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Getbig Main Boards => Politics and Political Issues Board => Topic started by: 240 is Back on July 19, 2010, 05:08:56 PM

Title: Dem surge in Gallup generic congressional ballot preference poll-up by 6 points
Post by: 240 is Back on July 19, 2010, 05:08:56 PM
Dem surge in Gallup generic congressional ballot preference poll-up by 6 points 49-43

http://www.gallup.com/poll/127439/Election-2010-Key-Indicators.aspx

Dems-49%
GOP-43%

Dems haven't had a lead this large in months.
6 points is larger than the lead they had in Gallup's final 2006 midterm poll.




Tea party losing momentum?  Obama's pounding home the same talking points working? 
Title: Re: Dem surge in Gallup generic congressional ballot preference poll-up by 6 points
Post by: Dos Equis on July 19, 2010, 05:35:21 PM
The RCP average has Republicans leading Democrats 44.4 to 41.9.  Rasmussen has Republicans ahead 45 to 36.  Fox has them ahead 41 to 37.  Time has Democrats ahead 43 to 42.  Bloomberg says 48 to 40 Republicans.  PPD says tie.  ABC says 49 to 45 Republicans.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/polls/
Title: Re: Dem surge in Gallup generic congressional ballot preference poll-up by 6 points
Post by: 240 is Back on July 19, 2010, 07:43:43 PM
The RCP average has Republicans leading Democrats 44.4 to 41.9.  Rasmussen has Republicans ahead 45 to 36.  Fox has them ahead 41 to 37.  Time has Democrats ahead 43 to 42.  Bloomberg says 48 to 40 Republicans.  PPD says tie.  ABC says 49 to 45 Republicans.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/polls/

The dems have spent the last 18 months shoving ultra-lib legislation down the country's collective throats.... we're essentially an inch away from another great depression...

And things are "pretty much tied"?   ???

Republicans are either very much wrong about the way people feel, or they are brutally failing to capitalize upon the disdain for libs by differentiating themselves in any way.
Title: Re: Dem surge in Gallup generic congressional ballot preference poll-up by 6 points
Post by: tonymctones on July 19, 2010, 08:00:38 PM
The dems have spent the last 18 months shoving ultra-lib legislation down the country's collective throats.... we're essentially an inch away from another great depression...

And things are "pretty much tied"?   ???

Republicans are either very much wrong about the way people feel, or they are brutally failing to capitalize upon the disdain for libs by differentiating themselves in any way.
::) ::) ::) when I just cant seem to deal with your ignorance...youtube  ;)
Title: Re: Dem surge in Gallup generic congressional ballot preference poll-up by 6 points
Post by: 240 is Back on July 19, 2010, 08:10:53 PM
brutal attack the messenger lol....


Tony, do you think the repubs should be in better shape in polls right now?  Do you think "tied" is A-okay, all things considered?  Dems couldn't have botched things any worse if they tried - and about half the country still loves em.
Title: Re: Dem surge in Gallup generic congressional ballot preference poll-up by 6 points
Post by: tonymctones on July 19, 2010, 08:18:05 PM
brutal attack the messenger lol....


Tony, do you think the repubs should be in better shape in polls right now?  Do you think "tied" is A-okay, all things considered?  Dems couldn't have botched things any worse if they tried - and about half the country still loves em.
LOL see 240 this is why nobody around here really takes you serious...you say they are tied b/c you want to use the possible error, then when comes to the amount of illegals we deport you use an extreme number instead of being conservative...

youre the court jester of the getbig politics board simply running around for amusement and contributing little...congrats  ::) ::) ::)

you know you could spin it the other way and say with as bad as the reps were viewed during the election and as bad as they are painted by the majority of the media that they shouldnt be ahead in any poll...but hey Ill leave the court jestering up to you  ;)
Title: Re: Dem surge in Gallup generic congressional ballot preference poll-up by 6 points
Post by: Dos Equis on July 19, 2010, 08:19:25 PM
brutal attack the messenger lol....


Tony, do you think the repubs should be in better shape in polls right now?  Do you think "tied" is A-okay, all things considered?  Dems couldn't have botched things any worse if they tried - and about half the country still loves em.

I think what Tony is trying to say is this is brutal liberal spin.  For example, saying "about half the country still loves" Congressional Democrats, when Congress has an approval rating of 21.8 percent and a negative rating of 71.2 percent, sounds like the comment of a liberal hack.  Not calling you a hack, just saying what it sounds like.  
Title: Re: Dem surge in Gallup generic congressional ballot preference poll-up by 6 points
Post by: 240 is Back on July 19, 2010, 08:20:22 PM
LOL see 240 this is why nobody around here really takes you serious...you say they are tied b/c you want to use the possible error, then when comes to the amount of illegals we deport you use an extreme number instead of being conservative...

youre the court jester of the getbig politics board simply running around for amusement and contributing little...congrats  ::) ::) ::)

you know you could spin it the other way and say with as bad as the reps were viewed during the election and as bad as they are painted by the majority of the media that they shouldnt be ahead in any poll...but hey Ill leave the court jestering up to you  ;)


I didn't understand what you were saying here.  

