? ;)
And they're the only ones in RCP saying Trump is ahead right now? ;) ;)
I take nothing you say at face value.
RASS is the ONLY national poll that has Trump leading.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/president/
read it yourself. The only company that had Romney winning, is now the only one that has Trump winning. Oh, and they're the one Drudge and FOX always loves to quote, so it's worth it to them be wrong :)
Post the Rasmussen daily tracking poll the day before the November 2012 election.
And I just read for myself from the link posted. Six of the polls show a statistical tie.
I mean, really, you never tell the truth. lol . . . .
RASS is the ONLY national poll that has Trump leading.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/president/
read it yourself. The only company that had Romney winning, is now the only one that has Trump winning. Oh, and they're the one Drudge and FOX always loves to quote, so it's worth it to them be wrong :)
They announced it a week before the election. WHen everyone else had obama winning by a mile.
You can try to change it to "well, you can't PROVE they didn't change it back" but that's just silly.
Rass was quite wrong, quite late in the game... same as now ;)
Just checked the local newspaper while I was picking up milk and eggs for the missus.
They do a daily tracking poll. I don't remember what their daily tracking poll showed the day before the election. I suspect it doesn't support your dumb embellished point.
And the link you provided shows numerous polls with a statistical tie.
Did you go with the Eggland's best? I had them tonight, they really are better than regular eggs. Tasty!
Rass was super wrong about Romney winning. That's the bottom line.
The bottom line is you don't tell the truth. Like ever. Are you smart enough to realize citing a week-old daily tracking poll is problem? (Rhetorical question.)
Doubt it. NY and NJ are blue states through and through.
Trump went down to Mexico and faced the music like a Boss.
I look to see him gain 2 to 4 points off that move alone.
Meanwhile Hillary still hiding like a ghost.
Interdasting! Is it possible....?
Is what possible?
The rumor that Trump is still a democrat.
Were you expecting HRC to make cozy with Enrique Peña Nieto? Oh wait, she already has the Latino vote.
The rumor that Trump is still a democrat.
It doesn't bother you as a voter that she hasn't given a press conference in over a year?
That she only takes scripted questions?
Disappears for days on end.
It is so ridiculous...straight out of a a banana republic where the entire election process is a sham.
There was a time in this country where we expected clarity and answers out of our candidates but clearly that has left us.
As eccentric as Trump can be at times at least you can say the man steps up and goes through the process.
Who knows? He didn't become a Republican till last year.
What I don't get is that Trump and his supporters (even those on Getbig) claim the press is rigged in favor of HRC. If this is so, it begs the question, why does Trump still give press conferences. HRC has made no such claims. She doesn't need to because she's not catering to the media machine.
When was that time? I don't remember it. If we expected clarity (honest answers) and we believe we got them, we were very naive.
Bro you totally skipped the main issue of my question!
You were blessed to be raised in an era where the candidates DID have to face the media and COULD NOT run and hide.
And OF COURSE the media is in the pocket of the DNC. The fact that anybody would deny that in 2016 really blows my mind.
Has he explained his change of heart?
http://www.weeklystandard.com/cnnorc-poll-trump-more-favorable-than-clinton/article/2004174/?utm_medium=social&utm_source=facebook.com&utm_campaign=20160906_TWS-blog-cnnorc-poll-trump-more-favorable-than-clinton-5_facebook.com&utm_content=TWS
LMFAO - the only reason to vote Trump - which i will right now - is for the left wing meltdown
Did Clinton really say "I love War" this week?
If so... what a completely asinine thing to say.
PROPOSAL: One of Mr. Trump’s first commands after taking office will be asking the Joint Chiefs of Staff, and all relevant federal departments, to conduct a thorough review of United States cyber defenses and identify all vulnerabilities – in our power grid, our communications systems, and all vital infrastructure.
Remember what she said about Gadafi? hhhmmmmm?
Trump Calls Clinton ‘Trigger Happy,’ Lists Proposals to ‘Update and Upgrade’ Military
by ALEX SWOYER
7 Sep 2016
Washington, DC
Donald Trump is zeroing in on national security, foreign policy and America’s military.
During a speech in Philadelphia, the Republican blasted his rival Hillary Clinton — describing her record as “disqualifying.”
“In a Trump administration, our actions in the Middle East will be tempered by realism,” Trump stated, explaining that regime change produces radical terrorism. During his remarks at the Union League of Philadelphia he added, “we can make new friends, rebuild old alliances and bring new allies into the fold. I’m proud to have the support of war fighting generals.”
The Union League of Philadelphia has roughly 3,000 members, according to the Associated Press, and began in 1862 in support of President Abraham Lincoln and the Union.
Trump blasted his rival’s record as secretary of state on foreign policy and national security, saying he will be guided by “diplomacy, not destruction.”
“She’s trigger happy and very unstable,” the New Yorker stated of Clinton, also calling her “reckless” over her use of a personal server with classified emails during her time as secretary of state.
Trump criticized Clinton’s handling of Libya, Syria, ISIS and Iran. “What have we gotten from the horrible decisions made from President Obama and Secretary Clinton?” Trump questioned.
An NBC News|SurveyMonkey Weekly Election Tracking poll published early Wednesday showed that voters who currently serve in the military or previously served prefer Trump over Clinton by 19 points.
The Republican nominee laid out several proposals in a campaign press release ahead of his speech about how to “update and upgrade” the U.S. military.
The press release lists Trump’s 10 proposals:
PROPOSAL: Immediately after taking office, Mr. Trump will ask the generals to present a plan within 30 days to defeat and destroy ISIS.
PROPOSAL: Mr. Trump will ask Congress to fully eliminate the defense sequester and will submit a new budget to rebuild our military as soon as he assumes office.
PROPOSAL: Mr. Trump will build an active Army of around 540,000, as the Army’s chief of staff has said he needs.
PROPOSAL: Mr. Trump will build a Marine Corps based on 36 battalions, which the Heritage Foundation notes is the minimum needed to deal with major contingencies.
PROPOSAL: Mr. Trump will build a Navy approaching 350 surface ships and submarines, as recommended by the bipartisan National Defense Panel.
PROPOSAL: Mr. Trump will build an Air Force of at least 1,200 fighter aircraft, which the Heritage Foundation has shown to be needed to execute current missions.
PROPOSAL: Mr. Trump will seek to develop a state of the art missile defense system.
PROPOSAL: Mr. Trump will modernize our nation’s naval cruisers to provide Ballistic Missile Defense capabilities.
PROPOSAL: Mr. Trump will enforce all classification rules, and enforce all laws relating to the handling of classified information.
PROPOSAL: One of Mr. Trump’s first commands after taking office will be asking the Joint Chiefs of Staff, and all relevant federal departments, to conduct a thorough review of United States cyber defenses and identify all vulnerabilities – in our power grid, our communications systems, and all vital infrastructure.
NBC News is hosting Trump and Clinton in a Commander-in-Chief forum on Wednesday at 8 p.m. They will answer questions on military affairs, veterans issues and national security.
http://www.breitbart.com/2016-presidential-race/2016/09/07/trump-calls-clinton-trigger-happy-lists-proposals-update-upgrade-military/
Nothing? How does that work?
Having a hard time seeing how Trump doesn't extend his lead in the coming weeks.
Hillary is about to step right into his preferred environment, the debate stage.
The man is so quick on his feet when it comes to one on one confrontations.
She will be completely out of her element and exposed in a slugfest like that.
I hope to see Trump round-up people for questioning, from the last two administrations.
Having a hard time seeing how Trump doesn't extend his lead in the coming weeks.
Hillary is about to step right into his preferred environment, the debate stage.
The man is so quick on his feet when it comes to one on one confrontations.
She will be completely out of her element and exposed in a slugfest like that.
I agree he probably takes a bit of a lead in the coming weeks, if he continues what he has been doing the past couple weeks.
I agree he probably takes a bit of a lead in the coming weeks, if he continues what he has been doing the past couple weeks.
I also think this health thing has legs. I wonder what they will be shooting her up with before the debates to keep her from coughing, and whether it will dull her senses a bit?
Am I imagining it, or is Trump sharpening up as we close in? When's the last time he's said anything outrageous?
tonight.
Trump says he could tell his classified intel briefers aren't happy with Obama because of their body language.
Trump again praised Putin. If in 2008, Senator Barack Obama had praised Putin as a better President than the American, Republicans would have demanded he quit race.
Trump said undocumented immigrants can stay if they want to join the military.
Trump said "You know, it used to be to the victor belong the spoils. Now, there was no victor there, believe me. There was no victor. But I always said: Take the oil."
Trump says he could tell his classified intel briefers aren't happy with Obama because of their body language.
Trump again praised Putin. If in 2008, Senator Barack Obama had praised Putin as a better President than the American, Republicans would have demanded he quit race.
Trump said undocumented immigrants can stay if they want to join the military.
Trump said "You know, it used to be to the victor belong the spoils. Now, there was no victor there, believe me. There was no victor. But I always said: Take the oil."
Trump Calls Clinton ‘Trigger Happy,’ Lists Proposals to ‘Update and Upgrade’ Military
by ALEX SWOYER
7 Sep 2016
Washington, DC
Donald Trump is zeroing in on national security, foreign policy and America’s military.
During a speech in Philadelphia, the Republican blasted his rival Hillary Clinton — describing her record as “disqualifying.”
“In a Trump administration, our actions in the Middle East will be tempered by realism,” Trump stated, explaining that regime change produces radical terrorism. During his remarks at the Union League of Philadelphia he added, “we can make new friends, rebuild old alliances and bring new allies into the fold. I’m proud to have the support of war fighting generals.”
The Union League of Philadelphia has roughly 3,000 members, according to the Associated Press, and began in 1862 in support of President Abraham Lincoln and the Union.
Trump blasted his rival’s record as secretary of state on foreign policy and national security, saying he will be guided by “diplomacy, not destruction.”
“She’s trigger happy and very unstable,” the New Yorker stated of Clinton, also calling her “reckless” over her use of a personal server with classified emails during her time as secretary of state.
Trump criticized Clinton’s handling of Libya, Syria, ISIS and Iran. “What have we gotten from the horrible decisions made from President Obama and Secretary Clinton?” Trump questioned.
An NBC News|SurveyMonkey Weekly Election Tracking poll published early Wednesday showed that voters who currently serve in the military or previously served prefer Trump over Clinton by 19 points.
The Republican nominee laid out several proposals in a campaign press release ahead of his speech about how to “update and upgrade” the U.S. military.
The press release lists Trump’s 10 proposals:
PROPOSAL: Immediately after taking office, Mr. Trump will ask the generals to present a plan within 30 days to defeat and destroy ISIS.
PROPOSAL: Mr. Trump will ask Congress to fully eliminate the defense sequester and will submit a new budget to rebuild our military as soon as he assumes office.
PROPOSAL: Mr. Trump will build an active Army of around 540,000, as the Army’s chief of staff has said he needs.
PROPOSAL: Mr. Trump will build a Marine Corps based on 36 battalions, which the Heritage Foundation notes is the minimum needed to deal with major contingencies.
PROPOSAL: Mr. Trump will build a Navy approaching 350 surface ships and submarines, as recommended by the bipartisan National Defense Panel.
PROPOSAL: Mr. Trump will build an Air Force of at least 1,200 fighter aircraft, which the Heritage Foundation has shown to be needed to execute current missions.
PROPOSAL: Mr. Trump will seek to develop a state of the art missile defense system.
PROPOSAL: Mr. Trump will modernize our nation’s naval cruisers to provide Ballistic Missile Defense capabilities.
PROPOSAL: Mr. Trump will enforce all classification rules, and enforce all laws relating to the handling of classified information.
