Author Topic: 16 for '16: The Most Talked-About Potential GOP Presidential Candidates  (Read 181659 times)

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Re: 16 for '16: The Most Talked-About Potential GOP Presidential Candidates
« Reply #475 on: April 20, 2015, 04:40:12 PM »
Kochs Signal Support for Scott Walker

Gov. Scott Walker of Wisconsin, at a Republican Leadership Summit in Nashua, N.H., on Saturday.Credit Ian Thomas Jansen-Lonnquist for The New York Times

Charles G. and David H. Koch, the influential and big-spending conservative donors, have a favorite in the race for the Republican nomination: Gov. Scott Walker of Wisconsin.

On Monday, at a fund-raising event in Manhattan for the New York State Republican Party, David Koch told donors that he and his brother, who oversee one of the biggest private political organizations in the country, believed that Mr. Walker was the Republican Party’s best hope for recapturing the White House.

“We will support whoever the candidate is,” said Mr. Koch, according to two people who attended the event. “But it should be Scott Walker.”

The remark — made before dozens of top New York donors who had gathered to hear Mr. Walker speak at the Union League Club — could effectively end one of the most closely watched contests in the “invisible primary,” a period where candidates crisscross the country seeking not the support of voters but the blessing of their party’s biggest donors and fund-raisers.

Most of the leading Republican candidates have aggressively courted the Kochs, who control a network of political nonprofits, “super PACs” and hundreds of like-minded donors, all of which are planning to spend almost $900 million over the next two years advancing conservative candidates and policies.

But while the Kochs are influential among their peers, it is unclear whether they will favor Mr. Walker with more than good will.

In his remarks, made after Mr. Walker had addressed the group, Mr. Koch suggested that the political organizations they oversee — which include Americans for Prosperity, a grass-roots organization, and Freedom Partners, a donor trade group with an affiliated super PAC — would not intervene in the Republican primary process on behalf of a single candidate.

But according to the two attendees, who spoke on the condition of anonymity to freely describe the remarks, Mr. Koch indicated that the Koch family might personally offer financial support to Mr. Walker.

http://www.nytimes.com/politics/first-draft/2015/04/20/koch-brothers-signal-support-for-scott-walker/

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Re: 16 for '16: The Most Talked-About Potential GOP Presidential Candidates
« Reply #476 on: April 22, 2015, 02:53:13 PM »
Carly Fiorina to Launch Presidential Campaign on May 4

Carly Fiorina, former chief executive of Hewlett-Packard Co., will formally declare her Republican campaign for president on May 4. PHOTO: JERRY MENNENGA/ZUMA PRESS
By REID J. EPSTEIN
April 22, 2015

Carly Fiorina plans to launch her presidential campaign on May 4, in an online announcement that dispenses with the pageantry that has become de rigueur in 2016 White House runs.

Instead, Mrs. Fiorina, the former chief executive of Hewlett-Packard Co., will formally declare her Republican campaign online and hold a conference call for the national press, according to a person with knowledge of the campaign’s plans.

The lack of fanfare stands in contrast to GOP candidates who already have declared. Sens. Ted Cruz of Texas, Rand Paul of Kentucky and Marco Rubio of Florida held choreographed events to officially launch their 2016 efforts. Mrs. Fiorina won’t hold a public event the day she begins her campaign.

It will also put Mrs. Fiorina at odds with two other GOP candidates announcing their 2016 plans that week. Retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson also plans to declare his candidacy on May 4, but he is planning to do so at an event in Detroit, where he was born. Former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee has an event planned the next day in Hope, Ark., his hometown. Detroit and Hope will be mere stage sets for Messrs. Carson and Huckabee—both men now live in Florida.

And instead of immediately heading to states with early nominating contests, Mrs. Fiorina will be in New York when her campaign formally launches. The former tech CEO is scheduled to speak at Techcrunch’s Disrupt NY 2015 conference on May 5. She has a new book due out that day and is expected to sit for cable TV interviews as well.

Of course, the lone declared Democrat in the race, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, announced her candidacy in an email to donors and an online video. But with six years of anticipation for Mrs. Clinton’s 2016 campaign, she hardly needed the publicity boost that comes with a bells-and-whistles campaign launch. But Mrs. Clinton did make her first public appearances as a candidate in Iowa and New Hampshire.

Mrs. Fiorina, who was the Republican nominee for Senate from California in 2010, has never held elected office. She faces a long road to contention—a national CNN poll released Monday found just 2% of Republicans named her as their first choice in the presidential election, less than 12 other candidates and likely candidates. A survey for New Hampshire cable network NH1 showed she has 2% of support there.

But Mrs. Fiorina, likely the lone woman in the 2016 Republican field, has a unique ability to attack Mrs. Clinton. Mrs. Fiorina has impressed activists at early-state candidate events by making the argument that by nominating a woman—namely her—the party would undercut the historic nature of Mrs. Clinton’s campaign.

Mrs. Fiorina’s first early-state stop as an official candidate will be May 7, when she is expected to speak in West Des Moines, Iowa, at an event for the Dallas County GOP. She is scheduled to appear at a dinner hosted by the New Hampshire High Tech Summit in Manchester. Mrs. Fiorina is also the commencement speaker at Southern New Hampshire University’s undergraduate commencement on May 9 in Manchester.

The school’s commencement ceremony is a quadrennial favorite for presidential contenders. Jon Huntsman spoke to graduates in 2011 and Barack Obama did so in 2007.

http://www.wsj.com/articles/carly-fiorina-to-launch-presidential-campaign-on-may-4-1429732381

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Re: 16 for '16: The Most Talked-About Potential GOP Presidential Candidates
« Reply #477 on: April 23, 2015, 11:18:03 AM »
Marco Rubio takes lead in Sheldon Adelson primary
Sources say the billionaire casino mogul is close to throwing his millions behind the hawkish Florida senator.
By ALEX ISENSTADT
4/23/15

Before Iowa and New Hampshire, GOP candidates are competing in the Sheldon Adelson primary, and some will travel to his posh Venetian hotel in Las Vegas this weekend in hopes of winning it. But one candidate — Marco Rubio — has emerged as the clear front-runner, according to nearly a half-dozen sources close to the multibillionaire casino mogul.

In recent weeks, Adelson, who spent $100 million on the 2012 campaign and could easily match that figure in 2016, has told friends that he views the Florida senator, whose hawkish defense views and unwavering support for Israel align with his own, as a fresh face who is “the future of the Republican Party.” He has also said that Rubio’s Cuban heritage and youth would give the party a strong opportunity to expand its brand and win the White House.

Winning the backing of the 81-year-old Adelson would give Rubio a serious boost in his quest for the 2016 Republican nomination. His campaign is predicated on the idea that he can appeal to a broad swath of primary voters and stay in the race long enough to outlast well-funded establishment favorites like former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush and Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker. To do so, he’ll need the support of deep-pocketed contributors like Adelson, whose $32 billion net worth makes him the nation’s 12th-richest person, according to Forbes.

In 2012, Adelson’s financial support allowed former House Speaker Newt Gingrich to stay in the presidential race long after other donors gave up on him.

Adelson’s attraction to Rubio is in no small part centered on the Florida senator’s outspoken support for Israel, an issue near and dear to the billionaire’s heart. Rubio has reached out to Adelson more often than any other 2016 candidate, sources close to Adelson say, and has provided him with the most detailed plan for how he’d manage America’s foreign policy.

