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Author Topic: Obama now has 91.4 Chance of Winning Romney 8.6 based on ALL POLLS and DATA  (Read 378 times)

The True Adonis

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Obama now has 91.4 Chance of Winning Romney 8.6 based on ALL POLLS and DATA
« on: November 05, 2012, 06:42:36 PM »
http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/

8.6% Romney
-18.5 since Oct. 29


91.4% Obama
+18.5 since Oct. 29
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blacken700

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Re: Obama now has 91.4 Chance of Winning Romney 8.6 based on ALL POLLS and DATA
« Reply #1 on: November 05, 2012, 06:59:53 PM »
this can't be good  ;)
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240 is Back

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Re: Obama now has 91.4 Chance of Winning Romney 8.6 based on ALL POLLS and DATA
« Reply #2 on: November 05, 2012, 07:05:32 PM »
He's still at 68% on Intrade.  Granted, that is based upon world gambling, but still 2-1 odds.

I sitll think Romney can pull an amazing upset.
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headhuntersix

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Re: Obama now has 91.4 Chance of Winning Romney 8.6 based on ALL POLLS and DATA
« Reply #3 on: November 05, 2012, 07:37:15 PM »
Gimme a break...RCP has it tied...tied.
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MCWAY

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Re: Obama now has 91.4 Chance of Winning Romney 8.6 based on ALL POLLS and DATA
« Reply #4 on: November 05, 2012, 07:53:02 PM »
Quote from: headhuntersix on November 05, 2012, 07:37:15 PM
Gimme a break...RCP has it tied...tied.

The final Gallup poll has Romney 50-49 (final allocated estimate with the undecideds removed and redistributed).

Romney has been at 50% or higher in Gallup since Oct. 15. Historically, every single challenger that has been at that mark for that long HAS WON.

http://www.gallup.com/poll/158519/romney-obama-gallup-final-election-survey.aspx
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