Phil will win if he comes in the same condition as he did this year. Jay is out of the picture now unless he pulls a miracle, and there's no reason to believe this will happen. He's looked progressively worse the past couple of years. At some point in time, the body just stops responding the way that it used to. It was a good run by Jay, he got a couple of Olympias, a few Arnolds, and a ton of cash. Not too bad.