Author Topic: Misery Index: The Obama Depression - "Private sector doing just Fine"  (Read 153218 times)

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Re: Misery Index: The Obama Depression - "Private sector doing just Fine"
« Reply #850 on: August 01, 2012, 11:00:27 AM »

ADP jobs report shows slowing in July; Manufacturing “unexpectedly contracts” in July
 Hotair ^ | 08/01/2012 | Ed Morrissey


Posted on Wednesday, August 01, 2012


Time to start breaking out the predictive indicators for Friday's jobs report on employment in June! First up, as always, comes from private-sector payroll giant ADP, which uses its own customer base to estimate job growth in non-government positions. Today's report predicts an increase of 163,000 private-sector jobs in July:


Employment in the U.S. nonfarm private business sector increased by 163,000 from June to July, on a seasonally adjusted basis. The estimated gain from May to June was revised down slightly, from the initial estimate of 176,000 to 172,000.

Employment in the private, service-providing sector expanded 148,000 in July after rising a revised 151,000 in June. The private, goods-producing sector added 15,000 jobs in July. Manufacturing employment rose 6,000 this month, following a revised increase of 9,000 in June. Employment on large payrolls—those with 500 or more workers—increased 23,000 and employment on medium payrolls—those with 50 to 499 workers—rose 67,000 in July.

Employment on small payrolls—those with up to 49 workers—rose 73,000 that same period. Of the 67,000 jobs created on medium-sized payrolls, 4,000 jobs were created by the goodsproducing sector and 63,000 jobs were created by the service-providing sector.

That sounds like good news on the surface, but this series almost always overstates the BLS figures — usually by a considerable margin. For instance, the 176K predicted by ADP for June turned into just 80K for the official BLS numbers. May’s ADP increase of 129K ended up as 69K from the BLS. Using ADP to figure out actual numbers for the BLS is a bit of a fool’s errand.

However, the ADP series usually tracks well as a trend indicator. The trend downward signals that July’s numbers aren’t going to be much better than June’s, and might be slightly worse. Unfortunately, a combined article at CNBC from AP and Reuters stories treats the ADP report as a numeric indicator rather than a trend indicator, at least in its lead:


A private survey shows U.S. businesses kept hiring at a modest pace in July, suggesting the job market could be improving after three sluggish months.

Payroll provider ADP said Wednesday that businesses added 163,000 jobs last month. That’s slightly below a revised total of 172,000 jobs it reported for June.

The report only covers hiring in the private sector and excludes government job growth. The Labor Department will offer a more complete picture of July hiring on Friday.

The ADP survey offered some hope that hiring is picking up. But it has often deviated sharply from the government report. In June, the Labor Department said employers added just 80,000 jobs, less than half the figure reported by ADP.

CNBC reports that analysts expect a modest improvement from June to 100,000 jobs added in Friday’s report. Based on the track record of ADP and the trend from May to June and June to July, I’d guess that 75K is a better estimate of job growth. Neither would be enough to actually add jobs in relation to population growth, which requires between 125K-150K jobs added each month.

Update: This is one reason I’d stick to the cautious side on job-growth predictions — manufacturing contracted for a second straight month in July, according to the ISM:

Manufacturing in the U.S. unexpectedly contracted for a second month in July, indicating a mainstay of the economy was struggling to improve.


The Institute for Supply Management‘s factory index was little changed at 49.8 last month from 49.7 in June. Fifty marks the dividing line between expansion and contraction. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg News projected a reading of 50.2, according to the median estimate.

Cutbacks in household purchases, unemployment exceeding 8 percent, Europe’s debt crisis and slower global growth threaten to further restrain an industry that’s been a source of strength for the economy. Factories may also temper production as companies curb spending out of concern that lawmakers will fail to prevent automatic government spending cuts and higher taxes from going into effect next year.

Estimates in the Bloomberg survey of 84 economists ranged from 48.5 to 52 for the Tempe, Arizona-based ISM’s factory report.


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Re: Misery Index: The Obama Depression - "Private sector doing just Fine"
« Reply #852 on: August 02, 2012, 07:54:25 AM »
Gallup: Unemployment went up in July
 Hotair ^ | 08/02/2012 | Ed Morrissey


Posted on Thursday, August 02, 2012 10:14:09 AM


Two more indicators previewing tomorrow's July jobs report are in today, and neither look particularly good. First, weekly jobless claims went back up again after a sharp drop the week before --- which was amended upward in today's report, too:


In the week ending July 28 the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 365,000, an increase of 8,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 357,000. The 4-week moving average was 365,500, a decrease of 2,750 from the previous week's revised average of 368,250.

The advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment rate was 2.6 percent for the week ending July 21, unchanged from the prior week's unrevised rate.

The advance number for seasonally adjusted insured unemployment during the week ending July 21 was 3,272,000, a decrease of 19,000 from the preceding week’s revised level of 3,291,000. The 4-week moving average was 3,298,500, a decrease of 11,500 from the preceding week’s revised average of 3,310,000.

The 357K figure from last week was originally reported at 353K, which had been a years-long low. The new level of 365K will almost certainly get revised upward next week, and it’s close to the 370K-380K range we’ve seen since the spring and summer of 2011. While the volatility has increased this summer, in part because of the auto industry, the overall results look like a continuation of the status quo.

That’s still better news than Gallup’s, whose surveys predict a rise in unemployment:


U.S. unemployment, as measured by Gallup without seasonal adjustment, was 8.2% in July, up slightly from 8.0% in June, but better than the 8.8% from a year ago. Gallup’s seasonally adjusted number for July is 8.0%, an increase from 7.8% in June. …

Unemployment had previously dropped to 7.9% in mid-July, the lowest it has been since Gallup began tracking employment daily in 2010. However, the improvement was short-lived, and unemployment increased during the second half of the month.

Underemployment, however, did decline — for the third straight month in July, to 17.1%, the lowest since Gallup started collecting employment data. Gallup’s U.S. underemployment measure combines the unemployed with those working part time but looking for full-time work. Gallup does not apply a seasonal adjustment to underemployment.

Gallup also indirectly predicts that more people have left the workforce. Their percentage of people in the workforce working full time rose to 66.6%, Gallup’s highest level since the pollster began tracking this in January 2011. However, the number of people employed full time remained the same, which means that the rise in this measure can only be due to a shrinking workforce. If Gallup has this right, the jobless rate won’t rise tomorrow, but we may see more decline in the civilian population participation rate, which hit a 30-year low in May (63.6%) and is close to that now (63.8%).

Planned layoffs declined slightly in July, CNBC reports, but they’re still slightly higher than in 2011:


The number of planned layoffs at U.S. companies dropped for the second month in a row in July, even as job cuts in the financial sector persisted, a separate report showed.

Employers announced 36,855 planned job cuts last month, down 1.9 percent from 37,551 in June, according to the report from consultants Challenger, Gray & Christmas.

Job cuts were also well off levels of July last year when 66,414 layoffs were announced. For 2012 so far, employers have announced 319,946 cuts, up 2.5 percent from the 312,220 reductions in the first seven months of 2011.

We have all the data we’ll get ahead of tomorrow’s jobs report, combining this with yesterday’s ADP report. The jobless rate will be difficult to predict, so let’s stick with predictions of jobs added in July. The Reuters consensus is that we’ll see 100,000 jobs added, but I’m sticking with my prediction of 75,000.

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Re: Misery Index: The Obama Depression - "Private sector doing just Fine"
« Reply #854 on: August 02, 2012, 07:57:16 AM »
sounds like someons is rooting against america.

LOL. 

Only obamabots cheer failure.   

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Re: Misery Index: The Obama Depression - "Private sector doing just Fine"
« Reply #855 on: August 02, 2012, 10:59:10 AM »
LOL. 

Only obamabots cheer failure.   

sorry, i thought your ass was celebrating when Chicago lost the Olympics bid.  I apologize for my assumption.

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Re: Misery Index: The Obama Depression - "Private sector doing just Fine"
« Reply #856 on: August 02, 2012, 11:03:12 AM »
sorry, i thought your ass was celebrating when Chicago lost the Olympics bid.  I apologize for my assumption.

I was.  Chicago getting the olympics would have been a disaster/   

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Re: Misery Index: The Obama Depression - "Private sector doing just Fine"
« Reply #857 on: August 02, 2012, 06:58:58 PM »


Irish Times ^ | August 3, 2012 | Financial Times Limited
Posted on August 2, 2012 9:55:23 PM EDT by Son House

Demand for US factory goods fell unexpectedly in June, reflecting a drop in corporate investment and the biggest decreases in non-durable goods orders for over three years.

