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Getbig Main Boards => Politics and Political Issues Board => Topic started by: 240 is Back on August 09, 2016, 09:11:35 AM

Title: Hilary's post-convention bump has evaporated
Post by: 240 is Back on August 09, 2016, 09:11:35 AM
Hillary Clinton’s post-convention polling surge is showing no signs of fading. She leads Donald Trump, on average, by 5 to 7 percentage points in national polls, and is an 83-percent favorite to win on Nov. 8, according to our polls-only model. Our polls-plus model — which accounts for the “fundamentals,” as well as the tendency for a candidate’s numbers to temporarily rise after his or her convention — gives her a 76 percent chance. Those are her largest advantages since we launched our election forecasts back in June.<snip>

Link:
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-clintons-post-convention-bump-is-holding-steady/

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