Since entering the Senate in 2011, Rubio has met privately with the mogul on a half-dozen occasions. In recent months, he‘s been calling Adelson about once every two weeks, providing him with meticulous updates on his nascent campaign. During a recent trip to New York City, Rubio took time out of his busy schedule to speak by phone with the megadonor.

The connection is also personal. Adelson, whose father emigrated from Lithuania and worked as a cab driver, has come to admire Rubio, the son of a bartender and a hotel maid, for his compelling life story. On March 2, the two had a private dinner at Charlie Palmer, a posh steakhouse at the foot of Capitol Hill. There, they talked for hours about their families and personal lives. “It lasted quite a while,” said one source close to Rubio.

Alex Conant, a Rubio spokesman, declined to comment on the outreach to Adelson. “We don’t discuss private meetings,” he said.

Adelson has yet to declare his support for a 2016 candidate, and those familiar with his political views stress that he could ultimately get behind a candidate other than the Florida senator. But he’s also provided subtle public hints about his leanings. On April 7, two Florida-based Adelson lobbyists, Scott Ross and Nick Iarossi, headlined a Rubio breakfast fundraiser in Tallahassee.

Andy Abboud, an Adelson spokesman who doubles as his political gatekeeper, wouldn’t comment on the Rubio discussions other than to say: “It’s a wide-open field and he’s going to keep his powder dry until he needs to weigh in. He’s excited about the field of candidates.”

Should he make an endorsement, Adelson’s advisers say, he would not do so until after the second Republican primary debate, which is expected be held at the Ronald Reagan Presidential Library in Simi Valley, California, in September. But he’s already playing a public role in the 2016 sweepstakes. This weekend, at his Venetian hotel, Adelson will preside over the Republican Jewish Coalition’s spring meeting, a key cattle call for presidential aspirants.

In attendance will be a group of well-heeled Jewish Republican donors, many of whom see Adelson, who serves on the RJC’s board of directors, as a leader. Ari Fleischer, who was a press secretary in the George W. Bush White House and is also active with the group, said most people in the coalition supported either Bush, Walker or Rubio.

“I think there are many people at the RJC who are going to be influential in the primary,” he said. “A lot of the people who aren’t behind a candidate yet, including me, are shopping.”

During the 2012 campaign, Adelson made his voice heard loud and clear. Of the $100 million he spent on Republican causes, about $15 million was devoted to supporting Gingrich, his favored candidate in the primary. His benevolence enabled the former House speaker, who was waging a long-shot campaign, to remain in the primary until late April.

This election, though, Adelson’s advisers say he’s determined to get behind a more mainstream candidate who has a better chance of becoming the party’s nominee. “He doesn’t want the crazies to drive the party’s prospects into the ground,” said one person close to him.

He’s held private meetings with most of the Republican candidates, many of whom have courted him with fervor. But he’s become particularly fond of Rubio, who attended last year’s RJC meeting but who will not be present this year. He has told some friends that the senator would offer the party a freshness that most other contenders, including Bush, cannot.

In private, Adelson, who’s had labor disputes with workers at his Venetian property, has also said positive words about Walker and that he admired how Wisconsin governor handled his 2011 clash with organized labor.

But Adelson’s desire to get behind an electable candidate may also mean that others with whom he has close ties will be left by the wayside. Texas Sen. Ted Cruz, who shares many of Adelson’s foreign policy views, and South Carolina Sen. Lindsey Graham, who last year sponsored an anti-Internet gambling bill that the casino magnate supported, will be appearing at the RJC confab on Saturday in hopes of winning the mogul’s support.

But, Adelson’s advisers say, there remain questions about whether either will be able to establish the kind of broad national following that would be needed to win the presidency.

For another 2016 hopeful, Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul, it’s not about winning Adelson’s endorsement — it’s about making sure he doesn’t come after him.

During an appearance on a Jewish-themed radio program last month, Paul, who’s come under fire from the neoconservative wing of his party for his more isolationist foreign policy views, said he’d recently had a private meeting with Adelson and his wife, Miriam, and asked him about a report that he was considering funding a campaign against him.

“They assured me there was no truth to that,” Paul said.

http://www.politico.com/story/2015/04/marco-rubio-takes-lead-in-sheldon-adelson-primary-117268.html#ixzz3Y9px0lYJ

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Re: 16 for '16: The Most Talked-About Potential GOP Presidential Candidates
« Reply #478 on: April 23, 2015, 07:04:00 PM »
Carly Fiorina Drawing Good Crowds and Interest in Iowa



Carly Fiorina may not be an official presidential candidate yet, but her Iowa itinerary seems to indicate that she’s all in. Fiorina, the former Hewlett-Packard CEO, is in the midst of a five day, 13-stop tour of Iowa that included stops in all of the state’s major media markets.

On Wednesday evening, Fiorina traveled to Marshalltown for a campaign event at Legends Bar & Grille. Marshalltown is about 50 miles northeast of Des Moines and 40 miles east of Ames. Fiorina might not be a household name like Senators Ted Cruz and Rand Paul, or as known to Iowans as former caucus winners Mike Huckabee and Rick Santorum are, but that didn’t stop 70 locals from turning out to see her.

Fiorina began her remarks by saying that she couldn’t confirm the Wall Street Journal story from earlier in the day that said she would be launching her campaign on May 4th. She did, however, say that when a man approached her in the airport on her way to Iowa earlier in the week and asked if she was still 60/40 in her decision to run for president, she replied, “The probability is more like 98 to 2.”

Fiorina’s remarks were centered on leadership and citizenship. During her remarks, she stated, “Leadership is different than management. Leaders change the order of things for the better.” She also added that the highest priority for a leader is to unlock potential in others. Underlying her remarks was the idea that leadership is sorely missing in Washington.

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Re: 16 for '16: The Most Talked-About Potential GOP Presidential Candidates
« Reply #479 on: April 28, 2015, 11:48:16 AM »
Good.

Rubio signs the tax 'Pledge' again; Bush never will
Alex LearyAlex Leary, Times Washington Bureau Chief
Tuesday, April 28, 2015

He signed it as a Florida House speaker. He signed it as a U.S. Senate candidate.

Now Marco Rubio, presidential candidate, has signed Grover Norquist's "Pledge" again.

"By signing the Taxpayer Protection Pledge to the American people, Senator Rubio continues to protect American taxpayers against higher taxes," said Grover Norquist, president of Americans for Tax Reform. "Senator Rubio understands that government should be reformed so that it takes and spends less of the taxpayers' money, and will oppose tax increases that paper over and continue the failures of the past."

PolitiFact Florida determined that Rubio has, in fact, supported tax increases.

During the 2012 presidential election every Republican candidate signed the pledge, except Jon Huntsman. Norquist can count on at least one candidate refusing to sign it this time, Jeb Bush.

“If Governor Bush decides to move forward, he will not sign any pledges circulated by lobbying groups,” spokeswoman Kristy Campbell said earlier this year. “His record on tax cuts is clear. He didn’t raise taxes.”

Norquist, who says tax increases under George H.W. Bush's cost him a second term, has become a major Jeb Bush basher. But he wasn't always critical. In 2006, Norquist praised Bush as an "ice breaker," and said he should run for president.

http://www.tampabay.com/blogs/the-buzz-florida-politics/rubio-signs-the-tax-pledge-again-bush-never-will/2227313

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Re: 16 for '16: The Most Talked-About Potential GOP Presidential Candidates
« Reply #480 on: April 28, 2015, 12:52:36 PM »
Pledges are dangerous.  And meaningless at the same time.  If extreme circumstances happen, you can bet your ass that ANY president will raise taxes to pay for stuff.  If a meteor hits and 20 million people enter TX in 2 weeks, you can bet our taxes are going to go up.  If there's a global currency collapse and gas hits $15 a gallon, you can bet they raise taxes.