Factory orders fell 0.5 per cent, compared with analysts’ expectations of a 0.7 per cent rise, US commerce department figures showed yesterday. June’s fall followed a downwardly revised 0.5 per cent increase in May, after sharp declines the two previous months.

Economists fear a slowdown in momentum, given that manufacturing had been regarded as the mainstay of a US economic recovery. The sector accounts for about 12 per cent of the economy.

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Re: Misery Index: The Obama Depression - "Private sector doing just Fine"
« Reply #858 on: August 02, 2012, 07:55:37 PM »
While the national unemployment rate paints a grim picture, a look at individual states and their so-called real jobless rates becomes even more troubling.


Michael Nagle | Bloomberg | Getty Images
The government's most widely publicized unemployment rate measures only those who are out of a job and currently looking for work. It does not count discouraged potential employees who have quit looking, nor those who are underemployed — wanting to work full-time but forced to work part-time.

For that count, the government releases a separate number called the "U-6," which provides a more complete tally of how many people really are out of work.

The numbers in some cases are startling.

Consider: Nevada's U-6 rate is 22.1 percent, up from just 7.6 percent in 2007. Economically troubled California has a 20.3 percent real rate, while Rhode Island is at 18.3 percent, more than double its 8.3 percent rate in 2007.


Those numbers compare especially unfavorably to the national rate, high in itself at 14.9 percent though off its record peak of 17.2 percent in October 2009.

Only three states — Nebraska (9.1 percent), South Dakota (8.6 percent) and North Dakota (6.1 percent) — have U-6 rates under 10 percent, according to research from RBC Capital Markets.

Election battleground states paint a picture not much more flattering. Florida's U-6 number is an ugly 17 percent, though Pennsylvania and Ohio are both around 14 percent, below the national U-6 average.

The numbers come as the government prepares to release its latest reading, the July nonfarm payrolls number, on Friday. Economists expect the report show about 100,000 jobs created for the month and the traditional "U-3" rate to hold steady at 8.2 percent.




"The lack of improvement in state U-6 rates continues to be troubling," Chris Mauro, head of US Municipals Strategy at RBC, said in a research note. "While down from recent peaks, state U-6 levels remain dramatically higher than they were in 2007 and 2008."

Mauro used the numbers to demonstrate that investing in municipal bonds remains a challenge because high real unemployment rates will be a drain on local finances.

"We remain concerned about the corrosive influence that these stubbornly high U-6 rates may have on both consumer sentiment and state and local tax revenues," he said. "At current levels, these U-6 rates will continue to be a drag on credit quality."

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Re: Misery Index: The Obama Depression - "Private sector doing just Fine"
« Reply #859 on: August 03, 2012, 05:34:34 AM »
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/july-non-farm-payrolls-slam-expectations-163000k-unemployment-rate-8rises-3


LOL.

June revised down 6000 jobs.

Lower labor force particpartion rate by 150k

8.3% UE



CHEERS!!!!!

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Re: Misery Index: The Obama Depression - "Private sector doing just Fine"
« Reply #860 on: August 03, 2012, 05:45:12 AM »
July Non Farm Payrolls Slam Expectations At 163,000K, Unemployment Rate 8.Rises To 3%
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 08/03/2012 08:31 -0400


Bureau of Labor StatisticsNon Farm PayrollsUnemployment


Expectations were +100,000, NFP prints at 163,000K. Goodbye QE in 2012.

From the report:


Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 163,000 in July, and the unemployment rate was essentially unchanged at 8.3 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Employment rose in professional and business services, food services and drinking places, and manufacturing.

 

Household Survey Data

 

Both the number of unemployed persons (12.8 million) and the unemployment rate (8.3 percent) were essentially unchanged in July. Both measures have shown little movement thus far in 2012. (See table A-1.)

 

Among the major worker groups, the unemployment rate for Hispanics (10.3 percent) edged down in July, while the rates for adult men (7.7 percent), adult women (7.5 percent), teenagers (23.8 percent), whites (7.4 percent), and blacks (14.1 percent)  showed little or no change. The jobless rate for Asians was 6.2 percent in July (not seasonally adjusted), little changed from a year earlier. (See tables A-1, A-2, and A-3.)

