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Getbig Main Boards => Politics and Political Issues Board => Topic started by: Dos Equis on May 04, 2011, 11:21:49 AM
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My prediction is his numbers will crash again, unless we have a terrorist attack or a miraculous economic recovery. So far, he got an 11 point bump. Not bad, but nothing compared to Bush I or Bush II, both of whom hit about 90 percent after Gulf War I and 9/11.
The one person who really knows what will happen is El Profeta.
Bin Laden death boosts Obama, fears of attack: polls
NEW YORK | Wed May 4, 2011
NEW YORK (Reuters) - President Barack Obama's job approval rating jumped 11 points to 57 percent after the killing of al Qaeda leader Osama bin Laden in Pakistan, but Americans fear another attack, polls showed on Wednesday.
A New York Times/CBS News poll showed the bump in Obama's performance rating -- which it warned could be short-lived -- but also found that more than six in 10 Americans believed the threat of extremist attacks against the United States was likely to increase.
Bin Laden, who had become the face of Islamist militancy since masterminding the September 11, 2001, attacks on the United States, was shot in the head by U.S. forces who stormed his compound in Pakistan on Monday after a decade-long manhunt.
A separate USA Today/Gallup survey of 645 adults showed that 62 percent of Americans believe an act of terrorism is either "very likely" or "somewhat likely" to occur on U.S. soil within the next several weeks.
"The current results indicate Americans are slightly more likely to be worried about a terrorist incident occurring than they were shortly after the London bus and subway bombings in July 2005, but are less worried than at the start of the Iraq war as well as immediately after 9/11," Gallup said.
While fearful that a retaliatory attack could be imminent, 54 percent of those polled by USA Today/Gallup believed the country was safer in the longer term from terrorism.
About 40 percent of respondents in that poll said they were also a lot more confident that the United States can succeed in its "war against Islamic terrorism," while 34 percent said they were only a little more confident.
Nearly half of the 532 people polled in The New York Times/CBS poll said the United States should not decrease its troop levels in Afghanistan, where the hunt for bin Laden began in 2001. Obama plans to start a withdrawal of some U.S. forces from the unpopular war in July.
The bump in Obama's ratings may not last. The New York Times/CBS poll said that former President George W. Bush received an 8-point boost after the capture of Saddam Hussein in Iraq in 2003, but that bounce evaporated within a month.
Obama's popularity had been hurt by economic woes and high gasoline prices. Voters are expected to focus again on domestic concerns crucial to his 2012 re-election prospects.
More than half of respondents in the Times/CBS poll disapproved of Obama's handling of the economy, a similar result to last month's survey.
That poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points while the USA Today/Gallup survey is within 5 points.
http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/05/04/us-binladen-usa-polls-idUSTRE7433UI20110504
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Drudge announced the next day that Rassmussen saw no bump.
Getbiggers said he would get no bump.
So any new articles showing a bump must be faked.
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Drudge announced the next day that Rassmussen saw no bump.
Getbiggers said he would get no bump.
So any new articles showing a bump must be faked.
Which getbiggers made that claim?
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Which getbiggers made that claim?
the stupid ones
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Bwahahaha! Funny morning. ;D
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Flash in the pan at best.
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Flash in the pan at best.
This typically happens after a big military victory. Bush I and II got such a "flash" after their respective Iraq campaigns.
But, we all know what happened to Bush I. And Bush II's numbers plunged during his second term, saddling McCain with the baggage for 2008.
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the stupid ones
so you think he wouldnt see a bump?
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Its like taking a poll of what you think of your gf after she gives you a bj while watching a hockey game.
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Drudge announced the next day that Rassmussen saw no bump.
Getbiggers said he would get no bump.
So any new articles showing a bump must be faked.
CNN didn't show much of a bump. Are they right-wing, too?
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This typically happens after a big military victory. Bush I and II got such a "flash" after their respective Iraq campaigns.
But, we all know what happened to Bush I. And Bush II's numbers plunged during his second term, saddling McCain with the baggage for 2008.
Fucked by Perot.
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It wasn't just Perot. The economy tanked and he waited too long to try and do something about it.
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It wasn't just Perot. The economy tanked and he waited too long to try and do something about it.
Perhaps, but he would have won if Perot hadn't run as an independent.
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Its like taking a poll of what you think of your gf after she gives you a bj while watching a hockey game.
Take a poll of what you think of your gf after spending a weekend w her folks, her shopping, pms, not putting out, etc.
Same shit. Bam a will be back to low 40's in a few weeks.
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Perhaps, but he would have won if Perot hadn't run as an independent.
Not necessarily. No guarantee that the Perot voters would have voted Clinton.
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No big bounce here. He's in real trouble.
Daily Presidential Tracking Poll
Thursday, May 05, 2011
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Thursday shows that 26% of the nation's voters Strongly Approve of the way that Barack Obama is performing his role as president. Thirty-five percent (35%) Strongly Disapprove, giving Obama a Presidential Approval Index rating of -9 (see trends).
This is just a two-point improvement since bin Laden’s death, but it is the president’s best Approval Index rating in nearly three months. Some polls are suggesting a big bounce for the president from the bin Laden news, but those are generally comparing the president’s current numbers with results from about a month ago. Compared to a month ago, Rasmussen Reports polling shows that the president’s Approval Index rating has improved by seven points. Most of the gains occurred in the week before bin Laden’s death.
Eighty-six percent (86%) approve of the president’s decision to authorize the mission targeting bin Laden. Today, 53% give the president good or excellent marks for handling national security issues, up 14 points from a week ago. Concern about terrorist attacks is down slightly from last fall. Just 28% now see an attack as Very Likely over the coming year, down from 35% in November.
The Presidential Approval Index is calculated by subtracting the number who Strongly Disapprove from the number who Strongly Approve. It is updated daily at 9:30 a.m. Eastern (sign up for free daily e-mail update). Updates are also available on Twitter and Facebook
Overall, 49% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the president's performance. Fifty percent (50%) disapprove. Those figures have shown little movement since the news about bin Laden.
One reason for the limited short-term bounce may be that voters are more focused on the economy than national security issues. Currently, when given a list of five broad issues, 45% say that the economy is most important while only 6% name national security issues. Fiscal policy concerns and domestic issues are the top issue for 20% and 15% respectively. Cultural issues attract the same level of interest as national security issues.
. . . .
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll
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lol @ rassmussen!
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Its like taking a poll of what you think of your gf after she gives you a bj while watching a hockey game.
QFT
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Its like taking a poll of what you think of your gf after she gives you a bj while watching a hockey game.
LOL!
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10 Reasons Why the Death of Bin Laden Won't Help Obama In the Long Run
By Robert Maistros
Published May 06, 2011
FoxNews.com
The question already being widely asked by political junkies after the killing of Usama bin Laden: will the immediate bump in the polls for President Obama last? Should we, as "The View" co-host Joy Behar suggested Monday, “just skip the next election?”
The answer in a word: no. In fact, it’s easy to come up with ten reasons why:
1. Who Gets Credit? Within a couple news cycles, the airwaves were already buzzing with controversy over whether President Obama had taken too much credit for the success of the operation. His words were carefully chosen to create the impression that Bin Laden’s capture resulted from initiatives undertaken on his watch. Notably, two words that never passed his lips in assigning credit, among all the “I’s” and “my’s,” were “George Bush.”
Yet the big break in the Usama chase came four years ago, when detainees spilled the beans on the identity of one of bin Laden’s trusted couriers. Moreover, Central Intelligence Director Leon Panetta has acknowledged that valuable intelligence resulted from enhanced interrogation techniques (EIT).
Oops. In 2007, candidate Obama was harshly criticizing his predecessor’s policies on EIT as “an outrageous betrayal of our core values, and a grave danger to our security.”
The president repaired some of the damage by inviting his predecessor to visit Ground Zero. But his initial gracelessness in failing to share credit rapidly tarnished his aura.
2. It’s the Economy, Stupid. Past election cycles have demonstrated that, short of world war, short-term foreign-policy successes won’t overcome a prolonged economic downturn. Today’s headlines can’t obscure the prospect of $5 per gallon gas, rising food prices, continued high unemployment, a potential double-dip recession and trillions of dollars in deficit spending that will produce an extended budget battle.
3. Déjà Vu 1991: A veritable trove of commentators have already weighed in with an obvious parallel: in spring 1991, such leading presidential contenders as Mario Cuomo, Al Gore, Dick Gephardt, Bill Bradley and Jay Rockefeller were scared off by a foreign policy triumph that drove George H.W. Bush’s approval rates to stratospheric heights. A year later, they were kicking themselves when a much more modest recession rendered the incumbent eminently beatable – and Bill Clinton waltzed to the nomination.
4. Attacks from the Left: The very success of the Usama bin Laden initiative is already raising questions from the Moveon.org set. The White House is already on the defensive on how and why Bin Laden was killed, especially with its delayed admission that the terrorist was unarmed when he was assassinated. Plus the mission has already revived attention to his stepped-up use of drones and reversal on closing Guantanamo and led to calls from the left to expedite America’s withdrawal from Afghanistan.
5. Biting the Hand that Feeds Him: President Obama is exulting over an operation carried out by elite troops with expensive technology. Yet the president has called for severe defense cuts that outgoing Defense Secretary Robert Gates has pointedly warned could sap our military strength, and surveys suggest the repeal of "Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell" will result in the defection of exactly this kind of crack forces.
6. The Real Foreign Policy Story of Coming Months? Libya: The stealth story of the weekend was the bombing attack that allegedly killed Mummar Qaddafi’s son and three grandchildren. The obvious question – was this an attempted hit on the dictator? – underscores the reality that Libya is an expensive misadventure with no clear mission, leadership or end game that will increasingly fall into our laps as their own defense cuts stretch the French and British thin.
7. UBL Doesn’t Undo ObamaCare: The president’s greatest vulnerability becomes even more of an issue in 2012. More ObamaCare provisions will kick in, while premiums are projected to continue skyrocketing, and the Supreme Court’s ruling on the individual mandate will create a headache for the administration no matter how it comes down.
8. Culture Wars: Tracking down Bin Laden doesn’t change the fact that President Obama represents values far out of step with mainstream America’s. Also potentially on tap for next year are Supreme Court decisions on California’s Proposition 8 barring same-sex marriage and the Defense of Marriage Act – events that will blow the culture wars wide open again.
9. BHO, Tax-Hiker: The compromise President Obama closed with Republicans last year to avoid the expiration of the Bush tax cuts runs out in 2012, and the president has pledged he will not extend the cuts. Explicitly running as a tax-hiker has not proved a winning strategy in the past – just ask Walter Mondale.
10. Tea, Anyone? The Tea Party, conservative talk TV and radio and the blogosphere – though sharing in the celebration of Bin Laden's – will not give President Obama much breathing room.
Rush Limbaugh was openly mocking the president on Monday and conservative blogs are already re-airing familiar anti-Obama themes.
After 9/11, Democrats were back on the attack against George W. Bush within months. In this case, the president’s “honeymoon” is already waning after a few news cycles.
So my advice to prospective GOP candidates: take a deep breath, and keep focused on November 2012. These days, a week in politics is a lifetime.
Robert Maistros is a Republican strategist.
http://www.foxnews.com/opinion/2011/05/06/10-reasons-death-bin-laden-wont-help-obama-long-run/
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Hill Poll: Obama's bin Laden Bounce Will Fade Fast
Monday, 09 May 2011
By Dan Weil
Many Republican pundits have said during the past week that the jump in President Barack Obama’s approval ratings after the killing of Osama bin Laden is unlikely to last. American voters apparently feel the same way, according to a new poll from The Hill.
Obama, bin Laden, polls, the hillAs for the bin Laden bounce, A New York Times/CBS poll last week showed Obama’s approval rating surged 11 percentage points from two weeks earlier. And Gallup’s daily tracking poll showed Obama’s approval rating rose 6 percentage points right after the bin Laden takeout.
But now, almost 60 percent of American voters think the boost Obama received will disappear within three months, according to The Hill poll. Only 25 percent of respondents think Obama will still benefit from bin Laden’s death six months from now.
Those poll results indicate that the effect of the bin Laden killing on Obama’s re-election prospects might be small. Once the attention fades from bin Laden, the key issues for the 2012 campaign will be economic, according to The Hill.
Voters are obviously concerned about the weak job market, with unemployment at 9 percent. The rise in gasoline prices to more than $4 a gallon in some cities also worries them. And the $1 trillion-plus annual budget deficits as far as the eye can see remain an issue as well.
The unemployment rate is unlikely to drop drastically before Obama faces his fate in the polling booth. Moody’s Economy.com predicts an 8 percent unemployment rate at the end of 2012.
There is some irony here. The financial crisis helped solidify Obama’s victory in 2008, but the lack of a solid recovery could seal his fate next year.
http://www.newsmax.com/InsideCover/Obama-binLaden-Hill-poll/2011/05/09/id/395679
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Gallup: Bush Got Bigger Bounce for Catching Saddam Than Obama Got for Killing Bin Laden
CNSNews ^
Gallup: Bush Got Bigger Bounce for Catching Saddam Than Obama Got for Killing Bin Laden Monday, May 09, 2011 By Terence P. Jeffrey
(CNSNews.com) - President George W. Bush got a bigger bounce in his Gallup job approval rating for capturing Saddam Hussein than President Barack Obama got for killing Osama in Laden.
Obama got a 6-point bounce in his Gallup job approval after he announced that U.S. Navy SEALS had raided a compound in Abbottabad, Pakistan and killed al Qaeda leader Osama bin Laden. Bush got either a 7-point or a 9-point bounce—depending on the day you calculate from (Gallup used both figures)--after he announced that U.S. forces in Iraq had captured alive former Iraqi dictator Saddam Hussein.
Obama’s approval rating was at 46 percent for the three-day period ending on April 30 and again for the three-day period ending on May 1. Late on Sunday, May 1, Obama announced U.S. forces had killed bin Laden. After that, Obama’s job approval climbed for three straight days, peaking at 52 percent for the three-day period ending on May 4.
