1) Romney attacks Obama on... - Embassy about 50 times.
2) Obama proclaims his awesomeness by bragging about... - He mentions bin laden briefly and name-drops about 50 other dudes. USA loves some dead bad guys.
3) Romney's major gaffe is in the area of... - a few little gaffes on little accusations where obama replies with facts and romney doesn't know the situations deep enough to play 'gotcha' and catch obama in a weak position. Everything romney knows about foreign policy is wiki-deep... Obama knows this shit at higher level areas - analysis and application, synthesis and evaluation.
4) Obama's defense of embassy fail is... - "I have already said I take full responsibilty and we're conducting an investigation. I would hope my opponent would stop politicizing the death of these brave Americans..."
5) The debate is won/tied, and by who? - Obama *should* win it. He's had 4 years of steering the nation. Romney has no foreign experience - theory and lecturing obama for his mistakes. Isn't romney the guy who initially said "I'm staying out of that" when asked about the Iraqi surge, only to support it later?
Romney *should* play is safe and try to preserve the momentum/lead. Getting pwned by calling obama out of something wrongly, and he drops 4 points in gallup in the next 7 days.