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Getbig Main Boards => Politics and Political Issues Board => Topic started by: MattT on October 30, 2008, 12:42:18 AM

Title: News Week Poll of new voters that have already voted 69% Obama 27% McBush
Post by: MattT on October 30, 2008, 12:42:18 AM
Hollaaaaaaaaa!!   crushin mcbush with new voters!!!
Title: Re: News Week Poll of new voters that have already voted 69% Obama 27% McBush
Post by: Hedgehog on October 30, 2008, 04:55:35 AM
Hollaaaaaaaaa!!   crushin mcbush with new voters!!!


newsflash: Matt, your hero Obama doesn't even speak Ebonics.

Perhaps you should start worship someone who's more of a real 'brother', like Jesse Jackson.

'holla' back at you, 'Matt'.   
Title: Re: News Week Poll of new voters that have already voted 69% Obama 27% McBush
Post by: Benny B on October 30, 2008, 05:30:47 AM

newsflash: Matt, your hero Obama doesn't even speak Ebonics.

Perhaps you should start worship someone who's more of a real 'brother', like Jesse Jackson.

'holla' back at you, 'Matt'.   
Eurotrash idiot

Why'd you stop signing off your posts with "yours in porn", Mr. Sticky Hands Zachary?
Title: Re: News Week Poll of new voters that have already voted 69% Obama 27% McBush
Post by: leland000 on October 30, 2008, 06:12:28 AM
According to an LA Times/Bloomberg poll of those who voted early in Florida, McCain leads Obama 49-45% even though more Democrats voted than Republicans:
Democrats are beaming that their party is outperforming the Republicans in early voting, releasing numbers Wednesday that show registrants of their party ahead 54 percent to 30 percent among the 1.4 million voters who have gone to the polls early.
"We're thrilled at the record turnout so far," said Democratic Party of Florida spokesman Eric Jotkoff. "It's a clear indication that Democrats want to elect Barack Obama and Democrats up and down the ballot so that we can start creating good jobs, rebuilding our economy and getting our nation back on track."

But party breakdowns for turnout aren't the same as final tallies, and at least one poll offered a different view for the campaign of Republican John McCain.

A Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg poll gave McCain a 49-45 lead over Democrat Barack Obama among Floridians who have already voted.

And Republicans continued to show a traditional strength, leading 50 percent to the Democrats' 30 percent in the 1.2 million absentee ballots already returned.


Democrats are beaming that more Democrats came out to vote early but it seems many of them aren't voting for the Democrat candidate

Title: Re: News Week Poll of new voters that have already voted 69% Obama 27% McBush
Post by: Benny B on October 30, 2008, 06:39:37 AM
According to an LA Times/Bloomberg poll of those who voted early in Florida, McCain leads Obama 49-45% even though more Democrats voted than Republicans:
Democrats are beaming that their party is outperforming the Republicans in early voting, releasing numbers Wednesday that show registrants of their party ahead 54 percent to 30 percent among the 1.4 million voters who have gone to the polls early.
"We're thrilled at the record turnout so far," said Democratic Party of Florida spokesman Eric Jotkoff. "It's a clear indication that Democrats want to elect Barack Obama and Democrats up and down the ballot so that we can start creating good jobs, rebuilding our economy and getting our nation back on track."

But party breakdowns for turnout aren't the same as final tallies, and at least one poll offered a different view for the campaign of Republican John McCain.

A Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg poll gave McCain a 49-45 lead over Democrat Barack Obama among Floridians who have already voted.

And Republicans continued to show a traditional strength, leading 50 percent to the Democrats' 30 percent in the 1.2 million absentee ballots already returned.


Democrats are beaming that more Democrats came out to vote early but it seems many of them aren't voting for the Democrat candidate


Florida's gravy for Obama.
Title: Re: News Week Poll of new voters that have already voted 69% Obama 27% McBush
Post by: leland000 on October 30, 2008, 06:47:48 AM
Florida's gravy for Obama.