These pledges are for idiots, and only idiots sign them.

I applaud Jeb for not groveling at Grover Norquist's feet on this one!

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Re: 16 for '16: The Most Talked-About Potential GOP Presidential Candidates
« Reply #481 on: April 28, 2015, 01:08:51 PM »
Pledges are dangerous.  And meaningless at the same time.  If extreme circumstances happen, you can bet your ass that ANY president will raise taxes to pay for stuff.  If a meteor hits and 20 million people enter TX in 2 weeks, you can bet our taxes are going to go up.  If there's a global currency collapse and gas hits $15 a gallon, you can bet they raise taxes.

These pledges are for idiots, and only idiots sign them.

I applaud Jeb for not groveling at Grover Norquist's feet on this one!

Rand Paul, Ted Cruz First 2016 Candidates To Sign Grover Norquist's Anti-Tax Pledge
04/24/2015

Sen. Rand Paul (R-Ky.) is the first 2016 candidate to sign the Taxpayer Protection Pledge, promising "to protect American taxpayers against higher taxes." He was followed closely by his colleague and 2016 rival, Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas).

. . .

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2015/04/24/rand-paul-grover-norquist-pledge_n_7137536.html

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Re: 16 for '16: The Most Talked-About Potential GOP Presidential Candidates
« Reply #482 on: April 28, 2015, 03:16:57 PM »
Rand Paul, Ted Cruz First 2016 Candidates To Sign Grover Norquist's Anti-Tax Pledge
04/24/2015

Sen. Rand Paul (R-Ky.) is the first 2016 candidate to sign the Taxpayer Protection Pledge, promising "to protect American taxpayers against higher taxes." He was followed closely by his colleague and 2016 rival, Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas).

. . .

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2015/04/24/rand-paul-grover-norquist-pledge_n_7137536.html

not a smart move by either of them.

cruz is right on 99% of his other moves, so I'll give him a pass.  nobody is perfect.

Rand just took selfies with a poker player who threw a hooker off a roof and kicked a model in the face, so his judgment, well...

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Carson, Fiorina launch 2016 bids as diversity of GOP field grows
Published May 04, 2015
FoxNews.com

The GOP presidential field grew by two Monday as retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson and former technology executive Carly Fiorina both announced they are running for president.

The two new candidates enter a quickly expanding GOP field as Democrats get off to a relatively slow start, with another Republican -- former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee -- set to make his announcement on Tuesday. Together, Carson and Fiorina add to the diversity on the Republican side; Fiorina is the first, and possibly only, female Republican in the race, while Carson is the first black candidate of either party to enter the campaign.

Carson formally launched his campaign in his hometown of Detroit on Monday.

"I'm Ben Carson, and I'm a candidate for president of the United States," Carson said, after being introduced with a series of musical acts.

In his soft-spoken tone, Carson blasted big government -- and the Affordable Care Act -- while also acknowledging his history of controversial comments. He described his candor, however, as an asset.

"I'm not politically correct," he said, to applause. "I'm probably never going to be politically correct, because I'm not a politician. I don't want to be a politician. ... Politicians do what is politically expedient. And I want to do what's right."

Carson tipped his hand a day earlier, also telling Ohio's WKRC-TV that he was announcing his campaign for the White House.

Meanwhile, Fiorina, a former Hewlett-Packard CEO, confirmed her widely expected run on Twitter, and in an interview with ABC News. Her Twitter account included a link to her new campaign website.

The top of the Fiorina site carries the slogan: "New Possibilities. Real Leadership."

The two candidates join senators Marco Rubio, Rand Paul, and Ted Cruz as members of a GOP field that is shaping up to be younger and more diverse than in recent years. Cruz and Rubio are both Cuban-Americans. The field reflects a growing diversity in professional backgrounds as well, with two doctors and a businesswoman now in the mix.

By contrast, the field of declared and potential Democratic candidates includes mostly white, current and former government officials. However, the front-runner, Hillary Clinton, would be the first female U.S. president if elected -- something that is a centerpiece of her political brand.

Fiorina has been blunt in recent weeks in saying that her entry into the race minimizes the effectiveness of Clinton playing the "gender card." Still, Clinton unquestionably leads the Democratic primary race, which currently consists of just two candidates. By contrast, recent polling shows Fiorina at the very back of the Republican primary field. A Fox News poll released last week showed Carson with 6 percent, and Rubio leading with 13 percent.

Fiorina could still gain ground on the heels of her announcement. And in a video accompanying the announcement, she again took aim at Clinton's candidacy.

It begins with her watching the former secretary of state's recent announcement video. "Our founders never intended us to have a professional political class," Fiorina says after turning away from a television on which Clinton declared her own candidacy. "We know the only way to reimagine our government is to reimagine who is leading it."

Fiorina, 60, has long been a fierce critic of Clinton. Fiorina's announcement comes one day before the release of her book "Rising to the Challenge: My Leadership Journey."

Fiorina also was planning to host an interactive town hall Monday afternoon via the video streaming app Periscope before beginning a swing through early primary states, including Iowa, New Hampshire, and South Carolina. 

Democrats made clear, though, that they would use her private-sector record against her. 

"If Carly Fiorina believes she is qualified to be president, that just goes to show how out of touch the Republican Party is with what everyday Americans need," Democratic National Committee spokeswoman Holly Shulman said in a statement. "Fiorina's short time at Hewlett-Packard is all we need to know -- laying off 30,000 employees, while being rewarded with a multimillion dollar bonus. While she is attempting to run on her business record, it consists of mass layoffs, tumbling stock prices, and a failed merger. If this is how Fiorina ran her business, just imagine what she would do to the country."

Meanwhile, a campaign source told Fox News that Carson had to cancel a scheduled appearance in West Des Moines, Iowa later Monday so he could travel to Dallas "to say goodbye" to his ailing mother, who is suffering from Alzheimer's disease. A senior Carson aide also told Fox News that the candidate had canceled a planned appearance on ABC's "Good Morning America" Monday due to his trip to Dallas, and other interview cancelations were expected to follow.

Carson, who has never run for public office, is expected to be the only high-profile black GOP presidential candidate trying to parlay his success as an author and speaker into a competitive campaign against more established politicians.

Fiorina, meanwhile, has a resume more likely to draw support among the Republican establishment. The former chief executive of Hewlett-Packard Co., she became a prominent figure in Republican politics in 2010, when she ran for Senate in California and lost to incumbent Sen. Barbara Boxer by 10 points.

Carson earned national acclaim during 29 years leading the pediatric neurosurgery unit of Johns Hopkins Children's Center in Baltimore, where he still lives. He directed the first surgery to separate twins connected at the back of the head. His career was notable enough to inspire the 2009 movie, "Gifted Hands," with actor Cuba Gooding Jr. depicting Carson.

On Monday, Carson recalled his difficult upbringing being raised by a single mother in a crime-ridden neighborhood. Citing his personal story, he blasted those who accuse him of wanting to scrap the social safety net as peddling a "blatant lie." Rather, Carson said he wants to end "cradle-to-grave" policies for those who don't need them.

"I have no desire to get rid of safety nets for people who need them. I have a strong desire to get rid of programs that create dependency in able-bodied people," Carson said.

