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Getbig Main Boards => Politics and Political Issues Board => Topic started by: Dos Equis on March 22, 2008, 09:43:00 AM
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Long article, but a good read. Of the candidates they mentioned, seems like Crist would make the most sense, because he would help McCain win Florida.
http://www.latimes.com/news/nationworld/nation/la-na-veep22mar22,0,3726669.story
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Jeb Bush
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jeb, newt are most qualified but won't get the nod.
crist is obvious answer. lots of capable choices.
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jeb, newt are most qualified but won't get the nod.
crist is obvious answer. lots of capable choices.
I don't think it will be Crist and probably not Jeb either.
People usually don't choose a ticket based on the VP but I think in this year (for both Dem and Repub) it might just tilt that extra 2-5% to make the difference
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Interesting article. Powell would be my choice, but I know it won't happen.
Political Oddsmakers Weigh in on Republican VP Derby
by FOXNews.com
Saturday, April 19, 2008
Who says the Republican race is over?
While John McCain has long since wrapped up the GOP nomination and one-time arch-rival Mitt Romney has gone from foe to friend, there’s still some drama to be had on the GOP side of the fence.
McCain’s next big move is choosing his running mate, and political odds-makers are having a field day weighing the chances of the nearly 20 candidates in the running.
“This would be his first major decision as the nominee, so it’s an opportunity for him to signal how he would govern,” said political analyst Ron Faucheux, who has built a reputation on ranking the odds for campaigns.
Faucheux sees Romney, former Homeland Security Secretary Tom Ridge, Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty and Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice as having the best odds of winning McCain’s affection.
Click here to read more about the McCain campaign’s strategy.
But other rankings are all over the board, and Faucheux acknowledges the selection isn’t as simple as just determining who looks best on paper or whom McCain likes most.
“If he could pick anybody he’d want, Joe Lieberman would probably be his first choice, but I would have a serious question as to whether he could get Lieberman through a Republican convention,” he said.
Pollster Scott Rasmussen sees some of Faucheux’s picks as too damaging or polarizing for McCain.
“The three names that McCain should absolutely not pick are (Mike) Huckabee, Romney and Condoleezza Rice,” he said.
His Rasmussen Markets invites political enthusiasts to play the “market” by using toy money to invest in the odds of McCain’s VP possibilities.
The Markets have Romney and Pawlenty doing the best, but Rice trailing. Ridge isn’t even on the list.
But betting junkies across the country are weighing in on the race for GOP VP. Here’s a sampling, which FOXNews.com will be updating regularly, of the political odds some groups and speculators are giving those running mate hopefuls.
From Ron Faucheux
5:1 odds
Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney
Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice
Former Homeland Security Secretary Tom Ridge
Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty
15:1 odds
Florida Gov. Charlie Crist
South Dakota Sen. John Thune
Former White House budget director Rob Portman
40:1 odds
Former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee
Former Tennessee Sen. Fred Thompson
South Carolina Gov. Mark Sanford
Connecticut Sen. Joe Lieberman
Former Secretary of State Colin Powell
Mississippi Gov. Haley Barbour
SEC Chairman Christopher Cox
From Rasmussen Markets (value reflects percentage chance)
Romney: 16.9%
Pawlenty: 16%
Rice: 7.9%
Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison: 5.9%
Former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani: 5%
Huckabee: 5%
Former Maryland Lt. Gov. Michael Steele: 1.7%
Sen. Lindsey Graham: 1.3%
Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich: .8%
Rep. Ron Paul: .6%
Rep. Duncan Hunter: .6%
Former Tennessee Sen. Fred Thompson: .5%
Former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush: .4%
Intrade Prediction Markets (value reflects percentage chance)
Romney: 16.3%
Pawlenty: 15.6%
Rice: 8%
Huckabee: 7%
Hutchison: 5.9%
Giuliani: 5%
Steele: 1.5%
Gingrich: .8%
Graham: .7%
Thompson: .4%
Bush: .1%
Paul: .1%
Hunter: .1%
http://elections.foxnews.com/2008/04/19/political-oddsmakers-weigh-in-on-republican-vp-derby/
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Jeb Bush
Are you threatening McCain? :D
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jeb, newt are most qualified but won't get the nod.
crist is obvious answer. lots of capable choices.
We both know what Bushs do as Vice President.