palin could win the primary.
She gets 25% of the repub vote - the uneducated/ horny/ super religious/ chest thumping team america/ crowd.
The other candidates divide up the remaining 75%.
She squeaks out a win. And against Obama, it's the funniest shit in history. SNL loves it. She initially ignores the 'lamstream media' then changes when she's down 25 points in polls. Obama looks more dignified by the moment after she breaks down in tears or slips and says a cuss word in the debates. That venom + stress = recipe for a bad meltdown.
God knows where it goes from there. But yeah, she could easily squeak out the nomination, and obama will cruise by 20 points in polls the entire time, and he'll win 45 states.