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Getbig Main Boards => Politics and Political Issues Board => Topic started by: The True Adonis on November 05, 2012, 06:42:36 PM

Title: Obama now has 91.4 Chance of Winning Romney 8.6 based on ALL POLLS and DATA
Post by: The True Adonis on November 05, 2012, 06:42:36 PM

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/

8.6% Romney
-18.5 since Oct. 29


91.4% Obama
+18.5 since Oct. 29

Title: Re: Obama now has 91.4 Chance of Winning Romney 8.6 based on ALL POLLS and DATA
Post by: blacken700 on November 05, 2012, 06:59:53 PM

this can't be good  ;)

Title: Re: Obama now has 91.4 Chance of Winning Romney 8.6 based on ALL POLLS and DATA
Post by: 240 is Back on November 05, 2012, 07:05:32 PM

He's still at 68% on Intrade.  Granted, that is based upon world gambling, but still 2-1 odds.

I sitll think Romney can pull an amazing upset.

Title: Re: Obama now has 91.4 Chance of Winning Romney 8.6 based on ALL POLLS and DATA
Post by: headhuntersix on November 05, 2012, 07:37:15 PM

Gimme a break...RCP has it tied...tied.

Title: Re: Obama now has 91.4 Chance of Winning Romney 8.6 based on ALL POLLS and DATA
Post by: MCWAY on November 05, 2012, 07:53:02 PM

Quote from: headhuntersix on November 05, 2012, 07:37:15 PM

Gimme a break...RCP has it tied...tied.

The final Gallup poll has Romney 50-49 (final allocated estimate with the undecideds removed and redistributed).

Romney has been at 50% or higher in Gallup since Oct. 15. Historically, every single challenger that has been at that mark for that long HAS WON.

http://www.gallup.com/poll/158519/romney-obama-gallup-final-election-survey.aspx