The 63-year-old has established a strong base of vocal support among tea party-backers, some of whom launched an effort to push Carson into the race before he set up an exploratory committee earlier this year.

Yet he has stumbled at times in the glare of national politics. He has suggested the Affordable Care Act is the worst thing since slavery, compared present-day America to Nazi Germany, and called problems at the nation's Veterans Affairs hospitals "a gift from God" because they revealed holes in country's effort to care for former members of the military.

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2015/05/04/ben-carson-tells-tv-station-is-running-for-president/?intcmp=latestnews

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Huckabee announces 2016 White House bid
Published May 05, 2015
FoxNews.com

Former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee announced Tuesday he is running for president, entering an already-crowded Republican field in his second campaign for the White House.

“I am a candidate for president of the United States of America," said Huckabee during an event in his hometown of Hope, Ark.

Huckabee, a former Baptist minister, ran for president in 2008, winning eight states including the first-in-the-nation Iowa caucuses before running out of money and exiting the race.

The 59-year-old Huckabee has a strong following among the party’s evangelical Christian base but this time will face stiff competition for that vote from such primary candidates as Dr. Ben Carson and Sen. Ted Cruz, of Texas.

Huckabee, who left his job as a Fox News host earlier this year in preparation for a potential 2016 run, was Arkansas governor from 1996 to 2007, serving after Bill Clinton, who also is from Hope. And he was the state’s lieutenant governor from 1993 to 1996.

He already is trying to position himself as the GOP candidate best equipped to defeat Hillary Clinton, the Democratic frontrunner.

In a recent campaign video, Huckabee argued that in his more than 10 years as governor, he took on Democrats in "Bill Clinton's Arkansas" after then-candidate Bill Clinton won election to the White House in 1992.

"Every day in my life in politics was a fight," Huckabee says in the video, released as a preview of his Tuesday announcement. "But any drunken redneck can walk into a bar and start a fight. A leader only starts a fight he's prepared to finish."

The field of confirmed and potential GOP presidential candidates includes more than a dozen people.

The most recent average of polling by nonpartisan RealClearPolitics.com shows former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush leading the GOP filed with 15 percent of the early vote, followed by Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker, Florida Sen. Marco Rubio, Paul, Cruz, and then Huckabee at 8 percent.

Neither Bush nor Walker have decided whether they will officially run.

Huckabee is the third Republican this week to announce a 2016 White House bid, following Carson, a retired neurosurgeon, and former Hewlett-Packard chief executive Carly Fiorina on Monday. They join Cruz; Sen. Rand Paul, R-Ky.; and Sen. Marco Rubio, R-Fla.

Campaign aides say Huckabee’s path to winning the party nomination this time will be to appeal to working-class cultural conservatives, pitching their candidate as an economic populist and foreign affairs hawk who holds deeply conservative views on social issues such as abortion and gay marriage.

Huckabee advocates a national consumption tax, which is similar to a sales tax, to replace the existing federal taxes on personal income and payrolls. He rejects calls for a minimum wage hike, saying his proposals will yield a "maximum wage" for workers.

On immigration, he insists on a secure border and bemoans the presence of millions of people who are living in the country illegally, though he favors a creating a path to citizenship for children of immigrant parents who brought them to the U.S. illegally.

Like other Republican White House hopefuls, Huckabee is sharply critical of President Obama's foreign policy. He has called for "bombing the daylights" out of Islamic State targets in the Middle East, though he says American troops should be deployed to the region only as part of an international coalition that includes nations such as Saudi Arabia and Jordan.

But whatever the issue, Huckabee, also an author, wraps his appeal as a pitch to everyday Americans who he says "don't feel like anybody understands or knows who they are, much less cares what's happening to them."

Evangelical Christian voters helped Huckabee win the Iowa caucuses in 2008 and finish a strong second in South Carolina, the largest of the early-voting states.

He would need to replicate that early success to create an opening to build a wider coalition and compete deep into the primary schedule.

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2015/05/05/huckabee-announces-2016-white-house-bid/

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Carly Fiorina will run for president as a successful tech CEO. Silicon Valley says that's a fantasy
 
 
 

   
Carly Fiorina will run for president as a successful tech CEO. Silicon Valley says that's a fantasy
When Carly Fiorina launches her campaign for president this week, her message to the world will be emphatic: what she did for HP, she can do for America.

From spaghetti dinners in New Hampshire to startup conferences in New York, the former head of Hewlett-Packard is expected to keep staking her claim as a pioneering executive prodigy: “It is only in the United States of America that a young woman can start as a secretary and become CEO of the largest technology company in the world,” she recently posted on Facebook, next to a low rating from a pro-choice group that she called “a badge of honor”.

Fiorina, 60, has never held public office. A 2010 run for US senate collapsed amid images of private jets and million-dollar yachts. Now, she hopes the revived record of a dot-com businesswoman will vault her over the otherwise all-male Republican field of mostly professional politicians – or at least lead to a spot as one of their vice-presidential running mates to face Hillary Clinton head-on.

“We went from a market laggard to market leader,” Fiorina has said of her six years running the computer giant. “Unlike Hillary, I have actually accomplished something.”


But those who watched what Fiorina did to HP – mishandling the $25bn acquisition of Compaq, getting ousted by the board in 2005 with a $21m golden parachute, repeatedly being named one of the worst CEOs in American corporate history – say those supposed accomplishments are already coming back to “haunt” her run for the White House.


http://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2015/may/03/carly-fiorina-run-for-president-hewlett-packard

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the last 2 presidents who were "business" guys were Hoover and Bush2.   You know, the great depression Part 1 and 2.

It looks great on paper, but the USA isn't a business, where you can dump the dogs and milk thw cows.  Romney can pick/choose which companies to sell, which to invest in.  You cannot jjust "dump" shitty states with low employment numbers.

You need a manager that can relate to people and manage crisis... not an "investor" who quickly buys cows and dismisses dogs.  (this coming from an MBA and realizing they aren't ideal choices for prez)

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Scott Walker Surges In Iowa



The latest Iowa polling numbers are great news for Scott Walker, and terrible news for Jeb Bush.

The Wisconsin governor retains his advantage among Iowa Republican caucus-goers, according to a new Quinnipiac University poll released Wednesday, with 21 percent of likely participants saying they would vote for him if the caucus were held today.


Bush, the former Florida governor, comes in seventh — with just 5 percent responding that they would vote for him. Only 39 percent said they viewed him favorably, compared with 45 percent who said they did not.

Below Walker and above Bush, the race is tight between Florida Sen. Marco Rubio and Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul at 13 percent, Texas Sen. Ted Cruz at 12 percent and former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee at 11 percent.

Sixty-nine percent of participants said that Walker is honest and trustworthy (versus 11 percent who didn’t), compared with 58 percent to 30 percent who say the same for Bush.

For Rubio, 72 percent to 13 percent said he is honest and trustworthy, while Paul got high marks as well (77 percent to 13 percent).
“More of those surveyed view Bush unfavorably than favorably, compared to Walker’s 5-1 positive ratio. And 45 percent say Bush is not conservative enough. It’s among the GOP conservative base that Bush finds himself trailing Sen. Ted Cruz, former Gov. Mike Huckabee and Sen. Rand Paul,” said Peter Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University poll.


For favorability ratings, no other candidate scored better than Rubio. Just 9 percent of likely caucus-goers said they have an unfavorable opinion of the junior Florida senator, while 69 percent said they viewed him favorably.

