Author Topic: It`s so Cold, there Can`t be GLOBAL WARMING......(Hope this helps)  (Read 8544 times)

dario73

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Re: It`s so Cold, there Can`t be GLOBAL WARMING......(Hope this helps)
« Reply #50 on: January 21, 2010, 09:53:33 AM »
I don`t think you understand the basics. Global Warming does not mean summer and no more winters ever again.
Adonis, I know what Global Warming means.

What you don't understand is that the reason used by NIWA does not in anyway support their initial conclusion that New Zealand is in a warming trend. Their "adjustment" may have completely skewed the result. And other scientists are suspicious because:

"Wratt is refusing to release data his organisation claims to have justifying adjustments on other weather stations, meaning the science cannot be reviewed. However, he has released information relating to Wellington temperature readings, and they make for interesting reading.

Here’s the rub. Up until 1927, temperatures for Wellington had been taken at Thorndon, only 3 m above sea level and an inner-city suburb. That station closed and, as I suspected in my earlier post, there is no overlap data allowing a comparison between Thorndon and Kelburn, where the gauge moved, at an altitude of 135 metres.

With no overlap of continuous temperature readings from both sites, there is no way to truly know how temperatures should be properly adjusted to compensate for the location shift."

Also:

Wratt told Investigate earlier there was international agreement on how to make temperature adjustments, and in the news release tonight he elaborates on that:

“Thus, if one measurement station is closed (or data missing for a period), it is acceptable to replace it with another nearby site provided an adjustment is made to the average temperature difference between the sites.”

Except, except, it all hinges on the quality of the reasoning that goes into making that adjustment. If it were me, I would have slung up a temperature station in the disused location again and worked out over a year the average offset between Thorndon and Kelburn. It’s not perfect, after all we are talking about a switch in 1928, but it would be something. But NIWA didn’t do that.

Instead, as their news release records, they simply guessed that the readings taken at Wellington Airport would be similar to Thorndon, simply because both sites are only a few metres above sea level.

Airport records temps about 0.79C above Kelburn on average, so NIWA simply said to themselves, “that’ll do” and made the Airport/Kelburn offset the official offset for Thorndon/Kelburn as well, even though no comparison study of the latter scenario has ever been done.




dario73

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Re: It`s so Cold, there Can`t be GLOBAL WARMING......(Hope this helps)
« Reply #51 on: January 21, 2010, 09:54:48 AM »
Oh course, TA, the economist, climate scientist, philosopher, chef, engineer, chemist, and expert on all of the hard sciences can explain all of this to us.   ::)  ::)  ::)

LOL. He is indeed a "renaissance man". ;D

The True Adonis

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Re: It`s so Cold, there Can`t be GLOBAL WARMING......(Hope this helps)
« Reply #52 on: January 21, 2010, 09:58:31 AM »
Adonis, I know what Global Warming means.

What you don't understand is that the reason used by NIWA does not in anyway support their initial conclusion that New Zealand is in a warming trend. Their "adjustment" may have completely skewed the result. And other scientists are suspicious because:

"Wratt is refusing to release data his organisation claims to have justifying adjustments on other weather stations, meaning the science cannot be reviewed. However, he has released information relating to Wellington temperature readings, and they make for interesting reading.

Here’s the rub. Up until 1927, temperatures for Wellington had been taken at Thorndon, only 3 m above sea level and an inner-city suburb. That station closed and, as I suspected in my earlier post, there is no overlap data allowing a comparison between Thorndon and Kelburn, where the gauge moved, at an altitude of 135 metres.

With no overlap of continuous temperature readings from both sites, there is no way to truly know how temperatures should be properly adjusted to compensate for the location shift."

Also:

Wratt told Investigate earlier there was international agreement on how to make temperature adjustments, and in the news release tonight he elaborates on that:

“Thus, if one measurement station is closed (or data missing for a period), it is acceptable to replace it with another nearby site provided an adjustment is made to the average temperature difference between the sites.”

Except, except, it all hinges on the quality of the reasoning that goes into making that adjustment. If it were me, I would have slung up a temperature station in the disused location again and worked out over a year the average offset between Thorndon and Kelburn. It’s not perfect, after all we are talking about a switch in 1928, but it would be something. But NIWA didn’t do that.

Instead, as their news release records, they simply guessed that the readings taken at Wellington Airport would be similar to Thorndon, simply because both sites are only a few metres above sea level.

Airport records temps about 0.79C above Kelburn on average, so NIWA simply said to themselves, “that’ll do” and made the Airport/Kelburn offset the official offset for Thorndon/Kelburn as well, even though no comparison study of the latter scenario has ever been done.




What you just posted does not mean anything in terms of disproving anything.