 

In July, the number of long-term unemployed (those jobless for 27 weeks and over) was little changed at 5.2 million. These individuals accounted for 40.7 percent of the unemployed. (See table A-12.)

 

Both the civilian labor force participation rate, at 63.7 percent, and the employment-population ratio, at 58.4 percent, changed little in July. (See table A-1.)

Participation rate drops to 63.7%, 3 month low and back to secular low levels:

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Re: Misery Index: The Obama Depression - "Private sector doing just Fine"
« Reply #861 on: August 03, 2012, 05:47:58 AM »
No new QE or stimulus.

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Re: Misery Index: The Obama Depression - "Private sector doing just Fine"
« Reply #862 on: August 03, 2012, 05:52:43 AM »
No new QE or stimulus.

How long before Andre puts up a "Obama kicking my ass thread?"   ;D


________________________ ________________________ _______________

Unemployment Workers Now Facing Unemployment Themselves
Posted: 08/03/2012 8:35 am Updated: 08/03/2012 8:40 am

Via HP



Lynn Tipton, front, president of a local union and a worker at the Rhode Island Department of Labor and Training, addresses a crowd during an event held to protest layoffs at the department on July 25 in Cranston, R.I. (AP Photo/David Klepper)


Jim Gibbons of Green Oak Township, Mich., hopes he has a job next month. He works for the Michigan Unemployment Insurance Agency, which just pink-slipped 177 temporary workers and plans to dismiss as many as 225 more.

"We were told about 12 noon this last Monday by our department manager and it just hit every one of us like a ton of bricks," he said. The next day at the office, he said, "It was like we were in a funeral home. Solemn, quiet, very little banter."

Gibbons, 61, said he only landed the job two years ago after a six-month unemployment spell. He assumes that his lack of seniority at the unemployment office means he'll be canned. A former auto mechanic and a member of the UAW Local 6000, Gibbons had hoped to retire from Ford, but he'd do any type of work rather than be unemployed.

"A job is better than no job," Gibbons said.

The layoffs at Michigan's workforce agency come not because the economy's bad, but because it's supposedly getting better: The state's unemployment rate has fallen to 8.6 percent, down from 10.6 percent just one year ago. The agency says fewer Michiganders are filing for unemployment, so it needs fewer workers to process the claims.

"In June 2009, the number of claims peaked at 537,000," department spokeswoman Chawn Greene-Farmer said in an email. "As of July 30, 2012, the UIA provided unemployment services to 187,000 claimants."

At the same time, Gibbons is caught up in a familiar recessionary tale of government layoffs. As the private sector has added jobs since the recession technically ended halfway through 2009, state and local governments have bogged down the recovery by continuing to shed workers in an effort to close budget deficits. The public sector is down by more than half a million workers since 2009, and government jobs declined by 9,000 from June to July.

Another reason for fewer unemployment claims is that the federal government is providing fewer weeks of benefits than it used to. Republicans and Democrats struck a deal earlier this year to gradually wind down federal programs that, combined with state benefits, previously gave jobless workers up to 99 weeks of aid. And lawmakers in several state legislatures -- including Michigan's -- have pared back the 26 weeks of state-funded benefits traditionally available.

Fewer than 6 million workers received state or federal unemployment insurance last week, according to the Labor Department, down from 7 million this time last year.

Michigan's not the only state where unemployment workers are following teachers, firefighters and police officers out the door. In California, a declining caseload led the state's Employment Development Department to reduce its unemployment insurance staff from 2,577 in January 2011 to 2,178 last June (though the agency said 100 workers were redirected to jobs in other EDD branches, and that the others "left through attrition -- retirements, leaving for other jobs").

"Fewer people applying for benefits, more people exhausting all their benefits -- both contributed to the decline in workload," department spokesman Patrick Joyce said in an email.

And Rhode Island's Department of Labor and Training laid off 65 people last week because it used up a funding boost from the 2009 stimulus bill.

"The vast majority of those positions were originally funded with American Recovery and Reinvestment dollars. Those dollars went away," department spokeswoman Laura Hart said. "We were able to keep those positions for an additional year through smart fiscal management, but we would need an additional $4.6 million in federal dollars to keep those people in their existing jobs for another 12 months."

