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Title: Live coronavirus updates: Americans warned as many as 240,000 could die
Post by: SF1900 on April 01, 2020, 01:40:47 AM
https://www.nbcnews.com/news/amp/live-blog/ncna1173686

Coronavirus Live Updates: Scientists Warn the Virus Could Kill Up to 240,000 Americans

Updated April 1, 2020, 4:28 AM EDT
As many as 240,000 people in the U.S. could die from COVID-19 — and that's with strict social distancing measures in place, one of the government’s top doctors warned Tuesday.

Without intervention, between 1.5 and 2.2 million could die, warned Dr. Deborah Birx, the White House coronavirus response coordinator.

The disease has already killed more than 3,860 and infected nearly 187,000 in the United States, according to NBC News’ tally.

In politics, former Vice President and current Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden suggested Tuesday that there may not be a physical Democratic National Convention this year because of the pandemic.
Title: Re: Live coronavirus updates: Americans warned as many as 240,000 could die
Post by: prowlermaniac on April 01, 2020, 04:21:21 AM
None of these fear mongering assholes have a clue; just another dweeb throwing out a number to drive fear.  Fuck em
Title: Re: Live coronavirus updates: Americans warned as many as 240,000 could die
Post by: Royalty on April 01, 2020, 04:32:37 AM
You do realize that 100% of us are sitting inside all day hearing and reading the same news stories you are? Not exactly a "newsflash ".


NEWS FLASH
Title: Re: Live coronavirus updates: Americans warned as many as 240,000 could die
Post by: Palumboism on April 01, 2020, 06:02:13 AM
None of these fear mongering assholes have a clue; just another dweeb throwing out a number to drive fear.  Fuck em



It does seem like they're trying to drive fear to justify obscene government spending.
Title: Re: Live coronavirus updates: Americans warned as many as 240,000 could die
Post by: el numero uno on April 01, 2020, 06:06:32 AM
https://www.nbcnews.com/news/amp/live-blog/ncna1173686

Coronavirus Live Updates: Scientists Warn the Virus Could Kill Up to 240,000 Americans

Updated April 1, 2020, 4:28 AM EDT
As many as 240,000 people in the U.S. could die from COVID-19 — and that's with strict social distancing measures in place, one of the government’s top doctors warned Tuesday.

Without intervention, between 1.5 and 2.2 million could die, warned Dr. Deborah Birx, the White House coronavirus response coordinator.

The disease has already killed more than 3,860 and infected nearly 187,000 in the United States, according to NBC News’ tally.

In politics, former Vice President and current Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden suggested Tuesday that there may not be a physical Democratic National Convention this year because of the pandemic.

If it isn't Tucker Carlson I ain't buying it.
Title: Re: Live coronavirus updates: Americans warned as many as 240,000 could die
Post by: Thin Lizzy on April 01, 2020, 06:11:36 AM
If it isn't Tucker Carlson I ain't buying it.

You’re right not to buy it:



I don’t really have a strong opinion about the man-made argument, but I do believe that the one of the reasons  for the dire predictions is to funnel money to the healthcare establishment:

Remember, AIDS was a death sentence back then and the two hundred thousand means that’s how many would die. The point of it back then was to get all types of funding for research and foundations. Same thing is going to happen with corona.


Follow the money!



https://www.latimes.com/archives/la-xpm-1988-03-08-vw-591-story.html

“At a minimum, we estimate that 200,000 heterosexuals have been infected” with the AIDS virus, said Kolodny, medical director of the Behavioral Medicine Institute in New Canaan, Conn., and a board member of the Masters & Johnson Institute in St. Louis.




https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-03-28/nyc-quarantine-debated-italy-deaths-pass-10-000-virus-update


Deaths in the U.S. could reach 200,000, top infectious disease expert Anthony Fauci said, describing the estimate as a moving target. New York state’s fatalities are approaching 1,000.
Title: Re: Live coronavirus updates: Americans warned as many as 240,000 could die
Post by: harmankardon1 on April 01, 2020, 07:07:26 AM
None of these fear mongering assholes have a clue; just another dweeb throwing out a number to drive fear.  Fuck em

Truth has been spoken, ^

fuck em.
Title: Re: Live coronavirus updates: Americans warned as many as 240,000 could die
Post by: harmankardon1 on April 01, 2020, 07:09:26 AM
None of these fear mongering assholes have a clue; just another dweeb throwing out a number to drive fear.  Fuck em