That equaled the highest job approval Obama has received at any time in the past year.
“Americans' approval of President Barack Obama is up six points after the death of Osama bin Laden in a U.S. raid on the al Qaeda leader's Pakistan compound,” Gallup reported on May 5.
However, Obama’s post-bin-Laden approval remained at its 52 percent peak for just one day.
(Excerpt) Read more at cnsnews.com ...
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Obama's Osama Bounce Fading Fast
FOX Nation ^ | May 9, 2011 | Staff
Pew had found a 9-point Osama bounce (47% to 56%) last week. Today, Pew reports, two-thirds of that bounce is already gone. Obama's approval rating is already down to just 50%.
(Excerpt) Read more at nation.foxnews.com ...
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That is what happens when you can't present a coherent message
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Obama's Post-Bin Laden Bounce Disappears In Gallup Poll
The bump President Obama received after the killing of Osama bin Laden more than two weeks ago in Pakistan has vanished completely, according to the latest Gallup Tracking poll released Monday.
Obama's approval rating is now at 46 percent, equal to his approval rating in the last tracking poll conducted before Obama addressed Americans late on May 1 and informed them of bin Laden's death. Forty-four percent of Americans now disapprove of the job Obama is doing as president.
According to the Gallup poll, Obama's approval rating crested at 52 percent after the bin Laden killing. His disapproval rating never fell lower than 40 percent.
Obama's bounce is smaller in magnitude and shorter in duration than the bumps enjoyed by other presidents over the past 70 years, according to a study by Republican polling firm Public Opinion Strategies. For example, George W. Bush received a 15-point bump after the capture of Saddam Hussein in 2003 -- a bounce that lasted seven weeks.
The poll also comes the same day as Gallup announced that three in four Americans "name some type of economic issue as the 'most important problem' facing the country today -- the highest net mentions of the economy in two years. Those numbers, combined with Obama's fleeting boost, suggest the economy remains -- by far -- the dominant issue of the 2012 presidential campaign.
The Gallup poll was conducted Friday, Saturday and Sunday, surveying 1,547 adults. The margin of error is +/- 2.5 percent.
http://hotlineoncall.nationaljournal.com/archives/2011/05/obamas-postbin.php (http://hotlineoncall.nationaljournal.com/archives/2011/05/obamas-postbin.php)
Well, that was quick. And Bin Laden probably still has meat on his bones.
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Poll: Obama's Ratings on Economy Hit New Low
Tuesday, 07 Jun 2011 07:03 AM
WASHINGTON – Americans' disapproval of how President Barack Obama is handling the economy and its growing budget deficit has reached new highs amid broad frustration over the slow pace of economic recovery, according to a Washington Post-ABC New poll released on Tuesday.
The ratings boost Obama received after the killing of Osama bin Laden has dissipated with his job approval rating back to 47 percent. Forty-nine percent disapprove of his performance.
Obama's approval rating bounced to 56 immediately after bin Laden was killed last month.
Fifty-nine percent, a new high, gave Obama negative marks for his handling of the economy, up from 55 percent a month earlier.
Obama's approval rating on the deficit issue hit a new low of 33 percent, down 6 points since April.
The state of the economy poses a huge challenge for the president, whose re-election in 2012 may depend on his ability to convince voters that his economic policies have been successful.
The survey reflects a broadly pessimistic public mood as high gasoline prices, sliding home values and high unemployment numbers raised concerns about the pace of the U.S. economic recovery, The Washington Post said.
Eighty-nine percent of Americans say the economy is in bad shape; 57 percent say the recovery has not started and 66 percent said the United States was seriously on the wrong track.
Forty-five percent said they trust congressional Republicans over Obama to handle the economy, up 11 points since March.
The poll shows Obama leading five out of six potential Republican presidential rivals but in a dead heat with former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney.
Among all Americans, Obama and Romney are tied at 47 percent each. Among registered voters, Romney is ahead 49 percent to 46 percent.
Romney, the Republican front-runner, last week launched his second presidential campaign, saying Obama's economic policies were to blame for America's many economic woes.
The poll of 1,002 adults was conducted June 2-5 and has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.
http://www.newsmax.com/InsideCover/obama-economy-polls/2011/06/07/id/399059
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Obama loses bin Laden bounce; Romney on the move among GOP contenders
By Dan Balz and Jon Cohen, Published: June 6
The public opinion boost President Obama received after the killing of Osama bin Laden has dissipated, and Americans’ disapproval of how he is handling the nation’s economy and the deficit has reached new highs, according to a new Washington Post-ABC News poll.
The survey portrays a broadly pessimistic mood in the country this spring as higher gasoline prices, sliding home values and a disappointing employment picture have raised fresh concerns about the pace of the economic recovery.
By 2 to 1, Americans say the country is pretty seriously on the wrong track, and nine in 10 continue to rate the economy in negative terms. Nearly six in 10 say the economy has not started to recover, regardless of what official statistics may say, and most of those who say it has improved rate the recovery as weak.
New Post-ABC numbers show Obama leading five of six potential Republican presidential rivals tested in the poll. But he is in a dead heat with former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney, who formally announced his 2012 candidacy last week, making jobs and the economy the central issues in his campaign.
Among all Americans, Obama and Romney are knotted at 47 percent each, and among registered voters, the former governor is numerically ahead, 49 percent to 46 percent.
Overall, about six in 10 of those surveyed give Obama negative marks on the economy and the deficit. Significantly, nearly half strongly disapprove of his performance in these two crucial areas. Nearly two-thirds of political independents disapprove of the president’s handling of the economy, including — for the first time — a slim majority who do so strongly.
In another indicator of rapidly shifting views on economic issues, 45 percent trust congressional Republicans over the president when it comes to dealing with the economy, an 11-point improvement for the GOP since March. Still, nearly as many, 42 percent, side with Obama on this issue.
The president has sought to point to progress on the economy, particularly in the automobile industry, and to argue that the policies he put in place at the beginning of his term are working. But the combined effects of weak economic indicators and dissatisfaction among the public are adding to the political pressures on the White House as the president’s advisers look toward what could be a difficult 2012 reelection campaign.
Meanwhile, Romney emerges in the new survey as the strongest current or prospective Republican candidate in the 2012 presidential field. Although he is by no means in a secure spot, on virtually every measure, the former governor appears better positioned than any of his rivals.
In contrast, the poll brings more bad news for former Alaska governor Sarah Palin, whose bus tour along the East Coast last week renewed speculation that she might join the race.
Almost two-thirds of all Americans say they “definitely would not” vote for Palin for president. She is predictably unpopular with Democrats and most independents, but the new survey underscores the hurdles she would face if she became a candidate: 42 percent of Republicans say they’ve ruled out supporting her candidacy.
More than six in 10 Americans say they do not consider Palin qualified to serve as president. That is a slightly better rating for the former governor than through most of last year, but is another indication of widespread public doubts about a possible presidential run.
The Post-ABC poll asked Republicans and GOP-leaning independents whom they would vote for if a primary or caucus were held now in their state. Romney topped the list, with 21 percent, followed by Palin at 17 percent. No one else reached double digits, although former New York mayor Rudolph W. Giuliani, who has suddenly shown interest in becoming a candidate, is close, at 8 percent. Without Palin in the race, Romney scores 25 percent, with all others in the single digits.
In another measure of the field, Republicans chose Romney as the only one of a dozen possible candidates they would “strongly consider” for the party’s nomination as opposed to stating that they definitely would not vote for him. He and Palin scored equal numbers of respondents who said they would strongly consider supporting them, but Palin has more than double the percentage who have ruled her out.
Other candidates fared poorly on this count, including former House speaker Newt Gingrich (Ga.), whose campaign got off to a rocky start; Rep. Ron Paul (Tex.), a libertarian who has a passionate following but many detractors; and former senator Rick Santorum (Pa.), who announced his candidacy on Monday.
The Massachusetts health-care plan enacted under Romney remains a potentially serious problem in the former governor’s bid. By nearly 2 to 1, Republicans oppose the plan, with strong detractors far outnumbering solid supporters. But there is some potential for him to frame the matter: Almost four in 10 Republicans expressed no opinion about the state’s program.
Overall dissatisfaction with the GOP field remains high, with as many respondents saying they are unhappy with their choices as say they are satisfied. At this time four years ago, nearly seven in 10 Republicans said they were satisfied with their field of candidates.
In head-to-head matchups with Obama, Palin trails by 17 percentage points, the worst of the six possible candidates tested. The president leads Gingrich and former Utah governor Jon Huntsman Jr. by 10 points. He runs 11 points ahead of former Minnesota governor Tim Pawlenty and 13 points ahead of Rep. Michele Bachmann (Minn.).
Romney owes his relatively good standing against the president to support from independents. He and Obama garner roughly equal percentages from those in their own parties. But independents split for Romney 50 percent to 43 percent.
The president continues to receive positive marks as a strong leader, but the 55 percent rating marks a low point of his presidency. He gets mixed reviews on empathy and on sharing the same values as respondents.
The telephone poll was conducted June 2-5 among a random national sample of 1,002 adults. The results from the full survey have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.
Polling manager Peyton M. Craighill and polling analyst Scott Clement contributed to this report.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/obama-loses-bin-laden-bounce-romney-on-the-move-among-gop-contenders/2011/06/06/AGT5wiKH_print.html
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CNN Poll: Obama approval rating drops as fears of depression rise
By: CNN Political Unit
(CNN) – President Barack Obama's overall approval rating has dropped below 50 percent as a growing number of Americans worry that the U.S. is likely to slip into another Great Depression within the next 12 months, according to a new national poll.
A CNN/Opinion Research Corporation poll released Wednesday also indicate that the economy overall remains issue number one to voters, with other economic issues - unemployment, gas prices and the federal deficit - taking three of the remaining four spots in the top five.
Forty-eight percent of people questioned say they approve of how the president is handling his duties in the White House, down six points from late May. An equal 48 percent say they disapprove of how Obama's performing, up three points from late last month.
The poll indicates a slight deterioration among Democrats and independent voters, with the president's approval rating among Democrats down three points to 82 percent and down five points among independents to 42 percent.
"But far and away his biggest drop has come among Republicans. In May, over a quarter approved of President Obama's handling of his job, but that is down to 14 percent now, a clear indication that any advantage he gained from taking out Osama bin Laden has faded with time," says CNN Polling Director Keating Holland.
According to the survey Obama's strength remains his personal appeal: Three-quarters of all Americans say they approve of him personally, including a plurality of Republicans. But positive views of the president's personality may be trumped by economic jitters.
"Obama's approval among Republicans spiked after bin Laden's death, and no one expected it to stay that high for another 18 months. But the White House is probably worried more about the much smaller drops among independents and even Democrats. Those shifts are likely due to concerns about the economy, particularly unemployment," adds Holland.
Forty-eight percent say that another Great Depression is likely to occur in the next year - the highest that figure has ever reached. The survey also indicates that just under half live in a household where someone has lost a job or are worried that unemployment may hit them in the near future. The poll was conducted starting Friday, when the Labor Department reported that the nation's jobless rate edged up to 9.1 percent.
"The poll reminded respondents that during the Depression in the 1930s, roughly one in four workers were unemployed, banks failed, and millions of Americans were homeless or unable to feed their families," says Holland. "And even with that reminder, nearly half said that another depression was likely in the next 12 months. That's not just economic pessimism - that's economic fatalism."
According to the survey, more than eight in ten Americans say that the economy is in poor shape, a number that has stubbornly remained at that level since March.
Not surprisingly, with that much economic angst, the economy is the number one issue, the only one that more than half of the public says will be extremely important to their vote for president next year. Nearly all issues that at least four in ten say will be extremely important to their vote are domestic issues. Terrorism also makes that list, but Afghanistan is fairly low and Libya is tied for dead last out of the 15 issues tested. Abortion and gay marriage also rank very low, indicating that 2012 may be an election that is shaped more by bread-and-butter issues than social and moral concerns.
The CNN/Opinion Research Corporation poll was conducted June 3-7, with 1,015 adult Americans questioned by telephone. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus three percentage points.
http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2011/06/08/cnn-poll-obama-approval-rating-drops-as-fears-of-depression-rise/#more-162510
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Fox News Poll: Obama Approval Drops, Romney Tops GOP Preference
By Dana Blanton
Published June 08, 2011
FoxNews.com
The president’s job rating has returned to pre-bin Laden raid levels, according to a Fox News poll released Wednesday. Currently 48 percent of American voters approve of the job Barack Obama is doing and 43 percent disapprove. Last month, after the death of Usama bin Laden, it was much more positive: 55 approved and 41 percent disapproved (May 2011). Prior to the raid the president’s rating was split evenly 47-47 (April 2011).
The poll finds similar mixed views on the president’s re-election. Nearly half of voters -- 49 percent -- would vote for someone else rather than re-elect President Obama if the 2012 election were held today. Forty-four percent would vote to give him a second term. These results are essentially unchanged from January, the last time this question was asked, when 51 percent said someone else, and 42 percent said re-elect Obama.
Among the president’s party faithful, 82 percent would re-elect him. That’s about the same as the 79 percent of Democrats who said so in January, though down a bit from 87 percent at the beginning of Obama’s term (April 2009).
Click here for full poll report.
The number of Democrats who would “definitely” re-elect Obama stands at 55 percent. That’s the highest since early in his term, when 69 percent said they would definitely re-elect (April 2009).
Republicans are more united in their opposition to the president. Fully 92 percent of Republicans would vote for someone else, including 72 percent who would “definitely” vote for Obama’s opponent.
For independents, 33 percent would vote to re-elect Obama, down from a high of 43 percent in April 2009. Just over half of independents -- 52 percent -- would vote for someone else, which is almost twice as many as the 28 percent who felt that way near the start of Obama’s term.
In the 2008 election, independents were essential to Obama’s victory -- backing him 52 percent to Republican John McCain’s 44 percent (Fox News exit poll).
