To be honest, I wouldn't be surprised if neither of them won it this year. I doubt Ronnie can come back, if he did it would have to be at his best ever, and I can't see that happening.
I think Jay won purely because its been him and Ronnie all these years and they kinda had to give it to him.
This year its wide open for any number of guys. You've got Martinez, Heath, Warren, Freeman, Badell, etc. all looking good, so you could see Ronnie not even in the top 3.