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Getbig Main Boards => Gossip & Opinions => Topic started by: _aj_ on February 10, 2015, 11:56:39 AM

Title: Attn Wiggs. Is Greece the "black swan" that finally tips it over?
Post by: _aj_ on February 10, 2015, 11:56:39 AM
Interesting article on Zerohedge about the risk factors in the upcoming Greece/ECB "negotiations":

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-02-10/how-fast-would-contagion-spread-if-greece-exits-eurozone

I read something recently that something close to $100 trillion of the derivatives market is directly tied to the Euro.
Title: Re: Attn Wiggs. Is Greece the "black swan" that finally tips it over?
Post by: Schnauzer on February 10, 2015, 12:00:56 PM
The ancient Hebrews were the first black swans. Fact.
Title: Re: Attn Wiggs. Is Greece the "black swan" that finally tips it over?
Post by: El Diablo Blanco on February 10, 2015, 12:02:39 PM
I am not negotiating.
Title: Re: Attn Wiggs. Is Greece the "black swan" that finally tips it over?
Post by: denarii on February 10, 2015, 12:05:05 PM
Lot of posturing for their respective domestic political audiences. However behind closed doors they should agree a reduction in the Greek primary surplus from 4 to 1%, a stimulus/investment plan, a debt reprofiling that is effectively a restructuring and a continuation of structural reforms to make the economy more flexible and investment friendly. Simples.
Title: Re: Attn Wiggs. Is Greece the "black swan" that finally tips it over?
Post by: _aj_ on February 10, 2015, 12:19:59 PM
Lot of posturing for their respective domestic political audiences. However behind closed doors they should agree a reduction in the Greek primary surplus from 4 to 1%, a stimulus/investment plan, a debt reprofiling that is effectively a restructuring and a continuation of structural reforms to make the economy more flexible and investment friendly. Simples.

IIRC you are Finnish, right?

Have you ever met a Greek? LOL. I am pretty sure that none of those things are on the horizon.
Title: Re: Attn Wiggs. Is Greece the "black swan" that finally tips it over?
Post by: Wiggs on February 10, 2015, 12:24:54 PM
Thanks AJ. It's so hard to say because this shit should have crashed years ago.  It's been propped up via QE and other schemes. So people keep predicting and getting it wrong.  There will be a time very soon when they run out of options. A large war, large natural or cosmic disaster, or something like this would instantly cause it.  I'll read the article. Thanks again.
Title: Re: Attn Wiggs. Is Greece the "black swan" that finally tips it over?
Post by: El Diablo Blanco on February 10, 2015, 12:30:40 PM
I called the greek economic collapse before they spent billions on the olympics.  I said they don't have the funds for it.  The country is too small and not rich enough to hold such an event at such a large cost.  Read some papers from economists about the downside of hosting the olympics.
Title: Re: Attn Wiggs. Is Greece the "black swan" that finally tips it over?
Post by: dr.chimps on February 10, 2015, 12:33:42 PM
This thread is useless without Basile noting Karl Popper.

/be more useless with it, too 
Title: Re: Attn Wiggs. Is Greece the "black swan" that finally tips it over?
Post by: Wiggs on February 10, 2015, 12:36:38 PM
This thread is useless without Basile noting Karl Popper.

/be more useless with it, too  


You've proven yourself to be a massive idiot with letters behind your name. Your input means shit "Doc".
Title: Re: Attn Wiggs. Is Greece the "black swan" that finally tips it over?
Post by: FermiDirac on February 10, 2015, 12:37:28 PM
Caliber Finance will rise from the ashes of Greece.
Title: Re: Attn Wiggs. Is Greece the "black swan" that finally tips it over?
Post by: Archer77 on February 10, 2015, 12:57:30 PM
The only reason we aren't Greece is because we can sell our debt.  But brothers its only a temporary reprieve from the inevitable. 
Title: Re: Attn Wiggs. Is Greece the "black swan" that finally tips it over?
Post by: dr.chimps on February 10, 2015, 01:00:48 PM

You've proven yourself to be a massive idiot with letters behind your name. Your input means shit "Doc".
Well, that's a most confusing reply. Love you, anyway. Best, doc.  :)
Title: Re: Attn Wiggs. Is Greece the "black swan" that finally tips it over?
Post by: _aj_ on February 10, 2015, 01:13:11 PM
Caliber Finance will rise from the ashes of Greece.