. . .
http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2011/06/08/fox-news-poll-obama-approval-drops-romney-tops-gop-preference/
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Barring any black swan events, I really think he is going down like mondale or dukakis.
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Barring any black swan events, I really think he is going down like mondale or dukakis.
I hope he goes down like Carter. Before Osama, I thought something like a terrorist attack could help keep him in office. Now I'm not so sure, given the small Osama bump he got, and the fact it was gone so quickly.
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People are really hurting as a result of the inflation he caused in food and energy.
He is a joke, a fraud, a sham, a con artist, a liar, a hack, an embarassment, an incompetent hack, a thief, a madoff, a grifter, a pick pocket, a thug, and overall disgusting slob.
People are getting really tired of being broke, wo jobs, wo hope, wo direction, and wo any sense of leadership.
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Rasmussen Poll: Voters prefer “Generic Republican” to President Obama
Hotair ^ | 06/09/2011 | Tina Korbe
By 45 percent to 42 percent, likely U.S. voters said they would prefer a generic Republican candidate to President Barack Obama in a 2012 presidential matchup, according to a poll released this week by Rasmussen Reports. That’s the second week in a row Obama has “lost” to a faceless candidate.
Men especially want a president from the Grand Old Party — they gave the generic candidate an eight-point boost over Obama. Middle-income voters also favored the Republican. Younger voters, not surprisingly, favored the incumbent, and the vast majority — 96 percent — of black voters also supported Obama.
Importantly, though, in every Rasmussen 2012 election poll of this year, Obama has had support of no more than about 42 percent to 49 percent. As the poll summary points out, “An incumbent who earns support below 50 percent is generally considered politically vulnerable.” That impression is especially underscored by this most recent poll.
Thank you, Mr. Rasmussen, for recognizing what so few pollsters seem to: Head-to-head match-ups between Obama and specific candidates for the Republican nomination cannot possibly reflect the extent to which the voting public just might want to see a change in the White House.
True, in those one-to-one comparisons, Obama consistently edges out all the GOP potentials except for former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney — and that suggests voters still tend to think of Obama as more prepared for the presidency than any of the right’s primary contenders. In fact, the Rasmussen poll confirms that:
Interestingly, however, while 54 percent of voters view Obama as qualified to be president, former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney is the only Republican 2012 hopeful that a sizable number of voters considers qualified for the White House. Forty-nine percent (49%) say Romney is qualified to be president.
But that will change when Republicans have an actual nominee. Voters will automatically start to look at that candidate as from a slightly more presidential cast.
In the meantime, the two-week trend away from Obama and toward a generic GOP-er appropriately mitigates the impression created by polls that show Obama outstripping GOP candidates who haven’t yet had a chance to make a powerful impression on the national stage.
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Poll: Only 30% Would Vote for Obama Today
Wednesday, 22 Jun 2011 10:03 AM
Americans are growing more dissatisfied with President Barack Obama’s handling of the economy and say it will be hard to vote to re-elect him without seeing significant progress over the next year and a half.
By a margin of 61 percent to 37 percent, a Bloomberg National Poll conducted June 17-20 shows Americans say they believe that Obama will have had his chance to make the economy “substantially better” by the end of 2012.
Only 30 percent of respondents said they are certain to vote for the president and 36 percent said they definitely won’t. Among likely independent voters, only 23 percent said they will back his re-election, while 36 percent said they definitely will look for another candidate.
“As far as the economy goes, I don’t see that he has delivered on the change that he promised,” said Sharon Ortiz, a 38-year-old independent voter from Hampton, Virginia, who supported Obama in 2008. “The jobs that he promised -- I haven’t seen it.”
At the same time, Americans are skeptical that Republican control of the White House and Congress will be a better prescription for their economic wellbeing. Sixty percent said that any Republican candidate will need to move so far to the right on fiscal and social issues to win their party’s nomination that it will be very hard to back the nominee.
Voter Intensity
Even so, the intensity among respondents who strongly agreed about judging Obama on his record of job creation was higher -- 45 percent versus 33 percent -- than those worried about a Republican nominee pushed to the right.
With unemployment and jobs ranking as the most important issue facing the country and lawmakers mired in debates to cut the nation’s long-term debt, the poll’s findings underscore a central challenge for Obama’s re-election team: making the 2012 campaign a choice between competing visions for the country’s future rather than a referendum on his job performance.
“So far Obama’s doing an OK job, not as great as I was hoping for,” said Pam Kaltenbach, 62, a Democratic voter from Chillicothe, Ohio, who supported Republican presidential candidate John McCain in 2008. “But now the Republicans don’t understand the working man. They don’t tax the rich more, they just want to take away the programs that are needed by the middle class.”
Medicare Worries
In the poll, 49 percent of respondents said they’re worried about Republicans gaining control of the White House and Congress and following through on pledges to slash funding for benefit programs like Medicare and Medicaid, outnumbering the 40 percent who said they are concerned about another term for Obama and a continuation of current spending policies. Among independents, 47 percent said they are worried about a Republican takeover compared with 37 percent who are concerned about maintaining the status quo.
“I still want them to cut the deficit and debt, but it’s been growing for years,” said Mark Rawls, 44, an independent voter from Orlando, Florida. “If you cut the deficit now, you might cut the legs of people who are trying to get jobs and on Medicare.”
The poll of 1,000 adults was conducted by Selzer & Co., a Des Moines, Iowa-based firm. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points.
Reagan Ratings
Obama’s ratings dip is reminiscent of former President Ronald Reagan’s early years in office when he was struggling to manage a slowing economy. Seventeen months before Election Day, Reagan’s presidential approval rating was 43 percent -- and he won a second term in a landslide. Obama’s overall job approval stands at 49 percent, with 44 percent disapproving.
The only performance category in which Obama’s approval ratings were higher than his disapproval ratings was dealing with terrorism. Less than two months after the killing of al- Qaeda leader Osama bin Laden, 69 percent of Americans -- including 51 percent of Republicans -- said they approved of his performance on terrorism, while 27 percent didn’t.
With the president poised to announce his plans for withdrawing troops from Afghanistan, the poll found that 53 percent of Americans support a gradual pullout over the next couple years compared to 30 percent who want them to come home immediately.
It’s the Economy
Ultimately, the survey showed, Obama’s presidential campaign will hinge on whether the economy improves rather than national security issues.
Recent data shows the recovery losing steam and, with a jobless rate of 9.1 percent, the president has few fiscal options to stimulate the economy. Lawmakers are debating how to cut the nation’s long-term deficits and raise the $14.3 trillion debt-ceiling.
Vice President Joe Biden is leading talks with congressional leaders to reach a deal on reducing the federal- debt ahead of an Aug. 2 deadline, when the Treasury Department projects the government risks defaulting on its obligations -- which Obama has warned would be “disastrous.”
Republicans are insisting on trillions of dollars in savings and no tax increases in exchange for a vote to increase the debt ceiling. Democrats have refused to allow major cuts to the Medicare government health insurance program for the elderly, which is contributing to the debt.
Debt Default
Americans are split, 45 percent to 46 percent, on whether Republicans should hold out for more spending cuts even if the delay leads the government to default on its obligations. Only 19 percent say such an outcome would be catastrophic, suggesting such warnings from lawmakers, economists and Wall Street executives aren’t resonating with the public. Still, 52 percent of Americans say a default would be a serious problem.
“Maybe I don’t really understand what all that means if the U.S. defaults, but I do know the other route and I do know what that means,” said Jerry Reynolds, 66, a Democratic voter from Apache Junction, Arizona, who won’t vote again for Obama. “They need to do more on this budget, they need to quit spending money on these wars that are not doing us any good. It’s costing us people and its costing us money.”
By a slight margin, Republicans would be held more accountable than Obama should the financial markets fall as a result of a failure to raise the debt ceiling. Forty-four percent said they would fault Republicans for digging in their heels on spending cuts, while 41 percent would blame Obama for resisting their demands.
Economy Performance Ratings
Obama’s performance ratings drop significantly when the focus turns to his management of the economy, jobs and deficits. By a margin of 61 percent to 32 percent, Americans disapprove of the job Obama is doing to tackle the budget deficit. Fifty-seven percent of respondents disapproved of his efforts to create jobs and overall 57 percent disapproved of his handling of the economy.
“I voted for him in 2008 because of the financial crisis, the housing crisis and he was new and fresh and it seemed like he had energy and ideas to make headway in this,” said Rawls. “He needs to bring the unemployment numbers down.”
http://www.newsmax.com/InsideCover/barackobama-poll-economy/2011/06/22/id/400939
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Most of those clowns are named 240, benny, blacken, straw, chad, TA, KC, Andre, Chimps, Lurker, etc
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Obama sinking like a rock in Gallup.
44 percent. Done.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls
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Wow. Dropped two more points on Gallup. Down to 42 percent.
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I smell trouble. :)
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Nah - bachman had a run in her panty hose, all is well.
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CNN Poll: Drop in liberal support pushes Obama approval rating down
By: CNN Political Unit
Washington (CNN) – President Barack Obama's approval rating is down to 45 percent, driven in part by growing dissatisfaction on the left with the president's track record in office, according to a new national survey.
A CNN/ORC International Poll also indicates that the Republican "brand" is taking a beating in the minds of Americans.
Read full results (pdf).
The survey's Friday release comes as the Obama administration and top congressional officials continue talks on a potential deal tying roughly $3 trillion in new savings over the next decade to an increase in the nation's debt ceiling. If Congress and the President fail to raise the country's $14.3 trillion limit by August 2, Americans could face rising interest rates, a declining dollar and increasingly jittery financial markets, among other problems.
According to the poll, the president's 45 percent approval rating is down three points from June. Fifty-four percent of people questioned disapprove of how Obama's handling his duties, up six points from last month. His 54 percent disapproval rating ties the all-time high in CNN polling that the president initially reached just before last year's midterm elections.
"But drill down into that number and you'll see signs of a stirring discontent on the left," says CNN Polling Director Keating Holland. "Thirty-eight percent say they disapprove because President Obama has been too liberal, but 13 percent say they disapprove of Obama because he has not been liberal enough - nearly double what it was in May, when the question was last asked, and the first time that number has hit double digits in Obama's presidency."
Looking at that figure another way, roughly one in four Americans who disapprove of the president say they feel that way because he's not been liberal enough.
Obama's approval rating among liberals has dropped to 71 percent, the lowest point in his presidency. And the number of Democrats who want the party to renominate Obama next year, now at 77 percent, is relatively robust by historical standards but is also down a bit since June.
"It's likely that this is a reaction to some of Obama's recent actions, including his willingness to discuss major changes in Social Security and Medicare as part of the debt ceiling negotiations," adds Holland.
Some congressional Democrats appeared to be on the verge of open revolt against their own president Thursday night after hearing some of the details in the $3 trillion plan - a package many of them contend does not do nearly enough to ensure wealthier Americans share in the burden of stemming the tide of Washington's red ink.
Those Democrats are desperately trying to protect some of their party's primary legacies - entitlements such as Social Security and Medicare, programs forged at the height of the New Deal and Great Society.
On the other side of the negotiating table, the poll indicates that GOP is also not faring all that well. Fifty-five percent say they have an unfavorable view of the Republican party, a seven-point increase since March. The Democratic party's favorable rating is not much better, but it has held steady.
And only 37 percent say the policies of the Republican leaders in Congress would move the country in the right direction - a nine-point drop since the start of the year, when the GOP took over control of the House of Representatives.
"Although most Americans say that Obama is not doing enough to cooperate with the GOP, even more say that the Republicans need to cooperate more with the president," says Holland.
The poll was conducted for CNN by ORC International on July 18-20, with 1,009 adult Americans questioned by telephone. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus three percentage points.
– CNN Deputy Political Director Paul Steinhauser contributed to this story.
http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2011/07/22/cnn-poll-drop-in-liberal-support-pushes-obama-approval-rating-down/#more-168390
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New polls confirm Obama's Democratic base crumbles
LA Times ^ | 7/26/11 | Andrew Malcolm
With all of the spotlights on the high-stakes debt maneuverings by President Obama and Speaker John Boehner the last few days, few people noticed what Vermont's Sen. Bernie Sanders said:
"I think it would be a good idea if President Obama faced some primary opposition."
This is political treason 469 days before a presidential election. Yes, yes, this is just a crusty old New England independent for now, albeit one who caucuses loyally with Harry Reid's Democratic posse.
But while most of the media focuses on Republican Boehner and the tea party pressures on him to raise the debt limit not one Liberty dime, Sanders' mumblings are a useful reminder that hidden in the shadows of this left-handed presidency are militant progressives like Sanders who don't want to cut one Liberty dime of non-Pentagon spending.
(snip)
Strong support among liberal Democrats for Obama's jobs record has plummeted 22 points from 53% down below a third. African Americans who believe the president's measures helped the economy has plunged from 77% to barely half.
Obama's overall job approval on the economy has slid below 40% for the first time, with 57% disapproving. And strong disapprovers outnumber approvers by better than two-to-one.
(Excerpt) Read more at latimesblogs.latimes.com ...
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Gallup: Obama's Weekly Job Approval Ties Term Low of 43%
Gallup.com ^ | July 25, 2011 | by Frank Newport
PRINCETON, NJ -- President Barack Obama averaged a 43% job approval rating for the week of July 18-24, tied for the lowest weekly average of his administration. Obama's rating at this point is lower than President Bill Clinton's ratings were in the fall of 1995 when he was embroiled in a budget dispute similar to the one Obama faces now.
Clinton's job approval rating was above 50% during most of the shutdown, and continued at that level from February 1996 through the November election, which he won. Obama's job approval ratings in recent weeks have been significantly lower.
(Excerpt) Read more at gallup.com ...
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A New Low… Obama’s Job Approval on Economy Slides Below 40%
Gateway Pundit ^ | July26,2011 | Jim Hoft
Boy, were we duped… In Obama’s final ad of the 2008 campaign he asked, “Are you better off now than your were 4 years ago?”
