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Getbig Main Boards => Politics and Political Issues Board => Topic started by: dario73 on February 21, 2012, 06:24:55 AM
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registered voters. Now, other polls have Obama ahead of Romney or tied in swing states. Are polls this far from election day good predictors?
http://www.usatoday.com/news/politics/story/2012-02-20/GOP-convention-poll/53172644/1?csp=34news
"Meanwhile, President Obama's standing against two potential Republican rivals has ebbed a bit. Former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney leads the president 50%-46% among registered voters, Romney's strongest showing against him to date. Obama edges former Pennsylvania senator Rick Santorum by a single percentage point, 49%-48%."
The poll of 1,014 adults, including 898 registered voters, has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points. The error margin for the sample of 481 Republican and Republican-leaning independents is 6 points.
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Are polls this far from election day good predictors?
Not really.
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The only poll that matters is the one that occurs on election day.
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Not really.
Obama has what appears to be a ceiling of about 47-48%
The problem is that mittens offers no real alternative to obama and people will stay home.
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Obama has what appears to be a ceiling of about 47-48%
The problem is that mittens offers no real alternative to obama and people will stay home.
I just don't think polls this far out mean much. To much shit can happen between now and election day.
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Obama has what appears to be a ceiling of about 47-48%
The problem is that mittens offers no real alternative to obama and people will stay home.
I'll take a Romney that has to worry about reelection over a Usurper who doesn't.
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I'll take a Romney that has to worry about reelection over a Usurper who doesn't.
of course!