USA Today Poll: Obama losing to Romney among

[dario73]

registered voters.  Now, other polls have Obama ahead of Romney or tied in swing states. Are polls this far from election day good predictors?

http://www.usatoday.com/news/politics/story/2012-02-20/GOP-convention-poll/53172644/1?csp=34news

"Meanwhile, President Obama's standing against two potential Republican rivals has ebbed a bit. Former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney leads the president 50%-46% among registered voters, Romney's strongest showing against him to date. Obama edges former Pennsylvania senator Rick Santorum by a single percentage point, 49%-48%."

The poll of 1,014 adults, including 898 registered voters, has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points. The error margin for the sample of 481 Republican and Republican-leaning independents is 6 points.

[Hugo Chavez]

Are polls this far from election day good predictors?

Not really.

[LurkerNoMore]

The only poll that matters is the one that occurs on election day.

[Soul Crusher]

Not really.

Obama has what appears to be a ceiling of about 47-48%

The problem is that mittens offers no real alternative to obama and people will stay home.  

[Hugo Chavez]

Obama has what appears to be a ceiling of about 47-48%

The problem is that mittens offers no real alternative to obama and people will stay home.  

I just don't think polls this far out mean much.  To much shit can happen between now and election day.

[Fury]

Obama has what appears to be a ceiling of about 47-48%

The problem is that mittens offers no real alternative to obama and people will stay home.  

I'll take a Romney that has to worry about reelection over a Usurper who doesn't.

[Soul Crusher]

I'll take a Romney that has to worry about reelection over a Usurper who doesn't.

of course!