“For national unknowns like Walker and Rubio, a fast start in Iowa may be critical to their chances of overall success, while supporters of national names like Bush note that fewer than half of Iowa winners wind up inhabiting the Oval Office,” Brown said.
The poll was conducted April 25-May 4, surveying 667 likely caucus participants via land lines and cellphones with a margin of error of plus-or-minus 3.8 percentage points.

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Scott Walker Surges In Iowa



The latest Iowa polling numbers are great news for Scott Walker, and terrible news for Jeb Bush.

The Wisconsin governor retains his advantage among Iowa Republican caucus-goers, according to a new Quinnipiac University poll released Wednesday, with 21 percent of likely participants saying they would vote for him if the caucus were held today.


Bush, the former Florida governor, comes in seventh — with just 5 percent responding that they would vote for him. Only 39 percent said they viewed him favorably, compared with 45 percent who said they did not.

Below Walker and above Bush, the race is tight between Florida Sen. Marco Rubio and Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul at 13 percent, Texas Sen. Ted Cruz at 12 percent and former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee at 11 percent.

Sixty-nine percent of participants said that Walker is honest and trustworthy (versus 11 percent who didn’t), compared with 58 percent to 30 percent who say the same for Bush.

For Rubio, 72 percent to 13 percent said he is honest and trustworthy, while Paul got high marks as well (77 percent to 13 percent).
“More of those surveyed view Bush unfavorably than favorably, compared to Walker’s 5-1 positive ratio. And 45 percent say Bush is not conservative enough. It’s among the GOP conservative base that Bush finds himself trailing Sen. Ted Cruz, former Gov. Mike Huckabee and Sen. Rand Paul,” said Peter Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University poll.


For favorability ratings, no other candidate scored better than Rubio. Just 9 percent of likely caucus-goers said they have an unfavorable opinion of the junior Florida senator, while 69 percent said they viewed him favorably.

“For national unknowns like Walker and Rubio, a fast start in Iowa may be critical to their chances of overall success, while supporters of national names like Bush note that fewer than half of Iowa winners wind up inhabiting the Oval Office,” Brown said.
The poll was conducted April 25-May 4, surveying 667 likely caucus participants via land lines and cellphones with a margin of error of plus-or-minus 3.8 percentage points.


Should be a pretty competitive race for the GOP nomination. 

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Marco Rubio’s Immigrant Story, and an Aging Party in Search of a Spark
By JONATHAN MARTIN and ASHLEY PARKER
MAY 7, 2015

Marco Rubio last month in Miami. That his parents fled Cuba and worked in humble jobs has sent some Republicans swooning. Credit Joe Raedle/Getty

ANKENY, Iowa — At a recent ice cream social here, Jim Hallihan liked what he heard from Senator Marco Rubio.

He praised the Florida senator’s youthful optimism and his eloquent testimony to the opportunities America offered.

But there was something larger that drew Mr. Hallihan, a former Iowa State basketball coach, to Mr. Rubio, 43, the son of poor Cuban immigrants.

“The day of the older white guy is kind of out,” said Mr. Hallihan, a 70-year-old white guy.

As Mr. Rubio has introduced himself to curious, and overwhelmingly Caucasian, Republican audiences from Iowa to New Hampshire, he has vaulted to the front ranks of the early pack of likely presidential candidates, partly because of his natural political talent. But it may owe just as much to the combination of his personal story and the balm it offers to a party that has been repeatedly scalded by accusations of prejudice.

He says he is highlighting his background only to share his own twist on the American dream — not out of any desire to make history on behalf of Hispanics. But Mr. Rubio and those around him are also acutely aware of the sometimes raw tensions in his party, between those unsettled by an increasingly diverse society and those who say Republicans must embrace the multihued America of 2015.

To the party operatives and donors who have placed long bets on him, and to the rank-and-file primary voters he has impressed, Mr. Rubio’s candidacy seems to affirm the idea that in a free market, anyone can rise without the benefit of connections or wealth. That he did so as the child of Latin American parents who fled an autocratic government and toiled in the humblest of jobs — maid and bartender — has sent some Republicans swooning.

“The identity politics people in the party want a champion who looks like him to mitigate accusations of racism,” said Ben Domenech, a conservative writer. “And the classical conservatives look at him and say, ‘This is somebody who can sell our ideas to the public.’ ”

Conservatives have long had a philosophical contempt for politics driven by gender, racial or class designations. But those sentiments are giving way as the party tries to compete with Democrats, who galvanized support among targeted demographics to decisively win consecutive presidential elections.

Republican voters are overwhelmingly white: The composition of the electorate in almost every contested state during the 2012 party primary was about 90 percent or more non-Hispanic white, according to exit polls.

A New York Times/CBS Poll this week found that 68 percent of Republicans think America is ready to elect a Hispanic president. And after nearly eight years in which Republicans have angrily disputed charges that their opposition to President Obama is rooted in racial animus, Mr. Rubio could serve as an unspoken, but forceful, rebuttal.

“The same things that ignited Democrats about Obama are what will ignite Republicans for Rubio,” said Ed Failor Jr., an Iowa Republican strategist.

Or, as Mr. Domenech put it, “If we look to politicians to make us feel good about ourselves, do you want to go with just another Republican caricature, or somebody who has this unique appeal?”


Mr. Rubio at the First in the Nation Republican Leadership Conference in Nashua, N.H., in April. Credit Ian Thomas Jansen-Lonnquist for The New York Times

Andrea Szewczyk, 51, a Republican and a schoolteacher in Romeo, Mich., who was surveyed in the Times poll, said she believed that Mr. Rubio’s ethnicity could excite the electorate, much as she said Mr. Obama’s identity did. “We’d get some Democrats voting Republican because of it,” she said.

Indeed, much as many white liberals treasured the opportunity to support Mr. Obama, white conservatives may welcome a Bible-quoting, handsome Hispanic capable of evangelizing the gospel of American exceptionalism in two languages.

Mr. Rubio disputes suggestions that he is capitalizing on the history-making potential of becoming his party’s first minority nominee.

“The presidency is too important to say we’re going to share it among ethnicities,” he said in an interview.

Much as Mr. Obama avoided running expressly as a black candidate, Mr. Rubio is uneasy about explicitly invoking his ethnicity in the primary of a party that can seem split between tapping into and trying to overcome white-resentment politics.

Instead, just as Mr. Obama’s talk of “hope and change” in 2008 allowed voters to project their own vision onto the candidate, Mr. Rubio’s campaign is its own Rorschach test.

His advisers assert that Mr. Rubio’s background is compelling to voters across racial lines, many of whom are themselves only a few generations removed from Ellis Island narratives. But they have also studied the voter rolls to see how Mr. Rubio might spur Hispanic turnout in some heavily white states — say, by delivering as few as 5,000 Hispanic votes in Iowa.

Still, if some Republicans love the idea of what Mr. Rubio’s ethnicity represents, others are wary.

Wayne R. LaPierre, chief executive of the National Rifle Association, said at its annual conference last month, “Eight years of one demographically symbolic president is enough,” referring to Mr. Obama and Hillary Rodham Clinton, who, if elected, would be the first female president. (The Republican field includes another Latino, Senator Ted Cruz of Texas, whose father emigrated from Cuba.)

But Mr. Rubio seems mindful of the risks of confronting the most conservative elements of his party over delicate racial issues.

At a candidate forum in New Hampshire last month, he passed up the chance to offer even a gentle reproach to a woman who, citing bilingual store signs and automated phone lines, complained that immigrants were not “coming here and learning English.”