It's fucking bullshit, it's just like the climate "science" turd that gets blathered about in the media.
Title: Re: Live coronavirus updates: Americans warned as many as 240,000 could die
Post by: Skylge on April 01, 2020, 07:18:48 AM
I think in the 1990s there was a md cow disease scare in the UK, some doctors predicting 100,000 or more deaths

www.en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Variant_Creutzfeldt–Jakob_disease


Didn't happen

But: the chinese corona virus apparently hits obese people much more than slim (low BMI) ones. Has something to do with receptors / fat cells that the virus sticks to

USA has a very high number of obese people
In Spain / Italy 10,000 deaths have occurred or will reach that point soon

As the USA has at least 6 times more inhabitants, I think 50,000 deaths could be realistic

Title: Re: Live coronavirus updates: Americans warned as many as 240,000 could die
Post by: tommywishbone on April 01, 2020, 07:31:04 AM
"The sky is falling! The sky is falling!"  -C. Little
Title: Re: Live coronavirus updates: Americans warned as many as 240,000 could die
Post by: BB on April 01, 2020, 07:39:30 AM
For the US, so far we've got death estimates of -

Brix - 240,000

Fauci - 100,000 - 200,000 (http://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMe2002387 , and more current interviews).

University of Washington Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation - 94,000 ( https://covid19.healthdata.org/projections ).

If I was a betting man, I could see it falling somewhere in the high double digits or Fauci's low end, I can't see 240,000 though.
  
Title: Re: Live coronavirus updates: Americans warned as many as 240,000 could die
Post by: Thin Lizzy on April 01, 2020, 07:43:11 AM
Doctors make money from sick people. So, they have an inherent bias towards worst case scenarios.
Title: Re: Live coronavirus updates: Americans warned as many as 240,000 could die
Post by: kreator on April 01, 2020, 07:46:45 AM
I think in the 1990s there was a md cow disease scare in the UK, some doctors predicting 100,000 or more deaths

www.en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Variant_Creutzfeldt–Jakob_disease


Didn't happen

But: the chinese corona virus apparently hits obese people much more than slim (low BMI) ones. Has something to do with receptors / fat cells that the virus sticks to

USA has a very high number of obese people
In Spain / Italy 10,000 deaths have occurred or will reach that point soon

As the USA has at least 6 times more inhabitants, I think 50,000 deaths could be realistic



Might be due to constant inflammation from bad diet and being fat. Obesity is known to impair the immune system. So are too many omega 6 and carbs in the diet. To top it off, a western diet is rich in high carb, high fat meals which also wreak havoc in the long term when a person is in a caloric surplus.
Title: Re: Live coronavirus updates: Americans warned as many as 240,000 could die
Post by: Palumboism on April 01, 2020, 07:52:45 AM
Doctors make money from sick people. So, they have an inherent bias towards worst case scenarios.

With new science and technology, the cost of medical care should be going down, but it's going up dramatically.  Somethings not right here.
Title: Re: Live coronavirus updates: Americans warned as many as 240,000 could die
Post by: GigantorX on April 01, 2020, 07:54:47 AM
That was "Worst case" scenario. A few million infected and 200,000+ deaths. Which, from what we know from developed non-communist nations, isn't going to happen. Dr "AIDS will kill all hetero sexuals!" Fauci admitted, later in the interview, that this was the worst case projections and those never pan out.

Of course this little fear mongering clown loved to drop the apocalypse numbers, loves to drive fear and drive policy. He and the CDC did a great job with the HIV epidemic in the 80's....billion infected, no need to close bathhouses or focus on the homo-population...they certainly aren't at risk! LOL
Title: Re: Live coronavirus updates: Americans warned as many as 240,000 could die
Post by: Ropo on April 01, 2020, 08:05:44 AM
None of these fear mongering assholes have a clue; just another dweeb throwing out a number to drive fear.  Fuck em