You believe the repubs are not creaming the dems in the polls - because of the media?

In that case, what can they do to combat this?  And more importantly, exactly when did the media become powerful enough to sway most voters left?  Repubs won in 00, 02, and 04... so did someone change the switch to "LEFT" in 2006?

Title: Re: Dem surge in Gallup generic congressional ballot preference poll-up by 6 points
Post by: 240 is Back on July 19, 2010, 08:22:52 PM
I think what Tony is trying to say is this is brutal liberal spin.  For example, saying "about half the country still loves" Congressional Democrats, when Congress has an approval rating of 21.8 percent and a negative rating of 71.2 percent, sounds like the comment of a liberal hack.  Not calling you a hack, just saying what it sounds like.  

You're showing the low number of congress in general - both parties.  This brand new poll shows the dems with a hefty lead.  Even if this poll is an outlier... I have to wonder... Why the heck aren't the repubs leading every poll by 20 points?  What else can the dems do?  Why can't the repubs capitalize?  Obama is at 48% gallup approval rating today.  Nothing sticks to the guy, and he's just ramping up for the fall. 

IMO, the tea party shot their load about 6 months too soon.   :-\
Title: Re: Dem surge in Gallup generic congressional ballot preference poll-up by 6 points
Post by: tonymctones on July 19, 2010, 08:31:40 PM

I didn't understand what you were saying here.  

You believe the repubs are not creaming the dems in the polls - because of the media?

In that case, what can they do to combat this?  And more importantly, exactly when did the media become powerful enough to sway most voters left?  Repubs won in 00, 02, and 04... so did someone change the switch to "LEFT" in 2006?
what im saying is you contribute little to nothing of significance to this board...youre a step above mons venus...

It was an attempt at spin 240 I apologize if its not up to your standards but I dont get the daily practice that you do. The reps need to get younger blood to be able to communicate with younger voters who use different types of communication mediums...with that in mind 240 what happend in the realm of communication in terms of young ppl in 2006? Facebook...

GOP needs fresh blood and a return to true conservative principles...
Title: Re: Dem surge in Gallup generic congressional ballot preference poll-up by 6 points
Post by: Dos Equis on July 19, 2010, 08:32:16 PM
You're showing the low number of congress in general - both parties.  This brand new poll shows the dems with a hefty lead.  Even if this poll is an outlier... I have to wonder... Why the heck aren't the repubs leading every poll by 20 points?  What else can the dems do?  Why can't the repubs capitalize?  Obama is at 48% gallup approval rating today.  Nothing sticks to the guy, and he's just ramping up for the fall. 

IMO, the tea party shot their load about 6 months too soon.   :-\

Even if you only look at Gallup and not others that contradict Gallup, a six point lead is hardly "hefty."  Usually, the margin of error is four or five percent.  

You'll never see any party up by twenty points, consistently.  There is a core group from each party that will always vote along party lines.  

The fact Democrats are projected to lose both the House and Senate by Democrats should tell you all you need to know about how much trouble they are in.  
Title: Re: Dem surge in Gallup generic congressional ballot preference poll-up by 6 points
Post by: 240 is Back on July 19, 2010, 08:37:59 PM
The fact Democrats are projected to lose both the House and Senate by Democrats should tell you all you need to know about how much trouble they are in. 

Who is projecting the senate to go repub?  House may go, but they need to steal ten seats to win seante.  most conservatives are estimating 5 seats is realistic, and 7 or 8 would be incredible.  Which 10 seats do you think jump repub?
Title: Re: Dem surge in Gallup generic congressional ballot preference poll-up by 6 points
Post by: Dos Equis on July 19, 2010, 08:51:28 PM
Who is projecting the senate to go repub?  House may go, but they need to steal ten seats to win seante.  most conservatives are estimating 5 seats is realistic, and 7 or 8 would be incredible.  Which 10 seats do you think jump repub?

Didn't Gibbs just say Democrats could lose the House and Senate? 

I have no idea which seats are likely to change.  Haven't been following individual races.  Except I'd love to see Harry Reid lose. 
Title: Re: Dem surge in Gallup generic congressional ballot preference poll-up by 6 points
Post by: 240 is Back on July 19, 2010, 08:55:14 PM
Didn't Gibbs just say Democrats could lose the House and Senate? 

I have no idea which seats are likely to change.  Haven't been following individual races.  Except I'd love to see Harry Reid lose. 

House may fall (still only 56% chance on Intrade world wagering)... but Senate would take a miracle. 

Reid is a moron... but the repubs put up a wackjob who just can't stop talking... so he will probably keep his seat too.