A new poll shows that Obama’s overall job approval on the economy has slid below 40% for the first time. Andrew Malcolm at the LA Times reported:
Now, comes a new ABC News/Washington Post poll with a whole harvest of revelations, among them, strong indications that Obama’s liberal base is starting to crumble. Among the nuggets:
Despite those hundreds of billions of blown stimulus dollars and almost as many upturn promises from Joe Biden, 82% of Americans still say their job market is struggling. Ninety percent rate the economy negatively, including half who give it the worst rating of “poor.”
Are You Better Off Today Than Jan. 20, 2009?
A slim 15% claim to be “getting ahead financially,” half what it was in 2006. Fully 27% say they’re falling behind financially. That’s up 6 points since February.
A significant majority (54%) says they’ve been forced to change their lifestyle significantly as a result of the economic times — and 60% of them are angry, up from 44%…
…Obama’s overall job approval on the economy has slid below 40% for the first time, with 57% disapproving. And strong disapprovers outnumber approvers by better than two-to-one.
(Excerpt) Read more at thegatewaypundit.com ...
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Dropping like a rock.
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Dropping like a rock.
According to Necrophiliac - Obama is raging in glory and popularity.
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According to Necrophiliac - Obama is raging in glory and popularity.
you are bumping old threads, you get spanked in every argument we have from your lies on global warming to your obvious hate for democrats.
Obama took office in a very difficult time, it is hard to say any would have turned things around quickly, it was admitted as such. However, he hasn't done a bang up job, so you are either trolling by posting false information or just stupid. I sincerely hope that you are trolling because if this is how many americans view the current issues, the world may suffer.I hope not because my area has just seen economic growth while it has previously been the poorest province in canada ever since its inclusion.
Minimum wage was 6 bucks 10 years ago.
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polls are meaningless 18 months out...
...unless they make obama look bad, in which case they're golden.
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Obama reelect numbers soften, poll says
By Scott Clement
Amid spiking disillusionment with the political process, Americans are split on whether to blame President Obama or Republicans for the S&P credit downgrade or Washington’s generally out-of-touch behavior, according to a new Washington Post poll.
Obama’s political standing is weaker in the aftermath of the fierce debt negotiations, especially among liberals. There’s also stronger opposition than support for a second term among swing voting groups who backed him in 2008, including independents and women.
More than four in 10 Americans say they "definitely will not" support Obama in 2012, while fewer than half as many, just two in 10, are certain to back the president for reelection. The number of “definite” Obama voters marks a low in polls since November 2009 and has dropped four percentage points since a Post-ABC poll in June, and eight points since April.
Support for Obama has softened considerably on the left: In the new poll, 31 percent of liberals say they are certain to vote for Obama next year, down from 46 percent in June. One in five liberals says they “definitely will not” vote for him, while a 43 percent plurality says they’ll considering casting a ballot for Obama.
Obama’s 2008 election was fueled by winning majorities of key swing groups, including political independents, women and voters under age 50. But with 15 months left before Election Day, more than three times as many independents say they “definitely will not” vote for Obama in 2012 as say they “definitely will” — 45 percent versus 14 percent. And among women and those under 50, more say they’ll definitely oppose than definitely support Obama next year.
Lack of enthusiasm about awarding Obama a second term hasn’t translated into support for the current GOP nominees among swing voting groups. Asked in a mid-July Post-ABC poll how they would vote if the election were held today, political independents, moderates, women and adults under age 50 chose Obama over Mitt Romney, Rick Perry (R-Texas) and Michele Bachmann (R-Minn.), three top contenders for the Republican nomination. The margins are closer among registered voters, but even then only Romney pulls even with Obama among independents, 47 percent to Obama’s 48 percent.
Read the full poll results .
http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/behind-the-numbers/post/obama-reelect-numbers-soften-poll-says/2011/07/12/gIQA1tBQ9I_blog.html
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http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_obama_job_approval-1044.html
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Obama Lands First Negative Approval Score in New York in Quinnipiac Poll
National Journal ^ | August 12, 2011 | Rebecca Kaplan
Perhaps nothing sums up the precariousness of President Obama's reelection chances better than a Quinnipiac Poll released on Thursday morning. In "the most heavily Democratic large state" (in the estimation of National Journal's Almanac of American Politics), 49 percent of voters disapprove of the job the president is doing, while only 45 percent approve--the first time that Obama has received a negative score in New York, according to Quinnipiac.
Voters split 48 percent to 46 percent over whether he deserves reelection. This in a state that Obama won with 63 percent of the vote three years ago. Still, he has managed to hold onto a lead over a generic Republican, with 49 percent saying they would vote for him to 34 percent for the GOP candidate.
“The debt-ceiling hullaballoo devastated President Barack Obama’s numbers even in true-blue New York,” said Quinnipiac Poll Director Maurice Carroll.
The poll clearly reflected the toll that the summerlong debate on the debt ceiling took on the president’s popularity. The high disapproval rate represented a huge drop from his June 29 approval rating of 57 percent, compared with 38 percent disapproval. Disapproval rose among all three party identifications: Democrats (a 7-point increase), Republicans (a 12-point increase), and independents (a 9-point increase).
The poll of 1,640 registered voters contacted by land line and cell phone was taken between August 3 and 8; it has a margin of error of +/- 2.4 percentage points.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
DONE!
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He's in some serious trouble.
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Gallup: Obama Approval Hits All-Time Low of 39%
Sunday, 14 Aug 2011
By Newsmax Wires
President Barack Obama’s approval numbers have hit an all-time low, falling below 40 percent for the first time in Gallup’s daily tracking poll. New numbers that Gallup posted today put the president’s approval at 39 percent, compared with 54 percent disapproval.
Obama’s approval rating has been nestled in the 40 percent range for much of this year, although it peaked at 53 percent in the weeks after U.S. forces killed Osama bin Laden, the Los Angeles Times noted.
The president’s ratings declined steadily during the debt-ceiling debate, finally falling below 40 percent in Gallup’s Aug. 11-13 tracking.
“The polling setback comes as the Republican race to unseat him has kicked into overdrive,” noted the Times, which noted that his three-day Midwest bus tour starting Monday aims to blunt Republican attacks.
http://www.newsmax.com/InsideCover/Obama-gallup-approval-president/2011/08/14/id/407248
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180 will tell you that there's nothing to worry about. :-X
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According to 180 obama is better than tj, gw, etc.
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He'll get another bump from the Osama movie in October 2012, but will take a beating when the Supreme Court tosses the individual mandate in Obamacare.
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He'll get another bump from the Osama movie in October 2012, but will take a beating when the Supreme Court tosses the individual mandate in Obamacare.
He's not going to get much of a bump from that. October is a very down movie month and a movie about Osama isn't going to change that. There's a reason you never seen blockbusters released in October. It's too late for the summer movie rush and too early for the big Oscar-type productions to come out.
It'll do about $20 million and be forgotten by election day.
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He's not going to get much of a bump from that. October is a very down movie month and a movie about Osama isn't going to change that. There's a reason you never seen blockbusters released in October. It's too late for the summer movie rush and too early for the big Oscar-type productions to come out.
It'll do about $20 million and be forgotten by election day.
I agree about the overall timing for movie release purposes. I'm not saying this will help him ride to reelection. It will help his popularity a bit, but the economy is so screwed up he will still lose. He has shown himself to be a completely ineffective leader.
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He is not trying to be a leader. He is trying to collapse the nation.
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He'll get another bump from the Osama movie in October 2012, but will take a beating when the Supreme Court tosses the individual mandate in Obamacare.
By the time that movie hits, he could be in the 20s.
Besides, the left will have the fun task of explaining why they castigated Bush for even mentioning 9/11, during his re-election campaign, while they try to use Bin Laden's death to save Obama's hide.
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It won't phase them, they will try anything at all to save this disaster they put in to office.
Funny too - since these pieces of garbage still blame bush, will they do so if there is a recovery?
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August 15, 2011
At 39%, Obama's Reminded the Worst Could Lie Ahead
By David Paul Kuhn
There it was: 39 percent. Floor broke. Threshold crossed. The close of Barack Obama’s awful week. One more awful August. On Sunday, for the first time of his presidency, Obama’s public approval rating dipped below 40 percent in the Gallup Poll.
Now polls are like life. The older one becomes, the less remarkable the ebbs and flows become. Or the longer the trend line, the smaller the blips seem. But some poll numbers capture more. Gallup has an innate symbolism. As gold standards do. And 39 percent is emblematic of that oldest incumbent problem: selling hard times.
The poll bookends an historically bad week. The atmospherics presidents dread. There is the mercurial stock market, trending more down than up. Last week, consumer sentiment hit its lowest point since the dusk of Jimmy Carter’s presidency.
The Carter-Obama comparison is as cliché as it is disconcerting (for Democrats). Carter’s undoing can be cast as rare. Lyndon Johnson would surely have lost in 1968. But he did not run. Carter was the first Democratic president defeated since … 1888.
Every presidential campaign is a rerun of the past. Just as every reelection campaign is a referendum on the present. In 1888, Republicans’ previous nominee, James Blaine, aided the current GOP nominee, Benjamin Harrison. Blaine hit hard: “The Democratic Party in power is a standing menace to the prosperity of the country.”
Today’s messages are distilled for a bumper sticker world. Mitt Romney’s motto: “Obama isn’t working.” So the playbook instructs. Bad times. Keep the heat on the incumbent. Thumbs up or down. Never mind me. He isn’t working. “It is time to get America working again,” said the newcomer to the 2012 race, Rick Perry, in his announcement last week. So we recall Ronald Reagan’s knockdown question. “Are you better off than you were four years ago?”
Standard & Poor’s first downgrade of U.S. debt begs that political attack. It’s like the 39 percent mark. The fact alone is small. What it evokes is not.
But let us save the White House its talking points. The election is not tomorrow. Polls can also rise. The 2010 electorate (whiter, older) is not the 2012 electorate (browner, younger). There’s the fact every White House favors: incumbent candidates won nearly three of every four contests since the Civil War. The eventual Republican nominee will seek a referendum. Challengers do in hard times. But Obama will do what incumbents do. Attack the alternative. Frame the challenger as too small for the task.
Obama has some rotten campaign frames to choose from. “It could have been worse.” The counter-factual rarely works. “You may think I’m bad, but he’s worse.” That can work.
“The life of every human being on Earth can depend on the experience and judgment and vigilance of the person in the Oval Office,” a Carter ad went. America was comfortable enough in Reagan’s judgment to vote against Carter’s.
That pitch sometimes does connect, however. George W. Bush won reelection in 2004 with a 48 percent approval rating. Romney is said to be Republicans’ strongest general election candidate. And maybe he is. But Romney begs Bush’s 2004 strategy. Presidential contests are contests between two characters and contests of character. I’ve long belabored this point. But Romney must fear it. The flip-flopper attack could break him.
But name a GOP contender, and you can prefigure the attack. Every candidate is vulnerable. Even superman had kryptonite. That brings us to Reagan, or how many recall him. (What would an analysis of GOP prospects be without referencing Reagan?)
It’s been said, since Reagan, that no GOP candidate is Reagan. But even Reagan was not yet Reagan. Not at this point in the cycle. Many mock Bachman’s gaffes and disposition (see the recent Newsweek cover). But any student of politics would remind us: they mocked Reagan too.
In 1979, candidate Reagan cited an absurdly fictional study that found “80 percent of air pollution comes not from chimneys and auto exhaust pipes, but from plants and trees.” Ted Kennedy quoted the line during his famous convention address. The dig earned rousing laughter from delegates. But we know who got the proverbial last laugh.
That’s what Obama’s 39 percent signifies. Republicans may not have to win it. But Obama is on track to lose it.
Tracks can change. He’ll bump back into the forties. And political junkies will watch every hard threshold for Obama, wondering, is it his worst times or a harbinger of worse times?
Pundits sometimes turn Obama’s frown upside down. How remarkable Obama’s numbers are! In these hard times. This was said when he was in the mid forties. It’s a misread of the physics of contemporary politics. We are in a hyper-partisan age. Democrats secure Obama’s floor. W’s approval never dipped below 50 percent among Republicans, even when only a fifth of independents and 5 percent of Democrats approved.
W’s approval rating did not fall to 39 percent until autumn 2005. Bill Clinton fell to 37 percent in his first term. But Clinton had a booming economy at his back by 1996. Obama surely will not.
Presidential elections are not, literally, national referendums. In 1888, the Democrat won the popular vote but lost the Electoral College. Yet national standing certainly counts.
No one number predicts presidential prospects. But if you must pick one, pick the presidential approval rating. There is a range where the floor gives out. There have been eleven campaigns since the Second World War. Only W won with an approval below 50 percent. Yet Gerald Ford lost in the same range. There's no magic number. But Obama must likely be in, at least, the high forties to win term two.
Does that mean he’s Grover Cleveland or Carter? It’s worth recalling how bad it got for Carter. His rating bobbed in the low thirties and high twenties in 1979. And Carter still made a race of it. Obama will too. The opponent will matter. Perhaps 39 percent matters most there. It affirms that the right candidate can beat him. Does that fertilize pragmatism? Maybe.
In 2004, Democrats worried they would pull a Democrat: snatch defeat from the jaws of victory. They went pragmatic. John Kerry. And they lost. There’s no obvious prescription for Republicans. Some candidates deserve better odds than others. But most any candidate could win at 39 percent.
This White House has long ached for its political environment to improve. But the Gallup threshold also reminds us that, for Obama, it could still get worse.
David Paul Kuhn is the Chief Political Correspondent for RealClearPolitics and the author of The Neglected Voter: White Men and the Democratic Dilemma. He can be reached at david@realclearpolitics.com and his writing followed via RSS.