Gravy?....Either you know something the rest of the country doesn't or you're a total dipshit.
Title: Re: News Week Poll of new voters that have already voted 69% Obama 27% McBush
Post by: Benny B on October 30, 2008, 07:04:56 AM
Gravy?....Either you know something the rest of the country doesn't or you're a total dipshit.
::)

Can you count, jackass?
www.pollster.com
Title: Re: News Week Poll of new voters that have already voted 69% Obama 27% McBush
Post by: Hedgehog on October 30, 2008, 07:05:20 AM
Eurotrash idiot

Why'd you stop signing off your posts with "yours in porn", Mr. Sticky Hands Zachary?


you don't like me picking on MattyT?
Title: Re: News Week Poll of new voters that have already voted 69% Obama 27% McBush
Post by: headhuntersix on October 30, 2008, 07:09:51 AM
I don't know Benny......the hard numbers right now have McCain winning......
Title: Re: News Week Poll of new voters that have already voted 69% Obama 27% McBush
Post by: leland000 on October 30, 2008, 07:25:17 AM
::)

Can you count, jackass?
www.pollster.com


Can you?
When did pollster.com become gospel?
Title: Re: News Week Poll of new voters that have already voted 69% Obama 27% McBush
Post by: leland000 on October 30, 2008, 07:30:52 AM
::)

Can you count, jackass?
www.pollster.com


According to the site you posted Obama doesn't even have a 3pt lead...are you even aware of the margin of error?

Nice display of mathematics on your part honey.
Title: Re: News Week Poll of new voters that have already voted 69% Obama 27% McBush
Post by: Benny B on October 30, 2008, 09:32:58 AM
According to the site you posted Obama doesn't even have a 3pt lead...are you even aware of the margin of error?

Nice display of mathematics on your part honey.
::)
Can you count to 270?
Are you aware that we have an electoral college in America?

CO and VA (traditional repube states) are the keys to an Obama victory. Wins in those states and FL is gravy. 

BB
ps~ You are a moron. America can't afford people like you in these days in times. Kill yourself.
Title: Re: News Week Poll of new voters that have already voted 69% Obama 27% McBush
Post by: leland000 on October 30, 2008, 09:43:47 AM
::)
Can you count to 270?
Are you aware that we have an electoral college in America?

CO and VA (traditional repube states) are the keys to an Obama victory. Wins in those states and FL is gravy. 

BB
ps~ You are a moron. America can't afford people like you in these days in times. Kill yourself.

READING COMPREHENSION........Eve ry single word I wrote was in reference to the state of FLORIDA!!!!!
Title: Re: News Week Poll of new voters that have already voted 69% Obama 27% McBush
Post by: leland000 on October 30, 2008, 09:50:04 AM
::)
Can you count to 270? Yes
Are you aware that we have an electoral college in America? Yes

CO and VA (traditional repube states) are the keys to an Obama victory. Not true Wins in those states and FL is gravy. Not true, FL will go to McCain

BB
ps~ You are a moron. America can't afford people like you in these days in times. Kill yourself. I'm a moron because I posted an LA Times/Bloomberg Poll?

Perhaps you're upset that the very evidence you posted contradicts your proclamation of "gravy".
Title: Re: News Week Poll of new voters that have already voted 69% Obama 27% McBush
Post by: Fury on October 30, 2008, 09:53:12 AM
I just got off the phone with B to the O and he told me that he doesn't really appreciate homosexual Canadian schmoes with real estate investments in Dubai, India supporting him.
Title: Re: News Week Poll of new voters that have already voted 69% Obama 27% McBush
Post by: Hugo Chavez on October 30, 2008, 09:53:36 AM
I don't know Benny......the hard numbers right now have McCain winning......
The hard numbers ::)  Where the fuck did you pull this bullshit from?
Title: Re: News Week Poll of new voters that have already voted 69% Obama 27% McBush
Post by: The Coach on October 30, 2008, 09:53:43 AM
Hollaaaaaaaaa!!   crushin mcbush with new voters!!!

