I disagree completely and i will tell you why.
With absolute max turnout - Obama got 52.7% in a year that any dems was sailing to victory regardless. That is 52.7%, not 60 or 70%. That includes 100% of blacks, most hispanics, indes, etc.
By 2012 - turnout for Obama will be far less as the novelty of a black POTUS is gone, Obama loses the white vote entirely, and disaafected hispanics show up for Palin.
Additionally, Palin will get the blue collar whites pissed off with the communist left.
She can get ohio, florida and many other states that Obama has zero chance at.
You guys are so cluess it hurts.
If the economy is worse in 2011, as I believe it will be, she will easily win. In fact, I am not even sure obama will run at this pioint as he has been the biggest failure in american history as far as I can tell.