You left out the internals. it is Obama 48.56 Romney 48.49
Here is some interesting data: “The closer race shows another way: Among likely voters who supported Obama in 2008, he’s retaining 83 percent this year – but 14 percent are moving to Romney. Romney, by contrast, is retaining more of John McCain’s supporters, 94 percent, and losing just 5 percent to Obama. That said, Obama’s making it back among new voters: Seven percent of likely voters say they did not vote in 2008, and they favor Obama widely, by 62-34 percent.”
Here’s my math based on if the same number of people voted in 2012 plus their stated 7% increase in new voters:
Obama in 2008 got 69,456,897 votes….according to this poll he retains 83% = 57,649,225 votes + he gains 5% of McCains voters = 2,996,741 plus there are 7% of supposed new voters = 8,869,606 of which Obama is gaining 62% = 5,499,156 for a grand total of 66,145,122 votes.
Romney is retaining 94% of McCain’s votes from 2008 (59,934,814) = 56,338,725 + he gains 14% from Obama’s 2008 voters = 9,723,966 plus he gains 34% of the new likely voters that didn’t vote in 2008 = 3,015,666 for a grant total of 69,078,357
Romney 50.95% Obama 48.79%
Read more:
http://www.businessinsider.com/wapo-abc-poll-obama-romney-2012-11#ixzz2B0fyFARM