PROPOSAL: One of Mr. Trump’s first commands after taking office will be asking the Joint Chiefs of Staff, and all relevant federal departments, to conduct a thorough review of United States cyber defenses and identify all vulnerabilities – in our power grid, our communications systems, and all vital infrastructure.
NBC News is hosting Trump and Clinton in a Commander-in-Chief forum on Wednesday at 8 p.m. They will answer questions on military affairs, veterans issues and national security.
http://www.breitbart.com/2016-presidential-race/2016/09/07/trump-calls-clinton-trigger-happy-lists-proposals-update-upgrade-military/
PROPOSAL: One of Mr. Trump’s first commands after taking office will be asking the Joint Chiefs of Staff, and all relevant federal departments, to conduct a thorough review of United States cyber defenses and identify all vulnerabilities – in our power grid, our communications systems, and all vital infrastructure.
PROPOSAL: Immediately after taking office, Mr. Trump will ask the generals to present a plan within 30 days to defeat and destroy ISIS.
Am I imagining it, or is Trump sharpening up as we close in? When's the last time he's said anything outrageous?
Last night.
I've been thinking about this ever since reading it. If Trump isn't serious about the race, we sure wouldn't know it by these proposals.
Two points in particular, that imo give all reason necessary to want to see him in office:
The first one is something everyone should be very concerned about, because the threat has all the potential to destroy everything we love about our country as it kills people by the millions. And it remains unaddressed to any serious degree, which should piss-off every person here.
The second one involves putting everything ISIS-related on the table, and getting to the facts about who is doing what and how. Make it perfectly clear as to the best way to remove the potential from it, so we can get back to our lives without anyone being able to use it as an excuse to impose and intrude on us.
Straight away, these things tell us he wants to end the game that's been played for the past two administrations. It also says someone very aware and in-tune is advising him, and that he's listening to that advice.
If Trump is or will listen to advice, It will be a complete reversal of what he's done up to now. I don't buy it.
Are the General's who he expects to come up with a game plan in 30 day's the same one's he said were in ruins. As for taking their advice, he said he would do that only if he liked it.
"The average undecided voter is getting snippets of news from television personalities like [Matt] Lauer, who are failing to convey the fact that the election pits a normal politician with normal political failings against an ignorant, bigoted, pathologically dishonest authoritarian."
Another packed house for Hillary in a city that has 2.4 million people... Great turnout. High energy!
(https://i.sli.mg/cqmCvI.jpg)
She is a pos - its only a few blacks, old white libs like prime, feminist bra burners, and commies in the media supporting her
This is a lot worse than Romney's 47 percent comments. Let's see how much traction they get.
Yes. Insulting racist pricks is way worse than insulting welfare moms and seniors on social security.
Yes. Insulting racist pricks is way worse than insulting welfare moms and seniors on social security.
Don't you ever get tired of being a water carrying liberal lapdog? Rhetorical question.
let me guess, you are personally offended by hilary insulting racists? Come on. This one is easy. They are looking to be offended. It wasn't half, but it was some %.
A % of hilary supporters are alsodeplorabledeportable racists.
let me guess, you are personally offended by hilary insulting racists? Come on. This one is easy. They are looking to be offended. It wasn't half, but it was some %.
A % of hilary supporters are also deplorable racists.
You don't need to guess. I called you a water carrying liberal lapdog. I thought that was pretty clear.
you're just being deplorable, my friend.
CNN: Hillary's Odds of Winning Drop to 58 Percent After Health Scare
Once it hits 49%, Biden takes over.
Nobody is taking over unless she wants them to.
They cannot force her to leave and from her behavior yesterday post-fall, she isn't going anywhere.
Sanders 18 - 1 (had held 40 - 1, until early this morning)
without the shit DNC rules, Bernie likely wins this election. He had the same crazy support that obama had in 2008.
imagine the brekaing headlines if the DNC/hilary reached an agreement of "Bernie/Warren ticket announced". Would be the story of the year.
Trump could call her "pochahontas" and "commie" all he wants - he'd plummet in polls.
Hate to break it to you, but the VP Kaine will stay in place. Look at the DNC bylaws
yeah, didn't he used to be a DNC chair? it may be the case. Maybe not tho... goodness knows the backroom deals they make.
If Bernie is chosen as prez nominee, and bernie wants warren or biden... it will happen.
LOL @ any suggestion the DNC cares about laws or rules.
NBC Poll: Trump Cuts Clinton's Lead to 4 Points
And yet we are supposed to believe Hillary is winning simply because 240 said so?
No thanks, I'll stick to the poll results.
Romney peaked in late september, right after debate #1. Took 51% lead in Intrade. Careful celebrating.
Romney peaked in late september, right after debate #1. Took 51% lead in Intrade. Careful celebrating.
The problem is Ofagget was a incumbent POTUS and loved campaigning etc. Hillshitbag is collapsing all over the place, a train wreck of a human, corrupt, fat, ugly, and a horrible person.
The problem is Ofagget was a incumbent POTUS and loved campaigning etc. Hillshitbag is collapsing all over the place, a train wreck of a human, corrupt, fat, ugly, and a horrible person.
You still looking to pull the lever for Gary Johnson?
Has Trump's more focused campaign done anything to sway your ballot plans come November?
I'm voting for Trump at this point.
I'm voting for Trump at this point.
http://www.cnbc.com/2016/09/15/a-brutal-new-batch-of-polls-for-clinton-shows-trump-winning-in-several-swing-states.html?_source=Facebook
libs in sheer panic - 240 included
libs in sheer panic - 240 included
Clinton still has a 68.9 percent chance of winning, but that is down from 87 percent one month ago.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/
Freefall. Down to 60.3 percent in three days.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/
I remember when romney got up to 51% in 2012. We're still cleaning up confetti from his victory parade.
http://www.suicidepreventionlifeline.org
Freefall. Down to 60.3 percent in three days.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/
Oh, Trump is peaking right now. He peaked on sept 5th but then hillary's parkinson's showed up.
Wait - you're one of those lukewarm moderate RINOs that won't say she's sick with Parkinsons, let me guess!
I think you are dead wrong - there are legions of people like myself who have been wishy washy who now are moving over to Trump - he is only going to gain now against your Dream Queen Hillcunt
well, Trump has achieved the same high in the polls that he had on July 10th, 2016.
He has not broken any new ground that he didn't have this summer... even with hilary having email woes and a freaking stroke in front of the world. He's just as high as he was when Bernie was shitting on hilary - and he's done everything right.
Will hilary keep doing everything wrong and having seizeures for the camera? Will trump go back to being disciplined, not the cocky drama crap he's done for the past 2 days? If I was a betting man, I'd have to put a nickel on trump peaking in the next few days, just like he did on Sept 5th... and then hilary slowly rebuilds, capped with her looking wise and trump looking silly at the debate.
Remember... Trump doesn't want ot answer tough Qs at the debates. He's starting fights with moderator and already said he wants NO MODERATOR... he wants to just stand there bloviating.
He's gonna be asked what happens to world treaties, agreements, and int'l law when he just 'takes the oil'.... and the US is nothing more than a colonial enterprise at that point.
and that's when it all starts falling down - when people realize his grasp of actual presidential duties is 7th grade logic. "take their oil". lol!
All trump has to do is not call hillary a fat F AND a girl to her face at the debate and he wins at this point.
Poll finds Clinton, Trump virtually tied in Florida
I remember when Mccain and Romney both held 7 point leads over Obama in the Sunshine State.
People want to vote for him - he just needs to stay on course and not make any more stupid mistakes.
Most people DETEST that pos granny CUNTLINTON
even her supporters just fear trump worse.
the debates will tell all. IF she can stand for 2 hours without showing any medical issues, she will outperform trump and win this election.
IF she is shaky, falls, shows side effects, or craps herself onstage, then she will be done, and the DNC will force her out.
obama pauses elections, maybe, or they just reprint ballots... and Biden/Warren literally sodomized Trump at the ballots - because while dems are currently voting against trump while hodling their nose for hilary, they will EMBRACE a chance to vote for Biden and the faux indian.
Warren has been high profile lately, doing all the shows... taking on CEOs. She wants to be fresh in everyone's mind if hilary faints onstage on monday.
So an executive order by Obama to change the ticket? Because the deadline to change the ticket, by law, in all states is by the end of the month. The deadline has passed in a lot of states already.
Down to 57.3. :o
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/#now
Intrade had Romney at 51% chance to win after obama's terrible debate #1 performance in 2012.
Trump within the Margin of Error in New fucking Jersey.
tonight, Trump loses this election.
Tonight, only 1 of 2 things can happen.
hilary comes out doing handstands, medicated and laughing off conspiracies about her health. She's vibrant, cracking jokes, and the media narrative tomorrow is "HIlary creams Donald". Trump, for his part, talks about his junk size, bill's affairs, and has unrealistic answers on many military things. The narrative is "this is when Hilary turned it around". Remember, trump hasn't done anything he didn't have in July - only hilary has LOSt support since then.
OR
Hilary sucks. She's sick and weak and is exposed. And then Trump has to run against biden. And SC, I think you would agree - biden eats trump's mothertrucking lunch. Biden smashes him. Hilary is an old lady with disease who collapses on 911 and can't walk steps without diaper duty... but she's STILL tied with trump. A freshly rested Biden is quick as shit mentally - he will pummel the donald.
i'm still betting she does what she does with the benghazi trial - come out vibrant and medicated - but who knows.
you are so begging for Hillary to do well - just admit it
Will Hilldawg be wearing her Dragonball Z scouter glasses for this debate? I wouldn't see a necessary reason for her to wear glasses to a debate other than to prevent a seizure.
Down to 56.8.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=2016-senate-forecast
FiveThirtyEight: Trump would win if election were held today
By Neetzan Zimmerman
September 26, 2016
Donald Trump would beat Hillary Clinton if votes for president were cast today, according to the election results predictor designed by top pollster Nate Silver.
FiveThirtyEight’s “now-cast” model is giving Trump a nearly 10-point edge over Clinton in response to the question, “Who would win the presidency today?”
Silver previously gave the Republican presidential nominee a sizable advantage over his Democratic rival in late July, following the Republican National Convention.
Today’s prediction comes just hours before the crucial first presidential debate.
Clinton, the Democratic nominee, still holds the lead in FiveThirtyEight’s two other predictive models: polls-plus forecast and polls-only forecast.
There is a new policy in 2016 that qualifies homeowners who live in specific zip codes to be eligible for $1,000's of dollars in Government funding to install solar Read More
In both models she leads by a narrow margin of 3.6 percentage points.
The website's electoral map graphic appears to show Clinton winning over 270 electoral votes in all three models, though in its calculation of total electoral votes won by each nominee, Trump receives 275.9 votes to Clinton's 261.9.
http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/presidential-races/297770-fivethirtyeight-trump-would-win-if-elections-were-held
(http://media.breitbart.com/media/2016/09/Clinton-Trump-2016-Electoral-Map-Trump-Wins-420x315.jpg)
Only down -1 in PA to Clinton.
Judging from residence outside of Philly, Trump should be winning. They are saying Trump signs/support everywhere, except Philly. :D
Hillary denied saying the TPP is the "Gold Standard" in the Debte last night:
Hillary Clinton Praises TPP As “Gold Standard In Free Trade Agreements”
She denied that she said exactly this. She just told a bold faced lie to MILLIONS of Americans.
LA Times: Trump 46, Clinton 42, 2673 respondents.
http://www.latimes.com/politics/
Nothing new here. The L.A. Times has had Trump in the lead since day one. The L.A. Times is the outlier.