This could be the key to restore confidence in the markets!
Title: Re: Attn Wiggs. Is Greece the "black swan" that finally tips it over?
Post by: Teutonic Knight on February 10, 2015, 01:16:38 PM
Thanks AJ. It's so hard to say because this shit should have crashed years ago.  It's been propped up via QE and other schemes. So people keep predicting and getting it wrong.  There will be a time very soon when they run out of options. A large war, large natural or cosmic disaster, or something like this would instantly cause it.  I'll read the article. Thanks again.

Tell us more about Nabiru's economy  ;D
Title: Re: Attn Wiggs. Is Greece the "black swan" that finally tips it over?
Post by: dr.chimps on February 10, 2015, 01:19:08 PM
Caliber Finance will rise from the ashes of Greece.
Or, be yet-again, subsumed under a grease fire. 
Title: Re: Attn Wiggs. Is Greece the "black swan" that finally tips it over?
Post by: honest on February 10, 2015, 02:40:39 PM
The germans conquered europe for the first time with the help of the Euro, they wont allow it to fail, no one including the greeks can afford to get out, there will be a compromise but the germans also need to save face.
Title: Re: Attn Wiggs. Is Greece the "black swan" that finally tips it over?
Post by: calfzilla on February 10, 2015, 02:41:30 PM
Poor people talking about when things will crash.  ::)
Title: Re: Attn Wiggs. Is Greece the "black swan" that finally tips it over?
Post by: Kwon_2 on February 10, 2015, 02:42:46 PM
Caliber Finance will rise from the ashes of Greece.

Bitcoin-based.
Title: Re: Attn Wiggs. Is Greece the "black swan" that finally tips it over?
Post by: Archer77 on February 10, 2015, 02:43:52 PM
Poor people talking about when things will crash.  ::)

Should I be worried that I'm beginning to think that at least in regards to economic collapse Wiggs might be onto something?
Title: Re: Attn Wiggs. Is Greece the "black swan" that finally tips it over?
Post by: _aj_ on February 10, 2015, 02:46:50 PM
The germans conquered europe for the first time with the help of the Euro, they wont allow it to fail, no one including the greeks can afford to get out, there will be a compromise but the germans also need to save face.

I am not so sure that the German electorate is too keen to carry all of the PIGS (Portugal, Italy, Greece, Spain) on their backs. Merkel get tossed. Hello PEGIDA!
Title: Re: Attn Wiggs. Is Greece the "black swan" that finally tips it over?
Post by: King Shizzo on February 10, 2015, 02:53:44 PM
The birthplace of democracy in shambles.  Sad really.
Title: Re: Attn Wiggs. Is Greece the "black swan" that finally tips it over?
Post by: honest on February 10, 2015, 02:54:42 PM
I am not so sure that the German electorate is too keen to carry all of the PIGS (Portugal, Italy, Greece, Spain) on their backs. Merkel get tossed. Hello PEGIDA!

They dont really have a choice, the alternative still costs more, its just whether their electorate can realise it.
Title: Re: Attn Wiggs. Is Greece the "black swan" that finally tips it over?
Post by: calfzilla on February 10, 2015, 02:55:57 PM
Should I be worried that I'm beginning to think that at least in regards to economic collapse Wiggs might be onto something?

In my opinion, no. But I am one of the poor people so what do I know.  :-\
Title: Re: Attn Wiggs. Is Greece the "black swan" that finally tips it over?
Post by: _aj_ on February 10, 2015, 02:59:46 PM
They dont really have a choice, the alternative still costs more, its just whether their electorate can realise it.

The Euro was always a suicide pact and now it is a game of chicken.