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:o
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Rasmussen Daily Presidential Approval Index (-23) 16 AUG 2011
Rasmussen Reports ^ | August 16,2011
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Tuesday shows that 19% of the nation's voters Strongly Approve of the way that Barack Obama is performing his role as president. Forty-two percent (42%) Strongly Disapprove, giving Obama a Presidential Approval Index rating of -23
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Obama underwater in New Jersey (NY State Low Approval Rating Not an Outlier)
Hotair ^ | 08/17/2011 | Ed Morrissey
That poll showing Barack Obama underwater in New York may not have been an outlier after all. Quinnipiac finds Obama’s approval plunging neighboring — and nearly-as-blue — New Jersey. While Chris Christie’s numbers have rebounded a little, Obama’s have slid to a new low:
President Barack Obama is headed in the wrong direction as New Jersey voters disapprove 52 – 44 percent of the job he is doing, down from a 50 – 46 percent positive score June 21 and the president’s lowest score ever in the Garden State.
Again, the gender gap is huge as men disapprove 60 – 37 percent while women approve 51 – 44 percent. Turning thumbs down on Obama are Republicans 93 – 6 percent and independent voters 57 – 39 percent. Democrats approve 77 – 17 percent. …
New Jersey voters say 49 – 45 percent that Obama does not deserve to be reelected, but say 45 – 37 percent that they would vote for Obama over an unnamed Republican challenger in the 2012 presidential race.
The independent vote is a big issue, although perhaps not in New Jersey as much as elsewhere. Democrats enjoy a large advantage in registration in the Garden State. In 2008, exit polls showed Democrats comprising 44% of the vote, compared to 28% for Republicans and independents alike. Obama cruised to a 57/42 win in New Jersey while only getting a 51-47 split among independents — and a 14/85 among Republicans.
A big turnout of Democrats would still lift Obama to a win in New Jersey, but these numbers suggest that might be a little more difficult this time around. Obama won Democrats 89/11 in 2008 when Hope and Change still filled the air. He’s now down to a 77/17 in a deep-blue state — not bad, but indicative of a loss of enthusiasm. That indicates a loss of turnout, and a big reversal among independents could make the race close in New Jersey. That will have Democrats spending money in what is almost always a safe state on defense, which will prevent them from spending it in battleground states.
New Jersey would still be a long shot for Republicans in November 2012, but the sudden underwater status of his approval in two solidly blue states means that Obama will have to work harder than anyone thought necessary just to maintain traditional Democratic ground.
Update: This Survey USA poll in Portland, Oregon doesn’t bode well for Obama, either. In a deep-blue West Coast city like Portland, Obama’s favorability rating is … 41/45. Among independents, it’s 34/49, and it’s only 67/18 among Democrats. Obama manages to be underwater among both men and women, too.
________________________ __________________
Wow
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Bus Tour Bust: Obama’s Approval Drops Back Into 30s, Says Gallup
cnsnews.com ^ | 8-17-11 | Terrence P. Jeffrey
President Barack Obama’s politically charged but taxpayer funded bus tour through the Midwest turned into a bust yesterday with his approval rating dropping back to its all-time low of 39 percent in the Gallup poll.
Obama’s approval in the Gallup poll had first dropped into the 30s three days ago, hitting 39 percent just as he began his bus tour. Then it rose to 41 percent two days ago, before dropping back to its all-time low of 39 yesterday.
Tuesday’s bus tour was highlighted by Obama’s verbal encounter with Tea Party activist Ryan Rhodes at a townhall meeting in Decorah, Iowa. Rhodes wanted the president to tell him why Vice President Joe Biden had likened Tea Party activists to terrorists while the president was touting civility.
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The Bagdad Bob Bus Tour = fail.
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;D
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Gallup: 71% Disapprove of Obama's Performance on Economy
Thursday, 18 Aug 2011
By Newsmax Wires
Americans’ disapproval of President Barack Obama’s handling of the economy has skyrocketed to an all-time high of 71 percent, according to a new Gallup poll.
The mark is tied with disapproval of the president’s handling of the federal deficit, and only slightly lower than the 65 percent who think he is bungling job creation, according to the Aug. 11-14 poll of 1,008 adults.
The economic disapproval is 11 points higher than it was when Gallup measured it most recently, in May, and well above the previous high of 63 percent in November. The 55 percent disapproval of his performance on Afghanistan is up 15 points since May.
The increasing angst about the president’s performance coincides with his declining overall job approval, which fell to an all-time low of 39 percent during the weekend, and inched back to 41 percent in this poll.
Similarly, Americans' satisfaction with conditions in the United States is tanking, with the 11 percent satisfaction that Gallup records in another poll released today hovering just four percentage points above the all-time low in October 2008.
In addition, the satisfaction poll found that 76 percent of Americans cite economic issues as the most important problem facing the country, the highest percentage since April 2009, according to the Princeton, N.J., polling giant.
The 11 percent satisfaction number is the lowest since December 2008, Gallup said. It represents a five-point drop from July and nine points since June.
“The dip is likely a response to the recent negotiations to raise the federal debt ceiling and continued concern about the national economy amid a volatile stock market,” Gallup’s analysis says. “The recent downing of a U.S. military helicopter in Afghanistan resulting in the deaths of 30 U.S. servicemen could also be contributing to Americans' glum mood.”
The results continue a long slump in national satisfaction, which has been below 30 percent since September 2009, below 40 percent since August 2005, and below 50 percent since January 2004, Gallup says. The historical average satisfaction rating since 1979 is 40 percent. The all-time high was 71 percent in February 1999.
Higher numbers of Democrats, at 19 percent, say they are satisfied than Republicans, at 9 percent, and independents, at 8 percent.
The most commonly mentioned specific problems are the economy in general, at 31 percent; unemployment or jobs, at 29 percent; and the federal budget deficit and federal debt, at 17 percent.
http://www.newsmax.com/InsideCover/Obama-Gallup-approval-economy/2011/08/18/id/407782
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Gallup: Latino Approval of Obama Plunges to 49%
Friday, 19 Aug 2011
By David A. Patten
Hispanic-Americans are souring on the Obama presidency, according to a Gallup poll that shows just 49 percent of them approve of his job performance.
That’s a huge decline since spring of 2009, when Obama registered the 85 percent approval among Latinos.
Since that high water mark, Obama’s job performance ratings with Hispanics has been sliding downward. It reached a nadir of 45 percent in late July but has made a slight comeback since then, according to CNSNews.com.
The survey was conducted before Homeland Security chief Janet Napolitano’s announcement Thursday that the department no longer will depart illegal aliens who meet certain criteria, such as attending school, having family members in the U.S. military, or who are primarily responsible for other family members’ care.
http://www.newsmax.com/InsideCover/obama-latino-approval-rating/2011/08/19/id/408007
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38 percent? :o
http://www.gallup.com/poll/113980/Gallup-Daily-Obama-Job-Approval.aspx
ONE AND DONE - GTFO 2012!
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New CNN Poll: 65% give Obama thumbs down on economy
By: CNN Political Unit
Washington (CNN) - Only a third of all Americans approve of how President Barack Obama is handling the economy, according to a new national survey.
And with a CNN/ORC International Poll also indicating that more than three-quarters of the public say the country is in bad shape right now, there's little wonder why the president is getting such low marks.
According to the poll, released Wednesday morning, 28 percent of people questioned say things are going well in the country today.
"That may be a slight uptick from early August but it still represents a double-digit drop from earlier this year," says CNN Polling Director Keating Holland. "And it's clear that economic jitters are a drag on President Obama's standing with the voting public."
Obama gets good marks for his handling of international issues. Six in ten approve of his handling of terrorism and roughly half like his track record on foreign affairs in general and Libya in particular.
And 53 percent say they trust Obama as the nation's commander-in-chief.
But only 34 percent approve of how the president is handling economic issues, with 65 percent saying they disapprove of how he’s handling the economy. Thirty-three percent give him a thumbs up on the budget deficit and 37 percent approving of how he's dealing with unemployment.
"Two-thirds of Democrats continue to approve of Obama's economic record, but seven out of ten independents disapprove. Not surprisingly, more than nine out of ten Republicans also disapprove of how Obama is handling the economy,” adds Holland.
According to CNN poll numbers released last week, the president's overall approval rating stands at 45 percent.
The CNN/ORC International Poll was conducted August 24-25, with 1,017 adult Americans questioned by telephone. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus three percentage points.
–CNN Deputy Political Director Paul Steinhauser contributed to this report.
http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2011/09/01/new-cnn-poll-65-give-obama-thumbs-down-on-economy/
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Poll: Obama Approval at All-Time Low
Thursday, 01 Sep 2011
U.S. voters say Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney would do a better job handling the economy than President Barack Obama and more Americans than ever think the president is doing a poor job, according to a new poll.
The Quinnipiac University survey found that 46 percent of voters favor Romney’s skills in recharging the economy, while 42 percent opt for Obama. At the same time, 52 percent disapprove of Obama’s job performance, compared with 42 percent who approve. In July, 46 percent in the poll disapproved of Obama’s job performance and 47 percent approved.
Obama plans to give a speech next week detailing plans to spur job growth. Improvement in the economy is the key to turning around views of his presidency, said Peter Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute in Hamden, Connecticut.
“The best news for the president is that voters still blame former President George W. Bush rather than Obama for the economy,” Brown said in a statement released by the university. “One can only imagine what Obama’s approval rating might look like if that ever changes.”
Almost half of voters surveyed said the economy is getting worse, compared with 11 percent who see it as getting better. That is a drop from a July Quinnipiac poll in which 32 percent said the economy was worsening and 23 percent saw improvement.
Voters do trust Obama on the issue more than they trust Republicans in Congress or Republican presidential candidate Michele Bachmann, a Minnesota congresswoman, the poll found. They were split when asked about presidential contender Rick Perry, the Republican governor of Texas.
The Aug. 16-27 poll found that 43 percent of the 2,730 registered voters surveyed favored Obama on the economy, compared with 41 percent who favored Perry. The poll’s margin of error is plus or minus 1.9 percentage points.
http://www.newsmax.com/InsideCover/BNCOPY-BNSTAFF-BNTEAMS-BUSINESS/2011/09/01/id/409399
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Obama's Disapproval Rating Hits 50 Percent, Poll Finds
Published September 17, 2011
NEW YORK – President Barack Obama's disapproval rating has hit 50 percent for the first time since he took office, according to a New York Times/CBS News poll published late Friday.
The poll, conducted after Obama's economic address to Congress last week, shows worrying signs for the president, with 72 percent of Americans saying they believed the country was on the wrong track and more than half fearing the economy was either already in, or at least headed for, a double dip recession.
Obama's personal approval rating dipped to 43 percent, down from 48 percent in early August, while 57 percent of people disapproved of the way he is handling the economy.
With unemployment sitting at near ten percent, the issue of jobs overtook the economy as the most important problem facing the country. Thirty-two percent of respondents chose jobs as their most pressing issue, up from 26 percent in June.
Forty-eight percent of respondents said they were somewhat confident or very confident Obama's American Jobs Act would create jobs and improve the economy.
Still, more people disapproved of the way Republicans were handling their job in Congress than Democrats, with 72 percent of respondents disapproving of Republican lawmakers, compared to a disapproval rating of 63 percent for Democrats.
In the battle for the Republican presidential nomination, the poll found that 23 percent wanted to see Texas Gov. Rick Perry nominated, ahead of Mitt Romney on 16 percent. Newt Gingrich and Michele Bachmann were tied for third on seven percent.
The poll was based on telephone interviews conducted Sept. 10-15 with 1,452 adults throughout the US. The margin of error was +/- three percentage points.
http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2011/09/17/obamas-disapproval-rating-hits-50-percent-poll-finds/
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Rasmussen Poll: 64% of Undecided Reject Obama
Monday, 19 Sep 2011
By Henry J. Reske
President Barack Obama’s disapproval rating among undecided voters has reached 64 percent. Among those who would prefer a third party candidate, Obama has an approval rating of 13 percent and disapproval rating of 87 percent, a new Rasmussen Reports poll shows.
“Put it all together, and the president earns approval from just 22 percent of those who currently are uncommitted to either a Republican candidate or Obama,” the Rasmussen poll analysis says. “Seventy-eight percent of this group disapprove. These figures include 3 percent who strongly approve of the president’s performance and 49 percent who strongly disapprove.”
Regardless, the survey of 3,000 likely voters between Sept. 10 and 15 found that 44 percent preferred Obama and 38 percent the Republican candidate. Ten percent wanted somebody else, and 8 percent are undecided.
When matched up against individual candidates, Mitt Romney polled slightly ahead of Obama, Texas Gov. Rick Perry trailed the president by seven points, and Rep. Michele Bachman trailed by double digits.
http://www.newsmax.com/InsideCover/Rasmussen-Obama-poll-disapproval/2011/09/19/id/411524
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Rasmussen Poll: 64% of Undecided Reject Obama
Monday, 19 Sep 2011
By Henry J. Reske
President Barack Obama’s disapproval rating among undecided voters has reached 64 percent. Among those who would prefer a third party candidate, Obama has an approval rating of 13 percent and disapproval rating of 87 percent, a new Rasmussen Reports poll shows.
“Put it all together, and the president earns approval from just 22 percent of those who currently are uncommitted to either a Republican candidate or Obama,” the Rasmussen poll analysis says. “Seventy-eight percent of this group disapprove. These figures include 3 percent who strongly approve of the president’s performance and 49 percent who strongly disapprove.”
Regardless, the survey of 3,000 likely voters between Sept. 10 and 15 found that 44 percent preferred Obama and 38 percent the Republican candidate. Ten percent wanted somebody else, and 8 percent are undecided.
When matched up against individual candidates, Mitt Romney polled slightly ahead of Obama, Texas Gov. Rick Perry trailed the president by seven points, and Rep. Michele Bachman trailed by double digits.
http://www.newsmax.com/InsideCover/Rasmussen-Obama-poll-disapproval/2011/09/19/id/411524
This is huge if these poll numbers are accurate and if they carry into next year. There is no hope for Barry if this continues.
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Obama Approval Hits New Low on RCP
Pundit Press ^ | 9/20/2011 | Thomas Ferdousi
President Obama has a lot to worry about in the coming weeks. The economy appears to be slipping again, the media is actually reporting on the Solyndra scandal, and he faces an increasingly confident Republican field.