Now you know why you can't go by polls. Racists like yourself tend to believe things like this.
Title: Re: News Week Poll of new voters that have already voted 69% Obama 27% McBush
Post by: Busted on October 30, 2008, 09:58:04 AM
Now you know why you can't go by polls. Racists like yourself tend to believe things like this.

Racists?  You are calling someone a racist?  Its almost as bad as you calling someone a fag.
Title: Re: News Week Poll of new voters that have already voted 69% Obama 27% McBush
Post by: The Coach on October 30, 2008, 10:06:24 AM
Racists?  You are calling someone a racist?  Its almost as bad as you calling someone a fag.

Would you prefer "homo"? If I say "gay" is that offencive? I've heard gay's call each other "fag"
Title: Re: News Week Poll of new voters that have already voted 69% Obama 27% McBush
Post by: MattT on October 30, 2008, 04:43:27 PM
Obama will most likely will by a small percentage point, but he will win by a fairly large electoral vote margin.  Mcbush might even over come Obamas lead by the 4th, but Obama will still have the majority of the electoral vote and win.
Title: Re: News Week Poll of new voters that have already voted 69% Obama 27% McBush
Post by: MattT on October 30, 2008, 04:45:56 PM
Gallop poll still has Obama up by 8 points thats the only poll i look at other then the poll of polls.  He has not dipped below an 8 point lead in the gallup poll for the whole month of Oct.
Title: Re: News Week Poll of new voters that have already voted 69% Obama 27% McBush
Post by: Hedgehog on October 30, 2008, 05:15:06 PM
Gallop poll... thats the only poll i look at other then the poll of polls. 

what makes Gallup better than the other institutes?

And why do you look at the poll of polls when those other polls are included into that?

No offence, but I don't think you're making much sense here? 
Title: Re: News Week Poll of new voters that have already voted 69% Obama 27% McBush
Post by: Dos Equis on October 30, 2008, 05:19:10 PM
How many voters?
Title: Re: News Week Poll of new voters that have already voted 69% Obama 27% McBush
Post by: MattT on October 30, 2008, 05:21:11 PM
what makes Gallup better than the other institutes?

And why do you look at the poll of polls when those other polls are included into that?

No offence, but I don't think you're making much sense here? 

Gallup poll is one of the most traditional polls out there, most trusted and reliable.  Poll of polls is a very good indactor of where one candidate actually stands in the race.  So in the poll of polls Obama has a 6 point lead.   Again during the primaries the polls were very accurate, the only state where there was an upset was NH.   So if Obama is still up by 6 points in OH come nov 4th, then most likely he'll win OH by 1 or 2 percentage points.
Title: Re: News Week Poll of new voters that have already voted 69% Obama 27% McBush
Post by: MattT on October 30, 2008, 05:22:45 PM
How many voters?


they polled 2437 people the 2nd highest amount of people polled on all of the polls.
Title: Re: News Week Poll of new voters that have already voted 69% Obama 27% McBush
Post by: MattT on October 30, 2008, 05:24:40 PM
Poll                          Date   Sample   MoE   Obama (D)   McCain (R)   Spread
RCP Average           10/23 - 10/29   --   --   49.7   43.8           Obama +5.9
FOX News                   10/28 - 10/29   924 LV   3.0   47   44   Obama +3
Rasmussen Reports   10/27 - 10/29   3000 LV   2.0   51   46   Obama +5
Gallup (Traditional)*   10/27 - 10/29   1825 LV   2.0   50   45   Obama +5
Gallup (Expanded)*   10/27 - 10/29   2437 LV   2.0   51   44   Obama +7
Diageo/Hotline   10/2  10/29   869 LV   3.6   48   42   Obama +6
Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby   10/27 - 10/29   1179 LV   2.9   50   43   Obama +7
ABC News/Wash Post   10/26 - 10/29   1327 LV   2.5   52   44   Obama +8
CBS News/NY Times   10/25 - 10/29   1005 LV   --   52   41   Obama +11
IBD/TIPP   10/25 - 10/29   894 LV   3.0   48   44   Obama +4
GWU/Battleground   10/23, 10/26-29   1000 LV   3.1   49   46   Obama +3
Title: Re: News Week Poll of new voters that have already voted 69% Obama 27% McBush
Post by: Dos Equis on October 30, 2008, 05:28:43 PM