For two years, Jonathan Jacobs of Providence handled unemployment insurance claims at the agency.

"Now we're on the unemployment insurance line. It is an ironic situation," Jacobs, 34, said in an interview. "I am still applying for jobs anywhere and everywhere, because I do have a wife and 6-month-old daughter, so I need to be thinking about things like health care."

Jacobs said the agency's service will suffer as a result of the layoffs. At 10.9 percent, Rhode Island's unemployment rate is the second-highest in the nation, behind only Nevada.

"In an ideal situation, we would have enough workers to maintain the level of customer service we previously showed before the layoffs," he said. "Unfortunately, that's not the case. We know that there will be an impact. We know that our call wait times are going to go up when you're trying to call our call center."

While Jacobs looks for full-time work, he said he hopes to work part-time with his union, SEIU Local 401, to elect local leaders who are concerned about the jobless.

"Unemployed individuals in the state of Rhode Island have been reduced to just percentages and average wait times, when they're actually people," he said. "I'd like to work towards helping that mindset change."

Jim Gibbons, the former auto mechanic worried he'll be let go by Michigan's workforce agency, said he expects to start really sweating later this month. If he loses his job, though, he said he'll find a new way to make a living.

"I was truly a fish out of water when I first became part of the agency but you learn to adapt, kind of like Sonny Bono," Gibbons said. "Who would have guessed he and Cher were singing all these hit tunes, and before he died he became a United States congressman? Sometimes we have to reinvent ourselves."

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Re: Misery Index: The Obama Depression - "Private sector doing just Fine"
« Reply #863 on: August 03, 2012, 06:08:11 AM »
Do the jobs "Created" actually exist or not?


http://www.zerohedge.com/news/seasonal-and-birth-death-adjustments-add-429000-statistical-jobs[/b]]http://www.zerohedge.com/news/seasonal-and-birth-death-adjustments-add-429000-statistical-jobs

"Happy by the headline establishment survey print of 133,245 which says that the US "added" 163,000 jobs in July from 133,082 last month? Consider this: the number was based on a non seasonally adjusted July number of 132,868. This was a 1.248 million drop from the June print. So how did the smoothing work out to make a real plunge into an "adjusted" rise? Simple: the BLS "added" 377K jobs for seasonal purposes. This was the largest seasonal addition in the past decade for a July NFP print in the past decade, possibly ever, as the first chart below shows. But wait, there's more: the Birth Death adjustment, which adds to the NSA Print to get to the final number, was +52k. How does this compare to July 2011? It is about 1000% higher: the last B/D adjustment was a tiny +5K! In other words, of the 163,000 jobs "added", 429,000 was based on purely statistical fudging. Doesn't matter - the flashing red headline is good enough for the algos...."

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Re: Misery Index: The Obama Depression - "Private sector doing just Fine"
« Reply #864 on: August 03, 2012, 06:11:36 AM »
Do the jobs "Created" actually exist or not?


http://www.zerohedge.com/news/seasonal-and-birth-death-adjustments-add-429000-statistical-jobs[/b]]http://www.zerohedge.com/news/seasonal-and-birth-death-adjustments-add-429000-statistical-jobs

"Happy by the headline establishment survey print of 133,245 which says that the US "added" 163,000 jobs in July from 133,082 last month? Consider this: the number was based on a non seasonally adjusted July number of 132,868. This was a 1.248 million drop from the June print. So how did the smoothing work out to make a real plunge into an "adjusted" rise? Simple: the BLS "added" 377K jobs for seasonal purposes. This was the largest seasonal addition in the past decade for a July NFP print in the past decade, possibly ever, as the first chart below shows. But wait, there's more: the Birth Death adjustment, which adds to the NSA Print to get to the final number, was +52k. How does this compare to July 2011? It is about 1000% higher: the last B/D adjustment was a tiny +5K! In other words, of the 163,000 jobs "added", 429,000 was based on purely statistical fudging. Doesn't matter - the flashing red headline is good enough for the algos...."


How many in the lamestream media will report this in their broadcasts tonight? 

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Re: Misery Index: The Obama Depression - "Private sector doing just Fine"
« Reply #866 on: August 03, 2012, 06:21:53 AM »
Mixed messages in July jobs reports has fodder for Obama and Romney campaigns

The U.S. economy added a better-than-expected 163K jobs, while the unemployment rate rose to 8.3 percent
Comments (7)
By Kristen A. Lee / NEW YORK DAILY NEWS

Published: Friday, August 3, 2012, 7:13 AM
 
.
..