The thing about the current Greek leadership is that they really don't give a fuck. The austerity programs that the ECB and the IMF demanded have turned the population into a raging mob and if this current group doesn't lift the yoke, they will throw them out and get somebody that will. Unless "Europe" (whatever the fuck that is) is going to put Greece under martial law, the end is already ordained, it just needs to be written.

Europe wanted to punish the Greeks for their fiscal profligacy. History is a bitch, because it was Europe's desire to punish Germany after WWII that led to Weimar which ultimately paved the way for Hitler.
Title: Re: Attn Wiggs. Is Greece the "black swan" that finally tips it over?
Post by: Archer77 on February 10, 2015, 03:10:32 PM
In my opinion, no. But I am one of the poor people so what do I know.  :-\

No sad faces, buddy. There's always room for one more at the Archer compound.
Title: Re: Attn Wiggs. Is Greece the "black swan" that finally tips it over?
Post by: _aj_ on February 10, 2015, 03:11:31 PM
No sad faces, buddy. There's always room for one more at the Archer compound.

Here too. I can always use another "volunteer" to clear minefields by dancing the Macarena.
Title: Re: Attn Wiggs. Is Greece the "black swan" that finally tips it over?
Post by: The Abdominal Snoman on February 10, 2015, 03:12:29 PM
When the slaves rose up against the Annunaki, the Gods flooded the planet. Maybe it's time for another flood(Enema).

Title: Re: Attn Wiggs. Is Greece the "black swan" that finally tips it over?
Post by: Archer77 on February 10, 2015, 03:18:15 PM
Here too. I can always use another "volunteer" to clear minefields by dancing the Macarena.

Mexicans do like to work in the fields.
Title: Re: Attn Wiggs. Is Greece the "black swan" that finally tips it over?
Post by: King Shizzo on February 10, 2015, 03:28:22 PM
The Euro was always a suicide pact and now it is a game of chicken.

The thing about the current Greek leadership is that they really don't give a fuck. The austerity programs that the ECB and the IMF demanded have turned the population into a raging mob and if this current group doesn't lift the yoke, they will throw them out and get somebody that will. Unless "Europe" (whatever the fuck that is) is going to put Greece under martial law, the end is already ordained, it just needs to be written.

Europe wanted to punish the Greeks for their fiscal profligacy. History is a bitch, because it was Europe's desire to punish Germany after WWII that led to Weimar which ultimately paved the way for Hitler.
Boring, boring, boring......

Its all about the tranny cock aj.
Title: Re: Attn Wiggs. Is Greece the "black swan" that finally tips it over?
Post by: The Abdominal Snoman on February 10, 2015, 03:35:57 PM
Mexicans do like to work in the fields.

As more and more Mexicans move into the States, the less debt America will be able to sell.
Title: Re: Attn Wiggs. Is Greece the "black swan" that finally tips it over?
Post by: Archer77 on February 10, 2015, 03:39:26 PM
As more and more Mexicans move into the States, the less debt America will be able to sell.

For those who think a collapse is eminent what is your projected timeline?   
Title: Re: Attn Wiggs. Is Greece the "black swan" that finally tips it over?
Post by: dr.chimps on February 10, 2015, 03:53:47 PM
For those who think a collapse is eminent what is your projected timeline?   
Let's go with  another 10 years.
Title: Re: Attn Wiggs. Is Greece the "black swan" that finally tips it over?
Post by: calfzilla on February 10, 2015, 04:01:37 PM
Here too. I can always use another "volunteer" to clear minefields by dancing the Macarena.

Thanks but knooger has already decided to take me in. I just have to do "things" for him.  :-X

Title: Re: Attn Wiggs. Is Greece the "black swan" that finally tips it over?
Post by: Archer77 on February 10, 2015, 04:07:14 PM
Let's go with  another 10 years.

This sounds right to me.
Title: Re: Attn Wiggs. Is Greece the "black swan" that finally tips it over?
Post by: _aj_ on February 10, 2015, 04:13:55 PM
This sounds right to me.

