True it makes it much more likely. However, and I haven't checked data, biceps tears don't seem that uncommon in the general population. I was surprised to hear that many people knew someone who had this happen. Regular folks. Most aren't even recommended surgery even with a full tear which is what I had, I was discouraged too.
I tore both distal bicep tendons about a year apart. First one I got surgery on, second one I left torn because I didn't want to go through the recovery process again (my recovery was unusually long, surgery took 5 hours instead of 1.5 it should have taken)
Tore both in pretty bad falls mountain bike riding landing on stretched out arm
About 3 years now after the second tear and there is a 10% difference in strength between repaired vs left torn.
Surgery risks far outweigh benefits IMO based on my experience. Biceps don't do much for strength/function.