As for Gibbs, Hanniy and Chris mathews and everyone in between believe he was just trying to 'rally the troops', or get the dem voters (and donors!) a little scared and motivated.  When hannity and mathews agree on something lol...
Title: Re: Dem surge in Gallup generic congressional ballot preference poll-up by 6 points
Post by: tonymctones on July 19, 2010, 08:59:33 PM
As for Gibbs, Hanniy and Chris mathews and everyone in between believe he was just trying to 'rally the troops', or get the dem voters (and donors!) a little scared and motivated.  When hannity and mathews agree on something lol...
actually many ppl feel he was just being honest including that brunette andrea chick on fox and a commentator on CNN...but dont let facts get in the way... ;)

if that were the case why would pelosi chastise him and biden deny?
Title: Re: Dem surge in Gallup generic congressional ballot preference poll-up by 6 points
Post by: Dos Equis on July 19, 2010, 08:59:59 PM
House may fall (still only 56% chance on Intrade world wagering)... but Senate would take a miracle. 

Reid is a moron... but the repubs put up a wackjob who just can't stop talking... so he will probably keep his seat too.


As for Gibbs, Hanniy and Chris mathews and everyone in between believe he was just trying to 'rally the troops', or get the dem voters (and donors!) a little scared and motivated.  When hannity and mathews agree on something lol...

I'd love to see turnover in the Senate.  

I listened to the clip of Reid's opponent.  She's hardly a "wackjob."  She hasn't said anything different than Obama when it comes to her faith.  
Title: Re: Dem surge in Gallup generic congressional ballot preference poll-up by 6 points
Post by: 240 is Back on July 19, 2010, 09:11:14 PM
She hasn't said anything different than Obama when it comes to her faith. 

i'd love to see Repubs win the senate... I just do'nt think it'll happen.  And the way Repubs are letting obama hammer them for supporting the bush tax cuts - while hating on unemployment.


Angle believes an 11-year old girl raped by her father should have to deliver the baby - and she wanted to eliminate social security.   Oh, and medicare too - she said we need to phase that out. 

She's an extremist.  And unfortunately, a little too extreme.  A more moderate candidate would have creamed Reid.   Reid was at 25% in January... and Angle just talked until he moved right back up :(
 
Title: Re: Dem surge in Gallup generic congressional ballot preference poll-up by 6 points
Post by: Dos Equis on July 19, 2010, 09:25:48 PM
i'd love to see Repubs win the senate... I just do'nt think it'll happen.  And the way Repubs are letting obama hammer them for supporting the bush tax cuts - while hating on unemployment.


Angle believes an 11-year old girl raped by her father should have to deliver the baby - and she wanted to eliminate social security.   Oh, and medicare too - she said we need to phase that out. 

She's an extremist.  And unfortunately, a little too extreme.  A more moderate candidate would have creamed Reid.   Reid was at 25% in January... and Angle just talked until he moved right back up :(
 

None of that makes her a "wackjob." 

You should compare her comments on faith to Obama. 
Title: Re: Dem surge in Gallup generic congressional ballot preference poll-up by 6 points
Post by: BM OUT on July 20, 2010, 04:57:02 AM
None of this matters.In Nov. republicans will destroy the democrats at the polls,the real polls.By the way,this will be 100% an election about Obama.
Title: Re: Dem surge in Gallup generic congressional ballot preference poll-up by 6 points
Post by: Soul Crusher on July 20, 2010, 06:02:58 AM
Why didn't you include all the polls 240? 
________________________ ________________________

Generic Congressional Vote
Polling Data

Poll Date Sample Republicans  Democrats  Spread


RCP Average 7/7 - 7/18 -- 44.4 41.9 Republicans +2.5

Gallup 7/12 - 7/18 1535 A 43 49 Democrats +6

Rasmussen Reports 7/12 - 7/18 3500 LV 45 36 Republicans +9

FOX News 7/13 - 7/14 900 RV 41 37 Republicans +4

Time 7/12 - 7/13 1003 A 42 43 Democrats +1

Bloomberg 7/9 - 7/12 875 LV 48 40 Republicans +8

PPP (D) 7/9 - 7/12 667 RV 43 43 Tie

ABC News/Wash Post 7/7 - 7/11 LV 49 45 Republicans +4

See All Generic Congressional Vote Polling Data
Title: Re: Dem surge in Gallup generic congressional ballot preference poll-up by 6 points
Post by: 240 is Back on July 20, 2010, 06:22:57 AM
33, your defense point is, "look, other polls show it's about a tie".

Really?  A tie?  That's the best you can do after 18 months of shit policy?  A Tie??

Title: Re: Dem surge in Gallup generic congressional ballot preference poll-up by 6 points
Post by: Soul Crusher on July 20, 2010, 06:25:22 AM
33, your defense point is, "look, other polls show it's about a tie".

Really?  A tie?  That's the best you can do after 18 months of shit policy?  A Tie??



Who said its a tie? 

There is one poll showing Dems up and the others show its not.   Rasmussen has a better record than Gallup as per 2008, yet you hang your dreams on Gallup and you hope the Messiah gets a huge a victory in November. 

Additionally, polling mid terms is harder since there is less turnout and usually by those more pissed off. 