“Well, here’s the bottom line,” Mr. Rubio told her. “If you don’t speak English, you’re not going to prosper economically in America.”

At a similar gathering recently in Iowa, Mr. Rubio recounted vowing to his dying grandfather, in Spanish, that he would study hard and not squander opportunities. But Mr. Rubio told the story in English.

Asked if he was comfortable speaking Spanish on the campaign trail, Mr. Rubio seemed to grow momentarily defensive. “Sure,” he said, adding, “I don’t want to make Spanish illegal.”


Marco Rubio at the announcement of his candidacy in April with his wife, Jeanette, and their children. Credit Joe Raedle/Getty Images

“I’m ultimately saying that you have to have a unifying language where your schools are taught, what your laws are written in and how others communicate with each other,” he continued. “Every nation needs a unifying language; our unifying language is English.”

As for those with dial-1-for-English gripes, Mr. Rubio said, “I know Hispanics that complain about that, especially people in the second or third generation.”

Mr. Rubio has met with some pushback in his party from people who see the country changing and want to stop placating those who are unhappy about it.

“You can’t allow yourself to be pushed back into ‘English only, English only,’ ” said former Representative Henry Bonilla of Texas, a Republican and Mexican-American. “This is the U.S.; our language is English. But we’re in a global economy now, so why wouldn’t you want to know more than one language?”

Mr. Rubio does not entirely avoid speaking Spanish: He frequently gives interviews to Spanish-language journalists, especially in Florida. And in his announcement speech in Miami last month, he shared a saying from his late father: “En este país, ustedes van a poder lograr todas las cosas que nosotros no pudimos,” Mr. Rubio said. Then he translated it: “In this country, you will achieve all the things we never could.”

But he is careful about how he presents his dual identity. In a video his campaign released shortly after he entered the race, Mr. Rubio was shown answering the questions about him posed in frequent Google searches. “What nationality is Marco Rubio?” he said, reading one. “I’m an American — of Hispanic descent.”

By contrast, Jeb Bush, whose wife is Mexican and who often refers to their “bicultural” children, is not so torn: He delights in opportunities to demonstrate his fluent Spanish, and last week he courted voters in Puerto Rico. “I know the power of the immigrant experience because I live it each and every day,” he said there.

The legislative embodiment of the conflicting forces tugging at Mr. Rubio was the effort to overhaul American immigration laws. He helped write a comprehensive bill including a path to citizenship for 11 million undocumented immigrants already in the country. But it died in the Republican-controlled House and provoked outrage from the party’s most reliable primary voters.

Last month, when Mr. Rubio made his first trip to Iowa after announcing his campaign, he was confronted at a closed-door meeting by Mariannette Miller-Meeks, a former congressional candidate, who pointedly urged him not to retreat from an immigration overhaul.

“My advice to Senator Rubio was to be honest with people, be yourself,” Ms. Miller-Meeks said afterward, “because that will carry a lot of weight.”

http://www.nytimes.com/2015/05/08/us/politics/marco-rubio-campaigns-on-his-immigrant-story-cautiously.html?_r=0

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Why is he running?  Last thing we need is another person who has spent most of his career in DC.

Sources: Graham to announce 2016 White House bid on June 1
By Serafin Gómez
Published May 08, 2015
FoxNews.com

Republican Sen. Lindsey Graham plans to announce his presidential campaign on June 1, GOP sources tell Fox News.

Graham, a three-term senator from South Carolina, is known as a foreign policy hawk in Congress. Though he is considered a long shot -- and ranks near the bottom in recent polls of declared and potential Republican presidential candidates -- Graham could help drive the debate on national security among a GOP field that includes candidates who sharply question policies ranging from drone strikes to NSA surveillance.

Graham, however, polls better in his home state of South Carolina, which holds the critical first-in-the-South primary. Graham is considering launching the campaign from Seneca, S.C., where he lives.

A Graham spokesperson would not confirm the June 1 date when reached by Fox News.

Several other Republicans are considering jumping in the race in the coming weeks. Currently declared candidates include: Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas; Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky; Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida; former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee; former HP head Carly Fiorina; and retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson.

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2015/05/08/sources-graham-to-announce-2016-white-house-bid-on-june-1/?intcmp=latestnews

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Why is he running?  Last thing we need is another person who has spent most of his career in DC.

Sources: Graham to announce 2016 White House bid on June 1
By Serafin Gómez
Published May 08, 2015
FoxNews.com

Republican Sen. Lindsey Graham plans to announce his presidential campaign on June 1, GOP sources tell Fox News.

Graham, a three-term senator from South Carolina, is known as a foreign policy hawk in Congress. Though he is considered a long shot -- and ranks near the bottom in recent polls of declared and potential Republican presidential candidates -- Graham could help drive the debate on national security among a GOP field that includes candidates who sharply question policies ranging from drone strikes to NSA surveillance.

Graham, however, polls better in his home state of South Carolina, which holds the critical first-in-the-South primary. Graham is considering launching the campaign from Seneca, S.C., where he lives.

A Graham spokesperson would not confirm the June 1 date when reached by Fox News.

Several other Republicans are considering jumping in the race in the coming weeks. Currently declared candidates include: Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas; Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky; Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida; former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee; former HP head Carly Fiorina; and retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson.

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2015/05/08/sources-graham-to-announce-2016-white-house-bid-on-june-1/?intcmp=latestnews

I'm wondering how they are going to fit all these candidates on stage!?  ???

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I'm wondering how they are going to fit all these candidates on stage!?  ???

Will need a big stage.  I'm looking forward to the debates.  Will be better than the Democrat side, since they have already handed the nomination to Hillary.

Unless Biden jumps in to shake things up.   :)

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I wish drunk uncle joe would run lol.  Better resume than Hilary.  Fact. 

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Amid 2016 appeals to rich donors, middle-class voters, Carson stays focused on poor
Published May 10, 2015
FoxNews.com

As 2016 presidential hopefuls reach out to the country’s vast middle class to win their votes and the White House, Republican candidate Ben Carson is making a personal effort to connect with America’s poor and lower-income families.

Carson, a retired neurosurgeon raised in poverty, on Sunday defended his flat-tax proposal against criticism that it would overburden the poor, saying that notion is “condescending.”

“I grew up very poor,” he told “Fox News Sunday.” “Poor people have pride.”

He also disagreed with the argument that his plan would result in lower-income families paying a tax of 15 to 20 percent, saying the flat-tax is just part of an overall plan that includes putting trillions in federal coffers by closing tax loopholes.

Carson also turned questions about his lack of political experience into a message for Americans who face long odds for success.

“My life has been so full of people telling me what I couldn’t do that I would be more concerned if people told me I could do it,” said Carson, citing his rise through the military’s Reserve Officers' Training Corps program and his leadership of surgical teams and a national scholarship program.

“There’s real life experience, and there’s politics,” said Carson, a first-time candidate, in an apparent reference to career politicians. “There are some good people in the political arena, but I’m not sure that they actually, in many cases, understand real life.”

Carson, an African-American who became a conservative star in part by being critical of President Obama, also defended earlier comments that suggested ObamaCare was like slavery, saying the president’s signature health care law makes Americans "subservient to the government" and "is about control."

“ObamaCare fundamentally changes the relationship between the people and the government,” he told "Fox News Sunday." “The government is supposed to respond to the will of the people, not dictate to the people what they are doing. And with this program, we’re allowing that whole paradigm to be switched around.”