Now it appears that the public is catching up with all of his problems. For months, even as the public grew dissatisfied with the way the country was headed, Obama's approval did not slip as much as it could have. Now, with not one, but two polls showing him below 40%, he is doing worse.
In the Real Clear Politics average of the major polling indices, the President has fallen to his lowest level yet. While his disapproval has not reached that point currently, he is just coming off his record disapproval.
(Excerpt) Read more at punditpress.com ...
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Latest McClatchy/Marist poll: 39% Approval Rating for Obama, Lowest of Presidency
McClatchy-Marist ^ | September 20, 2011 | Marist
President Barack Obama faces a litany of bad news. The president’s job approval rating, his favorability, and his rating on the economy have hit all-time lows. To compound matters, three in four Americans still believe the nation is in a recession and the proportion who thinks the country is moving in the wrong direction is at its highest point in more than a decade. President Barack Obama
According to this McClatchy-Marist Poll, the president’s approval rating is at 39% among registered voters nationally, an all-time low for Mr. Obama. For the first time a majority — 52% — disapproves of the job he is doing in office, and 9% are unsure.
(Excerpt) Read more at maristpoll.marist.edu ...
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This is huge if these poll numbers are accurate and if they carry into next year. There is no hope for Barry if this continues.
Agree. He was able to tap into independents and "undecided" voters in 2008. Now that he is a known quantity, and his record stinks, he will not get those voters this time around.
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Poll: 56% of surveyed think Barack Obama is worse President, or just as bad, as George W. Bush
BY JOHN LAUINGER
DAILY NEWS STAFF WRITER
Saturday, September 24th 2011, 4:00 AM
Saul Loeb/Getty
George W. Bush, President Barack Obama, George H.W. Bush, Bill Clinton and Jimmy Carter in the Oval Office of the White House.
Daly: They don't remember cause of this mess
Obama is the most admired man in U.S.
In key states, Latino vote fueled Obama's victory
Obama buoyed by Hispanic voters
Why Obama thanks Cheney
Kirchick: Who are left-wing haters to point fingers at McCain?
More than half of those surveyed in a new poll - 56% - say that President Obama has been worse in the White House, or just about the same, as George W. Bush.
A result, from a USA Today/Gallup poll out Friday, could not have gone over well with Obama's political strategists.
"The fact that less than half of Americans say Obama has been a better president than Bush, given the low regard Americans have for the Bush presidency, poses a clear challenge for Obama," Gallup's website declared in a breakdown of the poll, which surveyed 1,004 Americans, living in all 50 states, from Sept. 15-18.
Those surveyed were asked to rate Obama's presidency against Bush's, and also against Bill Clinton's, by choosing one of three answers: better, worse or about the same.
The problem for Obama is that too many - 22% of those surveyed - gave the same-as-Bush answer. Bush left office dogged by widespread discontent and bleak economic developments, creating a national angst that Obama rode to the White through his promise of change.
So for Obama, as an incumbent, and especially one who vowed he would improve the country's lot, the same-as-Bush answer is really a negative response.
And as the Gallup analysis points out, Obama needs to convince voters that the country is better off now than it was the day Bush permanently traded the Oval Office for his Texas ranch.
"The outcome of presidential elections, particularly for incumbent presidents, largely turns on performance evaluations," the analysis reads. "If Americans are generally happy with the state of the nation, they are generally likely to re-elect the incumbent. If they are dissatisfied, the incumbent is at risk of defeat."
Only 12% said they believe Obama is doing a better job than Bill Clinton. Among Democrats, only 20% said Obama tops Clinton, but 51% said they were about the same.
Obama, predictably, took a pounding among Republicans, with just 9% saying he has been a better chief executive than Bush. Among Independents, that percentage was somewhat better but by no means encouraging: 33%.
With the election little more than a year away, Obama is staring at a lengthy campaign checklist, topped by the need to quiet liberal disenchantment and to play up the moves he made that many political observers credit with pulling the economy back from the brink of full-blown depression.
But, as Obama maneuvers for a second term against the backdrop of bitter partisan bickering on the Hill, the dreadful economy is a major problem for him, as the Gallup analysis stresses.
"Voters may give Obama more leeway because of the poor state of the nation when he took office; and as of now, they appear to be doing so, as Americans still blame Bush more than Obama for the country's economic problems," according to the analysis, citing an earlier poll.
That poll, also by USA Today/Gallup earlier this week, found that 7 out of 10 Americans blame Bush either a great deal or a moderate amount for the current economic mess. But that poll also found that 53% assigned blame to Obama for the economy.
And while Obama has time to make improvements and sway voters, as the Gallup analysis suggests, there is another way of looking at things, as former New York Times executive editor Bill Keller outlined in a column.
"In our political culture, if you inherit a problem and do not fix it, you own it," Keller wrote in a piece posted on todayonline.com.
"So at some point it became the popular wisdom that Iraq and Afghanistan were 'Obama's wars,' and that the recession had become 'Obama's economy.'"
jlauinger@nydailynews.com
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This may be partly a function of Bush's increased popularity since he left office, but it will it more difficult for Obama to run against Bush again.
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Obama is a sad joke.
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Ya think? This is pretty funny. :)
Fox News Poll: Majority Says as a CEO, Obama Would Have Been Fired
By Dana Blanton
Published September 29, 2011
FoxNews.com
Sept. 28: President Barack Obama delivers his third annual back-to-school speech at Benjamin Banneker Academic High School in Washington.
If Barack Obama were president of a major U.S. company, he’d be fired by now. That’s what American voters think -- by a 52-38 percent margin.
Fifty-six percent of independents think a corporation’s board of directors would have already handed Obama his pink slip. Nearly a quarter of Democrats also believe Obama would be out (23 percent).
In Obama’s real job as president, a Fox News poll released Thursday found that while 43 percent of voters approve of his performance, just over half -- 51 percent -- disapprove.
A month ago, 44 percent approved and 47 percent disapproved (August 29-31).
Click here for the poll results.
Among those who approve of the job Obama is doing as president, 15 percent think he would have been fired if he were in the private sector.
Eight in 10 Democrats approve (80 percent) of the job Obama’s doing, while nine in 10 Republicans disapprove (90 percent).
President Obama receives 31 percent approval among independents, which matches a previous record low in August. Over half of independents -- 55 percent -- disapprove.
Moreover, nearly half of independents (47 percent) say Obama’s policy positions have “significantly changed” since taking office and two-thirds (67 percent) describe their feelings about the administration as “disappointed” or “angry.”
Overall, 40 percent of voters have positive feelings about the administration (7 percent “very happy” and 33 percent “satisfied”), while a 58-percent majority feel the opposite (38 percent feel “disappointed” and 20 percent “angry”).
Most Democrats have positive feelings toward the White House. Still, one in four (25 percent) is “disappointed” or “angry.” Those negative views could be driven in part by the fact that just 17 percent of Democrats think, as president, Obama has stayed true to his campaign positions.
In general, 13 percent of voters think Obama has stayed true to his campaign positions, 45 percent think he has made small changes, and 40 percent think he has significantly changed his positions since taking office.
Meanwhile, a record-high 83 percent of voters disapprove of the job Congress is doing. Republicans (86 percent), independents (86 percent) and Democrats (80 percent) alike give lawmakers a thumbs-down.
Few -- 11 percent -- approve of Congress. That’s up one point from a record-low 10 percent approval in early August.
One example of voter skepticism about lawmakers: almost as many (47 percent) think the Social Security system will go broke before Democrats and Republicans agree how to fix it as think the parties will work together to fix the system before it runs out of money (49 percent).
Solyndra a Problem for Obama?
The poll asked voters about the $535 million dollar government loan to the now-bankrupt solar company Solyndra. The same number (46 percent) suspect the loan involved unethical behavior as think it was a good faith loan that went bad.
It is not surprising that most Republicans (75 percent) think something unethical happened. The bad news for the White House: 51 percent of independents and 19 percent Democrats agree.
The Fox News poll is based on landline and cell phone interviews with 925 randomly chosen registered voters nationwide and was conducted under the joint direction of Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R) from September 25 to September 27. For the total sample, it has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3 percentage points.
http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2011/09/29/fox-news-poll-majority-says-as-ceo-obama-would-have-been-fired/
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Not according to 240. He probably thinks Obama deserves a massive bonus plus stock options.
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Back down to 39%
http://www.gallup.com/poll/113980/Gallup-Daily-Obama-Job-Approval.aspx
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Back down to 39%
http://www.gallup.com/poll/113980/Gallup-Daily-Obama-Job-Approval.aspx
He better go to the Rose Garden and make a speech.
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He better go to the Rose Garden and make a speech.
Christies is tied with him.
Ron Paul is tied with him
he is so done.
2012 is going to be almost an apoloclyptic reckoning against the communist left like we have never seen.
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Christies is tied with him.
Ron Paul is tied with him
he is so done.
2012 is going to be almost an apoloclyptic reckoning against the communist left like we have never seen.
I pretty much agree. I'm not sure it will be a blowout, but I don't see him winning in 2012.
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I pretty much agree. I'm not sure it will be a blowout, but I don't see him winning in 2012.
Disagree. 2010 is going to look like NOTHING compared to what is coming in 2012. 2010 was the warm up. 2012 is the main event to take out these communist pieces of garbage.
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Disagree. 2010 is going to look like NOTHING compared to what is coming in 2012. 2010 was the warm up. 2012 is the main event to take out these communist pieces of garbage.
Certainly possible. I don't care if he loses by 1 percent or 20 percent, so long as he's gone.
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Christies is tied with him.
When did he become a candidate?
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When did he become a candidate?
Rasmussen is running numbers today. I actually think Christie is jumping in.
he beats Romney and perry by a mile for sure and will probably do away with huntsman, bachmann, newt, santorum,
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Rasmussen is running numbers today. I actually think Christie is jumping in.
he beats Romney and perry by a mile for sure and will probably do away with huntsman, bachmann, newt, santorum,
As of right now, I agree... I still gotta admit I like Paul.
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As of right now, I agree... I still gotta admit I like Paul.
Me too, but i have a few practical reservations about Paul, nothing related to issues though.
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Obama approval plummets in NH
By: CNN Political Producer Rachel Streitfeld
Manchester, New Hampshire (CNN) - Sixty-five percent of New Hampshire residents disapprove of President Obama's handling of the economy, according to a new poll.
The American Research Group's September 2011 Quarterly New Hampshire Poll also found the president's approval rating in the first-in-the-nation primary state is pegged at 31%.
Dante Scala, a political science professor at the University of New Hampshire, said the notable shift in Obama's support is among undeclared, or independent voters. Sixty-seven percent of undeclared voters in the state say they disapprove of how the president has handled the economy.
Even though New Hampshire's unemployment rate is much lower than the national figure, Scala said voters here are affected by rampant displeasure in the economy.
Obama lost New Hampshire's primary to Hillary Clinton in 2008 but triumphed over John McCain here with 54% in the general election. The state carries four electoral votes.
The American Research group poll was conducted by telephone from September 25-29, surveying 547 adults in New Hampshire. The sampling error was plus or minus 4.2 percentage points.
http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2011/09/30/obama-approval-plummets-in-nh/#more-178408
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Newest state where Obama’s approval is underwater: Connecticut
Hot Air ^ | 30 Sep 2011 | Allahpundit
Posted on September 30, 2011 7:18:00 PM EDT by mandaladon
He won there in 2008 by 22 points, but no worries, Democrats. He still leads Romney there today — by, er, two points. Look on the bright side: If fully 100 percent of the public said that the economy stinks instead of the 90 percent who say it now, it might be a dead heat.
You know who this poll benefits? Ahem:
Obama’s poor showing in Connecticut is mostly a function of his own unpopularity. Despite having won it by 23 points in 2008 his approval numbers are now under water at 48/49. That represents a 17 point net shift in the wrong direction since PPP last polled the state in March- at that time Obama’s approval was a positive 55/39 spread. The decline has come because he’s unpopular with independents (41/53) and also because an unusually high 20% of Democrats disapprove of the job he’s doing.
Romney’s favorability is 41/42, not great numbers but better than he is doing in most states. In the head to head with Obama he takes independents by 12 points at 48-36 and gets crossover support from 14% of Democrats while losing just 9% of the Republican vote.
(Excerpt) Read more at hotair.com ...
DONE!
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So his approval rating was 43.9 percent as of 19 October. Will be interesting to see if he gets a post-Qaddafi bump.
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Newest state where Obama’s approval is underwater: Connecticut
Hot Air ^ | 30 Sep 2011 | Allahpundit
Posted on September 30, 2011 7:18:00 PM EDT by mandaladon
He won there in 2008 by 22 points, but no worries, Democrats. He still leads Romney there today — by, er, two points. Look on the bright side: If fully 100 percent of the public said that the economy stinks instead of the 90 percent who say it now, it might be a dead heat.
You know who this poll benefits? Ahem:
Obama’s poor showing in Connecticut is mostly a function of his own unpopularity. Despite having won it by 23 points in 2008 his approval numbers are now under water at 48/49. That represents a 17 point net shift in the wrong direction since PPP last polled the state in March- at that time Obama’s approval was a positive 55/39 spread. The decline has come because he’s unpopular with independents (41/53) and also because an unusually high 20% of Democrats disapprove of the job he’s doing.
Romney’s favorability is 41/42, not great numbers but better than he is doing in most states. In the head to head with Obama he takes independents by 12 points at 48-36 and gets crossover support from 14% of Democrats while losing just 9% of the Republican vote.
(Excerpt) Read more at hotair.com ...
DONE!
Hahaha, if he's losing Connecticut.... Outside of Fairfield County this state is about as leftist as it gets.
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Hahaha, if he's losing Connecticut.... Outside of Fairfield County this state is about as leftist as it gets.
Oh I think the Aloha State could give you a run for your money. :)
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Oh I think the Aloha State could give you a run for your money. :)
I live in NYC and spend most of my time in lower Westchester. trust me - I know far leftists and communists more than most.