 
Title: Re: Dem surge in Gallup generic congressional ballot preference poll-up by 6 points
Post by: MCWAY on July 20, 2010, 07:23:34 AM
Who is projecting the senate to go repub?  House may go, but they need to steal ten seats to win seante.  most conservatives are estimating 5 seats is realistic, and 7 or 8 would be incredible.  Which 10 seats do you think jump repub?

Most pundits are claiming the Dems lose the House. The only one that says they'll lose the Senate as well is Dick Morris.

Of course, he was part of the Clinton Adminstration, when the Dems got massacred. He claims that the scenarios today are almost identical to what they were in the mid-90s.
Title: Re: Dem surge in Gallup generic congressional ballot preference poll-up by 6 points
Post by: 240 is Back on July 20, 2010, 07:37:00 AM
Who said its a tie? 

There is one poll showing Dems up and the others show its not.   Rasmussen has a better record than Gallup as per 2008, yet you hang your dreams on Gallup and you hope the Messiah gets a huge a victory in November. 

Gallup has this data for the last 30+ years... Rass is the outlier here.
Title: Re: Dem surge in Gallup generic congressional ballot preference poll-up by 6 points
Post by: Soul Crusher on July 20, 2010, 07:39:11 AM
Gallup has this data for the last 30+ years... Rass is the outlier here.

Oh freaking please 240 - are you that fucking dumb? 

Did you see the Bloomberg poll? 

Bro - your liberalism and obama daily kneepadding is becoming even much for you. 
Title: Re: Dem surge in Gallup generic congressional ballot preference poll-up by 6 points
Post by: Grape Ape on July 20, 2010, 08:01:11 AM
Really?  A tie?  That's the best you can do after 18 months of shit policy?  A Tie??



Where was it a year ago?
Title: Re: Dem surge in Gallup generic congressional ballot preference poll-up by 6 points
Post by: Soul Crusher on July 20, 2010, 08:10:34 AM
240 - you are truly smoking dope if you think Ras is the out lier in this. 

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/generic_congressional_vote-901.html

Title: Re: Dem surge in Gallup generic congressional ballot preference poll-up by 6 points
Post by: 240 is Back on July 20, 2010, 08:18:17 AM
Oh freaking please 240 - are you that fucking dumb?  

Did you see the Bloomberg poll?  

Bro - your liberalism and obama daily kneepadding is becoming even much for you.  

it's more me being dissapointed that the repubs don't have the kind of polling and cash leads that obama had at this point... we're in a depression LOL... and repubs aren't capitalizing.  Fire steele, raise some$
Title: Re: Dem surge in Gallup generic congressional ballot preference poll-up by 6 points
Post by: Grape Ape on July 20, 2010, 08:19:29 AM
it's more me being dissapointed that the repubs don't have the kind of polling and cash leads that obama had at this point... we're in a depression LOL... and repubs aren't capitalizing.  Fire steele, raise some$

It seems you keep focusing on the numbers as they are today, and not the change that's happened in the last year.
Title: Re: Dem surge in Gallup generic congressional ballot preference poll-up by 6 points
Post by: BM OUT on July 20, 2010, 08:35:01 AM
it's more me being dissapointed that the repubs don't have the kind of polling and cash leads that obama had at this point... we're in a depression LOL... and repubs aren't capitalizing.  Fire steele, raise some$

I agree with you on Steele,his fundraising efforts SUCK!!But,if you look where republicans were at the election,where people said democrats would rule for 50 years to now,even the most liberal of people would have to say its pretty incredible.

The democrats overplayed their hand,misread the election[as they always do]and now are on the threshhold of losing power again.Pretty amazing how much Obama has damaged them and more incredible that its this quick.
Title: Re: Dem surge in Gallup generic congressional ballot preference poll-up by 6 points
Post by: 240 is Back on July 20, 2010, 09:01:40 AM
we're in a depression.  repubs should be gaining ground every day, widening the $ gap.  it's just not happening. 
Title: Re: Dem surge in Gallup generic congressional ballot preference poll-up by 6 points
Post by: dario73 on July 20, 2010, 09:10:49 AM
it's more me being dissapointed that the repubs don't have the kind of polling and cash leads that obama had at this point... we're in a depression LOL... and repubs aren't capitalizing.  Fire steele, raise some$

A year and a half ago, Obama was hailed as the Messiah and savior of the country. "Obama is going to pay my house, buy me a car and get me free diapers!!!"  It was said that this was "the smartest cabinet EVER."
Democrats had filibuster proof majority in BOTH houses.  Democrats had all the power and they had the support of the majority of Americans.

To see the Republicans tie or ahead of Democrats in most polls is a DRASTIC change. Republicans should not be tied or ahead of Democrats after only 18 months of Obama's presidency.  I don't know if there has ever been such a drastic change in public sentiment in such a short time. Maybe there has been. But, this must rank right up there.
Title: Re: Dem surge in Gallup generic congressional ballot preference poll-up by 6 points
Post by: tonymctones on July 20, 2010, 09:36:08 AM
it's more me being disappointed that the repubs don't have the kind of polling and cash leads that obama had at this point... we're in a depression LOL... and repubs aren't capitalizing.  Fire steele, raise some$
::) ::) ::)

yea i bet your real disappointed....
Title: Re: Dem surge in Gallup generic congressional ballot preference poll-up by 6 points
Post by: 240 is Back on July 20, 2010, 09:38:52 AM
::) ::) ::)

yea i bet your real disappointed....

