Dem surge in Gallup generic congressional ballot preference poll-up by 6 points

[Soul Crusher]

Dem surge in Gallup generic congressional ballot preference poll-up by 6 points 49-43

http://www.gallup.com/poll/127439/Election-2010-Key-Indicators.aspx

Dems-49%
GOP-43%

Dems haven't had a lead this large in months.
6 points is larger than the lead they had in Gallup's final 2006 midterm poll.



Tea party losing momentum?  Obama's pounding home the same talking points working? 

Bump - what happened 240? 

[Soul Crusher]

Gallup: 54% Of Likely Voters Call Themselves Conservative
Categories: Democrats, poll, Republicans

01:09 pm

October 8, 2010

  by Frank James

Gallup continued to pour cold water on Democrats' mid-term election hopes with an analysis it released Friday of likely voters.

The polling organization found 54 percent of likely voters identifying themselves as conservatives.

That compared with 40 percent of likely voters who identified themselves as conservative in 1994, the year Republicans took control of Congress in a mid-term seen as a repudiation of President Bill Clinton and his failed attempt to overhaul the nation's health-care system.

Earlier in the week, Gallup reported that its latest survey of likely voters gave congressional Republicans an 18 percent lead in generic approval ratings if a low turnout model was used compared with a 13 percent lead using a higher turnout model.

 
Meanwhile, the percentage of voters describing themselves as moderate is about 20 percentage points lower than it was in 1994, at 27 percent compared with 48 percent.

Indeed, that 27 percent declaring themselves to be moderates was significantly lower percentage of the electorate self-identifying in that way than in any congressional election cycle since 1994.

And it gets worse once you factor in the leanings of independents. A Gallup excerpt:

Once the "leanings" of independents are taken into account, the majority of the 2010 electorate, 57%, identifies either as Republicans or as independents who lean Republican, compared with 39% identifying as or leaning Democratic. The previous high was 51% in 2002.
Tags: Gallup Poll

[Soul Crusher]

Gallup: Grab your surfboards!
Hot Air ^ | October 08, 2010 | Ed MORRISSEY



Forget 1994, Gallup’s demographic breakdown of their likely-voter model predicts. The moderates actually reigned supreme in that Republican sweep, with the middle accounting for 48% of the turnout. This time, conservatives make up 54% of the predicted turnout, twice as many as the moderates and three times as many as the liberals, and with independents breaking for the GOP, the amplitude of the wave could be enormous:

Gallup’s recent modeling of the vote for Congress finds 54% of likely voters identifying themselves as politically conservative, while moderates are in conspicuously short supply compared with recent midterms. Also, Republicans make up a larger share of the electorate in Gallup’s initial 2010 likely voter pool — greater than their 1994 share — than do Democrats, and the gap is even more pronounced once the leanings of independents are taken into account. …

The composition of likely voters appears to have become more politically polarized, with the proportions of conservatives and liberals expanding since 1994 at moderates’ expense. However, Gallup’s initial 2010 estimate of likely voters shows a particularly sharp jump in the percentage of conservatives, from 42% in 2006 to 54% today, and a decline in the percentage of moderates, from 37% to 27%.


(Excerpt) Read more at hotair.com ...

[Dos Equis]

Sounds like it will be a bloodbath. 

[Soul Crusher]

Sounds like it will be a bloodbath. 

All but the most die-hard leftists like straw, benny, baygbm, blacken, and a few others are horrified what is coming from dc and far left democrats across the nation. 

[Dos Equis]

All but the most die-hard leftists like straw, benny, baygbm, blacken, and a few others are horrified what is coming from dc and far left democrats across the nation. 

I hope there is massive "change" in DC so we can reign Obama in.  I just hope we don't have the same kind of reckless spending mentality from the new people who win office in a few weeks.  Republicans haven't been much more responsible with our money. 

[Soul Crusher]

I hope there is massive "change" in DC so we can reign Obama in.  I just hope we don't have the same kind of reckless spending mentality from the new people who win office in a few weeks.  Republicans haven't been much more responsible with our money. 

Gridlock is good. 

[Dos Equis]

Gridlock is good. 

True.

[Soul Crusher]

True.

Even gridlock would be a massive improvement to this insanity we have now. 

[Soul Crusher]

Bloodbath on the way.  RCP has highest ever ratings for the GOP

________________________ ________________________ -

Generic Congressional Vote
Polling Data
Poll Date Sample Republicans  Democrats  Spread
RCP Average 9/30 - 10/10 -- 49.4 41.2 Republicans +8.2
Rasmussen Reports 10/4 - 10/10 3500 LV 47 39 Republicans +8
Gallup (LV Lower Turnout)* 9/30 - 10/10 1953 LV 56 39 Republicans +17
Gallup (LV Higher Turnout)* 9/30 - 10/10 1953 LV 53 41 Republicans +12
CNN/Opinion Research 10/5 - 10/7 504 LV 52 45 Republicans +7
CBS News 10/1 - 10/5 LV 45 37 Republicans +8
Democracy Corps (D) 10/2 - 10/4 816 LV 49 43 Republicans +6
ABC News/Wash Post 9/30 - 10/3 669 LV 49 43 Republicans +6

See All Generic Congressional Vote Polling Data

*Gallup's "Lower Turnout" and "Higher Turnout" Likely Voter models are weighted at 50%, so that the survey only counts once in the RCP Generic Average.

[Soul Crusher]

Skip to comments.

Independents Favor GOP Rule 55%-31% As Elections Loom
IBD ^ | 10/11/2010 | Sean Higgins



Democratic voters are finally coming home — but are getting trampled by independents who have decided to move out of the house that Barack Obama built, according to October's IBD/TIPP poll.

After months of stories suggesting a GOP wave in November, Democrats are now shaking off their torpor and rallying behind the president and his allies in Congress, the survey found. But independents who joined them to elect Obama in 2008 have soured on Democratic leaders and their policies.

Likely voters favor a GOP Congress over a Democratic majority by 48%-43%, the poll found. Self-described independents would prefer Republican rule by 55%-31%.

"Independents don't believe that the country is pointed in the right direction. They see the November election as an opportunity to remedy the situation," said Raghavan Mayur, president of TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence, which conducted the poll. "Ideologically most independents — 58% — find themselves to the right of Obama."

The IBD/TIPP Presidential Leadership Index fell 0.2 point in October to 46.9, a new Obama low. Readings below 50 signal disapproval.

Obama's support among Democrats perked up to 81.5 from 77.4. But his approval among independents dived 6.3 points to 39.8, his first sub-40 score for this group.


(Excerpt) Read more at investors.com ...

[Soul Crusher]

Dem surge in Gallup generic congressional ballot preference poll-up by 6 points 49-43

http://www.gallup.com/poll/127439/Election-2010-Key-Indicators.aspx

Dems-49%
GOP-43%

Dems haven't had a lead this large in months.
6 points is larger than the lead they had in Gallup's final 2006 midterm poll.



Tea party losing momentum?  Obama's pounding home the same talking points working? 

BBBUUUMMPPPP

[BM OUT]

Ha,ha,ha boy how that has changed?

[Soul Crusher]

Ha,ha,ha boy how that has changed?

Sometimes - the old threads are great for comic relief.