Author Topic: Gallup: Democrats now up 7 points (vs down 6 points during 2010 election  (Read 390 times)

240 is Back

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The poll was conducted Aug. 4-7, after Standard & Poor's downgrading of the U.S. government's credit rating last week but prior to this week's volatility in the stock market, including the 635-point stock market drop on Monday, Aug. 8.

The seven-percentage-point edge for Democratic congressional candidates, nationally, contrasts with ties or Republican leads in most Gallup polls leading up to the 2010 midterm elections. However, the Democratic advantage is not as large as those they enjoyed in the 2006 and 2008 congressional election cycles -- each of which produced a Democratic majority in Congress. The Democrats averaged a 10-point lead over Republicans among registered voters in the year prior to the 2008 elections and an 11-point advantage leading up to the 2006 elections, with individual polls showing them ahead by as much as 23 points.

MM2K

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Is the poll weighted to the fact that there are only 9 Republicans up for re-election and 23 Democrats?
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Soul Crusher

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On rcp they are nearly tied on the generic poll.

tonymctones

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Is the poll weighted to the fact that there are only 9 Republicans up for re-election and 23 Democrats?
yup, whether ppl elect reps or dems next year the majority of incumbants will be ousted thankfully.


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Congrats, they now have a total of seven points.