Carson also said the United States should rethink the notion that a president must enforce laws the Supreme Court declares constitutional.

"We need to discuss" the court's long-held power to review laws passed by Congress," he said.

That authority was established in the 1803 landmark case Marbury v. Madison.

When asked whether the executive branch is obligated to enforce laws that the Supreme Court declares constitutional, Carson said, "We need to get into a discussion of this because it has changed from the original intent."

Carson has said a president is obliged to carry out laws passed by Congress, but not what he called "judicial laws" that emanate from courts.

And he said he would not rule out military force against Russia, but that it should be used only if the United States' safety were clearly at risk.

"I would, obviously, do that in consultation with very competent generals and people who are more knowledgeable in that area than I would be," said Carson, who has called Russian President Vladimir Putin a bully. "But, clearly, if the interest and the existence and the safety of the people of the United States was at stake -- and that was the only way to protect them -- of course, I would do whatever was necessary."

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2015/05/10/amid-2016-appeals-to-rich-donors-middle-class-voters-carson-stays-focused-on/

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Well played.   :)

Fiorina answers NBC's website flap questions by snapping up 'ChuckTodd.org'
Published May 11, 2015
FoxNews.com

WASHINGTON –  More than one can play at "domain-gate."

After Republican presidential candidate Carly Fiorina was questioned on NBC's "Meet the Press" by host Chuck Todd about a cyber-squatter snapping up www.carlyfiorina.org and using it to slam Fiorina’s record at Hewlett-Packard, Fiorina answered back.

By laying claim to www.ChuckTodd.org.

During the interview, Fiorina defended her time as HP's CEO from 1995-2005. Afterward, she tweeted to Todd.

Turns out Fiorina’s camp has registered the Chuck Todd domain and redirected all traffic to her campaign website.

This isn’t the first time Fiorina’s team has bought the rights to a domain. She did the same thing when she appeared on Seth Meyers' show last week. The www.SethMeyers.org address continues to forward all users to a pro-Fiorina site.

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2015/05/11/fiorina-teaches-nbc-chuck-todd-lesson-in-domain-names/

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Bloomberg NH Poll: Jeb Loses Lead, 5 Now Vie for Top Spot
Monday, 11 May 2015

There's no clear front-runner in New Hampshire among GOP presidential candidates, according to a new Bloomberg Politics/Saint Anselm New Hampshire Poll.

If the New Hampshire Primary was held today, here's who GOP voters would choose:

 Candidate     1st Choice     2nd Choice
Rand Paul   12 percent   9 percent
Scott Walker   12 percent   12 percent
Jeb Bush   11 percent   10 percent
Marco Rubio   11 percent   9 percent
Donald Trump   8 percent   4 percent
Chris Christie   7 percent   5 percent
Ted Cruz   6 percent   4 percent
Ben Carson   5 percent   3 percent
Mike Huckabee   4 percent   5 percent
Carly Fiorina   3 percent   4 percent
Lindsey Graham   1 percent   0 percent
Bobby Jindal   1 percent   2 percent
John Kasich   1 percent   2 percent
Rick Perry   1 percent   3 percent
Rick Santorum   1 percent   2 percent
None of the Above   3 percent   4 percent
Not Sure   12 percent   6 percent

Rubio, who announced his candidacy April 13, more than doubled his level of primary support since the poll's last sample, in February. Bush, who isn't expected to formally announce until June, dropped five percentage points, his lowest level since the poll started tracking the state's voters in November.
Poll respondent Stephanie Korb, 57, a Republican dental assistant from Belmont, N.H., said she is leaning toward Rubio.

Special: Homeowners in for a Huge Surprise about their Mortgage. Read:
“He seems like a less offensive choice than the others,” she said. “I want to hear what the candidates want to do to turn this country around and you're not hearing that.”

Support for Paul and Walker have remained steady since February. Paul has formally announced his candidacy, while Walker is expected to hold off until June or later.

Donald Trump's 8 percent is up 5 percentage points from February.

Walker does best when first and second choices are combined, a positive sign for his prospects in the state. He's backed by 24 percent in that case, followed by 21 percent for Bush and Paul and 20 percent for Rubio.

“The Republican primary remains as wide open as ever, and there are no signs here that any candidate has a clear route to winning in New Hampshire,” Usher said.

Part of Paul's strength is his ability to attract independent voters, a key group especially in New Hampshire, where they can vote in partisan primaries. He's supported by 18 percent of independents who said they were likely to vote in the Republican primary, easily the most of anyone in the field. That means he's going to want to see the state's Democratic primary remain a lopsided affair, prompting independents to stick with the action on the Republican side and continue to support him.

Bush is relatively weak among independents. While drawing support from 15 percent of Republicans, he has the backing of just 6 percent of independents. That's a potential problem for Bush, especially if he runs poorly in the Iowa caucuses set for the week before New Hampshire's primary. A Quinnipiac University poll released last week showed Bush in 7th place in Iowa, so he might need a top finish in New Hampshire to rebound.

Fred McGarry, 69, a semi-retired engineer from Deerfield, N.H., said he's leaning toward Bush, although the moderate Republican said he wishes he had other choices.

“I'd be happier if his last name wasn't Bush,” McGarry said. “All the others are too far to the right for me and my guess is that some of them will play well in the strongly red states, but not get elected nationwide.”

The poll shows gender differences developing among likely Republican primary voters. Paul does twice as well among men as he does among women, while Rubio does slightly better with women than men. Walker also does slightly better among men. Bush performed equally well among both genders.

“Walker has got a lot of good credibility and his conservative vocabulary is excellent,” said John Van Uden, 79, a retired manager for a farm equipment company who lives in Bedford, N.H. “He knows what he's talking about from his experience as a governor.”

And New Hampshire voters aren't convinced that the next president will be named either Bush or Clinton. Asked to choose which of the two would be the next president, a third of New Hampshire's likely general-election voters said Clinton, 27 percent didn't venture a guess, 22 percent said someone else, and 18 percent said Bush.

Among Republican primary voters, 31 percent say they think another Bush will move into the White House in 2017, while 34 percent say someone else, 24 percent said they're not sure, and 10 percent said Clinton.

Hillary Clinton is the first choice of 62 percent of likely Democratic primary voters roughly nine months before the primary. That's her best showing since November and suggests a recent wave of influence-peddling allegations about her family's foundation as well as the controversy over her use of a private e-mail server while she was secretary of state haven't tarnished her with the party's base.

There are warning signs for Clinton in New Hampshire. Since the last poll in February, three of the top-polling Republican candidates—Bush, Paul, and Rubio—have moved into striking distance and are now within the poll's margin of error of tying her in hypothetical match-ups.

The poll, conducted May 2-6 by Washington-based Purple Insights, shows Bush and Rubio as Clinton's closest competitors in potential head-to-head contests. Both trail her by 2 percentage points. Paul is next, 3 percentage points behind her, followed by Walker, who trails Clinton by 6 points.

Clinton's closest New Hampshire primary competitor, Senator Bernie Sanders of neighboring Vermont, was the first choice of 18 percent of likely Democratic voters. Vice President Joe Biden was at 5 percent and former Maryland Governor Martin O'Malley at 3 percent. Neither Biden nor O'Malley have said they'll run.

“Clinton’s strength in the primary remains historic," said Purple Insights' Doug Usher. "But she’s facing the laws of political gravity among independent voters more quickly than her campaign might have hoped.”