I could live with that. I still have a lot more "prepping" to do.
Title: Re: Attn Wiggs. Is Greece the "black swan" that finally tips it over?
Post by: Archer77 on February 10, 2015, 04:19:32 PM
I could live with that. I still have a lot more "prepping" to do.

I dont have the numbers in front of me but the point of debt payments exceeding tax revenue reaching critical mass is likely within ten years.  Dr. Chimps is an old hippy lefty but I think he knows what hes talking about in terms money issues.
Title: Re: Attn Wiggs. Is Greece the "black swan" that finally tips it over?
Post by: Wiggs on February 10, 2015, 04:51:56 PM
No way in hell this is lasting another 10 years. 2 years tops and any time before that.
Title: Re: Attn Wiggs. Is Greece the "black swan" that finally tips it over?
Post by: Archer77 on February 10, 2015, 05:00:30 PM
No way in hell this is lasting another 10 years. 2 years tops and any time before that.

2020 by earliest according to numbers I unfortunately dont have in front of me.  Having said that you might very well be right. Im not discounting your prediction.   Thank god I own close to 100 acres in the UP.
Title: Re: Attn Wiggs. Is Greece the "black swan" that finally tips it over?
Post by: Wiggs on February 10, 2015, 05:05:28 PM
2020 by earliest according to numbers I unfortunately dont have in front of me.  Having said that you might very well be right. Im not discounting your prediction.   Thank god I own close to 100 acres in the UP.

The world economy won't just crash. It'll be blamed on something else. There's no way in hell, politicians and bankers will take fault in this. The people would revolt. They'll false flag something or have a world war and it will be blamed on that. It should have crashed years ago but it keeps being propped up artificially. They can't do that forever and we're seeing it come apart very fast. Too hard to put an exact date on it.
Title: Re: Attn Wiggs. Is Greece the "black swan" that finally tips it over?
Post by: SaintAnger on February 10, 2015, 05:12:29 PM
Heebs love a good conspiracy.  Makes it easier for them to make excuses and avoid using & formulating a plan of action.
Title: Re: Attn Wiggs. Is Greece the "black swan" that finally tips it over?
Post by: Archer77 on February 10, 2015, 05:18:39 PM
The world economy won't just crash. It'll be blamed on something else. There's no way in hell, politicians and bankers will take fault in this. The people would revolt. They'll false flag something or have a world war and it will be blamed on that. It should have crashed years ago but it keeps being propped up artificially. They can't do that forever and we're seeing it come apart very fast. Too hard to put an exact date on it.

Dont think I'm saying your dates are wrong.  I have a sweet retreat.  A small town of about 300 people about half of whom are related to my wife.  I bought up the plot of land next to my original land from the kids of a farmer who recently  died.
Title: Re: Attn Wiggs. Is Greece the "black swan" that finally tips it over?
Post by: Voice of Doom on February 10, 2015, 05:20:17 PM
It looks like the current issue of Greece running out of money at the end of February has been kicked down the road 6 months.  In 6 months they'll likely add more debt to pay for the current debt and kick the can again.
Title: Re: Attn Wiggs. Is Greece the "black swan" that finally tips it over?
Post by: SilverSpoon on February 10, 2015, 05:33:21 PM
And the banks that are too big to fail will be bailed out once again.

And the executives will still get huge bonuses on the bail out money.
Title: Re: Attn Wiggs. Is Greece the "black swan" that finally tips it over?
Post by: Slapper on February 10, 2015, 05:39:49 PM
The Euro was always a suicide pact and now it is a game of chicken.

The thing about the current Greek leadership is that they really don't give a fuck. The austerity programs that the ECB and the IMF demanded have turned the population into a raging mob and if this current group doesn't lift the yoke, they will throw them out and get somebody that will. Unless "Europe" (whatever the fuck that is) is going to put Greece under martial law, the end is already ordained, it just needs to be written.

Europe wanted to punish the Greeks for their fiscal profligacy. History is a bitch, because it was Europe's desire to punish Germany after WWII that led to Weimar which ultimately paved the way for Hitler.

The Euro was robbery on a scale never seen before.

