Author Topic: Swing State Tracking  (Read 1709 times)

blacken700

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Swing State Tracking
« on: October 17, 2012, 08:23:41 AM »
Daily Swing State Tracking Poll

Swing State Tracking: Obama 50%, Romney 47%


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Wednesday, October 17, 2012

 The full Swing State tracking update offers Rasmussen Reader subscribers a combined view of the results from 11 key states won by President Obama in 2008 and thought to be competitive in 2012. The states collectively hold 146 Electoral College votes and include Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin. If you do not already have a Rasmussen Reader account, subscribe now.
 
Platinum Members have access to detailed demographic information.

In the 11 swing states, the president earns 50% of the vote to Mitt Romney’s 47%. One percent (1%) likes another candidate in the race, and another one percent (1%) undecided.
 
Obama is the only one of the candidates who has reached the 50% mark in the combined swing states. His support ranged from 50% to 51% for the first five days of this month, but those numbers faded and Romney bounced ahead following the president’s sub par performance in the first debate. Now that bounce is over. Because this survey is conducted on a rolling seven-day basis, nearly all of the responses in the latest survey come before the second presidential debate last night.
 
In 2008, Obama won these states by a combined margin of 53% to 46%, virtually identical to his national margin.
 
Nationally, Romney leads by one point in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll.
 
(Swing State Job Approval Data Below Table)





Release Date
 

Obama
 

Romney
 

NET                   
 



October 17, 2012


50


47


Obama +3




October 16, 2012


49


47


Obama +2




October 15, 2012


48


48


Even




October 14, 2012


47


49


Romney +2




October 13, 2012


48


49


Romney +1




October 12, 2012


48


49


Romney +1




October 11, 2012


48


49


Romney +1




October 10, 2012


47


49


Romney +2




October 9, 2012


47


49


Romney +2




October 8, 2012


49


47


Obama +2




October 7, 2012


49


47


Obama +2




October 6, 2012


49


46


Obama +3




October 5, 2012


50


45


Obama +5


blacken700

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Re: Swing State Tracking
« Reply #1 on: October 17, 2012, 08:55:57 AM »
and this, too, is prior to the debate)

The race for New Hampshire’s Electoral College votes remains a toss-up.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely New Hampshire Voters finds the president with 50% support to Mitt Romney’s 49%. Only one percent (1%) remains undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
 
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_presidential_election/new_hampshire/election_2012_new_hampshire_president
 
There previous poll, two weeks ago, had been 48-48 and the one before that in mid September gave Romney a three-point lead 48-45.

MCWAY

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Re: Swing State Tracking
« Reply #2 on: October 17, 2012, 09:36:06 AM »
Check the RCP electoral map. Three weeks ago, Obama had 265; now he's down to 201.

blacken700

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Re: Swing State Tracking
« Reply #3 on: October 17, 2012, 09:38:33 AM »
so Rasmussen is dem leaning  :D :D :D :D :D :D :D :D :D :D :D :D sorry  :D :D :D :D :D :D :D

MCWAY

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Re: Swing State Tracking
« Reply #4 on: October 17, 2012, 09:42:21 AM »
so Rasmussen is dem leaning  :D :D :D :D :D :D :D :D :D :D :D :D sorry  :D :D :D :D :D :D :D

Try reading what I actually posted.

This finding by Rasmussen doesn't mitigate Obama's PLUNGE in the state-by-state polls. How did Obama get from 265 to 201?


MCWAY

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Re: Swing State Tracking
« Reply #6 on: October 18, 2012, 02:41:04 PM »
24 hours later, Romney is up by 1 (49-48).


blacken700

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MCWAY

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Re: Swing State Tracking
« Reply #8 on: October 18, 2012, 02:52:30 PM »
Sorry yourself, Blacken!!

RCP: Romney - 206; Obama - 201

blacken700

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Re: Swing State Tracking
« Reply #9 on: October 18, 2012, 02:58:00 PM »
romneys behide on a right leaning poll  :D :D :D :D :D :D

MCWAY

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Re: Swing State Tracking
« Reply #10 on: October 18, 2012, 03:24:11 PM »
romneys behide on a right leaning poll  :D :D :D :D :D :D

Who says Rasmussen is a "right leaning poll", other than lefties, trying to defend the oversampling of Dems in other media polls.

Furthermore, those numbers in Rasmussen will likely change when new data on Missouri and Pennsylvania come in.

Missouri will likely move to "Lean Romney" (as is the case in RCP); and Pennsylvania should go from "Lean Obama" to toss-up.

Boy are you desperately flailing in the wind or what? You were posting this Rasmussen swing state poll on multiple threads, like crazy yesterday. Now that the same poll has Romney up, you want to harp on Rasmussen's EC vote.