Clinton's numbers with independent voters were destined to fall at some point, Usher said, as the campaign becomes more fully formed and intensely competitive.

Among independent general-election voters in New Hampshire, Clinton is tied or nearly tied with Bush, Paul and Rubio. She does better against Walker with this group, leading 42 percent to 36 percent.

The poll included 500 general-election voters as well as over-samples to have 400 Republican primary voters and 400 Democratic primary voters. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.4 percentage points on general-election questions and plus or minus 4.9 percentage points on primary election questions.

http://www.newsmax.com/Newsfront/Bloomberg-New-Hampshire-poll-Jeb-Bush-Marco-Rubio/2015/05/11/id/643801/#ixzz3Zr6iK3yh

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Jeb Bush to skip Iowa Straw Poll
Jennifer Jacobs, jejacobs@dmreg.com
May 12, 2015

No Iowa Straw Poll for Jeb Bush.

The likely Republican presidential candidate will instead attend a competing event, the RedState Gathering in Atlanta, the day of the Iowa event, GOP sources in Iowa told The Des Moines Register on Tuesday. A spokesman for Bush confirmed the report.

Bush, a former Florida governor, is the first well-known Republican in the 2016 presidential field to officially opt out of the straw poll, a nationally renowned event that has drawn significant criticism over the years.

The Republican Party of Iowa, which hosts the Iowa Straw Poll, has been working to shore up the event's reputation and lure candidates by addressing some of the most prevalent complaints. Last week, Iowa GOP officials announced they'll provide free tent space and utilities for the campaigns. The straw poll has been bashed as having outsized importance, even to the point of having losing candidates drop out of the race. Campaigns sometimes spend hundreds of thousands of dollars at the straw poll as a sort of dry run for the Iowa caucuses.

But for the GOP presidential contenders, whether to compete in the straw poll is more of a risk-reward analysis. For those who compete, the aim is to do better than expected. This cycle, some contenders have said, they intend to focus instead on the caucuses, which will take place in precincts across the state on Feb. 1.

In a statement Tuesday afternoon, Iowa GOP Chairman Jeff Kaufmann told the Register: "We hope Governor Bush rethinks his decision and realizes that grass-roots will only grow in Iowa if he waters them. The RedState Gathering is a four-day event, and other candidates have already indicated that they will be attending both. We don't buy this excuse and neither will Iowans."

Bush for months has been considered a likely abstainer. His rivals tried to raise expectations for him, arguing he had a recipe for a strong showing because he hired top strategists and because Iowa has a long-standing Bush network that should benefit him. Bush's brother won the straw poll in 1999 and his father won it in 1979

But polling has shown that Iowa isn't exactly friendly territory for Bush. In a Register/Bloomberg Politics Iowa Poll from late January, 43 percent of likely Republican caucusgoers rated Bush as mostly or very unfavorable, the second worst after New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie.

More recently, Bush ranked in seventh place out of 14 GOP contenders tested in a April 25-May 4 Quinnipiac University poll. When Quinnipiac asked likely GOP caucusgoers whether there is any candidate they would definitely not support, 25 percent named Bush. Bush was at the top of that negative list.

Bush will be in Iowa this weekend for several events, including a town hall meeting in Dubuque, fundraisers for Republican U.S. Sen. Chuck Grassley and the Republican Party of Iowa's Lincoln Dinner, a big fundraiser that has attracted a total of 11 presidential contenders.

Late Monday, the founder of RedState, Erick Erickson, announced on his blog that Bush, former Hewlett-Packard CEO Carly Fiorina, Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal, former Texas Gov. Rick Perry and Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker would speak during the four-day RedState Gathering Aug. 6-9. The Register was first to report that Bush will address the GOP activists in Georgia on Aug. 8, the same day as the Iowa Straw Poll.

South Carolina U.S. Sen. Lindsey Graham, who is at the bottom of polling in Iowa, will sit out the straw poll, too, he told Radio Iowa in March. To help Kentucky U.S. Sen. Rand Paul do well in the straw poll, a Minnesota GOP aide said he's leaving his Minnesota job to move to Iowa, the Star-Tribune reported Tuesday. But an aide for Paul told the Register Paul is undecided about straw poll participation. Others unwilling to commit Tuesday: Walker, former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee, Florida U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio and others.

So far, none of the presidential contenders have committed to attending the straw poll, but Iowa GOP officials won't send out the formal invitations for a couple more weeks. Texas U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz has said he plans to participate, and his campaign aides say they will review the new rules for the event before officially RSVP'ing.

Republican Party of Iowa officials have said they intend to rally such a big audience of Iowans that the presidential contenders feel pressure to attend. Iowans who buy tickets before May 18 get a $5 discount on the $30 entry fee plus premium parking.

Who competes in the event, which will take place at the Central Iowa Expo in rural Boone, is about gamesmanship. All it will take is for one candidate to jump in who's expected to stay out, or vice versa, to change the dynamics. Some candidates will likely wait as long as possible to reveal their plans.

David Kochel, who will be Bush's campaign manager if he decides to run for president, was among the Iowans who agreed with Iowa Gov. Terry Branstad when he said in November 2012 that the straw poll had outlived its usefulness.

Kochel told the Register in January this year that the unscientific poll is a meaningless exercise because it "artificially drives candidates from the race by forcing them to spend unnecessary resources"; gives other states more ammunition to criticize the caucuses, Iowa's premier event; and, with Michele Bachmann's win in 2011, proved it's no longer predictive of what happens in the caucuses just a few months later.

"It has become completely optional for candidates — each of the last two nominees of our party chose not to participate in the straw poll in the cycle in which they were nominated," Kochel said in January.

http://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/elections/presidential/caucus/2015/05/12/jeb-bush-skip-iowa-straw-poll/27187589/

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Jeb Bush to skip Iowa Straw Poll

What he meant to say is, "Iowa to Skip Jeb".

no way a RINO like that wins in Iowa.  So he pretends "oh, i didn't care anyway" and will rapidly swtich resources there last minute if there's even a chance, ala Romney.

James

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Only 1 Republican running for president scored a 100% conservative rating(Hint: he is from Texas)

Tough job, but somebody has to do it. For the 44th year in a row, the American Conservative Union has released its annual Congressional ratings for lawmakers who either uphold conservative values - or find them akin to kryptonite. The ratings have become a kind of gold standard, the organization says, in holding every member of Congress accountable for their voting record - and their support of limited government, prosperity, individual freedom and traditional values.

“There are several takeaways from ACU’s 2014 Rating of Congress,” says Matt Schlapp, chairman of the group. “First, the liberals in Congress tend to vote together as a block. The Left does a great job of enforcing lockstep orthodoxy, to the detriment of the constituents they represent. When it comes to passing real conservative reforms, the Left collectively obstructs implementation of commonsense economic, national security, and cultural reforms.”

On a 100-point ratings system for their conservative voting records, there are essentially no Democrats in House or Senate who breeched the 40th percentile. Over 30 Democrats had a score of 0 percent this year, including Sen. Tim Kaine of Virginia.

“We can only conclude that the former Democratic National Committee Chairman plans to serve one-term representing the Commonwealth of Virginia before he returns to lead the fringe portion of the liberal activist base,” Mr. Schlapp observes.

A slim few Republicans were rated between 40 and 49 percent on the scale, with the majority of them scoring 60 percent and above. Sixteen earned a 100 percent rating this year, including Sen. Mike Lee and Ted Cruz and Rep. Ron De Santis.

http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2015/may/12/american-conservative-union-releases-its-annual-ra/