The LA Times hasn't had Trump in the lead, but they do self admit that their poll is right leaning. So they expect it to pull for Trump more so than other polls.
They wrote a big thing on why.
Pretty big nationwide sample, so not sure how it is "right leaning," unless they have a disproportionate number of conservative and/or Republican respondents.They have stated it probably is because...
They have stated it probably is because...
http://www.latimes.com/politics/la-na-pol-polling-differences-20160809-snap-story.html
Typically, polls ask people which candidate they favor or lean toward. Those who say they don’t know or are undecided don’t get factored into calculations of candidate support.
The Daybreak poll, by contrast, asks voters, using a 0-to-100 scale, to rate their chances of voting for Clinton, for Trump or for some other candidate. As a result, everyone who responds to the survey has some impact on the results. Because that approach gathers information from everyone in the poll sample, it should give a better read on the many voters who remain ambivalent about their choices.
Using the 0-to-100 scale, however, almost certainly makes the Daybreak poll differ somewhat from other surveys. As with the bounce, any difference that results should shrink as election day gets closer and voters become more certain of their choices.
Finally, some analysts think the Daybreak poll is slightly tilted toward the Republican side because of how it accounts for the way people voted in the last election.
All pollsters weight their results somewhat to make sure their samples match known demographics — the right proportions of men and women, for example, or blacks, whites and Latinos.
The Daybreak poll goes a step further and weights the sample to account for how people say they voted in 2012: It’s set so that 25% of the sample are voters who say they cast a ballot for Mitt Romney and 27% for President Obama. The rest are either too young to have voted four years ago or say they didn’t vote.
The potential problem is that people tend to fib about how they voted. Polls have often found that the percentage of people who say after an election that they voted for the winner exceeds the winner’s actual vote.
If that’s the case this year, then weighting for the vote history would result in slightly too many Republican voters in the sample, which would probably boost Trump’s standing by a point or two.
Pretty big nationwide sample, so not sure how it is "right leaning," unless they have a disproportionate number of conservative and/or Republican respondents.
Thanks. They don't admit their poll is right leaning. They say "some analysts" think it might be. Their own conclusion is that the way they weight the poll might give Trump a 1 or 2 point boost. Not enough to discredit the poll IMO.
Different subject, I had a discussion with someone who works for the Hillary campaign yesterday and used the Koch line about not wanting to choose between cancer and a heart attack and that I was voting for Gary Johnson. This lady then called me stupid, racist, and sexist. I was literally laughing out loud. Some real true believers out there.
Thanks. They don't admit their poll is right leaning. They say "some analysts" think it might be. Their own conclusion is that the way they weight the poll might give Trump a 1 or 2 point boost. Not enough to discredit the poll IMO.
Different subject, I had a discussion with someone who works for the Hillary campaign yesterday and used the Koch line about not wanting to choose between cancer and a heart attack and that I was voting for Gary Johnson. This lady then called me stupid, racist, and sexist. I was literally laughing out loud. Some real true believers out there.
Poll: Hillary Clinton has the edge among people planning to skip election
http://www.cbsnews.com/news/poll-hillary-clinton-has-the-edge-among-people-planning-to-skip-election/ (http://www.cbsnews.com/news/poll-hillary-clinton-has-the-edge-among-people-planning-to-skip-election/)
Hillary Clinton has the edge among people who aren’t planning to vote in November’s election, according to a new Bloomberg Politics national poll.
The survey found 38 people of people not intending to vote support Clinton while 27 percent of them back Donald Trump if they decided to cast a ballot.
Clinton could also benefit if they can convince more non-white voters to turn out to the polls 40 days from now, the poll shows.
??? :D
more bad news for 240..
I dont think I can vote for anyone in this election. Johnson gets stupider every day. Hilary and Trump are the same thing.
Down to 51.8 percent. :o
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=2016-senate-forecast
tonight, Trump loses this election.
hilary comes out doing handstands, medicated and laughing off conspiracies about her health. She's vibrant, cracking jokes, and the media narrative tomorrow is "HIlary creams Donald". Trump, for his part, talks about his junk size, bill's affairs, and has unrealistic answers on many military things. The narrative is "this is when Hilary turned it around". Remember, trump hasn't done anything he didn't have in July - only hilary has LOSt support since then.
i'm still betting she does what she does with the benghazi trial - come out vibrant and medicated - but who knows.
No they haven't. If you actually click the link it shows when Clinton was ahead.
more bad news for 240..
I dont think I can vote for anyone in this election. Johnson gets stupider every day. Hilary and Trump are the same thing.
Democrats have used huge "get out the vote" strategies in past elections. Look for this to happen soon as some states are already in the early voting process.
http://www.nbcnews.com/video/doctor-links-low-t-to-men-who-vote-for-clinton-776496707663 (http://www.nbcnews.com/video/doctor-links-low-t-to-men-who-vote-for-clinton-776496707663)
Trump is surging ahead in the early voting in Florida.
Trump is surging ahead in the early voting in Florida.
Oct 24–Nov 6 is florida early voting. and...
http://www.cbsnews.com/news/early-voting-surge-benefits-hillary-clinton/
Early voting surge benefits Hillary Clinton
WASHINGTON -- More people are seeking or casting early ballots in the critical states of North Carolina and Florida than at this point in 2012, with Hillary Clinton the likely beneficiary, as early voting shows signs of surging nationwide.
Clinton may also benefit from an increase in ballot requests in Georgia, a traditionally Republican state where Democrats have made inroads. But Donald Trump is showing signs of strength in Iowa and parts of Maine, states won by Barack Obama in the last two presidential elections.
The latest snapshot of ballot data offers a glimpse into a key question: How much of a vote advantage can Clinton run up before Nov. 8, when more Republicans tend to vote?
There are two types of early voting: mailing in ballots and voting in-person before election day. Traditionally, Republicans have done better initially with early mail-in ballots, but Democrats surpass them once in-person voting begins.
While the ballot sample to date remains small, Clinton so far is hitting guideposts in several battleground states compared to 2008 and 2012.
Way to go FBI! :D
(https://i.sli.mg/BjlbeJ.jpg)
https://judiciary.house.gov/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/100316_Goodlatte-Letter-to-AG-Lynch.pdf (https://judiciary.house.gov/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/100316_Goodlatte-Letter-to-AG-Lynch.pdf)
^^ Wow! Hillary is pretty fucking gangster! Trump better be careful messing about with her... She may come back for unfinished business after she steals the election, which I believe she will (and hope she does).
http://googleweblight.com/?lite_url=http://www.upi.com/Top_News/US/2016/10/03/UPICVoter-poll-Donald-Trump-leads-Hillary-Clinton-by-25-points/9051475504225/&s=1&f=1&ts=1475536409&sig=AKOVD67qliVoVFUEj3mNrAx7ZyFErUSElA
http://googleweblight.com/?lite_url=http://www.upi.com/Top_News/US/2016/10/03/UPICVoter-poll-Donald-Trump-leads-Hillary-Clinton-by-25-points/9051475504225/&s=1&f=1&ts=1475536409&sig=AKOVD67qliVoVFUEj3mNrAx7ZyFErUSElA
You likely spent some time and energy finding anything that puts Trump ahead in the general election besides the L.A. Times.
It took me about 3 seconds. It's on the drudge report
http://googleweblight.com/?lite_url=http://smartestapple.com/thereport&f=1&s=1&source=wax
Up to 63.7 percent. Huge post debate bump.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=2016-forecast-analysis
Reuters/Ipsos shows Trump up in Colorado and Nevada, tied in Wisconsin and Michigan
The Reuters/Ipsos polls have some good news for Trump on both sides of the equation. In both Nevada and Colorado, their most recent finding shows Trump two points up. Trump is leading 44 to 42 in Nevada and 45 to 43 in Colorado.
Trump is also drawing to a tie in Wisconsin and Michigan in the latest Reuters/Ipsos polling. In Wisconsin the two candidates are tied at 42. In Michigan they each pull 39%.
It appears that you are misinformed. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/co/colorado_trump_vs_clinton_vs_johnson_vs_stein-5974.html (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/co/colorado_trump_vs_clinton_vs_johnson_vs_stein-5974.html)
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/nv/nevada_trump_vs_clinton_vs_johnson-6004.html (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/nv/nevada_trump_vs_clinton_vs_johnson-6004.html)
???
This poll was literally just released. Take it up with Reuters.
Only 125 People Turn Out for Chelsea Clinton in IowaI agree with Chelsea with regards to not wanting to live in the U.S. where, if elected, Donald Trump continues demeaning much of the citizenry. Odds are he won't win the Presidency, but anything is possible. If elected, he will probably be impeached or assassinated within a year, once the public discovers he is completely inept and that his many promises were just a bunch of lies.
Breitbart ^ | 6 Oct 2016 | DUSTIN STOCKTON
Posted on 10/6/2016, 10:25:46 AM by mandaladon
A small crowd greeted Democrat nominee Hillary Clinton’s daughter Chelsea at a campaign stop in Sioux City, Iowa on Tuesday. At the Orpheum theater, Chelsea defended her mother and attacked Republican Presidential nominee Donald Trump to a crowd reported to include just 125 people. Chelsea Clinton told those in attendance that she doesn’t want to live in a country with what she called the “demeaning speak” of Trump.
“The demeaning speak against Americans with disabilities, against women, against minorities, against Muslims, against immigrants, against our veterans, against a gold-star family,” Clinton said. “None of that is the country that I want to live in and it’s certainly not the country that I want my children, our children, and our grandchildren to grow up in.”
(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...
I agree with Chelsea with regards to not wanting to live in the U.S. where, if elected, Donald Trump continues demeaning much of the citizenry. Odds are he won't win the Presidency, but anything is possible. If elected, he will probably be impeached or assassinated within a year, once the public discovers he is completely inept and that his many promises were just a bunch of lies.
He has definitely demeaned a lot of people.
How many Americans are in Clinton's basket of deplorables?
Likely quite a few. However, she hasn't been so dumb as to announce who they may be in her campaign speeches and recent debates.
How many Americans are in Clinton's basket of deplorables?
Racists, sexists, homophobes, and xenophobes.
I don't get why anyone would want to wear a t-shirt proudly claiming to be one of these.
Anyone wearing a deplorables shirt kinda loses the ability to bitch about it.
Hillary did actually announce who they were, twice: racists, sexists, homophobes, and xenophobes.
Racists, sexists, homophobes, and xenophobes.
I don't get why anyone would want to wear a t-shirt proudly claiming to be one of these.
I'm with her then since I also find this line of thinking deplorable.
I'm with her then since I also find this line of thinking deplorable.
I'm with her then since I also find this line of thinking deplorable.
You think half of Trump's supporters are racist, sexist, homophobic, and/or xenophobic?
I have a few of those phobes lol... not the the bad ones tho.
Grown ass adults saying they are with Hillary. Check you damn T levels. Christ how pathetic
Some grown ass adults like you, fear her. She will take you down in a nano second. Only men lacking in testosterone, balls if you will fear strong women. Others embrace them.
Maybe more. These are all the things he is. It would follow that his supporters agree with him.
Could you enlighten me as to what you think the good ones are?
well I wouldn't say I'm scared or have true phobias about people... but think radical muslims need to be wiped off the planet.. BLM(the group) is a joke.... ILLEGAL immigrants are a problem.... I think the lgbtq group is over exposed and given way to much publicity for nothing(being gay or whatever you want to be should not be in the forefront of almost everything they participate in, sexual practices shouldn't be that big of a deal anymore, to anyone).. ... this whole liberal mindset is just comical as well, along with all the political correctness in this country.