they polled 2437 people the 2nd highest amount of people polled on all of the polls.

Where were these people from?  Is this an exit poll? 

If they just polled 2437 people from around the country then it really isn't a reliable predictor of the outcome or the current trend.  This disparity would be significant if it was an exit poll of people from the same precinct, or at least from the same state.   
Title: Re: News Week Poll of new voters that have already voted 69% Obama 27% McBush
Post by: MattT on October 30, 2008, 05:37:06 PM
Where were these people from?  Is this an exit poll? 

If they just polled 2437 people from around the country then it really isn't a reliable predictor of the outcome or the current trend.  This disparity would be significant if it was an exit poll of people from the same precinct, or at least from the same state.   

this is a daily poll how many people do u think they can poll in a fricken day? ::)  some pollsters only poll 500 people.
Title: Re: News Week Poll of new voters that have already voted 69% Obama 27% McBush
Post by: MattT on October 30, 2008, 05:37:54 PM
Where were these people from?  Is this an exit poll? 

If they just polled 2437 people from around the country then it really isn't a reliable predictor of the outcome or the current trend.  This disparity would be significant if it was an exit poll of people from the same precinct, or at least from the same state.   

these polls are from CNN's poll of polls
Title: Re: News Week Poll of new voters that have already voted 69% Obama 27% McBush
Post by: Dos Equis on October 30, 2008, 05:43:32 PM
this is a daily poll how many people do u think they can poll in a fricken day? ::)  some pollsters only poll 500 people.

Quote
these polls are from CNN's poll of polls

The title of your thread says "News Week Poll."  So which is it?  Newsweek or CNN?  Link? 
Title: Re: News Week Poll of new voters that have already voted 69% Obama 27% McBush
Post by: MattT on October 30, 2008, 05:52:19 PM


The title of your thread says "News Week Poll."  So which is it?  Newsweek or CNN?  Link? 

Yeh well that news week poll is of 1st time voters that have already voted.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/polls/
Title: Re: News Week Poll of new voters that have already voted 69% Obama 27% McBush
Post by: Dos Equis on October 30, 2008, 05:53:59 PM
Yeh well that news week poll is of 1st time voters that have already voted.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/polls/


The link you just provided shows the results of various polls.  Where is the link that supports the title of your thread: 

"News Week Poll of new voters that have already voted 69% Obama 27%."
Title: Re: News Week Poll of new voters that have already voted 69% Obama 27% McBush
Post by: Hedgehog on October 30, 2008, 05:57:54 PM


The title of your thread says "News Week Poll."  So which is it?  Newsweek or CNN?  Link? 
Stop it with your 'irrigating' questions!
Holla!!
Holla back!!!
Title: Re: News Week Poll of new voters that have already voted 69% Obama 27% McBush
Post by: Benny B on October 31, 2008, 08:08:58 AM
Stop it with your 'irrigating' questions!
Holla!!
Holla back!!!
shut the fuck up, eurotrash  ::)
Title: Re: News Week Poll of new voters that have already voted 69% Obama 27% McBush
Post by: Dos Equis on October 31, 2008, 11:23:23 AM
Stop it with your 'irrigating' questions!
Holla!!
Holla back!!!

I guess he made up the numbers?