With just three months left before Election Day, President Obama got some badly-needed good news on the jobs front Friday, as a Labor Department report showed the U.S. economy added a better-than-expected 163,000 jobs in July.
 
The unemployment rate, however, ticked up to 8.3 percent, which Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney and the GOP seized upon to argue that the Obama administration is still not creating jobs quickly enough.
 
The mixed messages suggest the latest jobs data will not change the rhetoric coming from either campaign.
 
Romney called the report a "hammer blow to struggling middle-class families" in a statement shortly after the July numbers were released.
 
"President Obama doesn’t have a plan and believes that the private sector is ‘doing fine.’ Obviously, that is not the case," he said. "We’ve now gone 42 consecutive months with the unemployment rate above eight percent."
 
House Speaker John Boehner, R-Ohio, also used the report to claim that "Obama’s economic plan did not work."
 
Investors, however, appeared pleased with the news. With July's hiring at its strongest since February, futures tracking the Standard & Poor's 500 index and the Dow Jones industrial average gained about one percent. The stock market is coming off four days of losses.
 
The job gains were broad-based, the Associated Press reported. Manufacturing added 25,000 jobs, the most since March. Restaurants and bars added 29,000. Retailers hired 7,000 more workers. Education and health services gained 38,000. Governments cut 9,000 positions.
 
 
 
Average hourly wages also increased by 2 cents. Over the past year wages have increased 1.7 percent — matching the rate of inflation.
 
Both candidates are expected to comment on the latest jobs report shortly before noon Eastern Time.
 
Obama will likely tout the jobs growth at 11:45a.m., when he is scheduled to urge Congress to extend the Bush tax cuts for middle class families.
 
Romney, meanwhile, is holding a campaign event at a truck equipment company in North Las Vegas, Nevada, where he is likely to cite the higher unemployment rate to say too many Americans are still suffering.
 
With News Wire Services
.

Read more: http://www.nydailynews.com/news/national/weak-hiring-expected-fourth-straight-month-article-1.1128191#ixzz22UNYHcRS

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Re: Misery Index: The Obama Depression - "Private sector doing just Fine"
« Reply #867 on: August 03, 2012, 06:24:13 AM »
 >:(

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Re: Misery Index: The Obama Depression - "Private sector doing just Fine"
« Reply #868 on: August 03, 2012, 07:01:20 AM »
Mixed messages in July jobs reports has fodder for Obama and Romney campaigns

The U.S. economy added a better-than-expected 163K jobs, while the unemployment rate rose to 8.3 percent
Comments (7)
By Kristen A. Lee / NEW YORK DAILY NEWS

Published: Friday, August 3, 2012, 7:13 AM
 
.
..

With just three months left before Election Day, President Obama got some badly-needed good news on the jobs front Friday, as a Labor Department report showed the U.S. economy added a better-than-expected 163,000 jobs in July.
 
The unemployment rate, however, ticked up to 8.3 percent, which Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney and the GOP seized upon to argue that the Obama administration is still not creating jobs quickly enough.
 
The mixed messages suggest the latest jobs data will not change the rhetoric coming from either campaign.
 
Romney called the report a "hammer blow to struggling middle-class families" in a statement shortly after the July numbers were released.
 
"President Obama doesn’t have a plan and believes that the private sector is ‘doing fine.’ Obviously, that is not the case," he said. "We’ve now gone 42 consecutive months with the unemployment rate above eight percent."
 
House Speaker John Boehner, R-Ohio, also used the report to claim that "Obama’s economic plan did not work."
 
Investors, however, appeared pleased with the news. With July's hiring at its strongest since February, futures tracking the Standard & Poor's 500 index and the Dow Jones industrial average gained about one percent. The stock market is coming off four days of losses.
 
The job gains were broad-based, the Associated Press reported. Manufacturing added 25,000 jobs, the most since March. Restaurants and bars added 29,000. Retailers hired 7,000 more workers. Education and health services gained 38,000. Governments cut 9,000 positions.
 
 
 
Average hourly wages also increased by 2 cents. Over the past year wages have increased 1.7 percent — matching the rate of inflation.
 