Like I said in the other thread, I hope Hillary wins. Lets 550% more Muslims enter the country, and they end up stoning your creepy, old ass.
You'll get culturally enriched. You're so fucking tolerant. :D
Lmfao. I don't fear her. I hate her. She is a criminal and a crook. She has a lot of blood on her hands. She is a girl and liar and POS
"She is a girl". Isn't that obvious? Do you have a problem with "girls"?
My prediction: Monday morning the RNC will meet and concede the presidency to Clinton, and focus all resources on the Senate and House. However, this will piss off the alt-right who will then stay home on election day.
Like I said in the other thread, I hope Hillary wins. Lets 550% more Muslims enter the country, and they end up stoning your creepy, old ass.
You'll get culturally enriched. You're so fucking tolerant. :D
My prediction: Monday morning the RNC will meet and concede the presidency to Clinton, and focus all resources on the Senate and House. However, this will piss off the alt-right who will then stay home on election day.
Up to 72.8 percent.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=2016-senate-forecast
Frank Luntz: Tonight Was So Significant That Trump ‘Is Back in This Race’
by Jeff Poor
9 Oct 2016
Sunday after the second presidential debate on the Fox News Channel, following a segment featuring responses from a focus group he conducted, pollster Frank Luntz declared that although he had his doubts prior to Sunday’s debate, based his focus group Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump was “back” in the race.
“Megyn, this is the first time of the three debates that there has been any genuine movement,” Luntz said. “And I have to be — I have to acknowledge something here — I thought it was all over for Donald Trump. And when these people walked in here, I was pretty sure of it. Based on their response and I hope to bring some more of it to you in the show, I have to change my mind. I actually think tonight was so significant that he is back in this race.”
http://www.breitbart.com/video/2016/10/09/frank-luntz-tonight-was-so-significant-that-trump-is-back-in-this-race/
C U N T
Up to 82.2 percent.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=2016-forecast-analysis
Up to 87 percent.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=2016-forecast-analysis
I'm in NYC. Whenever a radio station news report mentions a poll, it's always the one that has Hillary winning by the widest margin. Ya think this is an accident?
I'm in NYC. Whenever a radio station news report mentions a poll, it's always the one that has Hillary winning by the widest margin. Ya think this is an accident?
I think....what's the point?
Ultimately, it matters not which polls anyone choose to believe, the person who gets to most electoral votes on Tuesday November 8th wins the Presidency.
:o
Trump Leads Clinton By 1 Point Going Into Debate — IBD/TIPP Poll
JOHN MERLINE
(http://www.investors.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/101916_IBDTIPP_Poll.jpg)
After more than a week of blistering attacks from Democrats, celebrities and the press, Donald Trump has managed to pull ahead of Hillary Clinton by a 1.3 percentage point margin — 41.3% to 40% — in a four-way matchup, according to the new IBD/TIPP poll released today.
Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson got 7.6% and Green Party candidate Jill Stein got 5.5%. The results are the first in the IBD/TIPP presidential tracking poll. Daily updates start Thursday and will continue until the election.
. . . .
http://www.investors.com/politics/trump-leads-clinton-by-one-point-going-into-debate-in-ibdtipp-tracking-poll/
Reminiscent of Reagan in 80.
Wasn't he down til the very end and then started to surge?
Reminiscent of Reagan in 80.
Wasn't he down til the very end and then started to surge?
The point is that the MSM is using polls to discourage voters from voting against their candidate.
Isn't it unfortunate that some folks can't think for themselves? -Sheep, all of them. This is almost as dumb as not voting and then complaining about the end results.
Just for the record, I'll be voting for HRC, not that this is any big revelation since most of you figured this out already. IMO, Trump claims he offers change with nothing to back that up. Ignorance isn't an attribute anyone should want in a president. He is politically clueless, emotionally unstable, and worst of all, a megalomaniac. If HRC lies, at least she is intelligent enough to understand what she is lying about.
One would think an enlightened progressive like you would be a bit disturbed that the media in this country is no different than the Pravda in the old Soviet Union.
Not a bit.
(https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/8o91ks4ix_ZEw96GfYdf-AI5Mu1I4zqH1Xf4vfMW1yJXw-WbK_LqkhePM8rp_Fy87Umohb5czMwjbLE8O6i_WwrM_H4xfIE-KUwNf1ajpJxOM7zx9cT69xDsVJKmGmSNG-xOVMU0)
Reagan trailed Carter in October 1980.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Historical_polling_for_U.S._Presidential_elections#United_States_presidential_election.2C_1980
Just saying, this is what it looks like from the polls at the time.
From that Wikipedia article.
The continuing hostage crisis and the poor economy hurt Carter, and the prospect John B. Anderson running as an independent appealed to around 20% of Americans who saw Carter as a lesser evil to Reagan. As a result, Anderson took a third of Carter's support in the spring, but did not seem to hurt Reagan, despite Anderson being a Republican. Carter would never recover this loss of support, while Reagan would end up peeling around two-thirds of initial Anderson voters. This race remained close until near the end, when Reagan asked Americans if they were better off than they were four years ago. Afterwards Reagan managed to win a huge landslide victory in the general election.[15]
Not a bit.
(https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/8o91ks4ix_ZEw96GfYdf-AI5Mu1I4zqH1Xf4vfMW1yJXw-WbK_LqkhePM8rp_Fy87Umohb5czMwjbLE8O6i_WwrM_H4xfIE-KUwNf1ajpJxOM7zx9cT69xDsVJKmGmSNG-xOVMU0)
Go run off and play your Nintendo or something.
Leave us be. The adults are speaking.
Nate Silver is an ugly piece of shit. And I'd gladly go to jail for some time just to beat the ever living shit out of his smug little face.
That may be true, but are the numbers wrong?
I was like 5 during that election, so I certainly have no basis to say that the "feel" of the campaign was one way or the other.
I can only find data.
Data > opinion.
I posted this before.
Everyone ignored it.
The continuing hostage crisis and the poor economy hurt Carter, and the prospect John B. Anderson running as an independent appealed to around 20% of Americans who saw Carter as a lesser evil to Reagan. As a result, Anderson took a third of Carter's support in the spring, but did not seem to hurt Reagan, despite Anderson being a Republican. Carter would never recover this loss of support, while Reagan would end up peeling around two-thirds of initial Anderson voters.
Does this exist in today's election?
I contend the circumstances are not the same as 1980.
I will play my Nintendo. My PS4 and my Xbox One and my PC too.
Are you offended by the graph? I didn't make it, I believe it's from Nate Silver's site.
Why does presenting a graph make me not an adult? Are you upset I haven't sent you a battlefield 1 code?
You only need to ask.
The fact is Reagan was down by 6% at one month out.
And there again just like I was telling 240....a tightening race with the Republican eventually pulling away after a strong final debate performance.
"Not a bit"?
No similarities whatsoever?
And I pretty much hold onto every bit of video game knowledge you've posted on here like it's Gospel even though I don't play a tenth as much as I did in my teens. Usually I'll get hyped up big time for a new, highly rated game, spend a couple weeks on it then it begins to collect dust.
It's still interesting to read about all the improvements and current trends in the industry.
Is that true?
In how many polls?
One? Two? Ten?
The graph I showed has the outlier but it shows median was higher for Reagan. That's all I'm saying. If it ends up like 1980, more power to you, but I don't see the situation as similar.
The difference the high amount of support that the 3rd party took away and then gave back to Reagan.
I'm saying that from an overall election, they are not the same.
The graph shows what it shows.
Is it a lie?
Well since you seem dead set on over analyzing my offhanded comment...
I simply stated that Trump's campaign was "reminiscent of Reagan in 1980"
reminiscent definition = adj. awaking memories of something similar
There is similarity. Eccentric Republican candidate polls closely until a strong final debate then pulls away.
Then you come in from out of nowhere like a wannabe hardass...."Not at all" ::)
I realize gamers are notorious for ingesting massive amounts of adrenaline fatiguing liquids such as Mountain Dew during marathon sessions which can make you a little cantankerous at times but seriously bro, you need to calm down. :D
First, let me say that I'm sorry for the inference that I was trying to be a hard ass... I was not.
So for that, if you took it negatively, I sincerely apologize, it was not my intent.
I was just showing where the polling numbers did not equate to the similarity in my mind. According to the poll averages on the days in question, if they are accurate, show where Reagan had a huge bump after his convention and Carter "didn't recover".
I do not feel that I am overly (or even a little) excited about this election.
As I've said before, I was so young in 1980 that I certainly do not know anything about the tone of the election at the time, nor do I claim to have a grasp of it.
I am just using the data I see.
If the data has been manipulated, then that's sad.
My candidate will surely not win, but if we can make some strides into breaking the two party system, I will, at that point, be overjoyed.
Nate Silver is an ugly piece of shit. And I'd gladly go to jail for some time just to beat the ever living shit out of his smug little face.
And there again just like I was telling 240....a tightening race with the Republican eventually pulling away after a strong final debate performance.
"Not a bit"?
No similarities whatsoever?
And I pretty much hold onto every bit of video game knowledge you've posted on here like it's Gospel even though I don't play a tenth as much as I did in my teens. Usually I'll get hyped up big time for a new, highly rated game, spend a couple weeks on it then it begins to collect dust.
It's still interesting to read about all the improvements and current trends in the industry.
November 9 is going to be a dark day in America. One one hand, if Hillary wins the millions of irredeemable deplorables are going to be ready to revolt. On the other hand, if Hillary wins the millions of Trump haters will be frothing at the mouth (even more than they are now). Either way, further divisiveness and polarization is coming.
Too much doom and gloom. This election is a total circus. Usually people feel pretty "up" after the circus.
I don't see how Hillary and/or Trump voters (depending on who wins) are going to feel "up." I will be very surprised if those supporters embrace the winner.
Exciting times. In just over a month we're going to have the first female president of the USA.
Just think about it, we're living in a time where arguably the 3 greatest super powers in the world, Germany, UK and USA are all run by women!
Exciting times indeed!
Exciting times. In just over a month we're going to have the first female president of the USA.
Just think about it, we're living in a time where arguably the 3 greatest super powers in the world, Germany, UK and USA are all run by women!
Exciting times indeed!
Just over a month? I guess you mean November 28th.
Actually, HRC won't be inaugurated until January 20th, 2017.
And as HRC put it at the recent Roast, if she wins she will be the youngest U.S. woman president in history.....being that she will also be the first.
Who gives a flying crap ? Honestly. All this tokenism is for morons.
Didn't you vote Obama during his first election?
(https://i.redd.it/0h1br9vy3utx.jpg)
Love it! After over 30 years in public service HRC, has an impressive machine supporting her both leading up to election day and after. How effective it will be if congress is dominated by Republican's remains to be seen.
-Looks like Trump is waiting to be crushed in the cartoon.....does this reflect how he feels just two weeks before election day?
"impressive" isn't the word that most would use to describe the Clinton Machine.
:D :D :D :D :D
(https://i.sli.mg/BfcMXv.jpg)
Up to 88 percent.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=2016-forecast-analysis
Holy Crap!!!
www.thegatewaypundit.com/2016/11/whoa-sounds-like-chris-matthews-just-endorsed-trump-video
Will be VERY interesting to see if Obammer keeps his date with the Hill campaign trail in Ohio today.
Hill calling Huma just "one of her staffers" now.
Down to 75.6 percent.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=2016-senate-forecast
:D :D :D :D :D
(https://i.sli.mg/BfcMXv.jpg)
(http://23.media.tumblr.com/e92708584a0604aa609befa127a93048/tumblr_o35wtaiOPp1slqt1mo1_1280.jpg)I hate Beck. Doesn't make any sense anymore. Seems like he is getting paid to be a so-called conservative to sway voters who think he still is.
