hedge, as an outside observer,
1) what is your take on bush?
2) do you think he truly believes it's his destiny to spread democracy across mid east?
3) do you think he's capable of sending them a parting shot attack as he leaves office?
1) He is average, or perhaps even below average as far as intelligence goes. This is most appearant when other political leaders with high intellects like Blair, and perhaps the most evident example, Putin, meets him 1-on-1.
During all these years, not once I have seen the USA come out as the winners of a big gathering or a meeting between Bush and another political leader.
Some may argue that most is dealt with beforehand, but the little that is taken care of on a personal basis, Bush repeatedly seems to get duped. And that is some scary shit TBH.
Especially in the case of Putin, Putin has Bush just where he wants him, and USA won't put any pressure on Russia for its breach of democracy and threatening of neighboring coutries. Partly because of the Putin-Bush relation IMO.
2) Bush speaks of doing God's work, being destined for doing what he's doing. In a sense, it is frightening that the leaders of both USA and Iran are claiming to be destined by God to do their work.
I also believe that Bush claims to have talked to God on occasion.
3)The Democratic House and Senate will prevent Bush from jumping into any crazy stuff. There is a tradition of the "lame duck", and Bush will follow the conduct of that tradition, IMO.
Bush has brought in some veteran foreign politicians, James Baker et al. Along with Bolton and Rumsfeld leaving, I expect for a different kind of policy, more along the lines of Bush Sr.
Is the Middle East Chicken Race over for George W Bush? I believe so.
He will come to his senses and pull out, ending the trauma that the Iraq war is.
What will happen next?
Ideally, UN will take over in Iraq, with lots of peacekeeping forces from lots of countries (USA as well).
Perhaps it could mean a new start for UN.
I doubt it. It would be in the best of worlds.
And as your questions implies, GWB seems to have this drive within to go the distance, even if he's wrong...
He's no quitter, a very ideological man.
-Hedge
edit: Perhaps I wasn't clear regarding how I thought the House and Senate being Democratic would prevent Bush from getting USA into any actions.
It's not a case of whether the Democrats are right or wrong. It's the tradition that a president on the way out won't start anything new without the consent of at least one of the House or the Senate.
-Hedge