I'd like the repubs to win the house in 2010 (but not the senate) and the white house in 2012.

Remember that pendulum swing?
Title: Re: Dem surge in Gallup generic congressional ballot preference poll-up by 6 points
Post by: BM OUT on July 20, 2010, 10:27:57 AM
I'd like the repubs to win the house in 2010 (but not the senate) and the white house in 2012.

Remember that pendulum swing?

I dont want them to win the house or the senate.I want them to fall a few votes short of both.This way they still have enough votes to stop Obama,but can still blame democrats for the mess.Then,in 2012,a sunami sweeps all libs out to sea.
Title: Re: Dem surge in Gallup generic congressional ballot preference poll-up by 6 points
Post by: 240 is Back on July 20, 2010, 10:47:04 AM
I dont want them to win the house or the senate.I want them to fall a few votes short of both.This way they still have enough votes to stop Obama,but can still blame democrats for the mess.Then,in 2012,a sunami sweeps all libs out to sea.

yeah... but then you have one party running everything.  last time the repubs had everything, we had huge spending, 2 wars (almost 3) and bush tax cuts which cost a ton of $$....

I like the split system we had under clinton
Title: Re: Dem surge in Gallup generic congressional ballot preference poll-up by 6 points
Post by: BM OUT on July 20, 2010, 11:24:06 AM
yeah... but then you have one party running everything.  last time the repubs had everything, we had huge spending, 2 wars (almost 3) and bush tax cuts which cost a ton of $$....

I like the split system we had under clinton

Tax cuts cost NOTHING!!This is a liberal lie.Tax cuts ALWAYS increase revenue to the government.The problem is the government spends it as fast as it comes in.The Bush tax cuts saved the economy after 911,unlike Obamas lie that the stimulus did a dam thing,the Bush tax cuts did save the economy.
Title: Re: Dem surge in Gallup generic congressional ballot preference poll-up by 6 points
Post by: Soul Crusher on July 21, 2010, 06:18:20 AM
Quinnipiac: Obama Approval Hits New Low
RealClearPolitics ^ | 7/21/2010 | Kyle Trygstad




President Obama's approval rating has reached a new low according to a national Quinnipiac survey released this morning. The poll finds that just 44 percent of registered voters approve of the job he's done as president, and 48 percent disapprove. Two months ago, 48 percent approved and 43 percent did not.

Obama now barely has a positive approval rating in the RCP Average of recent national polls.

On the issues: 56 percent of voters disapprove of his handling of the economy; by a 46-43 percent margin, voters disapprove of his handling of foreign policy; 51 percent disapprove of his handling of the Gulf oil spill; and 58 percent disapprove of his handling of illegal immigration, including 60 percent who said the federal government's lawsuit against Arizona was a bad idea.

"Today, his support among Democrats remains strong, but the disillusionment among independent voters, who dropped from 52 – 37 percent approval to 52 – 38 percent disapproval in the last 12 months, is what leads to his weakness overall when voters start thinking about 2012,” said Quinnipiac assistant director Peter A. Brown.


(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...
Title: Re: Dem surge in Gallup generic congressional ballot preference poll-up by 6 points
Post by: BM OUT on July 21, 2010, 06:27:52 AM
All these libs are going to be shocked in Nov.I litterally cant wait to see guys like Ed Shultz on television the next day screaming about "those bastard republicans".It will be just like Clintons first term when the CNN "reporters" were almost on suicide watch after republicans took the house.
Title: Re: Dem surge in Gallup generic congressional ballot preference poll-up by 6 points
Post by: Soul Crusher on July 21, 2010, 07:40:59 AM
Obama is going to have to start a war or something to bring his polls up.

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1295.xml?ReleaseID=1478

Title: Re: Dem surge in Gallup generic congressional ballot preference poll-up by 6 points
Post by: BM OUT on July 21, 2010, 08:42:27 AM
Obama is going to have to start a war or something to bring his polls up.

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1295.xml?ReleaseID=1478



That wont matter,this fool has been exposed.He has lost whites,lost independants,lost moderates,he is finnished.
Title: Re: Dem surge in Gallup generic congressional ballot preference poll-up by 6 points
Post by: 240 is Back on July 21, 2010, 10:51:34 AM
Obama is going to have to start a war or something to bring his polls up.

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1295.xml?ReleaseID=1478



it worked for bush.


















Twice.
Title: Re: Dem surge in Gallup generic congressional ballot preference poll-up by 6 points
Post by: BM OUT on July 21, 2010, 11:47:06 AM
it worked for bush.


















Twice.