I hate Beck. Doesn't make any sense anymore. Seems like he is getting paid to be a so-called conservative to sway voters who think he still is.
This is all about the Globalists leading the stupid and ignorant down the wrong road. That would be Hillary supporters. What the stupid and ignorant believe to be "bipartisan effort" has now been revealed as a much deeper work of cooperation.
(https://i.sli.mg/yH5yxC.jpg)
Trump called it
The truth is if it were not for Trump taking out Jeb early on, we would have Bush vs Clinton right now, 2 globalist.
Time to drain the swamp!
91 Percent of Last-Minute Bets Are For Trump, Paddy Power Says
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-11-02/91-percent-of-last-minute-bets-are-for-trump-paddy-power-says (http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-11-02/91-percent-of-last-minute-bets-are-for-trump-paddy-power-says)
Down to 71.0 percent.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=2016-forecast-analysis
The fire rises...
#Michigan, :o :o :o
New Strategic National (R) Poll:
Clinton 45 (+1)
Trump 44
Johnson 5
https://twitter.com/PpollingNumbers/status/793841133080240129 (https://twitter.com/PpollingNumbers/status/793841133080240129)
This Just In: Paul Ryan Voted for Donald Trump
Zach Montanaro | November 1, 2016
To put it midly, House Speaker Paul Ryan and Donald Trump have had a testy relationship since the billionaire businessman became the Republican nominee. On Tuesday, however, Ryan showed he didn’t let the back-and-forth get in his way of voting for Trump.
“I stand where I stood all fall and all summer. In fact, I already voted here in Janesville for our nominee last week in early voting,” the Speaker revealed in an interview with Fox and Friends.
“I'm supporting our entire Republican ticket," he added. "I have been all along. My focus personally right now is saving our House majority.”
FOX & Friends
✔ @foxandfriends
.@SpeakerRyan: I voted for Donald Trump last week in early voting.
2:51 AM - 1 Nov 2016
Ryan’s revelation comes as some former GOP presidential contenders have stepped forward and publically stated that they wouldn’t vote for Trump. Ohio Gov. John Kasich, for example, recently stated that he wrote in Arizona Sen. John McCain's name when he voted absentee, a move that's drawn the dissatisfaction of other Republicans.
Rick Santorum, another presidential hopeful, scolded Kasich for his vote by pointing out that he signed a pledge to support the eventual nominee, whoever it was.
“You can't say a man who's not going to keep his word is someone that frankly, should be paid attention to when it comes to how he's going to vote,” Santorum said.
http://www.mrctv.org/blog/
Whoa. Is Michigan really in play? :o If he takes Michigan, Florida, and North Carolina it's definitely over.
Hell he's even currently polling ahead in VA.He's up 48% to 39% among 257 Virginians interviewed during the 3 days after the last news broke.
http://news.hamptonu.edu/release/Hampton-University%27s-CPP-Latest-Poll-Shows-VA-Voter-Shift-from-Clinton-to-Trump-Post-Email-Investigation?a=1 (http://news.hamptonu.edu/release/Hampton-University%27s-CPP-Latest-Poll-Shows-VA-Voter-Shift-from-Clinton-to-Trump-Post-Email-Investigation?a=1)
Yes. Not at my cpu, but a poll came out in Penn having hillary +4. That same poll was weighted Dem +12. No lie. He's trending upward to a point that the polls can't hide it.
Down to 69.3 percent. He also had Florida and NC flip to Trump earlier today, before flipping them back to Hillary. So essentially a dead heat in those two states.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/
In six days this election will be over. Well, except for the crying and gnashing of teeth of one side.
No matter who wins, history will be made. If Hillary wins, it will be the first time in the history of our country that a woman has been elected POTUS. If Trump wins, well.. it will be the first time in history a billionaire moves into public housing after a black family leaves.
Either way, it has been a very strange and amusing election cycle to watch this time.
I will be half around the world when the results come in so will have to wait until the AM to get them.
I arrive back in the states on November 8th. Should I delay my return?
Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump tied in Colorado, new poll shows
http://www.denverpost.com/2016/11/02/hillary-clinton-donald-trump-tied-in-colorado-new-poll-shows/ (http://www.denverpost.com/2016/11/02/hillary-clinton-donald-trump-tied-in-colorado-new-poll-shows/)
Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are tied in Colorado, a new poll shows, entering the final days of the 2016 presidential race.
The University of Denver poll released Wednesday found Clinton and Trump deadlocked at 39 percent in a four-way race, in a survey of registered likely voters conducted Saturday through Monday.
The third-party candidates combined for 15 percent with another 8 percent undecided. The poll’s margin of error is plus-or-minus 4.2 percent.
The most recent polls sure indicate Trump is on the upswing. I'd be concerned except all you all, keep telling me the polls are "rigged" and therefore don't mean anything.
National IBD/TIPP Tracking Poll (10/27-11/1):
Clinton 44%
Trump 44%
Johnson 4%
Stein 2
H2H:
Clinton 44%
Trump 44%
**This poll is weighted with D+8 or D +9. That does not reflect primary turnout numbers of R+1.
Obama's turnout was D+6 in 2012. Are you telling me that there is more enthusiasm and support for Clinton this election than Obama?
I'm trying to follow you, but my aging brain cannot make sense out of your last double quoted post. What does "a" mean? Help me out here.
I'm trying to follow you, but my aging brain cannot make sense out of your last double quoted post. What does "a" mean? Help me out here.
Kinda like Hillary not knowing that "C"'on a document meant Classified.
You should cancel your return.
Kinda like Hillary not knowing that "C"'on a document meant Classified.
Just an observation from a different time zone, but some of you must either be insomniacs or very early risers. Right now isn't it only 6:20 a.m. on the East coast and 3:20 a.m. out west?.
WBUR Poll: Trump Edges Ahead Of Clinton In N.H. (+1)
http://www.wbur.org/politicker/2016/11/03/trump-clinton-new-hampshire (http://www.wbur.org/politicker/2016/11/03/trump-clinton-new-hampshire)
A new WBUR poll of likely voters in New Hampshire finds that Republican Donald Trump and Democrat Hillary Clinton are now in a dead heat with just five days to go before Election Day.
The survey also finds Republican Sen. Kelly Ayotte leading her Democratic challenger, Gov. Maggie Hassan, by 6 points in one of the key races that could determine which party will control the U.S. Senate.
The poll is consistent with a number of surveys across the country that suggest the presidential race has tightened considerably.
Just an observation from a different time zone, but some of you must either be insomniacs or very early risers. Right now isn't it only 6:20 a.m. on the East coast and 3:20 a.m. out west?
:o Outlier?
Poll: Donald Trump Takes 3-Point Lead in Virginia — 15-Point Swing in Past Month
by MATTHEW BOYLE
2 Nov 2016
NEW YORK CITY, New York — Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump has taken the lead in the latest poll out of the battleground state of Virginia, with his Democrat rival Hillary Clinton slipping 15 points in a month.
The Hampton University Center for Public Policy (CPP) poll out on Wednesday afternoon shows that Trump has taken a three-point lead over Clinton in the Old Dominion, inside the poll’s margin of error of 4.57 percent. The survey of 802 Virginians, taken from Oct. 26 through Oct. 30—meaning it was conducted both before and after the FBI announced its reopening of the criminal investigation into Hillary Clinton’s illicit home brew email server—found Trump at 44 percent and Clinton at 41 percent.
A release from the University notes that Trump had already started closing the gap in Virginia before FBI director James Comey’s announcement, in his letter to Congress, but that Clinton was ahead by a small margin then. It was after the FBI announcement that the bottom dropped out of Clinton’s campaign in Virginia, boosting Trump way over her.
“The HU Center for Public Policy poll was conducted October 26-30, 2016, and at the start of the poll, Democratic Presidential nominee Hillary Clinton had a two point lead prior to the release of the email news story breaking on Friday, October 28th,” Hampton University’s CPP said in the release:
After the FBI email news story, the numbers changed dramatically, and following the five day tally, Clinton now trails Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump by three percentage points. It must be noted that this poll began on the evening of Wednesday, October 26th and in the two days of data collection before the FBI email news story, the majority of interviews were completed. In that time, the data reflected a slim lead for Clinton over Trump (43% to 42% with 15% undecided). In the three days of data collection after the news, 257 interviews were conducted which reflected a wider Trump lead over Clinton of 48% to 39% with 13% as yet undecided. After all of the numbers from the 5 day poll were added, averaged and weighted, the total puts Trump ahead.
Overall, this is a 15-point swing away from Clinton towards Trump from the most recent previous Hampton University CPP poll conducted back in late September and early October, where Clinton was up 12 points.
A Trump aide told Breitbart News this week that it seems like Virginia is definitely in play. This individual highlighted previous election cycles — Ken Cuccinelli’s run for governor and Ed Gillespie’s run for Senate — where polls underestimated Republican candidates in both cycles.
Now that Trump has pulled into the lead in Virginia, a five-alarm fire alarm is surely going off in Clinton’s campaign headquarters in Brooklyn. In fact, before this poll came back, Clinton’s campaign changed up the candidate’s schedule to deploy her to Michigan—another state that has gone blue in the last several presidential elections but seems to be trending towards Trump—and announced new six-figure ad buys in many blue-leaning states, including Virginia.
If Trump locks down Virginia’s 13 electoral votes, Clinton’s firewall for the White House is significantly diminished, and he is well on his way to becoming the next president of the United States. Trump has already now pulled ahead in Florida, Ohio, North Carolina, Nevada, Iowa, and more. Winning those, plus the red states and Virginia, would ensure Trump the White House with a comfortable win well above 270 electoral votes and many more states like Michigan, New Mexico, New Hampshire, Maine’s second congressional district, Colorado, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Pennsylvania and more still in play on the chessboard.
The fact that Virginia is back in contention this late in the game, after Clinton previously thought she had it locked in, is particularly embarrassing for her running mate. Sen. Tim Kaine (D-VA), who once served as the state’s governor. Kaine has been a lackluster vice presidential candidate who, after a poor showing in the vice presidential debate against Mike Pence in Virginia, has canceled rallies after generating embarrassing headlines with his small crowd sizes.
Other recent surveys have also shown Virginia tightening, and it is ultimately unclear exactly what will happen on election day. But if past is prologue—looking back in recent years at the polling in both the Cuccinelli and Gillespie races versus the actual results—then this contest is coming down to the wire between Trump and Clinton in the Old Dominion.
http://www.breitbart.com/big-government/2016/11/02/poll-donald-trump-takes-3-point-lead-virginia-15-point-swing-away-hillary-clinton/?utm_source=facebook&utm_medium=social
If Trump wins, it is going to be a hilarious 4 years to follow.
Down to 67.6 with Trump edging ahead in Florida. Projected delegates 296 to 240.8. According to Silver's current map, if Trump wins NC, NV, and AZ he's in. Coming down to the wire.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/
Down to 65.9 percent.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/
Remember that Black Church that was burned down yesterday?
Trump supporters reacted:
http://regated.com/2016/11/trump-supporters-raise-money-church/ (http://regated.com/2016/11/trump-supporters-raise-money-church/)
"Trump supporters have reached their goal in about thirteen hours, with over $120,000 in combined donations from over 3500 people."
$124k+
Would love to see the current Wisconsin numbers.
Clinton was only up 4 on October 30th
If Nate would properly give Trump New Hampshire, he'd currently be leading. :)
NateSilverBronze or Nate Iron Ore
New Hampshire (which two polls today show Trump up, +1 & +5) is the tipping point as of now...
