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Getbig Main Boards => Politics and Political Issues Board => Topic started by: blacken700 on January 20, 2014, 12:02:13 PM
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By Dan Balz
A recent conversation with a veteran of GOP presidential campaigns raised this question: Which, if any, of the recent battleground states are likely to become more Republican by 2016? The consensus: very few.
That reality highlights one problem Republicans face as they seek to regain the White House after six years under President Obama. Lots of factors affect elections: the quality of the candidates, the state of the economy, the effectiveness of the campaigns. But in a country whose demographics continue to change, Republicans will begin this campaign with one significant disadvantage.
Over the past three decades, the political leanings of many states have shifted dramatically. What once was a sizable Republican advantage in the electoral college has become a decided Democratic advantage.
One way to look at this is by comparing two overlapping 20-year periods. In the first, 1980 through 2000, Republicans won four of six presidential elections. In the second, 1992 through 2012, Democrats won four of six.
The first period was the era of Republican dominance — the start of the Reagan era. In the 1980s, many people suggested that Republicans had a lock on the electoral college. Democrats were in woeful shape. Here’s what the numbers showed:
more...
http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/the-gops-uphill-path-to-270-in-2016/2014/01/18/9404eb06-7fcf-11e3-93c1-0e888170b723_story.html
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lol
obama won by 300k scammed local union action votes and u act like dems didnt come off 8 years of bush and 12 years of bush reaga b4
wow
big ego for shortterm win arguably unconstitution due to irs abuses used to suppress dissent and blatant unon local area mafia activities
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if repubs win, it'll be by one state.
if dems win, it'll be with 320 electoral votes.
No middle ground. If repubs are good enough to be close, they win that shit.
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you overestimate the dems
people all saw them vote for bank bailouts
green loan scams like solyandra
and tons of inflation and unemployment
dems time is gone
reps should hold all 3 come 2016
prez senate congres
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you overestimate the dems
people all saw them vote for bank bailouts
green loan scams like solyandra
and tons of inflation and unemployment
dems time is gone
Reps should hold all 3 come 2016
prez senate congres
Hahaha. not another landslide lol
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dems never had a landslide
clinton won due to ross perot 43 to 43
obama won what 48 to 47?
dude the 300k voted obama won by was spread over 5 swing states
with this debt and unemployment and massive scandals liek bhenghazi nuking clinton, dems are screwed
esp since they all voted to bail out bank cronies!
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Obama 2012... 51.1% to 47.2%
Obama 2008 52.9% over Mccain's 45.7%
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Obama 2012... 51.1% to 47.2%
Obama 2008 52.9% over Mccain's 45.7%
2012 50.6 47.8 +2.8%
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/special/politics/election-map-2012/president/ (http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/special/politics/election-map-2012/president/)
this will ALL main TV on obamas side and ALL schools
IRS scandal where tea party not allowed to register non profits
I mean wow what a crappy squeek by!
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Dan "Balz" haha.
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Dan "Balz" haha.
if you had bothered to read the article you would have found dan balz "ha ha" wrote the piece and William H. Frey did the study ::)
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The electoral prospects do look grim as of now. That said, all the things the dems are assuming as a given and 'locked up' are not quite as 'certain' as they think they are. They are at a peak of cockiness and counting their eggs before they hatch.
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The electoral prospects do look grim as of now. That said, all the things the dems are assuming as a given and 'locked up' are not quite as 'certain' as they think they are. They are at a peak of cockiness and counting their eggs before they hatch.
Agreed. It's way early now.
Hopefully the regular republicans and the teapublicans will continue to battle it out and piss each other off so that the dems win again.