Trump just suggested assasination

[Never1AShow]

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/

Thanks for posting that link, but it doesn't show the MOE.  Here, this one does.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton_vs_johnson_vs_stein-5952.html

Also it's show it clearly tightening over the last week or so.  Plus ISIS and radical Islamic jihadists want to kill gays and lesbians.

[240 is Back]

are the polls accurate or flawed what's the final answer?

 

Now that they look good for trump, all of the trump followers will suddenly believe in them again.  It's magical!!

[Never1AShow]

are the polls accurate or flawed what's the final answer?
 

They are flawed, but even being flawed they still show it tightening, Canadian.

[SF1900]

Looks like the GOP is making Donald apologize:

At a rally in Charlotte, North Carolina, GOP presidential candidate Donald Trump expressed regret for hurtful statements he has made in the past.

"Sometimes, in the heat of debate and speaking on a multitude of issues, you don’t choose the right words or you say the wrong thing," he said, "I have done that, and I regret it, particularly where it may have caused personal pain."

[Never1AShow]

Apparently this was one of his best speeches to date.  He is pivoting I guess, calling for African Americans to realize how open border immigration globalism is not in their interests.  Also, this is not so much for their votes (but he'll do way better than Romney or McCain did with them) but for the undecideds that want to hear that stuff too.

Which hacking will get Hillary first, Hacking Cough or Hacking Wikileaks?

[mr.turbo]

They are flawed, but even being flawed they still show it tightening, Canadian.

are they accurate?

yes or no

 

[Never1AShow]

are they accurate?

yes or no

 

No, they are not accurate.  As to the number for each candidate they are not, but if they use the same methodology to over sample Ds and undersample Is from poll to poll, then they could be accurate as to trend.

Kind of like how McDonalds is shit, but it is consistent shit.

[240 is Back]

Looks like the GOP is making Donald apologize:

At a rally in Charlotte, North Carolina, GOP presidential candidate Donald Trump expressed regret for hurtful statements he has made in the past.

"Sometimes, in the heat of debate and speaking on a multitude of issues, you don’t choose the right words or you say the wrong thing," he said, "I have done that, and I regret it, particularly where it may have caused personal pain."

TRUMP GOING SOFT

[mr.turbo]

No, they are not accurate.  As to the number for each candidate they are not, but if they use the same methodology to over sample Ds and undersample Is from poll to poll, then they could be accurate as to trend.

Kind of like how McDonalds is shit, but it is consistent shit.

hmmm some interesting engineering going on with this argument

"could be accurate"

you don't seem convinced

[mr.turbo]

TRUMP GOING SOFT

SELLING OUT

[tom joad]

No, they are not accurate.  As to the number for each candidate they are not, but if they use the same methodology to over sample Ds and undersample Is from poll to poll, then they could be accurate as to trend.

Kind of like how McDonalds is shit, but it is consistent shit.

Polls schmolls.
Trends schmends.
Steadfast, man.

Trump

In

A

Landslide

[Tapeworm]

hmmm some interesting engineering going on with this argument

"could be accurate"

you don't seem convinced

There are degrees of accuracy.  Sampling bias.  Non-response skew.  The correct answer is 'could be, sometimes.'

What I find interesting is that in any other election, people online engage in 'my guy is great your guy sucks' type discussions.  This time you're hard pressed to find one person talking about why Hillary would make a good Pres.  No one is enthused about her.  The whole debate is about whether Trump is an angel or a devil.  Hillary is just the not-Trump vote.  

[Never1AShow]

she better hope all those internets speculations about there being a detectable catheter under there aren't true.    Reddit is talking about taking infrared photos.

[Never1AShow]

[timfogarty]

Trump In A Landslide

There are 51 different races, each state and DC.  The number of electoral votes for each state depends on the population. 

Do you think it will be a landslide for Trump in all 50 states?  

Do you think Trump has any chance at all of winning DC, HI, MD, VT, MA, RI, CA, NY, IL, WA, DE, NJ, OR, CT, NM, ME, MI, WI, CO, VI, PA, NH ?  Clinton is way up in all of those, and the electoral votes of those states is more than the 270 needed to win the presidency.

On top of that, Clinton is ahead in NV, FL, OH, IA, NC, AZ.  She'd have to lose all of these states plus one from the first list to lose the election.