(https://i.reddituploads.com/c6021637e6864a66b209971bdb8347df?fit=max&h=1536&w=1536&s=8b5ef4016954f00236be316a8fc124e6)
Down to 65.9 percent.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/
If Nate would properly give Trump New Hampshire, he'd currently be leading. :)
NateSilverBronze or Nate Iron Ore
As in some ancient myth, Hillary Clinton, warrior princess, could only succeed in her quest for the kingdom by vanquishing Phallus, the many-headed god of male sexual craziness. First she had to defeat the ghost of Bill Clinton, and that wasn’t so hard because Bill was a popular politician even when his sins were fresh in public memory; now he was old and his sins were too. Then there was the giant, Donald of the tiny hands, and he helped vanquish himself by being too gross and proud of it even for many in his own party. It was all going so well—her campaign was even thinking of venturing into seriously red places like Arizona just for the heck of it—when, a mere 11 days before the election, up popped a ridiculous troll: Anthony Weiner, the irrepressible dick-pic-sending long-disgraced estranged husband of Huma Abedin, Hillary’s aide and friend. For some reason, Abedin and Weiner may have shared a laptop, on which there may have been both Weiner’s sexts, possibly to an underage girl in North Carolina, and e-mails to or from Abedin that may have something to do with Hillary’s State Department correspondence. We know all this because James Comey, the Republican who heads the FBI, ignored Department of Justice protocol and told Congress he was investigating the matter, although he was unable to say what the matter was or when he would know. By the time you read this, the whole thing may have blown over. Or not. Meanwhile, what have we learned so far?
1. If you are a woman in politics, don’t get married.
2. If you are a married woman in politics, get a divorce. Better still, become a widow. All the perks of marriage and none of the risks.
3. Whether or not you are in politics, do not share a laptop with your husband, especially if he is a pervert. Believe me, you don’t want to know!
4. If you are a Democratic president, do not give important jobs to Republicans, especially jobs having to do with manly stuff like law, order, war, and guns. You won’t win brownie points with the opposition; you’ll only reinforce the notion that Democrats are girly men.
Hillary Clinton is not the first woman politican to have career trouble because of the men in her life.
I’m not the only person to have noticed that the campaign of the first woman to run for president from a major party has ended up being all about men behaving badly. Just look at Trump’s campaign: former campaign manager Corey Lewandowski, accused of manhandling a woman reporter at a rally in March; the unspeakable Roger Ailes, forced out as head of Fox News after multiple women came forward with credible charges of harassment and abuse, now a campaign adviser; Breitbart chairman Stephen Bannon, the current campaign CEO, charged with domestic violence in 1996; surrogates Rudy Giuliani and Newt Gingrich, proud adulterers and huge hypocrites. It’s as if hating women, being accused of sex crimes, and being a terrible husband are job qualifications. (And maybe that’s not the only place it’s a plus on your résumé: After he left the Trump campaign, CNN snapped Lewandowski right up.) But then this is Trump, who boasted about the size of his penis in a primary debate, which has to be a first. Could the clouds of testosterone billowing from the campaign have something to do with the fact that Trump is facing a woman? Just don’t forget who has the dick around here, people! Don’t forget who is the grabber and who is the pussy!
It might comfort Hillary Clinton to remember that she is not the first woman politician to have had career trouble because of the men in her life when she got too close to the White House. In 1984, Geraldine Ferraro, Walter Mondale’s running mate and the first woman vice-presidential candidate from a major party, faced an investigation by a House ethics panel stemming from complaints made by the Washington Legal Foundation, a right-wing legal organization, that she had violated a congressional ethics law by not disclosing her husband’s financial information. The inquiry revealed that Ferraro had more money than her regular-Queens-mom image suggested—she wasn’t just a dumb housewife who somehow got into Congress; she was a rich dumb housewife. (After the election, the committee found that while she had indeed violated the law, she had done so unintentionally, and, noting that other members of the House had acted similarly, recommended no censure.) Her campaign was scandalized again when news broke that one of her husband’s companies had rented out space to a porn distributor. (This was before porn was cool.) And then there were the usual misogynist slurs and crudities: Ferraro was ambitious and unqualified, a man-hater and a criminal. Barbara Bush called her “rhymes with rich” and George H.W. Bush, her vice-presidential opponent, boasted after a debate that he had “kicked a little ass.” The all-male Catholic hierarchy treated her with contempt: Unlike her fellow pro-choice Catholic Mario Cuomo, she was pointedly not invited to the Al Smith dinner when her running mate couldn’t attend.
Since this is my last column before the election, I’m trying mightily to wring something positive out of the sorry fact that in 2016, one candidate is an open enemy of women’s rights and progress and is currently winning the support of a majority of white male voters. Maybe we’ve seen so much sexism because the truth is out: As antifeminists always feared, women really are men’s equal. The phallus is all men have, so they have to wave it whenever they can. Trump the bitch! Hillary has everything a male pol is supposed to have: brains, experience, money, organization, devoted followers, a thick skin, and, yes, stamina. Furthermore, she’s not the only woman who can make that claim. It’s harder these days to dismiss a woman by suggesting she’s ignorant of policy and lacks credentials. So, suddenly, policy is boring, credentials are boring—as so often happens, when women get something, it no longer matters. But power always matters. That’s what Phallus and his sidekicks are afraid of. Go, warrior princess!
I'm on the East Coast, NYC, and I am an early riser, and, in the words of Ric Flair, "That's why I live in the big house, on the big hill, on the big side of town."
And I'm having a hard time controlling my laughter after that picture Yamcha posted.
No, you can’t text your vote. But these fake ads tell Clinton supporters to do just that.
http://archive.is/kTwv9#selection-3323.0-3336.1 (http://archive.is/kTwv9#selection-3323.0-3336.1)
First things first: There is no such thing as voting by text message. Period. If you want to cast a ballot, you can vote at your polling station or vote absentee. That’s it.
But ads circulated on Twitter recently would have you believe otherwise.
Lifting imagery directly from Hillary Clinton’s campaign materials, the ads encourage supporters of the Democratic nominee to “vote early” and “vote from home” by texting their candidate’s name to a five-digit number.
“Save time. Avoid the line,” one reads.
“Vote early. Text ‘Hillary’ to 59925,” says another.
At least four such ads began making rounds on social media this week, each containing the Clinton campaign’s “H” logo and a line saying they were “paid for by Hillary for President.” Some featured images of Clinton that appear to be pulled from actual campaign marketing materials, while others showed a black woman and a Hispanic woman, in what may be an attempt to dupe to minority voters. One was written entirely in Spanish.
HAHAHAHA Trolls have been exposing the stupidity of Hillary supporters!
Trump and his band of idiots actually believe Clinton voters would fall for this.Of course they would. They are voting for Hillary. Your argument defeats itself.
Keep voting based on your Lgbt agenda fella....
Truthfully, is this all you have?
Pretty sure there are hundreds of pages/threads that deal with more than just LBGTABC rights on here.
Truthfully, is this all you have?Nope, but it is all you have.
Dropping like a rock by the hour. Down to 64.7.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/
Silver is projecting Republicans to keep the Senate.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/senate/?ex_cid=2016-forecast
YES!
But something just isn't adding up to me...
“I believe – I know, and this is from a very well-placed source of mine at 1PP, One Police Plaza in New York – the NYPD wanted to do a press conference announcing the warrants and the additional arrests they were making in this investigation, and they’ve gotten huge pushback, to the point of coercion, from the Justice Department, with the Justice Department threatening to charge someone that had been unrelated in the accidental heart attack death of Eric Garner almost two years ago. That’s the level of pushback the Obama Justice Department is doing against actually seeking justice in the email and other related criminal matters,” Prince said.
Still isn't adding up to me.... Is Hillary going to out perform Obama in those states?
(https://i.snag.gy/7ubLCY.jpg)
https://guccifer2.wordpress.com/2016/11/04/info-from-inside-the-fec-the-democrats-may-rig-the-elections/ (https://guccifer2.wordpress.com/2016/11/04/info-from-inside-the-fec-the-democrats-may-rig-the-elections/)
Guccifer 2.0: Info from inside the FEC: the Democrats may rig the elections
I’d like to warn you that the Democrats may rig the elections on November 8. This may be possible because of the software installed in the FEC networks by the large IT companies.
As I’ve already said, their software is of poor quality, with many holes and vulnerabilities.
I have registered in the FEC electronic system as an independent election observer; so I will monitor that the elections are held honestly.
I also call on other hackers to join me, monitor the elections from inside and inform the U.S. society about the facts of electoral fraud.
Trump and his band of idiots actually believe Clinton voters would fall for this. -Big backfire, the idiots voting for Trump send their votes in via Twitter along with their hero Trump the chump.
You are so deep in this, you may drown. Get a grip!
Clinton calls off Election Night fireworks
http://nypost.com/2016/11/07/clinton-calls-off-election-night-fireworks/ (http://nypost.com/2016/11/07/clinton-calls-off-election-night-fireworks/)
Awhile ago, I stopped looking at Google News because it was so obviously biased.
Having just briefly gone over the latest batch of Wiki Podesta Emails, I saw one in which Google CEO Eric Schmitt wanted to meet with Podesta. There's also one in which Soros wanted to meet with him.
I don't blame you. There is an extreme bias infecting the MSM. The sad part about it is people who only get their news from one source, or don't follow the news closely, don't realize how badly they are being manipulated.
I remember hearing an interview with a defector from the Old Soviet Union.
He said people there didn't read the Pravda for the news, but for the Party Line. Wikileaks has shown that it's no different, here.
http://nation.foxnews.com/2016/11/06/daily-caller-exclusive-virginia-gov-pardons-60000-felons-enough-swing-election
Virginia Gov. Pardons 60,000 Felons, Enough to Swing Election
Disturbing.
Up to 68.5 percent.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=2016-senate-forecast
Silver is projecting Republicans to keep the Senate.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/senate/?ex_cid=2016-forecast
Trump takes +6 lead in final Reuters presidential poll
http://polling.reuters.com/#poll/TM651Y15_26/filters/LIKELY:1/dates/20160801-20161126/type/day (http://polling.reuters.com/#poll/TM651Y15_26/filters/LIKELY:1/dates/20160801-20161126/type/day)
(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CwwZ2hBW8AEZVgG.jpg:small)
RCP just turned Florida red...
Shit is going to be so interesting tonight. C'mon New Hampshire.
No, it's an absolute hysterical joke. You need 270 votes to win, California alone can provide 55 of those. Add Texas, NY, Illinois and Pennsylvania and you get 191. That's 5 out of 50 states that can bring a candidate close to victory.
Open borders, bring in illegals (who always vote [illegally] democrat), fill the big voting states and simultaneously push out the whites, change the vote of their representatives, and so forth.
The states in this country that are still heavily white i.e. Montana (90% white) only have 3 electors.
It's a pretty obvious scam. Just the fact that Trump even stands a chance shows you something.
It does NOT work when there is no nation, California is practically it's own Mexican 'republic' now who has the biggest say in what happens to the rest of the country.
https://twitter.com/welovetrump/status/796071683958439937
Nate Silver 6:53 PM
How important is Florida? (Polls in the eastern part of the state close in a few minutes.) If Clinton wins it, her probability of winning the Electoral College would shoot up to 93 percent from 71 percent, according to our election night model. And if Trump were to win it, his chances would increase to 59 percent from 29 percent.
They just showed him up by 30 in Florida.
Holy Shit!!!
I don't think anyone (including Nate Silver) really has a good handle on how this will play out.
Up by 30 percent? That can't be right.
Read all about it tomorrow....
Today!!