Point is that you don't need to believe what they tell you, just sit and watch what will happen. It take just few weeks and you see it yourself if it is true or not. In the meantime do not obey any orders, don't stay home, hang out among strangers and see what happen.. ;D
Title: Re: Live coronavirus updates: Americans warned as many as 240,000 could die
Post by: joswift on April 01, 2020, 08:11:56 AM
Point is that you don't need to believe what they tell you, just sit and watch what will happen. It take just few weeks and you see it yourself if it is true or not. In the meantime do not obey any orders, don't stay home, hang out among strangers and see what happen.. ;D

the seasonal death rates are the same if not less this year than previous years, what does that tell you?
Title: Re: Live coronavirus updates: Americans warned as many as 240,000 could die
Post by: fredrollon on April 01, 2020, 12:12:16 PM

For comparison, the death toll from the seasonal flu ,according to the experts in the CDC (Centre for Disease Control):

61,099 deaths in the 2017-2018 flu season with
115 deaths in the 0-4 years age group
528 deaths in the 5-17 years age

https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/2017-2018.htm


Worth shutting the economy down for?
Title: Re: Live coronavirus updates: Americans warned as many as 240,000 could die
Post by: Dave D on April 01, 2020, 12:16:16 PM
Weren’t the expectations that 70-80 % of the US was going to get this virus? That’s close to 270 million people and they’re only predicting 240,000 dead?
Title: Re: Live coronavirus updates: Americans warned as many as 240,000 could die
Post by: friedchickendinner on April 01, 2020, 12:26:52 PM
Time matters.

80% infected in 3 months or 18 months.
Title: Re: Live coronavirus updates: Americans warned as many as 240,000 could die
Post by: Twaddle on April 01, 2020, 12:37:16 PM
I think in the 1990s there was a md cow disease scare in the UK, some doctors predicting 100,000 or more deaths

www.en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Variant_Creutzfeldt–Jakob_disease


Didn't happen

But: the chinese corona virus apparently hits obese people much more than slim (low BMI) ones. Has something to do with receptors / fat cells that the virus sticks to

USA has a very high number of obese people
In Spain / Italy 10,000 deaths have occurred or will reach that point soon

As the USA has at least 6 times more inhabitants, I think 50,000 deaths could be realistic



Damn....... Ron is fucked!   :'(
Title: Re: Live coronavirus updates: Americans warned as many as 240,000 could die
Post by: fredrollon on April 01, 2020, 12:55:12 PM
Weren’t the expectations that 70-80 % of the US was going to get this virus? That’s close to 270 million people and they’re only predicting 240,000 dead?

Wonder how these figures are calculated. Must be the absolutely "worst case scenario" and the only way this ever happen would be if every American started hugging and kissing completely random strangers everyday for a few months.


After all, in one of the worst single Coronavirus incidents, less than 20% (712 cases) of the total passengers and crew(3.711) in the Diamond Princess cruise ship got infected.

The confines of a ship would ,one might assume. would be one of the more congenial places for the spread of the virus:  
a bunch of people crammed together in close proximity to each other,
multiple people not washing their hands and touching the same surfaces, door handles and handrails,
and air vents and air conditioning units, transporting airborne droplets , containing the virus, to every corridor, room and cabin.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Diamond_Princess_(ship)#2020_COVID-19 (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Diamond_Princess_(ship)#2020_COVID-19)

Title: Re: Live coronavirus updates: Americans warned as many as 240,000 could die
Post by: mazrim on April 01, 2020, 12:58:47 PM
Nobody bothered to look at my interactive graph direct from CDC website that you can mess with that I've posted twice that shows flu and pneumonia deaths are down this time of year implying that they are now placing those under Cornona. Joswift is essentially making the same point (deaths are not up).
Title: Re: Live coronavirus updates: Americans warned as many as 240,000 could die
Post by: joswift on April 01, 2020, 01:00:59 PM
Nobody bothered to look at my interactive graph direct from CDC website that you can mess with that I've posted twice that shows flu and pneumonia deaths are down this time of year implying that they are now placing those under Cornona. Joswift is essentially making the same point (deaths are not up).

its being consistently ignored...
Title: Re: Live coronavirus updates: Americans warned as many as 240,000 could die
Post by: Thin Lizzy on April 01, 2020, 01:11:23 PM
With new science and technology, the cost of medical care should be going down, but it's going up dramatically.  Somethings not right here.

If you want to learn why, read up on the history of employer based healthcare. It didn’t come out of the private sector. It was a result of a WWII government intervention which capped wages.
Title: Re: Live coronavirus updates: Americans warned as many as 240,000 could die
Post by: Thin Lizzy on April 01, 2020, 01:32:53 PM
its being consistently ignored...