The things that used to cost 66 cents in a local currency became 1 euro almost overnight. The rounding up was deliberate and planned years in advance, otherwise the people would've never bought onto the Euro idea.
Title: Re: Attn Wiggs. Is Greece the "black swan" that finally tips it over?
Post by: Slapper on February 10, 2015, 05:42:05 PM
And the banks that are too big to fail will be bailed out once again.

And the executives will still get huge bonuses on the bail out money.

I don't think so.

I personally know of a small town in Greece in which the population is so radicalized and enraged at everything that is going on that they actually are planning attacks on banks and the bank's bosses.
Title: Re: Attn Wiggs. Is Greece the "black swan" that finally tips it over?
Post by: King Shizzo on February 11, 2015, 03:48:06 AM
Did aj call wigs a black swan?

Racist thread reported.
Title: Re: Attn Wiggs. Is Greece the "black swan" that finally tips it over?
Post by: _aj_ on February 11, 2015, 03:51:54 AM
I don't think so.

I personally know of a small town in Greece in which the population is so radicalized and enraged at everything that is going on that they actually are planning attacks on banks and the bank's bosses.

This is exactly what I am talking about. I am no man's "socialist" but the corporatist bankers and politicians of the ECB and the IMF were crushing the Greek people. And they woke up and remembered that they could do something about it.

Woe betide the EU if more restive countries wake up.
Title: Re: Attn Wiggs. Is Greece the "black swan" that finally tips it over?
Post by: falco on February 11, 2015, 06:27:02 AM
    One of the problems Greece has is that they cannot borrow money from anyone else except EuroGroup banks aka German Banks, with the interest rates they dictate. Even if Greece could get better deals from Russia or China or even middle east countries they CANNOT due to restrictions imposed by Germany Eurozone countries.
    All this economic crisis is a great deal to some and a bad to others, and that's why the european comunity is a huge bullshit.
Title: Re: Attn Wiggs. Is Greece the "black swan" that finally tips it over?
Post by: bigmc on February 11, 2015, 07:25:12 AM
They dont really have a choice, the alternative still costs more, its just whether their electorate can realise it.

this

germany has to prop the euro up now what ever the cost

the books were cooked so all those countries met the financial conditions in the first place
Title: Re: Attn Wiggs. Is Greece the "black swan" that finally tips it over?
Post by: Archer77 on February 11, 2015, 08:36:43 AM
    One of the problems Greece has is that they cannot borrow money from anyone else except EuroGroup banks aka German Banks, with the interest rates they dictate. Even if Greece could get better deals from Russia or China or even middle east countries they CANNOT due to restrictions imposed by Germany Eurozone countries.
    All this economic crisis is a great deal to some and a bad to others, and that's why the european comunity is a huge bullshit.


Problem in a nutshell,  aj. Nailed it.  Their currency is locked. It's only the US's ability to offshore it's debt that has prevented a similar Greece-like situation here.  It's just a momentary reprieve though
Title: Re: Attn Wiggs. Is Greece the "black swan" that finally tips it over?
Post by: honest on February 11, 2015, 02:49:34 PM
Problem in a nutshell,  aj. Nailed it.  Their currency is locked. It's only the US's ability to offshore it's debt that has prevented a similar Greece-like situation here.  It's just a momentary reprieve though

Totally, Greece could have  done something similar to Argentina if it wasn't for their participation in the euro, not having currency independence was always going to present these type of problems and its why now the Germans have to suck it up as if Greece was part of Germany because reality currency wise it is.
Title: Re: Attn Wiggs. Is Greece the "black swan" that finally tips it over?
Post by: Teutonic Knight on February 12, 2015, 01:01:03 AM
Totally, Greece could have  done something similar to Argentina if it wasn't for their participation in the euro, not having currency independence was always going to present these type of problems and its why now the Germans have to suck it up as if Greece was part of Germany because reality currency wise it is.

King Ludwigs Bavarian flag is Greeko flag too, Greekos royal family was 90% Nazi mob all 4 Prince Philips sisters were married to
her fuhrers generals  ;D