(http://ibankcoin.com/zeropointnow/files/2016/11/newsweek.jpg)
Trump getting his ass kicked in NC.
One of True Anus' '100% guaranteed Trump' states.
Trump getting his ass kicked in NC.
One of True Anus' '100% guaranteed Trump' states.
That's a common practice to prepare in advance. Meaning they'll have already created something for any outcome.
Trump has a HUGE uphill battle..
Electoral College + Majority of Americans are brain dead sheep = Easy Hildog victory
Not even taking into account illegals or rigged voting
Rachel Maddow is starting in with the rationalizations, a sure sign of Libs in deep shit.
I'm expecting to see tears soon.
For your sake, I hope you are right. You seem to have a lot of emotions tied up in this game. For the sake of the U.S. I hope you are wrong. If you have any idea what Europeans are saying about this election, you'd hang your head in shame.
For your sake, I hope you are right. You seem to have a lot of emotions tied up in this game. For the sake of the U.S. I hope you are wrong. If you have any idea what Europeans are saying about this election, you'd hang your head in shame.
For your sake, I hope you are right. You seem to have a lot of emotions tied up in this game. For the sake of the U.S. I hope you are wrong. If you have any idea what Europeans are saying about this election, you'd hang your head in shame.
Wait....no one mentioned the Europeans! Can we re-vote now that we know what they're saying??
Unfortunately not. Better luck next time.
In the event you were being sarcastic, let me remind you that the U.S. cannot make it alone. We need our allies.
For your sake, I hope you are right. You seem to have a lot of emotions tied up in this game. For the sake of the U.S. I hope you are wrong. If you have any idea what Europeans are saying about this election, you'd hang your head in shame.
TRUMP WINS FLORIDA
Your avatar! :D
Libfags on suicide watch
Libfags on suicide watch
Liberals melting down.
Does anybody have any good Trump memes showing Trump giving the boot to SJWs and other undesirables?
(https://ih0.redbubble.net/image.103304777.6508/flat,1000x1000,075,f.jpg)
Nate Tinfoil
(https://i.sli.mg/NKB44l.jpg)
HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA HAHAHA!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
:D :D :D :D :D
(https://i.sli.mg/BfcMXv.jpg)
Except they only made one mass printed issue in this case.
What an incredible outcome. From the start of his campaign to the finish. I hope Trump takes advantage of this opportunity and does the right thing. His speech last night was a good start.
The pollsters really got (another) black eye. Whiffed. Pretty much all of them except IBD and the LA Times.
I did not vote for Trump, but the best part about this outcome is we are not sending Bill and Hillary back to the White House. The corruption and greed that fuels them was not rewarded. We can now hopefully close the chapter on the Clinton and Bush families.
When I start the "Winners" thread, your services there are not required.
And tell your European butt buddies Thin Lizzy from Getbig says to go fuck yourselves.
This would explain why she didn't give her concession speech last night.
Ed Klein: Hillary Couldn't Stop Crying, Told Friend She Blames Comey and Obama For Loss
By Todd Beamon | Wednesday, 09 Nov 2016
Hillary Clinton "couldn't stop crying" once she learned of her loss to Donald Trump on Tuesday, best-selling conservative author Ed Klein told Newsmax TV on Wednesday.
"About 6:30 this morning she called an old friend," he began on "The Steve Malzberg Show" in an interview. "She was crying, inconsolably.
"She couldn't stop crying.
"Her friend said — her female friend from way, way, back — said that it was even hard to understand what she was saying, she was crying so hard.
"This is Hillary we're talking about," Klein said.
"Eventually," he continued, "her friend said she could make out that she was blaming James Comey, the director of the FBI, for her loss — and this I don't understand exactly — and the president of the United States for not doing enough."
Klein said his source then asked further about President Barack Obama.
"She said: 'Well, she felt, Hillary felt, that the president could have stopped Comey a long time ago, because that's what [former President] Bill [Clinton] said."
http://www.newsmax.com/Newsmax-Tv/ed-klein-hillary-clinton-crying-election/2016/11/09/id/758084/
Hahaha, you mean the hideous crone didn't "power through"?
What an incredible outcome. From the start of his campaign to the finish. I hope Trump takes advantage of this opportunity and does the right thing. His speech last night was a good start.
The pollsters really got (another) black eye. Whiffed. Pretty much all of them except IBD and the LA Times.
I did not vote for Trump, but the best part about this outcome is we are not sending Bill and Hillary back to the White House. The corruption and greed that fuels them was not rewarded. We can now hopefully close the chapter on the Clinton and Bush families.
prediction: she will be offically reffered to as President Rodham-ClintonHAHAAHA Dumbass.
(https://i.redd.it/ettfegolrlxx.jpg)(https://i.redd.it/q29wr7xwqlxx.jpg)
"Damn, glad this election is over. Can you grab my cigar?"
(https://i.sli.mg/9ETHOF.jpg)
"Damn, glad this election is over. Can you grab my cigar?"
(https://i.sli.mg/9ETHOF.jpg)
WTF? Where's this from? Is that really Bill? LOL
What the . . . . ..
It's the photo 240 didn't want you to see!!!!!! :D
"Damn, glad this election is over. Can you grab my cigar?"
Political Science Professor: Odds Of President Trump Range BETWEEN 97% AND 99%
ERIC OWENS
Education Editor
02/24/2016
(http://cdn01.dailycaller.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/Donald-Trump-Getty-Images-Spencer-Platt-1.jpg)
Donald Trump Getty Images/Spencer Platt Donald Trump Getty Images/Spencer Platt
A political science professor who claims his statistical model has correctly predicted the results of every election in the last 104 years has forecast that the odds of Donald Trump becoming America’s next president currently range from 97 percent to 99 percent.
The professor is Helmut Norpoth of Stony Brook University, reports The Statesman, the campus newspaper at the public bastion on New York’s Long Island.
Specifically, Norpoth predicts that Trump has a 97 percent chance of beating Hillary Clinton and a 99 percent chance of beating Bernie Sanders.
The predictions assume Trump will actually become the 2016 presidential nominee of the Republican Party. (RELATED: Trump Has Never Voted In A Republican Primary)
Norpoth announced his prognostication on Monday night during Stony Brook Alumni Association event at the SUNY Global Center in Manhattan.
“The bottom line is that the primary model, using also the cyclical movement, makes it almost certain that Donald Trump will be the next president,” Norpoth said, according to The Statesman.
“When I started out with this kind of display a few months ago, I thought it was sort of a joke,” the professor told the alumni audience, according to the student newspaper. “Well, I’ll tell you right now, it ain’t a joke anymore.”
“Trump beats Hillary 54.7 percent to 45.3 percent” in terms of popular vote, Norpoth prophesied. (RELATED: From Immigration To Abortion, Longtime Democrat Donald Trump Must Reckon With His Rich Progressive History)
“This is almost too much to believe,” he told audience members described by the student as nervously laughing. But he is convinced his model won’t be wrong.
“Take it to the bank,” Norpoth confidently suggested.
Norpoth, a 1974 University of Michigan Ph.D. recipient who specializes in electoral behavior alignment, said his crystal ball also shows a 61-percent chance that the Republican nominee — Trump or not — will win the 2016 presidential election.
The political scientist also said there is virtually no way Trump could lose the Electoral College vote if he rakes in 54.7 percent — or more — of the vote.
Norpoth’s general election formula measures candidates’ performances in primaries in caucuses to gauge party unity and voter excitement. It also focuses on certain patterns in electoral cycles. One major assumption is that the party which has just held the presidency for two consecutive terms is less likely to win a third term.
The model has been correct for every election since 1912 except for the 1960 election — which pitted winner John F. Kennedy against loser Richard Nixon.
In total, Norpoth observed, his forecasting formula he has created has been correct 96.1 percent of the time since 1912.
The professor said he has used the model in recent times to predict Bill Clinton’s victories as well as George W. Bush’s and Barack Obama’s wins.
http://dailycaller.com/2016/02/24/political-science-professor-odds-of-president-trump-range-between-97-and-99/#ixzz41CcR4Vdp
:o
Absurd. Watch this informed and accurate assessment:
:D :D
(https://i.reddituploads.com/ccadac3042f54b23938d0fb1f92ca7a2?fit=max&h=1536&w=1536&s=c12d778846a0a74903e5bc6f0e4667b3)
;D ;D ;D
(https://i.redd.it/r4l136dbor1y.jpg)
Election 2016
This Group of Rogue Electors Have a Plan to Stop Trump
The Constitution allows electors to vote their conscience. But don’t get your hopes up yet.
There’s a minor revolution brewing in the electoral college, the arcane 228-year-old institution that officially chooses the president. Over the past week, a small but increasingly vocal group of electors, alarmed by Donald Trump’s disregard for presidential norms, have begun calling on their colleagues to adopt their original Constitutional role as a check on the popular vote, disregarding the will of voters in their respective states and denying the billionaire businessman the 270 electoral votes he needs to assume the presidency.
On Monday night, Texas elector and longtime Republican Christopher Suprun announced in a New York Times op-ed that he would buck the voters of his state—as is his right under the Constitution as an elector—and cast his vote against Trump, possibly for Ohio governor John Kasich. “Alexander Hamilton provided a blueprint for states’ votes,” he wrote. “Federalist 68 argued that an Electoral College should determine if candidates are qualified, not engaged in demagogy, and independent from foreign influence. Mr. Trump shows us again and again that he does not meet these standards.
http://mobile.nytimes.com/2016/12/05/opinion/why-i-will-not-cast-my-electoral-vote-for-donald-trump.html?smid=fb-share&_r=0&referer=http://m.facebook.com (http://mobile.nytimes.com/2016/12/05/opinion/why-i-will-not-cast-my-electoral-vote-for-donald-trump.html?smid=fb-share&_r=0&referer=http://m.facebook.com)
Election 2016
This Group of Rogue Electors Have a Plan to Stop Trump
The Constitution allows electors to vote their conscience. But don’t get your hopes up yet.
There’s a minor revolution brewing in the electoral college, the arcane 228-year-old institution that officially chooses the president. Over the past week, a small but increasingly vocal group of electors, alarmed by Donald Trump’s disregard for presidential norms, have begun calling on their colleagues to adopt their original Constitutional role as a check on the popular vote, disregarding the will of voters in their respective states and denying the billionaire businessman the 270 electoral votes he needs to assume the presidency.
On Monday night, Texas elector and longtime Republican Christopher Suprun announced in a New York Times op-ed that he would buck the voters of his state—as is his right under the Constitution as an elector—and cast his vote against Trump, possibly for Ohio governor John Kasich. “Alexander Hamilton provided a blueprint for states’ votes,” he wrote. “Federalist 68 argued that an Electoral College should determine if candidates are qualified, not engaged in demagogy, and independent from foreign influence. Mr. Trump shows us again and again that he does not meet these standards.
http://mobile.nytimes.com/2016/12/05/opinion/why-i-will-not-cast-my-electoral-vote-for-donald-trump.html?smid=fb-share&_r=0&referer=http://m.facebook.com (http://mobile.nytimes.com/2016/12/05/opinion/why-i-will-not-cast-my-electoral-vote-for-donald-trump.html?smid=fb-share&_r=0&referer=http://m.facebook.com)
http://www.politico.com/story/2016/12/electoral-college-rogues-trump-clinton-232195 (http://www.politico.com/story/2016/12/electoral-college-rogues-trump-clinton-232195)
http://avalon.law.yale.edu/18th_century/fed68.asp (http://avalon.law.yale.edu/18th_century/fed68.asp)
https://www.washingtonpost.com/posteverything/wp/2016/03/17/if-no-one-else-stops-trump-the-electoral-college-still-can-its-in-the-constitution/?utm_term=.5c7af651510d (https://www.washingtonpost.com/posteverything/wp/2016/03/17/if-no-one-else-stops-trump-the-electoral-college-still-can-its-in-the-constitution/?utm_term=.5c7af651510d)
http://www.politico.com/story/2016/12/larry-lessig-electors-trump-232231?cmpid=sf (http://www.politico.com/story/2016/12/larry-lessig-electors-trump-232231?cmpid=sf)
http://www.politico.com/story/2016/12/presidential-electors-lawsuit-trump-232255 (http://www.politico.com/story/2016/12/presidential-electors-lawsuit-trump-232255)
Which the political parties only complain about when they lose, but curiously enough, not when they win.