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I live in NYC and spend most of my time in lower Westchester. trust me - I know far leftists and communists more than most.
I'm surrounded by them too. This is how out of touch these people are: I had the displeasure of listening to a state senator give a speech the other day, and she mentioned a "bipartisan" committee she sits on. There is ONE Republican senator (out of 25) in our state senate. I felt like walking out. ::)
At least your voters don't completely have tunnel vision in polls. You should see some of the incompetent numbskulls they put in office here (and send to DC).
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I'm surrounded by them too. This is how out of touch these people are: I had the displeasure of listening to a state senator give a speech the other day, and she mentioned a "bipartisan" committee she sits on. There is ONE Republican senator (out of 25) in our state senate. I felt like walking out. ::)
At least your voters don't completely have tunnel vision in polls. You should see some of the incompetent numbskulls they put in office here (and send to DC).
Rangle?
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Rangle?
I actually like him (his recent scandal aside). Your folks sent Peter King to DC, so at least they can vote for someone who isn't a liberal hack (like Schumer).
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I actually like him (his recent scandal aside). Your folks sent Peter King to DC, so at least they can vote for someone who isn't a liberal hack (like Schumer).
Oh please! Nita Lowey, nydia Velasquez, Gary Ackerman, wiener, Gillibrand, Serrano, nadler, etc.
We send the Star Wars bar scene to DC every year.
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Oh please! Nita Lowey, nydia Velasquez, Gary Ackerman, wiener, Gillibrand, Serrano, nadler, etc.
We send the Star Wars bar scene to DC every year.
Not defending those guys, just saying NY voters do put some Republicans in office.
Over here, all four of our Congressional delegation are liberal Democrats. Our governor is a liberal Democrat. We have one Republican state senator (out of twenty-five). We have eight (?) Republicans in the State House (out of twenty-five). We have a conservative mayor, but the entire city council is made up of liberal Democrats. It's pretty brutal.
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Harris Poll: Obama Inspires Limited Confidence
Tuesday, 25 Oct 2011
By Greg McDonald
President Barack Obama’s approval ratings on the economy and his overall domestic policies remain dismal, according to a new Harris Interactive poll. Making matters worse for the president, about 73 percent of those surveyed said they are not confident his administration can do anything to make things better.
The online survey of 2,463 adults between October 10 and 17 found that the president’s domestic policy approval rating is at 23 percent, which is slightly above where it was a month ago in a previous Harris survey.
Overall, 77 percent of those surveyed said they had a negative view of Obama’s job performance in office thus far, particularly on the economy. Last month 79 percent of those polled gave the president negative marks.
The criticism on his handling of the economy was up among Republicans. Ninety-Five percent who identified themselves as GOP supporters said they had a negative view of the president’s job performance.
At the same time, 93 percent of those who called themselves conservatives said they also had a negative view.
But the survey also indicated a continuing problem for Obama within his own party and among moderate Independents: More than half — about 56 percent — of those who identified themselves as Democrats said they also have a negative view of the president, while 83 percent of those calling themselves Independent voters gave him negative marks as well. Fifty-seven percent of poll participants who identified as liberal also gave him a negative rating.
In addition to the 73 percent who expressed little confidence in his administration’s ability to turn things around, only 20 percent of adults polled said they expect the economy to improve in the coming year.
http://www.newsmax.com/TheWire/Obama-poll-confidence-limited/2011/10/25/id/415628
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Obama's Approval Dismal in Swing States
Friday, 04 Nov 2011
By Paul Scicchitano
If a dozen swing states really do hold the keys to the White House, a new USA Today and Gallup poll finds that voters in those states may be a tough sell on a second term for President Barack Obama.
The debut Swing States survey reveals that voters in the so-called battleground states overwhelmingly report — by a margin of 60 to 37 percent — that they and their families aren’t better off than they were before Obama was elected three years ago.
That was the same question that drew an exclamation from House Speaker John Boehner, R-Ohio: “Are you kidding me?” Boehner added, “Why don’t you go ask the 14 million Americans who are out of work whether they’re better off today than they were four years ago?”
It was also a nod to the question that then Republican presidential hopeful Ronald Reagan successfully posed to voters when he ran against President Jimmy Carter in 1980.
The swing state voters overwhelmingly report that they aren’t satisfied with the way things are going in the United States by a margin of nearly four to one. Moreover, voters in those states are more likely than others to say that the lives of their families have taken a negative turn.
USA Today and Gallup will continue polling battleground states over the next year. The states were chosen based on voting histories, the results of the 2010 midterm elections and demographic trends. They include Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, and Wisconsin.
Nine of the swing states have Republican governors.
Swing state voters also say by a margin of 51 to 38 percent that it was a “bad thing” for Congress to enact the Obama health care overhaul and they overwhelmingly prefer a Republican candidate to handle the federal budget deficit and debt. Even so, they are split as to who would be better at managing international threats such as terrorism.
Republicans in swing states were twice as likely as Democrats to say that they are “extremely enthusiastic” about voting for the next president, which was considered to be an important test as to whether they would be willing to volunteer time, contribute money and vote in the next election.
Republican strategist Ed Gillespie told USA Today that Obama's apparent weakness among white, working-class voters creates openings for the GOP in the Great Lakes, while Obama campaign manager Jim Messina looked to Hispanic voters to increase the president’s chances in the Mountain West and states such as North Carolina. Messina also predicted that Obama could be competitive in Georgia and Arizona.
The USA Today/Gallup Poll shows that voters were split nationwide between Obama and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney with 47 percent for each. But three Republicans are all close enough to Obama in head-to-head matchups in swing states to essentially be considered a statistical tie if they were to be pitted against the president at this juncture.
The swing states survey of 1,334 adults, taken Oct. 20-27, has an error margin of three percentage points. The nationwide results from a USA Today/Gallup Poll of 1,056 adults taken Oct. 26-27 has an error margin of four percentage points.
http://www.newsmax.com/InsideCover/obama-swing-states-2012/2011/11/04/id/416935
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The push for Hillary is starting. Obama is toxic and its only going to get worse.
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CNN Poll of Polls: President's approval rating remains in the mid-forties
Posted by CNN Associate Producer Rebecca Stewart
Washington (CNN) – Sunday began the one-year countdown to the 2012 presidential election when President Obama and a yet-to-be-determined GOP candidate will face off for the White House. A CNN Poll of Polls released Monday reveals the president's approval rating is still under 50%.
According to the CNN Poll of Polls, which is an average of the most recent national surveys, 45 percent of Americans approve of how the president is handling his job and 51% disapprove.
"Approval ratings are a useful measure of an incumbent's chances of re-election, but they are not meant to be a prediction of the vote in the next election," notes CNN Polling Director Keating Holland. "In Obama's case, for example, polls indicate that roughly one in three Americans who disapprove of him feel that way because he has not been liberal enough. Those people may not vote for Obama by staying at home on election day or voting for a third-party candidate, but they are probably not going to vote Republican."
The CNN Poll of Polls of the presidential approval rating one year out from the election is an average of three national polls released in November: Gallup daily tracking poll (November 3-5); ABC/Washington Post (October 31-November 3); and Reuters/Ipsos (October 31-Nov 3). The Poll of Polls does not have a sampling error.
The president's approval rating appears to be a reflection of the slow-to-recover economy and repeated standoffs with Congress, including the Republican-led House of Representatives, have hurt the Obama presidency.
Unemployment numbers have remained above the 8% figure projected by the White House during the push for a first economic stimulus, though the October 2011 jobs report reflected that unemployment has ticked down to 9%.
Although Obama can add the capture and death of Osama bin Laden, strikes on significant al Qaeda leaders, and troop withdrawals from Iraq to his national security resume, a stymied economy and threats of a double-dip recession remain on voters' minds.
The president hit the road over the past two months to sell his American Jobs Act to the public, a measure designed to boost infrastructure and promote job growth. The bill failed to pass in the U.S. Senate has since been broken into pieces in an attempt to revive measures of the president's proposal. Obama has railed against a do-nothing Congress while his opponents balk at the bill they describe as a second stimulus.
http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2011/11/07/cnn-poll-of-polls-presidents-approval-rating-remains-in-the-mid-forties/
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Only a complete jackass and moron would even entertain voting for this communist thug again.
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Well I wouldn't go that far, because you have party loyalists who will support him, and I know some very smart people who will be voting for him again, but you do have to ignore a pretty horrible performance to vote for him again.
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Well I wouldn't go that far, because you have party loyalists who will support him, and I know some very smart people who will be voting for him again, but you do have to ignore a pretty horrible performance to vote for him again.
Talk to those idiots about the issues and after a few minutes you will quickly realize they are not nearly as smart as you think they are. Most pofs libs are good at putting on a veneer of being smart, but after you scratch the surface you find a moron barely above a 3rd grade comprehension level.
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Talk to those idiots about the issues and after a few minutes you will quickly realize they are not nearly as smart as you think they are. Most pofs libs are good at putting on a veneer of being smart, but after you scratch the surface you find a moron barely above a 3rd grade comprehension level.
I talk to them (liberals) all the time. They just have a different mindset. They're not stupid. Many of them are highly educated and pretty successful. A lot of them are blinded by partisanship.
But I do agree they have to ignore a lot to get to the point where they are voting for Obama again.
That said, I engaged an Obama-bot several weeks ago and it was like an out of body experience. Really delusional.
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I talk to them (liberals) all the time. They just have a different mindset. They're not stupid. Many of them are highly educated and pretty successful. A lot of them are blinded by partisanship.
But I do agree they have to ignore a lot to get to the point where they are voting for Obama again.
That said, I engaged an Obama-bot several weeks ago and it was like an out of body experience. Really delusional.
I openly mock obama voters at this point until they meltdown. I pepper them with inconvienent facts that they cant dispute until they blame Bush.
and then when they blame bush and i point out that I hated Bush too and that obama is doing exactly what Bush did but worse - they collapse into a puddle of piss.
I am not nearly as patient as I used to be w obama voters. Now i openly laugh and mock them. I told one woman a few weeks ago that it is usually not smart to advertise being a clueless moron to the general public. She was all dazed and confused, and I pointed to her 2012 sticker. She was PISSED!
Obama voters are scum, they are pofs, and they are not to be entertained anymore. they are to be mocked, laughed at, and ridiculed.
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CNN Poll: Obama ranks low among recent incumbents
Posted by
CNN Political Unit
Washington (CNN) - President Barack Obama's overall approval rating remains in the mid-40s, where it has been since July, and he continues to receive much higher marks for foreign policy than for domestic issues, according to a new national survey out one year before he is up for re-election.
A CNN/ORC International Poll released Tuesday indicates that 52% of all Americans approve of how the president is handling the situation in Iraq, an indication that Americans tend to favor Obama's decision to withdraw all U.S. troops from that country by year's end. Forty-eight percent of those questioned approve of how he is handling the war in Afghanistan. By contrast, only 35% have a positive view of his economic track record, and just 38% approve of how he is handling health care policy.
Full results
It all adds up to an overall 46% approval rating for the president, with 52% saying they disapprove of how Obama is handling his job in the White House.
"That's par for the course for Obama, whose overall approval rating has been hovering in the mid 40s in every CNN poll conducted since June," CNN Polling Director Keating Holland said.
In comparison to recent incumbents running for re-election, Obama's 46% approval ranks above only Jimmy Carter and Gerald Ford - who both lost their re-election bids - in November of the year before an election. Most incumbents who were re-elected had an approval rating above 50% a year before the election. But George W. Bush, at 50%, and Richard Nixon, at 49%, also won re-election, and Bush's father George H.W. Bush had a 56% approval rating yet lost to Bill Clinton the following year.
How does Obama compare to other incumbents?
"Translation: while the approval rating is an important indicator of a president's strength, it is not a foolproof predictor of election results," Holland said.
The poll indicates that the standard partisan divide over the president remains, with three-quarters of Democrats giving Obama a thumbs up but only 15% of Republicans approving of the job he's doing in office. By a 54%-42% margin, independent voters disapprove of how the president's handling his duties.
Women are divided on how Obama's performing, but men disapprove by a 55%-43% margin. White Americans give Obama a thumbs down by a 61%-36% margin, with non-white Americans give the president a thumbs up by a more than 2-1 margin.
The CNN poll was conducted by ORC International from November 11-13, with 1,036 adult Americans questioned by telephone. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus three percentage points.
– CNN Deputy Political Director Paul Steinhauser contributed to this report.
http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2011/11/15/cnn-poll-obama-ranks-low-among-recent-incumbents/
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Terrible numbers across the board, particularly regarding the economy. http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2011/images/11/15/rel18c.pdf
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Fox News Poll: 56 Percent Would Give Obama Vote of 'No Confidence'
By Dana Blanton
Published November 17, 2011
FoxNews.com
If Americans could cast a “confidence” vote in the style of European parliaments, President Barack Obama would not fare well. A 56-percent majority would give his administration a vote of “no confidence.”
In addition, there’s more bad news for the White House in a Fox News poll released Thursday. By a wide 68-29 percent margin, voters say they do not see “any signs the nation’s economy has started to turn the corner.”
The 56-percent “no confidence” number includes 30 percent of Democrats and 62 percent of independents. By comparison, 40 percent of voters overall would cast a “vote of confidence” for the administration.
Click here to see the full results of the poll
That’s similar to President Obama’s overall job performance rating. Currently 42 percent of voters approve and 48 percent disapprove. This is the fifth month in a row where more voters have disapproved than approved of Obama. Last month 43 percent approved and 50 percent disapproved.
By a 13 percentage-point margin more voters think Obama’s economic policies have hurt (48 percent) rather than helped (35 percent) the economy.
What about down the road? Forty-four percent think Obama’s economic policies will help in the long run, while 48 percent think they will hurt. Clearly the administration has failed to convince voters that their policies will ultimately pay off, as the current views are little changed from last year, when 45 percent said the policies would eventually help and 44 percent said they would hurt (October 2010).
