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Getbig Main Boards => Politics and Political Issues Board => Topic started by: 240 is Back on October 06, 2016, 07:37:58 PM

Title: Nate Silver surprises everyone
Post by: 240 is Back on October 06, 2016, 07:37:58 PM

WTF data is nate looking at, to pull it this high?   Trump leading in OH and he has hilary up this much?
doesnt make sense.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo#now

Title: Re: Nate Silver surprises everyone
Post by: SaintAnger on October 06, 2016, 08:19:58 PM

I can rest easy at night now.

Title: Re: Nate Silver surprises everyone
Post by: Yamcha on October 07, 2016, 06:23:50 AM

(https://i.redd.it/xw54chinz1qx.jpg)

Title: Re: Nate Silver surprises everyone
Post by: Yamcha on October 07, 2016, 06:52:26 AM

(https://i.sli.mg/rJqSGv.jpg)

Will come down to voter turnout and enthusiasm; should be interesting.

Title: Re: Nate Silver surprises everyone
Post by: timfogarty on October 07, 2016, 12:44:09 PM

Quote from: 240 is Back on October 06, 2016, 07:37:58 PM

WTF data is nate looking at, to pull it this high?   Trump leading in OH and he has hilary up this much?
doesnt make sense.

because Trump has no chance of winning Colorado, Florida, North Carolina or Pennsylvania, so even if Trump were to sweep the other battleground states, Hillary would still be over 270 EV.

Title: Re: Nate Silver surprises everyone
Post by: Las Vegas on October 07, 2016, 12:53:35 PM

Right now, from Paddy Power:

Hillary Clinton  4 - 11

Donald Trump  5 - 2

Tim Kaine  50- 1

Joe Biden  150 - 1

Bernie Sanders  150 - 1

Paul Ryan  225 - 1

Mike Pence  250 - 1

Jill Stein  500 - 1