These electors are Republican.
With #NeverTrump listed under their name on Twitter ::)
and funny that they believe it should be Kaisch to replace trump.... he and Jeb are yet to bend the knee; their political careers were wrecked beyond repair and they are bitter.
What stage of grief are we in? Bargaining?
(http://cdn.images.express.co.uk/img/dynamic/galleries/x701/181683.jpg)
These electors are Republican.
The quote in bold seems to have been written by Tina Nguyen from Vanity Fair. Would she have said the same if Hillary won more electoral college votes but not the popular vote? Similarly, the political parties try to place the blame on "the system" when they lose, but somehow when they win, they're fine with "the system".
Execute them if they fail to do their duty!
How much money did Stein gather for the recounts?
Who are the dummies who paid for this??
Wisconsin Recount Ends, Trump Picks Up 162 Votes
by Breitbart News
12 Dec 2016
(AP) Republican Donald Trump’s victory in Wisconsin was reaffirmed Monday following a recount that showed him defeating Democrat Hillary Clinton by more than 22,000 votes.
Wisconsin finalized its recount on the same day that a federal judge issued a stinging rejection of a Green Party-backed request to recount paper ballots in Pennsylvania’s presidential election and scan some counties’ election systems for signs of hacking.
Green Party candidate Jill Stein successfully requested, and paid for, the Wisconsin recount while her attempts for similar statewide recounts in Pennsylvania and Michigan were blocked by the courts. Stein only got about 1 percent of the vote in each of the states that Trump narrowly won on his way to the White House. She argued, without evidence, that voting machines in all three states were susceptible to hacking.
The numbers barely budged in Wisconsin after nearly 3 million votes were recounted. Trump picked up a net 162 votes and still won by more than 22,000 votes. The final results changed just 0.06 percent.
In Pennsylvania, U.S. District Judge Paul Diamond said there were at least six grounds that required him to reject the Green Party’s lawsuit, which had been opposed by Trump, the Pennsylvania Republican Party and the Pennsylvania attorney general’s office.
Suspicion of a hacked Pennsylvania election “borders on the irrational” while granting the Green Party’s recount bid could “ensure that no Pennsylvania vote counts” given Tuesday’s federal deadline to certify the vote for the Electoral College, wrote Diamond, an appointee of former President George W. Bush, a Republican.
“Most importantly, there is no credible evidence that any ‘hack’ occurred, and compelling evidence that Pennsylvania’s voting system was not in any way compromised,” Diamond wrote. He also said the lawsuit suffered from a lack of standing, potentially the lack of federal jurisdiction and an “unexplained, highly prejudicial” wait before filing last week’s lawsuit, four weeks after the Nov. 8 election.
The decision was the Green Party’s latest roadblock in Pennsylvania after hitting numerous walls in county and state courts. Green Party-backed lawyers argue that it was possible that computer hackers changed the election outcome and that Pennsylvania’s heavy use of paperless machines makes it a prime target. Stein also contended that Pennsylvania has erected unconstitutional barriers to voters seeking a recount.
A lawyer for the Green Party said Monday they were disappointed and unable to immediately say whether they would appeal.
“But one thing is clear,” said the lawyer, Ilann Maazel. “The Pennsylvania election system is not fair to voters and voters don’t know if their votes counted, and that’s a very large problem.”
In Pennsylvania, Trump beat Clinton in Pennsylvania by about 44,000 votes out of 6 million cast.
A federal judge halted Michigan’s recount last week after three days. Trump won Michigan by fewer than 11,000 votes out of nearly 4.8 million votes cast.
http://www.breitbart.com/2016-presidential-race/2016/12/12/wisconsin-recount-ends-trump-picks-162-votes/?utm_source=facebook&utm_medium=social
Millions. But what she really gained was a list of donors who she will mine for contributions in 2020. Dirty politics.
Yes, but will these donors stay with her, considering the results?
But Trump easily surpassed the 270 electoral votes needed to win, as representatives tabbed to cast ballots in accordance with their states’ Nov. 8 decision mostly adhered to the election results. With several states still voting, Trump had 304 votes and Hillary Clinton had 169.
This must be one of those "fake news". It was supposed to be a Hillary landslide!
Scientist predicts 99% chance of Clinton win
Lawrence speaks to Princeton’s Sam Wang, who says Hillary Clinton has a greater than 99% chance of winning the presidency & that Democrats have a strong chance of taking the Senate.
http://www.msnbc.com/the-last-word/watch/scientist-predicts-99-chance-of-clinton-win-801634371744
Electoral College Map Update: Pollster Predicts Hillary Clinton Landslide, Winning All Swing States Except Iowa, Ohio
A candidate needs 270 electoral votes to capture the presidency. Emerson pollsters predicted Clinton will garner 323 electoral votes compared to 215 for Trump.
http://www.ibtimes.com/electoral-college-map-update-pollster-predicts-hillary-clinton-landslide-winning-all-2443087
Hillary Clinton Will Win Election By A Landslide According To Moody's Highly Reliable Election Model
The Hill reports that the Moody Analytics model is predicting that Hillary Clinton will win with 332 electoral votes. That’s well ahead of the 270 electoral votes she needs to clinch the presidency.
http://www.inquisitr.com/3666578/hillary-clinton-will-win-election-by-a-landslide-according-to-moodys-highly-reliable-election-model/
This must be one of those "fake news". It was supposed to be a Hillary landslide!
Scientist predicts 99% chance of Clinton win
Lawrence speaks to Princeton’s Sam Wang, who says Hillary Clinton has a greater than 99% chance of winning the presidency & that Democrats have a strong chance of taking the Senate.
http://www.msnbc.com/the-last-word/watch/scientist-predicts-99-chance-of-clinton-win-801634371744
Electoral College Map Update: Pollster Predicts Hillary Clinton Landslide, Winning All Swing States Except Iowa, Ohio
A candidate needs 270 electoral votes to capture the presidency. Emerson pollsters predicted Clinton will garner 323 electoral votes compared to 215 for Trump.
http://www.ibtimes.com/electoral-college-map-update-pollster-predicts-hillary-clinton-landslide-winning-all-2443087
Hillary Clinton Will Win Election By A Landslide According To Moody's Highly Reliable Election Model
The Hill reports that the Moody Analytics model is predicting that Hillary Clinton will win with 332 electoral votes. That’s well ahead of the 270 electoral votes she needs to clinch the presidency.
http://www.inquisitr.com/3666578/hillary-clinton-will-win-election-by-a-landslide-according-to-moodys-highly-reliable-election-model/
nope, those are just horribly bad predictions
predictions are often wrong
BTW - enjoy the victory lap
try to keep in mind that Trump has done nothing yet except lose the popular vote by almost 3 million while winning the electoral college
He's got 4 years of collossal fuck ups ahead (maybe less if he gets impeached)
Repubs need to conserve their energy for the excuses they will need to manufacture as this idiot stumbles through one self inflicted crisis after another
Yeah and that is what you need to do to be POTUS, win the electoral college, so what is your point?
You see you are a prime example of why I don't like leftist, anyone who doesn't think the way you do is stupid. Your all for free speech, as long as it's your kind of speech. You need to put everybody who disagree's with you in little categories like racist, bigot, misogynist and the list goes on and on. And worst of all you celebrate stupidity, the atrocity that has been committed against the youth of this nation with you politically correct horse shit. Now they need safe spaces to protect them from triggers and micro aggression, some play doh and coloring books to sooth their fragile emotions.
my point is that Trump has no popular mandate (despite the fact that Repubs keep pretending he does).
When did I call anyone a bigot or a misogynist in that post. Why all the projection?
My other point is that Trump is very likely to create a lot of self inflicted wounds to this country just given his penchant to talk out of his ass (or rather tweet) so maybe save some of your energy for the multiple excuses your side will need to generate
Also kind of pathetic that Trump keeps saying he won in a landslide
He lost the popular vote by almost 3 million and his electoral college win is in the bottom third
Any idea why he feels the need to make this blatant lie ?
Why bother with the truth when the masses believe your lies; hook, line and sinker?
(https://i.reddituploads.com/47495336bfc4454fadfeb3afd59b1cbc?fit=max&h=1536&w=1536&s=1408dd793b7a1be4f926e900a16320d8)
Straw wouldn't know the truth if it slapped up side his head let alone a fact.Truth!? You're the climate-denier guy, right. The climate thing Exxon found was an issue in the '70's!? You are such a moron. ;D
‘It is over’: Congress certifies Trump’s win, over last-ditch Dem objections
Fox news ^ | January 6, 2017
Posted on 01/06/2017 10:58:23 AM PST by SMGFan
A joint session of Congress on Friday formally certified President-elect Donald Trump’s Electoral College victory, over the last-minute objections of several Democratic lawmakers who tried to contest the outcome – and were instructed by Vice President Biden, “It is over.” The certification clears away any final roadblocks for Trump’s road to the inauguration in two weeks. Trump was certified as winning the White House race with 304 electoral votes to Hillary Clinton’s 227. Mike Pence was certified as the next vice president
(Excerpt) Read more at foxnews.com ...
Oakland Congresswoman Barbara Lee Refuses to Certify Trump's Electoral College Win
The East Bay Express ^ | January 6, 2017 | Nick Miller
Posted on 1/6/2017, 3:53:29 PM by 2ndDivisionVet
Congress met today to put a stamp on Donald Trump's electoral college win, but local Rep. Barbara Lee and other House members disputed his victory.
"Congress is convening for a joint session to certify the votes of the electoral college. Given the deeply troubling incidents of disenfranchisement and the overwhelming evidence of Russian interference, I am challenging the electoral vote certification," Lee wrote on Facebook about a half-hour ago.
The representative was joined by several house members who opposed Trump's win due to voter-suppression tactics in states.
"During this presidential cycle, hundreds of thousands of voters — primarily voters of color — were disenfranchised before and on election day," Lee wrote.
Specifically, she cited how more than six dozen voting machines in Black precincts in Detroit malfunctioned on Election Day, and how GOP-controlled precincts in North Carolina cut voting hours.
"The use of malfunctioning voting machines, the restriction of provisional ballots, the improper purging of voter rolls, and the widely reported incidents of intimidation and misinformation at the polls are clear evidence of widespread voter suppression designed to restrict the vote among people of color, low-income voters, students and seniors."
Lee and others also cited concerns over "Russia interference" with the election.
Despite these protests, however, Trump's win was ultimately certified, 304 electoral-college votes to 227.
(https://i.reddituploads.com/4624dd702c7d4ec990169a232cf4619c?fit=max&h=1536&w=1536&s=2f5734e1f5c76d0875ffcc2831d4b135)
(https://i.redd.it/vb4e4ivd4w8y.jpg)
(https://i.reddituploads.com/4624dd702c7d4ec990169a232cf4619c?fit=max&h=1536&w=1536&s=2f5734e1f5c76d0875ffcc2831d4b135).
.
Ha!
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And we are going to find George Soros's fucking finger prints all over this