I agree. Unpredictable wasnt quite the right phrase.
my point was that he does what hes going to do without regard for the US or Europes bullshit political threats.
Absolutely. As a matter of fact, he's hoping that we draw more toothless "red lines" (like our plastic-faced SECSTATE did recently), so he can continue to draw the world's attention to the fecklessness of the west right now.
He also knows that it is a game of time now, as Americans, as neutered as we appear at the moment, are makers of history, should our resolve become hardened. Putin is smart enough to see that if he pushes the west far enough, we can respond in a hugely damaging way.
Imagine, oh, a President AJ, the first day in office, via EO, rescinds all regulations against fracking and shale oil exploration and directs the DOE to approve 250 permits for gen4 nuclear reactors. Then he sends a bill to Congress for a trans-Atlantic natgas pipe.
You don't think that Putin would be caged at that moment? There are a lot of arrows in our quiver that aren't nuclear tipped.