you worked for a polling company ?
what did you do there that helped you determine that "pretty much all polls are garbage"?
you must have a lot of solid data to back up that claim
can you share it here or are you just offering an opinion devoid of any actual data to support your opinion
For one, you can read the methodology link for Ras that I provided, and just eliminate the part about the internet being used as a tool as it was many years ago. We did the political polls via phone call for all media to put out. I didn't work on the data analysis side, but I understood how the surveys were put together and I asked the questions, heard, experienced the emotion, and entered the responses. Choices were typically strongly agree, somewhat agree, agree, somewhat disagree, and strongly disagree....most times, but not all, "agree" was not an option as it's vague and doesn't really pick a side.
I could work whenever I wanted to schedule-wise, but I would always work on nights when there were major political things happening such as the SOTU. I bring that up to illustrate the small sample size. We had about 50-60 "interviewers" of which I was one. Once the speech was over we would wait until we were told to switch out of whatever survey we were doing (mostly our clients were corporate - customer satisfaction and gov't department - employee satisfaction surveys) The call blitz to do the political polling throughout America with 50-60 reps (best case if they were all there, but rarely the case) took all of an hour at most out of say a typical 5-7 hour shift I might go in for. I believe Ras uses a rolling avg. number of days based on 500 responses per day. I'm not going back to read it all again for you.
So basically Straw, you're getting 3500 responses per week to represent 300+ million people. People with mostly land lines, and now some added people they somehow determine on the net are a fair sampling of republican or democrat...it's based on their word. So that's flawed currently. Back when I was doing it, we weren't doing that poll all week long. It was once a week at most, usually once a month, and then also when the President addressed the country or a major event happened. A lot less than 3500 opinions per week were being touted as representative of the country back then. (even more flawed than now)
You've read my posts for more years than you'll admit so you knew I'd answer and it would be wordy as fuck, so is that detailed enough for you?
Now that I've taken the time to show you respect and answer several of your questions/posts on the politics board, how about you return to your thread about Trump shitting on his intelligence people? I know you popped back in to prove you didn't run away, but how about actually having the decency to respond to some of the counterpoints and questions posted? Doesn't have to be anything I asked or pointed out, just pick a few with differing views/points and have a discussion.
It's a discussion board, not a place to shit out your side of the argument and leave it there for everyone to sit and wonder why it smells so bad? Your threads are kinda like going into a porta-potty when you have no choice, and wondering "OMG...What the fuck did that person eat?" That's how you come off when it comes to discussions.
