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Getbig Main Boards => Gossip & Opinions => Topic started by: syntaxmachine on August 07, 2013, 06:38:22 AM

Title: 2013 Olympia - Can Mr Olympia Advertising Predict Competitor Placing?
Post by: syntaxmachine on August 07, 2013, 06:38:22 AM

Summary:

-"Athletes" on official Olympia advertising posters have an 88% chance of landing in the top 6 come competition day.*

-1st place is on the poster 100% of the time
-2nd place is on the poster 100% of the time
-3rd place is on the poster 66% of the time
-4th place is on the poster 66% of the time
-5th place is on the poster 50% of the time
-6th place is on the poster 66% of the time

-This isn't just the previous years' top competitors being put on the poster; the guys who are new to the Olympia and on the poster (e.g., Phil, Kai) always place in the top 6 as well

*Of 32 athletes appearing on official Olympia advertising posters the last six years, 26 ended up in the top six in the actual competition. 2 of the 6 out of the top six didn't compete at all due to injury, but almost certainly would be top 6 if they did compete (who thinks an injury-free Jay would be out of the top six in 2012?). Assuming that's right, from the data we can conclude anybody appearing on an official Olympia poster has something like a 90% chance of being in the top 6, assuming they compete.

2007
(http://www.getbig.com/olympiaweekend/2007/2007olympia03.jpg)

Actual placings: 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 6th

2008
(http://t0.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn:ANd9GcQ7p2DBmsqGVMpzEKtBN_bTxeX-Or3NWw3g2cLUmR6W9UG4xE6r)

Actual placings: 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 6th, 7th, NP (didn't compete)

2009
(http://www.ifbbpro.com/wp-content/uploads/image/2009/features/2009olympiaad1_pg1.jpg)

Actual placings: 1st, 4th, 5th, 16th

2010
(http://www.getbig.com/boards/index.php?action=dlattach;topic=345290.0;attach=379954;image)

Actual placings: 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 7th

2011
(http://www.probreadlasvegas.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/Mr-Olympia-poster-PNG-222x300.png)

Actual placings: 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 5th, 6th

2012
(http://classicbodybuilders.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/mr_olympia.jpg)

Actual placings: 1st, 2nd, 5th, 6th, 8th, NP (didn't compete)

2013
(http://www.getbig.com/boards/index.php?action=dlattach;topic=487398.0;attach=529334;image)

 :o

Title: Re: Can Mr Olympia Advertising Predict Competitor Placing?
Post by: Parker on August 07, 2013, 07:01:31 AM

Shawn Rhoden either looks like someone shot his dog, or the extremely very short bus left him at the bus stop.

Title: Re: Can Mr Olympia Advertising Predict Competitor Placing?
Post by: delon on August 07, 2013, 07:11:46 AM

Quote from: syntaxmachine on August 07, 2013, 06:38:22 AM

2010
(http://www.getbig.com/boards/index.php?action=dlattach;topic=345290.0;attach=379954;image)

Actual placings: 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 5th

Kai was outside the top 6 in 2010

Title: Re: 2013 Olympia - Can Mr Olympia Advertising Predict Competitor Placing?
Post by: Ron on August 07, 2013, 07:37:46 AM

Or perhaps that the competitors on the posters are usually the top bodybuilders in the world.

Title: Re: 2013 Olympia - Can Mr Olympia Advertising Predict Competitor Placing?
Post by: Papper on August 07, 2013, 07:44:31 AM

So 2009 is pretty off in predicting top four. Top 3 or at least 2 is not hard to nail