Where are you going to go, in the event that turns for Romney?

flipper5470

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Re: Swing State Tracking
« Reply #11 on: October 21, 2012, 09:49:27 AM »
Sunday 10/21...Rassmussen swing state   Romney 50%.... Bathhouse Barry the punkass...46%.


Vince G, CSN MFT

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Re: Swing State Tracking
« Reply #12 on: October 21, 2012, 10:59:28 AM »
and this, too, is prior to the debate)

The race for New Hampshire’s Electoral College votes remains a toss-up.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely New Hampshire Voters finds the president with 50% support to Mitt Romney’s 49%. Only one percent (1%) remains undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
 
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_presidential_election/new_hampshire/election_2012_new_hampshire_president
 
There previous poll, two weeks ago, had been 48-48 and the one before that in mid September gave Romney a three-point lead 48-45.



Polls are pretty meaningless at this point....I doubt Romney will win New Hampshire as it generally a Dem state.  Romney's biggest problem is that he's going to have a very hard time getting to 270 as the majority swing states are looking to be in Obama's favor. 

It was also a huge mistake for Romney to pull out of North Carolina this soon.  3 weeks is a long time until the election and he needs to keep the fight up in all battleground states. 


On a side note....I'll be renting out the GOP Headquarters in Sylva in January. ;D
A

flipper5470

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Re: Swing State Tracking
« Reply #13 on: October 21, 2012, 12:00:20 PM »
The swing states ar NOT looking good for Obama. ....

Soul Crusher

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Re: Swing State Tracking
« Reply #14 on: October 21, 2012, 01:22:56 PM »
Gallup 10/21: R-52/O-45
 Gallup ^ | Gallup

Posted on Sunday, October 21, 2012 1:03:52 PM by tatown

Romney-52 Obama-45


(Excerpt) Read more at gallup.com ...

blacken700

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Re: Swing State Tracking
« Reply #15 on: October 21, 2012, 03:09:09 PM »
gallop is to far out of touch compare to the rest of the polling

MCWAY

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Re: Swing State Tracking
« Reply #16 on: October 21, 2012, 10:25:43 PM »
Sunday 10/21...Rassmussen swing state   Romney 50%.... Bathhouse Barry the punkass...46%.



And now, the EC count on Rasmussen is Obama 237; Romney 235 (Florida has been moved from "toss-up" to "Leans Romney).

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Re: Swing State Tracking
« Reply #17 on: October 21, 2012, 10:27:11 PM »
And now, the EC count on Rasmussen is Obama 237; Romney 235 (Florida has been moved from "toss-up" to "Leans Romney).

WAY WAY WAY more romney signs than obama signs in SW FL

Soul Crusher

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Re: Swing State Tracking
« Reply #18 on: October 22, 2012, 03:07:21 AM »
WAY WAY WAY more romney signs than obama signs in SW FL


Not a friggin thing in NYC.   Zilch.   No ads no yards signs no bumper stickers.     You would not even know an election is two weeks away. 


It's crazy.  NOTHING.

Soul Crusher

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Re: Swing State Tracking
« Reply #19 on: October 22, 2012, 03:14:59 AM »
Battleground Tracking Poll: Mitt Romney Takes Lead (49% to 47%)
Politico ^
Posted on October 22, 2012 5:22:18 AM EDT by Arthurio

DELRAY BEACH, Fla. — Mitt Romney has taken a narrow national lead, tightened the gender gap and expanded his edge over President Barack Obama on who would best grow the economy.

A new POLITICO/George Washington University Battleground Tracking Poll of 1,000 likely voters — taken from Sunday through Thursday of last week — shows Romney ahead of Obama by two points, 49 to 47 percent. That represents a three-point swing in the GOP nominee’s direction from a week ago but is still within the margin of error. Obama led 49 percent to 48 percent the week before.

Romney has not led in the poll since the beginning of May. Across the 10 states identified by POLITICO as competitive, Romney leads 50 to 48 percent.

On the generic congressional ballot, Republicans now tie Democrats, 46 percent to 46 percent, after trailing slightly over the last six weeks. Two weeks from Election Day, the GOP nominee also continues to maintain a potentially pivotal advantage in intensity among his supporters. Seventy-two percent of those who support Obama say they are “extremely likely” to vote, compared to 80 percent who back Romney. Among this group, Romney leads Obama by 7 points, 52 to 45 percent.

Read more: http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1012/82691.html#ixzz2A1AYTNgU

(Excerpt) Read more at politico.com ...

MCWAY

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Re: Swing State Tracking
« Reply #20 on: October 22, 2012, 02:51:29 PM »
Blacken/Whork has flown the coop and jocking another poll.

tbombz

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Re: Swing State Tracking
« Reply #21 on: October 22, 2012, 04:07:04 PM »
you guys are right. romney has a great chance of winning! and thats the truth!!!! no argument here!! polls dont lie!!! 


so anyone who doesnt want romney as president, anyone who wants obama as president... get your ass to the polls!!!