It wont work for him.He is the man that bows.No guts,no spine,not a leader,just a rabble rouser.
Title: Re: Dem surge in Gallup generic congressional ballot preference poll-up by 6 points
Post by: Fury on July 21, 2010, 11:52:36 AM
Obama is going to have to start a war or something to bring his polls up.

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1295.xml?ReleaseID=1478



But, but, but, I thought he had 48% approval?  ::)

Voter approval of the President's handling of some of the nation's problems shows:
Disapprove 56 - 39 percent of his handling of the economy;
Disapprove 46 - 43 percent of his handling of foreign policy;
Disapprove 51 - 41 percent of his handling of the Gulf of Mexico oil spill;
Disapprove 58 - 30 percent of his handling of illegal immigration;
Approve 46 - 34 percent of his nomination of Elena Kagan to the Supreme Court.

LOL.
Title: Re: Dem surge in Gallup generic congressional ballot preference poll-up by 6 points
Post by: Soul Crusher on July 21, 2010, 12:00:01 PM
But, but, but, I thought he had 48% approval?  ::)

Voter approval of the President's handling of some of the nation's problems shows:
Disapprove 56 - 39 percent of his handling of the economy;
Disapprove 46 - 43 percent of his handling of foreign policy;
Disapprove 51 - 41 percent of his handling of the Gulf of Mexico oil spill;
Disapprove 58 - 30 percent of his handling of illegal immigration;
Approve 46 - 34 percent of his nomination of Elena Kagan to the Supreme Court.

LOL.

Don't worry BF - 240, Mons, blacken, KC, Benny, and Danny are bringing up Obama in the rear. 
Title: Re: Dem surge in Gallup generic congressional ballot preference poll-up by 6 points
Post by: Fury on July 21, 2010, 12:06:51 PM
Don't worry BF - 240, Mons, blacken, KC, Benny, and Danny are bringing up Obama in the rear. 

;D

How 39% can approve of the this turd's handling of the economy is beyond me.
Title: Re: Dem surge in Gallup generic congressional ballot preference poll-up by 6 points
Post by: Mons Venus on July 21, 2010, 05:18:02 PM
Dem surge in Gallup generic congressional ballot preference poll-up by 6 points 49-43

http://www.gallup.com/poll/127439/Election-2010-Key-Indicators.aspx

Dems-49%
GOP-43%

Dems haven't had a lead this large in months.
6 points is larger than the lead they had in Gallup's final 2006 midterm poll.




Tea party losing momentum?  Obama's pounding home the same talking points working? 

Tea Party= Racists hiding behind a cause.
Title: Re: Dem surge in Gallup generic congressional ballot preference poll-up by 6 points
Post by: Soul Crusher on July 21, 2010, 08:31:17 PM
Tea Party= Racists hiding behind a cause.
Title: Re: Dem surge in Gallup generic congressional ballot preference poll-up by 6 points
Post by: Soul Crusher on July 26, 2010, 08:47:21 AM
Gallup: Democrats lose ground in state polls
Hotair ^ | 07/26/2010 | Ed Morrisey



________________________ ________________________ __________________


Gallup’s latest analysis shows that Democrats have not just lost ground on the national level, but also within states as well. Using a general-population sample (more on that in a moment), the survey shows that Democrats have gone from a twelve-point advantage on the eve of Barack Obama’s big win in 2008 to a mere four-point, within-the-MOE lead in party identification. Fewer states are showing significant Democratic advantage as a result:

More states are politically competitive this year than was the case in 2009, as fewer Americans nationwide identify with the Democratic Party. Vermont — along with the District of Columbia — is the most Democratic state in the U.S. in 2010 so far, while Utah, Wyoming, and Idaho are the most Republican.

These results are based on interviews with more than 175,000 U.S. adults, conducted between January and June 2010 as part of Gallup Daily tracking. …

Nationwide, Democrats have a 4-point party identification advantage over Republicans in 2010 (44% to 40%), down from an 8-point advantage in 2009 and a 12-point advantage in 2008.

While Democrats’ party strength fell in each of the last two years, Republicans have not gained concomitantly. Instead, the percentage of Americans who do not identify with or lean toward either political party has increased.

The sample is the key. Gallup did not ask for registered or likely voters, but instead opted for the wider but less accurate sampling technique. We have a basis of comparison as well, the 2008 election. Gallup showed Democrats with a 12-point advantage in the general population, but Obama only won the popular vote by seven points — and that was with the help of Republican crossovers. The general-population sample overstates Democratic support in actual elections, even the one with massive turnout that propelled Obama into the White House.

The four-point advantage today, therefore, looks pretty thin. Among registered voters, it’s probably dead even or perhaps a negative number.

The sample didn’t help Democrats with the states. Two years ago, Democrats had significant advantage in 30 states. In 2009, that number dropped to 24. This year, it’s 14. A few of those states went into the “leaner” category for Democrats, going from 6 to 10 and then to 9, respectively. Overall. the number of states with Democratic advantage has dropped from 36 to 23 in just two years. Republican states have grown from 5 to 12 in the same period, with the rest too close to call.