At first, I bought into it like everybody else but when I started to see the responses which were so irrational considering the scope of the problem, I started to smell a rat and eventually I figured out what this is really about, an economic reset and global currency devaluation:

I know how this plays out. To justify these interventions, they’re going to have to artificially bump up the victim numbers to the point where somebody gets hit by a truck and turns out to have a positive corona test is said to have died of corona.

Title: Re: Live coronavirus updates: Americans warned as many as 240,000 could die
Post by: Teutonic Knight 1 on April 01, 2020, 05:19:45 PM
 Australian Government website about Corona situation:


www.health.gov.au
Title: Re: Live coronavirus updates: Americans warned as many as 240,000 could die
Post by: Ropo on April 01, 2020, 10:18:50 PM
the seasonal death rates are the same if not less this year than previous years, what does that tell you?

You still seek comfort from this idiocy? Please explain how covid 19 will stop people die from seasonal flu at the moment? You can't understand that figures of the seasonal flu are estimates, and these what you see killed by covid 19 are counted body by body? Yes, somewhat less people will die from the seasonal flu this year, because of the measures done because of the covid 19, quarantines etc. but still you have to add these body counts together.. So at the end you have xxxxx dying by seasonal flu, and xxxxxx dying by covid 19, and that is a lot, no matter how you count them. You see, flu season is just about gone, and covid 19 is just about started, so this will still last months. Virus has 9 week evolution curve, in US 1st of March 74 patients and 0 deaths, 1st of Aprill 216 515 cases and 5119 deaths. Just a seasonal flu:
 
(https://ourworldindata.org/uploads/2020/03/Covid-19-CFR-by-age-vs.-US-Seasonal-Flu-3.png)
Title: Re: Live coronavirus updates: Americans warned as many as 240,000 could die
Post by: honest on April 01, 2020, 10:28:44 PM
Nature just doing what nature does culling the old and weak. Been going on since the beginning of time, human beings avoid it far better than other living creatures but in the end nature will always overcome.
Title: Re: Live coronavirus updates: Americans warned as many as 240,000 could die
Post by: Bevo on April 01, 2020, 10:30:35 PM
You do realize that 100% of us are sitting inside all day hearing and reading the same news stories you are? Not exactly a "newsflash ".

Know your place on here, don’t talk to SF that way
Title: Re: Live coronavirus updates: Americans warned as many as 240,000 could die
Post by: oldschoolfan on April 01, 2020, 10:34:44 PM
I would be willing to bet a lot of the flu deaths are being blamed on corona now
Title: Re: Live coronavirus updates: Americans warned as many as 240,000 could die
Post by: Ropo on April 01, 2020, 11:00:42 PM
Nature just doing what nature does culling the old and weak. Been going on since the beginning of time, human beings avoid it far better than other living creatures but in the end nature will always overcome.


Right...but there is also little kids dying by this, infants, 12, 14 years old, teens and adults which has no other illnesses or conditions. Point is that only history will prove if you die or not, you don't know it before it has happen. And if you don't die, there is still plenty of options, for example, lot of people has lost permanently great part of the capacity of their lungs, and that's not nice condition to be. Do you want to change working out with iPhone to working out with oxygen mask and tank? Greatest danger are the fools who try to belittle seriousness of this illness, because they aren't smart enough to protect themselves, and therefore they spread the virus..
Title: Re: Live coronavirus updates: Americans warned as many as 240,000 could die
Post by: Griffith on April 02, 2020, 12:36:27 PM

Right...but there is also little kids dying by this, infants, 12, 14 years old, teens and adults which has no other illnesses or conditions. Point is that only history will prove if you die or not, you don't know it before it has happen. And if you don't die, there is still plenty of options, for example, lot of people has lost permanently great part of the capacity of their lungs, and that's not nice condition to be. Do you want to change working out with iPhone to working out with oxygen mask and tank? Greatest danger are the fools who try to belittle seriousness of this illness, because they aren't smart enough to protect themselves, and therefore they spread the virus..

What percentage of people have permanently damaged lungs from this?
Title: Re: Live coronavirus updates: Americans warned as many as 240,000 could die
Post by: Dave D on April 02, 2020, 01:05:28 PM
What percentage of people have permanently damaged lungs from this?

This is a good question, apparently if you’re famous or a professional athlete you can recover with zero side effects.

Se

The NBA players have been so lucky..