Both candidates are expected to comment on the latest jobs report shortly before noon Eastern Time.
 
Obama will likely tout the jobs growth at 11:45a.m., when he is scheduled to urge Congress to extend the Bush tax cuts for middle class families.
 
Romney, meanwhile, is holding a campaign event at a truck equipment company in North Las Vegas, Nevada, where he is likely to cite the higher unemployment rate to say too many Americans are still suffering.
 
With News Wire Services
.

Read more: http://www.nydailynews.com/news/national/weak-hiring-expected-fourth-straight-month-article-1.1128191#ixzz22UNYHcRS


There is no fodder for Obama in any of these reports.

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Re: Misery Index: The Obama Depression - "Private sector doing just Fine"
« Reply #869 on: August 03, 2012, 07:27:18 AM »
195,000 Fewer Americans Had Jobs in July; 150,000 Dropped Out of Labor Force

By Terence P. Jeffrey

August 3, 2012

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Labor Secretary Hilda Solis and President Barack Obama (AP Photo/J. Scott Applewhite)
 
(CNSNews.com) - There were 195,000 fewer people employed in the United States in July than in June, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, as the national unemployment rate ticked up from 8.2 percent to 8.3 percent.
 
Meanwhile, 150,000 people simply dropped out of the labor force during the month and did not seek to find a job.
 
In June, according to BLS, there had been 142,415,000 people employed in the United States. In July, that dropped to 142,220,000--a decline of 195,000.
 
Similarly, in June, there were 155,163,000 people in the civilian labor force in the United States. To be counted in the civilian labor force, person must be 16 years old or older, not be in the military, prison or a mental institution, and either have a job or have actively looked for a job in the past four weeks.
 
In July, the number of people in the civilian labor force was 155,013,000--a decline of 150,000 from June.
 
The number of people who were unemployed--meaning they were 16 or older, not in the military, a prison or a mental institution, and had actively looked for a job in the last four weeks-jumped by 45,000 during the month, climbing from 12,749,000 in June to 12,794,000 in July.
 
During July, the number of people who simply left the labor force (150,000) exceeded the number of newly unemployed (45,000) by more than two to one (105,000).

Soul Crusher

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Re: Misery Index: The Obama Depression - "Private sector doing just Fine"
« Reply #870 on: August 03, 2012, 08:39:28 AM »
* The unemployment rate, which is derived from a separate survey of households, rose to 8.3 percent. That will give Republican presidential hopeful Mitt Romney ammunition for his charge that President Barack Obama has not done enough to help the economy since the 2007-2009 recession. It also raises pressure on Federal Reserve to ease monetary policy. The household employment survey ran in the opposite direction as the establishment survey of employers. The household survey showed the number of people with jobs fell by 195,000. In another worrisome sign, the household survey showed the size of the workforce decreased by 150,000. To be in the workforce, a worker must be either employed or seeking work. The participation rate, a measure of the amount of people employed compared to the size of the workforce, fell to 63.7 percent from 63.8 percent.

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Re: Misery Index: The Obama Depression - "Private sector doing just Fine"
« Reply #871 on: August 03, 2012, 09:49:22 AM »

Straw Man

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Re: Misery Index: The Obama Depression - "Private sector doing just Fine"
« Reply #872 on: August 03, 2012, 09:58:25 AM »
Hey 333 - how is your personal misery index

you're broke and living in a ghetto surrounded by scary thugs

you're obviously personally tormented by every move that Obama makes and have somehow convinced yourself that he is a communist and trying to collapse the nation

do you have to drink yourself to a blackout in order to sleep at night?

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Re: Misery Index: The Obama Depression - "Private sector doing just Fine"
« Reply #873 on: August 03, 2012, 10:09:22 AM »
Hey 333 - how is your personal misery index

you're broke and living in a ghetto surrounded by scary thugs

you're obviously personally tormented by every move that Obama makes and have somehow convinced yourself that he is a communist and trying to collapse the nation

do you have to drink yourself to a blackout in order to sleep at night?



LOL.  Typical.   

Straw Man

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Re: Misery Index: The Obama Depression - "Private sector doing just Fine"
« Reply #874 on: August 03, 2012, 10:12:13 AM »
LOL.  Typical.   

so the answer is yes?

maybe Romney can make the scary thugs go away