Gallup concludes that Republicans will have a good midterm in Congressional seats, but that’s more or less known already. The bigger problem for Democrats will be in the state houses. Redistricting starts next year, after the 2010 Census reports get published. If Republicans take control of more state houses, they may drive more of the redistricting — and that has implications well beyond these midterm elections.

Title: Re: Dem surge in Gallup generic congressional ballot preference poll-up by 6 points
Post by: BM OUT on July 26, 2010, 09:02:59 AM
Tea Party= Racists hiding behind a cause.

Really,do you have any proof of that?I mean other then the lying words of the racist John Lewis or the other black congressmen that have been shown to make up stories.In fact,care to compare the words of some tea party members to those words of guys the NAACP has honored like Rev. Wright of Farakahn?
Title: Re: Dem surge in Gallup generic congressional ballot preference poll-up by 6 points
Post by: Soul Crusher on October 09, 2010, 06:38:58 AM
Dem surge in Gallup generic congressional ballot preference poll-up by 6 points 49-43

http://www.gallup.com/poll/127439/Election-2010-Key-Indicators.aspx

Dems-49%
GOP-43%

Dems haven't had a lead this large in months.
6 points is larger than the lead they had in Gallup's final 2006 midterm poll.




Tea party losing momentum?  Obama's pounding home the same talking points working? 

Bump - what happened 240? 
Title: Re: Dem surge in Gallup generic congressional ballot preference poll-up by 6 points
Post by: Soul Crusher on October 09, 2010, 07:28:33 AM
Gallup: 54% Of Likely Voters Call Themselves Conservative
Categories: Democrats, poll, Republicans

01:09 pm

October 8, 2010

  by Frank James


Gallup continued to pour cold water on Democrats' mid-term election hopes with an analysis it released Friday of likely voters.

The polling organization found 54 percent of likely voters identifying themselves as conservatives.

That compared with 40 percent of likely voters who identified themselves as conservative in 1994, the year Republicans took control of Congress in a mid-term seen as a repudiation of President Bill Clinton and his failed attempt to overhaul the nation's health-care system.

Earlier in the week, Gallup reported that its latest survey of likely voters gave congressional Republicans an 18 percent lead in generic approval ratings if a low turnout model was used compared with a 13 percent lead using a higher turnout model.

 
Meanwhile, the percentage of voters describing themselves as moderate is about 20 percentage points lower than it was in 1994, at 27 percent compared with 48 percent.

Indeed, that 27 percent declaring themselves to be moderates was significantly lower percentage of the electorate self-identifying in that way than in any congressional election cycle since 1994.

And it gets worse once you factor in the leanings of independents. A Gallup excerpt:

Once the "leanings" of independents are taken into account, the majority of the 2010 electorate, 57%, identifies either as Republicans or as independents who lean Republican, compared with 39% identifying as or leaning Democratic. The previous high was 51% in 2002.
Tags: Gallup Poll
Title: Re: Dem surge in Gallup generic congressional ballot preference poll-up by 6 points
Post by: Soul Crusher on October 09, 2010, 03:38:27 PM
Gallup: Grab your surfboards!
Hot Air ^ | October 08, 2010 | Ed MORRISSEY




Forget 1994, Gallup’s demographic breakdown of their likely-voter model predicts. The moderates actually reigned supreme in that Republican sweep, with the middle accounting for 48% of the turnout. This time, conservatives make up 54% of the predicted turnout, twice as many as the moderates and three times as many as the liberals, and with independents breaking for the GOP, the amplitude of the wave could be enormous:

Gallup’s recent modeling of the vote for Congress finds 54% of likely voters identifying themselves as politically conservative, while moderates are in conspicuously short supply compared with recent midterms. Also, Republicans make up a larger share of the electorate in Gallup’s initial 2010 likely voter pool — greater than their 1994 share — than do Democrats, and the gap is even more pronounced once the leanings of independents are taken into account. …

The composition of likely voters appears to have become more politically polarized, with the proportions of conservatives and liberals expanding since 1994 at moderates’ expense. However, Gallup’s initial 2010 estimate of likely voters shows a particularly sharp jump in the percentage of conservatives, from 42% in 2006 to 54% today, and a decline in the percentage of moderates, from 37% to 27%.


(Excerpt) Read more at hotair.com ...
Title: Re: Dem surge in Gallup generic congressional ballot preference poll-up by 6 points
Post by: Dos Equis on October 09, 2010, 03:46:00 PM
Sounds like it will be a bloodbath. 
Title: Re: Dem surge in Gallup generic congressional ballot preference poll-up by 6 points
Post by: Soul Crusher on October 09, 2010, 03:48:29 PM
Sounds like it will be a bloodbath. 

All but the most die-hard leftists like straw, benny, baygbm, blacken, and a few others are horrified what is coming from dc and far left democrats across the nation. 
Title: Re: Dem surge in Gallup generic congressional ballot preference poll-up by 6 points
Post by: Dos Equis on October 09, 2010, 04:08:46 PM
All but the most die-hard leftists like straw, benny, baygbm, blacken, and a few others are horrified what is coming from dc and far left democrats across the nation. 