Still, voters are optimistic about America’s future -- long term. Looking ahead to the next 10 years, a 59-percent majority is optimistic. While that number is unchanged from last year, there has been a decline in intensity.
Consider this: 20 percent of voters are “very” optimistic about the country’s future. That’s down from 29 percent last year, and a drop of almost half of the 37 percent who were “very” optimistic in the months after Obama took office (April 2009).
Meanwhile, 36 percent of voters are pessimistic about America’s future, the highest ever recorded in a Fox News poll since the question was first asked in 1999.
Democrats (67 percent) are more optimistic about the country’s long-term future, than Republicans (56 percent) and independents (49 percent).
Most Disapprove of Congress
Fully 80 percent of voters disapprove of the job Congress is doing. Twelve percent approve. Both of these current ratings remain near record levels. Approval of Congress hit a low of 10 percent in August 2011, and disapproval hit a high of 83 percent in September 2011.
The Fox News poll is based on landline and cell phone interviews with 914 randomly-chosen registered voters nationwide and was conducted under the joint direction of Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R) from November 13 to November 15. For the total sample, it has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3 percentage points.
http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2011/11/17/fox-news-poll-56-percent-would-give-obama-vote-no-confidence/?test=latestnews
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Online polls only count when Ron Paul isn't involved?
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Online polls only count when Ron Paul isn't involved?
WWW.GALLUP.COM
SINKING LIKE A ROCK.
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This is a big reason why he's in trouble: "The president's standing among independents is worse: 38 percent approve while 59 percent disapprove."
AP-GfK Poll: More than half say Obama should lose
By Jennifer Agiesta and Ken Thomas
Associated Press
POSTED: 04:22 a.m. HST, Dec 16, 2011
LAST UPDATED: 04:43 a.m. HST, Dec 16, 2011
WASHINGTON>> Entering 2012, President Barack Obama's re-election prospects are essentially a 50-50 proposition, with a majority saying the president deserves to be voted out of office despite concerns about the Republican alternatives, according to a new Associated Press-GfK poll.
Obama's overall poll numbers suggest he's in jeopardy of losing, even as the public's outlook on the economy appears to be improving, the AP-GfK poll found. For the first time since spring, more said the economy got better in the past month than said it got worse.
The president's approval rating on unemployment shifted upward — from 40 percent in October to 45 percent in the latest poll — as the jobless rate fell to 8.6 percent last month, its lowest level since March 2009.
But Obama's approval rating on his handling of the economy overall remains stagnant: 39 percent approve and 60 percent disapprove.
Heading into his re-election campaign, the president faces a conflicted public that does not support his steering of the economy, the most dominant issue for Americans, or his reforms to health care, one of his signature accomplishments. Yet they are grappling with whether to replace him with Republican contenders Mitt Romney or Newt Gingrich.
The poll found an even divide on whether Americans expect Obama to be re-elected next year.
For the first time, the poll found that a majority of adults, 52 percent, said Obama should be voted out of office while 43 percent said he deserves another term. The numbers mark a reversal since last May, when 53 percent said Obama should be re-elected while 43 percent said he didn't deserve four more years.
Obama's overall job approval stands at a new low: 44 percent approve while 54 percent disapprove. The president's standing among independents is worse: 38 percent approve while 59 percent disapprove. Among Democrats, the president holds steady with an approval rating of 78 percent while only 12 percent of Republicans approve of the job he's doing.
"I think he's doing the best he can. The problem is the Congress won't help at all," said Rosario Navarro, a Democrat and a 44-year-old truck driver from Fresno, Calif., who voted for Obama in 2008 and intends to support him again.
Robin Dein, a 54-year-old homemaker from Villanova, Pa., who is an independent, said she supported Republican John McCain in 2008 and has not been impressed with Obama's economic policies. She intends to support Romney if he wins the GOP nomination.
"(Obama) spent the first part of his presidency blaming Bush for everything, not that he was innocent, and now his way of solving anything is by spending more money," she said.
Despite the soft level of support, many are uncertain whether a Republican president would be a better choice. Asked whom they would support next November, 47 percent of adults favored Obama compared with 46 percent for Romney, a former Massachusetts governor. Against Gingrich, the president holds a solid advantage, receiving 51 percent compared with 42 percent for the former House speaker.
The potential matchups paint a better picture for the president among independents. Obama receives 45 percent of non-aligned adults compared with 41 percent for Romney. Against Gingrich, Obama holds a wide lead among independents, with 54 percent supporting the president and 31 percent backing the former Georgia congressman.
Another piece of good news for Obama: people generally like him personally. Obama's personal favorability rating held steady at 53 percent, with 46 percent viewing him unfavorably. About three-quarters called him likable.
The economy remains a source of pessimism, though the poll suggests the first positive movement in public opinion on the economy in months. One in five said the economy improved in the last month, double the share saying so in October. Still most expect it to stay the same or get worse.
"I suppose you could make some sort of argument that it's getting better, but I'm not sure I even see that," said independent voter John Bailey, a 61-year-old education consultant from East Jordan, Mich. "I think it's bad and it's gotten worse under (Obama's) policies. At best, it's going to stay bad."
Despite the high rate of joblessness, the poll found some optimism on the economy. Although 80 percent described the economy as "poor," respondents describing it "very poor" fell from 43 percent in October to 34 percent in the latest poll, the lowest since May. Twenty percent said the economy got better in the past month while 37 percent said they expected the economy to improve next year.
Yet plenty of warning signs remain for Obama. Only 26 percent said the United States is headed in the right direction while 70 percent said the country was moving in the wrong direction.
The president won a substantial number of women voters in 2008 yet there does not appear to be a significant tilt toward Obama among women now. The poll found 44 percent of women say Obama deserves a second term, down from 51 percent in October, while 43 percent of men say the president should be re-elected.
About two-thirds of white voters without college degrees say Obama should be a one-term president, while 33 percent of those voters say he should get another four years. Among white voters with a college degree, 57 percent said Obama should be voted out of office.
The poll found unpopularity for last year's health care reform bill, one of Obama's major accomplishments. About half of the respondents oppose the health care law and support for it dipped to 29 percent from 36 percent in June. Just 15 percent said the federal government should have the power to require all Americans to buy health insurance.
Even among Democrats, the health care law has tepid support. Fifty percent of Democrats supported the health care law, compared with 59 percent of Democrats last June. Only about a quarter of independents back the law.
The president has taken a more populist tone in his handling of the economy, arguing that the wealthy should pay more in taxes to help pay for the extension of a payroll tax cut that would provide about $1,000 in tax cuts to a family earning about $50,000 a year. Among those with annual household incomes of $50,000 or less, Obama's approval rating on unemployment climbed to 53 percent, from 43 percent in October.
The Associated Press-GfK Poll was conducted December 8-12 2011 by GfK Roper Public Affairs and Corporate Communications. It involved landline and cellphone interviews with 1,000 adults nationwide and has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.
___
Associated Press writer Stacy A. Anderson and News Survey Specialist Dennis Junius contributed to this report.
http://www.staradvertiser.com/news/breaking/135729543.html?id=135729543
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According to Straw - indes are flocking to obama.
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According to Straw - indes are flocking to obama.
lol
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http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_presidential_election/2012_presidential_matchups
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http://www.zerohedge.com/news/class-warfare-blowback-majority-americans-want-obama-out
Great site.
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Dang. How embarrassing for him.
Poll: Americans, 2-1, Fear Obama's Reelection
January 9, 2012
When it comes to how Americans view President Obama going into the new year, there appears to be very little spirit of Auld Lang Syne. Instead, according to the new Washington Whispers poll, many voters aren't forgetting what they dislike about Obama and want him out office.
In our New Year's poll, when asked what news event they fear most about 2012, Americans by a margin of two-to-one said Obama's reelection. Only 16 percent said they fear the Democrat won't win a second term, while 33 percent said they fear four more years. [Check out the top political events of 2011]
Next to Obama's reelection, 31 percent of Americans said they feared higher taxes, which may be proof that the president's focus on the payroll tax cut has hit paydirt.
The poll, however, held out some hope for Obama. Some 38 percent of younger Americans, 18-24, said their biggest fear was higher taxes. Just 28 percent of those same voters said they feared Obama winning in November. [See pictures of Obama behind the scenes.]
But in results backed up by other polls, older Americans and those earning $75,000 or more are especially worried about the president getting a second term, according to the poll done by Synovate eNation.
Nearly half of Americans 65 and older said Obama's reelection was their top fear, 39 percent of those making $75,000 or more agreed.
As we enter the presidential election year of 2012, what potential news event do you fear the most?
President Obama wins reelection 33%
Taxes will increase 31%
Iran will get a nuclear weapon 16%
Obama will lose reelection 16%
North Korea will attack South Korea 4%
Source: The Synovate eNation Internet poll was conducted December 29-January 2 among a national sample of 1,000 households by global market research firm Synovate.
http://www.usnews.com/news/blogs/washington-whispers/2012/01/09/poll-americans-2-1-fear-obamas-reelection
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http://www.gallup.com/home.aspx
Back down to 42%
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Daily Presidential Tracking Poll
Saturday, February 04, 2012
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Saturday shows that 26% of the nation's voters Strongly Approve of the way that Barack Obama is performing his role as president. Forty percent (40%) Strongly Disapprove, giving Obama a Presidential Approval Index rating of -14 (see trends).
. . . .
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll
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Gallup: Obama Quarterly Approval Rating Lowest Of All Presidents Since WWII…
Weasel Zippers ^ | 2/8/12 | Zip
Even lower that than Obama’s idol, Jimmah Carta.
Via Gallup:
The three presidents since World War II who were not re-elected — Gerald Ford, Jimmy Carter, and George H.W. Bush — all had job approval ratings below 50% in the last Gallup measure before the election took place. Five presidents who won re-election — Dwight Eisenhower, Lyndon Johnson, Richard Nixon, Ronald Reagan, and Bill Clinton — all had job approval ratings above 50% in the last Gallup poll before the election. Two presidents were re-elected with sub-50% approval ratings. George W. Bush had 48% approval in October 2004 among national adults. Harry Truman’s final Gallup job approval rating in 1948 was 40%, but that was from a poll conducted nearly five months before Election Day, making it unclear precisely what Truman’s level of support was at the time of the election.
(Excerpt) Read more at weaselzippers.us ...
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CNN poll: Obama numbers plunge into generation gap
By Paul Steinhauser and Halimah Abdullah, CNN
updated 2:30 PM EDT, Mon June 17, 2013
Washington (CNN) -- It's a glaring number in a national poll that's making headlines.
President Barack Obama's approval rating dropped 8 percentage points over the past month to 45%, the president's lowest rating in more than 18 months, according to a CNN/ORC International survey released on Monday.
And Obama's disapproval rating soared 9 points to 54% since mid-May.
Even more surprising: The overall decline in his approval rating was partially fueled by a plunge in support from younger Americans, a huge base of Obama's support.
Last month, nearly two-thirds of those in the 18-29 age group gave the president a thumbs up. His approval rating among that bracket fell 18 points in Monday's poll and now stands at 48%.
The CNN/ORC International survey was conducted last Tuesday through Thursday.
It comes as the White House has been dealing with controversies over a government surveillance program; IRS targeting of tea party and other conservative groups; continuing fallout over the deadly terror attack on the diplomatic compound in Benghazi, Libya; and the Justice Department's secret collection of journalists phone records as part of a government investigation into classified leaks.
Lawmaker says details on NSA-thwarted plots coming
So what's behind the dramatic shift of younger Americans, who along with nonwhite voters had been the most loyal part of the Obama coalition?
White House looks to calm NSA concerns "One explanation may be that younger Americans are more likely to feel they are personally affected by the surveillance programs," said CNN Polling Director Keating Holland. "More than half of all senior citizens, for example, think that the government has not collected their personal information, and since older Americans are less likely to use the Internet, they may be right. Among younger Americans, two-thirds believe that the federal government has gathered their personal data."
Julian Zelizer, a Princeton University professor and CNN contributor, said the shift isn't all about scandals but goes deeper.
"Part of it is probably that for younger people, the surveillance story is not a scandal but a sign the promise of 2008 was not fulfilled -- they see this and say he didn't do what he said he was going to do," Zelizer said.
"Part of this is a frustration in the gridlock in Washington. It's not just the scandals but the sense that nothing is going to get done. (Obama) hasn't been able to change Washington in that way. Instead of dealing with immigration or jobs, we're dealing with IRS and surveillance," he said.
"People in that age group are also struggling with jobs," Zelizer added. "That's a constituency is easy to disappoint."
See more of the poll
Holland said that shows up in the "honest and trustworthy" category.
"Today, there are only minor differences between older and younger Americans on that measure, but a month ago, two-thirds of younger Americans considered Obama honest -- at least 10 points higher than any other age category. So maybe one reason why Obama fell so far with younger Americans is that he had farther to fall," he said.
So has Obama lost the under-30 crowd?
John Geer, chairman of Vanderbilt University's political science department, said probably not, but he could.
"I suspect the things that favor the Democrats will trump this in the long run," Geer said. "The youth wants to see more tolerance and more inclusion. While the youth has been favoring the Democrats in the past few years, neither (party) should see the partisan leanings of this group as set."
Zelizer agreed that it's too soon to look at the plunge for bigger implications.
"Democrats should see this as their warning -- they don't have to read this as a long-range trend," he said. "This immigration bill is still there, that's his chance. Get that bill through. It's not just about rhetoric and ideas but actual policy and change."
http://www.cnn.com/2013/06/17/politics/obama-poll-decline/index.html?hpt=hp_c2
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Like it matters one bit now that the droolers reelected him?
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I think it matters for the 2014 elections.
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Like it matters one bit now that the droolers reelected him?
I agree with you... It is possible that it could affect Hillary in 2016, but I highly doubt it.
I still say that there is not enough anger to overturn a Hillary run yet... I would be happy if congress can at least stay deadlocked at this point. But of course the Republicans won't overturn a damn thing anyway... The didn't stop the goddam patriot act from being renewed and nothing will change.