Then on top of that, things are looking iffy in GA, SC, MI, IN, TX, MT, UT, SD, AK, ND for Trump.  Johnson has an outside chance in AK, where white supremacists are kind of looked down upon.

What is the combination of states that will win Trump the white house?

[mr.turbo]

There are degrees of accuracy.  Sampling bias.  Non-response skew.  The correct answer is 'could be, sometimes.'

What I find interesting is that in any other election, people online engage in 'my guy is great your guy sucks' type discussions.  This time you're hard pressed to find one person talking about why Hillary would make a good Pres.  No one is enthused about her.  The whole debate is about whether Trump is an angel or a devil.  Hillary is just the not-Trump vote.  

polling in the united states is "accurate", "most of the time".

It's very interesting, we are in uncharted waters, the genie is out of the bottle. That said ground work for this was laid for decades. Turns out the typical republican supporter has above average income. recent polls indicate this.

[240 is Back]

trump's quiet and somber speech was depressing.  He's actually much better when he's saying wild and crazy shit.  When he acts offended and outraged about small stuff (like normal politicians), it sounds like a 70 year old man reading a list of minecraft tools.  boring as shit.

Trump may actually do better when he's just being trump.   

also, the gov of Louisiana asked obama NOT to come... said he'd lose 300 first responders to shut down the interstate and protect the president for what is essentially a photo op.    Trump is still coming today, however. 

[Nails]

[Yamcha]

wow such edgy

much laugh

hehe

"his hands are too big"

"not orange enough"

 

[Never1AShow]

Yeah, even liberal darling Nate Silver has admitted that things are very different this time.  No one outside of West Hollywood is turning out for Hillary like they did with Obama.  Certainly not blacks, many of whom support his anti-illegal alien message.

http://www.breitbart.com/2016-presidential-race/2016/08/18/shock-poll-trumps-black-support-grows-6x-after-milwaukee-appeal/

Tim, get out of WeHo and quit sniffing Hillarys bicycle seat.

[240 is Back]

Yeah, even liberal darling Nate Silver has admitted that things are very different this time.  No one outside of West Hollywood is turning out for Hillary like they did with Obama.  Certainly not blacks, many of whom support his anti-illegal alien message.

http://www.breitbart.com/2016-presidential-race/2016/08/18/shock-poll-trumps-black-support-grows-6x-after-milwaukee-appeal/

Tim, get out of WeHo and quit sniffing Hillarys bicycle seat.

What is your electoral college prediction?   Trump wins by 40 or 50?

[240 is Back]

Trump campaign boss Paul Manafort just resigned

First it was Cory Lemonski, who shoves a woman and lies about it.

Campaign boss #2 was paid russia infiltrator.

Yes, trump only hires the best people...

[tom joad]

There are 51 different races, each state and DC.  The number of electoral votes for each state depends on the population. 

Do you think it will be a landslide for Trump in all 50 states?  

Do you think Trump has any chance at all of winning DC, HI, MD, VT, MA, RI, CA, NY, IL, WA, DE, NJ, OR, CT, NM, ME, MI, WI, CO, VI, PA, NH ?  Clinton is way up in all of those, and the electoral votes of those states is more than the 270 needed to win the presidency.

On top of that, Clinton is ahead in NV, FL, OH, IA, NC, AZ.  She'd have to lose all of these states plus one from the first list to lose the election.

Then on top of that, things are looking iffy in GA, SC, MI, IN, TX, MT, UT, SD, AK, ND for Trump.  Johnson has an outside chance in AK, where white supremacists are kind of looked down upon.

What is the combination of states that will win Trump the white house?

I have a masters degree in politics from one of the finest educational institutions around, and I understand how the president gets elected.  I called Hillary in a cakewalk as soon as it was clear that Donald would be her opponent.

But, hopefully, Mr steadfast Trump in a landslide Never1AShow has a better idea of the daunting math facing the Donald.

[Coach is Back!]

20 pages of defending Killary and STILL not one person can give a coherent reason why they would vote for her.....

[mr.turbo]

I have a masters degree in politics from one of the finest educational institutions around, and I understand how the president gets elected.  I called Hillary in a cakewalk as soon as it was clear that Donald would be her opponent.

But, hopefully, Mr steadfast Trump in a landslide Never1AShow has a better idea of the daunting math facing the Donald.

mr.landslide says the polls are bad then turns around and immediately cites said polls

a wise man once said "those gains ain't loyal"