I hope there is massive "change" in DC so we can reign Obama in.  I just hope we don't have the same kind of reckless spending mentality from the new people who win office in a few weeks.  Republicans haven't been much more responsible with our money. 
Title: Re: Dem surge in Gallup generic congressional ballot preference poll-up by 6 points
Post by: Soul Crusher on October 09, 2010, 04:12:21 PM
I hope there is massive "change" in DC so we can reign Obama in.  I just hope we don't have the same kind of reckless spending mentality from the new people who win office in a few weeks.  Republicans haven't been much more responsible with our money. 

Gridlock is good. 
Title: Re: Dem surge in Gallup generic congressional ballot preference poll-up by 6 points
Post by: Dos Equis on October 09, 2010, 04:22:38 PM
Gridlock is good. 

True.
Title: Re: Dem surge in Gallup generic congressional ballot preference poll-up by 6 points
Post by: Soul Crusher on October 10, 2010, 06:21:22 AM
True.

Even gridlock would be a massive improvement to this insanity we have now. 
Title: Re: Dem surge in Gallup generic congressional ballot preference poll-up by 6 points
Post by: Soul Crusher on October 11, 2010, 06:24:40 PM
Bloodbath on the way.  RCP has highest ever ratings for the GOP

________________________ ________________________ -

Generic Congressional Vote
Polling Data
Poll Date Sample Republicans  Democrats  Spread
RCP Average 9/30 - 10/10 -- 49.4 41.2 Republicans +8.2
 
Rasmussen Reports 10/4 - 10/10 3500 LV 47 39 Republicans +8
Gallup (LV Lower Turnout)* 9/30 - 10/10 1953 LV 56 39 Republicans +17
Gallup (LV Higher Turnout)* 9/30 - 10/10 1953 LV 53 41 Republicans +12
CNN/Opinion Research 10/5 - 10/7 504 LV 52 45 Republicans +7
CBS News 10/1 - 10/5 LV 45 37 Republicans +8
Democracy Corps (D) 10/2 - 10/4 816 LV 49 43 Republicans +6
ABC News/Wash Post 9/30 - 10/3 669 LV 49 43 Republicans +6

See All Generic Congressional Vote Polling Data

*Gallup's "Lower Turnout" and "Higher Turnout" Likely Voter models are weighted at 50%, so that the survey only counts once in the RCP Generic Average.
Title: Re: Dem surge in Gallup generic congressional ballot preference poll-up by 6 points
Post by: Soul Crusher on October 11, 2010, 06:50:05 PM
Skip to comments.

Independents Favor GOP Rule 55%-31% As Elections Loom
IBD ^ | 10/11/2010 | Sean Higgins




Democratic voters are finally coming home — but are getting trampled by independents who have decided to move out of the house that Barack Obama built, according to October's IBD/TIPP poll.

After months of stories suggesting a GOP wave in November, Democrats are now shaking off their torpor and rallying behind the president and his allies in Congress, the survey found. But independents who joined them to elect Obama in 2008 have soured on Democratic leaders and their policies.

Likely voters favor a GOP Congress over a Democratic majority by 48%-43%, the poll found. Self-described independents would prefer Republican rule by 55%-31%.

"Independents don't believe that the country is pointed in the right direction. They see the November election as an opportunity to remedy the situation," said Raghavan Mayur, president of TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence, which conducted the poll. "Ideologically most independents — 58% — find themselves to the right of Obama."

The IBD/TIPP Presidential Leadership Index fell 0.2 point in October to 46.9, a new Obama low. Readings below 50 signal disapproval.

Obama's support among Democrats perked up to 81.5 from 77.4. But his approval among independents dived 6.3 points to 39.8, his first sub-40 score for this group.


(Excerpt) Read more at investors.com ...
Title: Re: Dem surge in Gallup generic congressional ballot preference poll-up by 6 points
Post by: Soul Crusher on November 01, 2010, 12:51:15 PM
Dem surge in Gallup generic congressional ballot preference poll-up by 6 points 49-43

http://www.gallup.com/poll/127439/Election-2010-Key-Indicators.aspx

Dems-49%
GOP-43%

Dems haven't had a lead this large in months.
6 points is larger than the lead they had in Gallup's final 2006 midterm poll.




Tea party losing momentum?  Obama's pounding home the same talking points working? 

BBBUUUMMPPPP
Title: Re: Dem surge in Gallup generic congressional ballot preference poll-up by 6 points
Post by: BM OUT on November 01, 2010, 01:06:13 PM
Ha,ha,ha boy how that has changed?
Title: Re: Dem surge in Gallup generic congressional ballot preference poll-up by 6 points
Post by: Soul Crusher on November 01, 2010, 01:13:28 PM
Ha,ha,ha boy how that has changed?

Sometimes - the old threads are great for comic relief.