Getbig Bodybuilding, Figure and Fitness Forums

Getbig Main Boards => Politics and Political Issues Board => Topic started by: Thin Lizzy on March 30, 2024, 09:30:38 AM

Title: Current Electoral Map based on Polling
Post by: Thin Lizzy on March 30, 2024, 09:30:38 AM
I wouldn’t bank on PA, but I don’t think Trump will need it. At this time in 2020, Biden was polling 8  percentage points better in the National averages than he is now. That’s fact, not opinion. While, not a sure thing, I don’t think anything an incapacitated Biden or his people can do between now and November will help.
Title: Re: Current Electoral Map based on Polling
Post by: Thin Lizzy on March 30, 2024, 09:35:59 AM
April 2020:


https://www.cnn.com/2020/04/09/politics/cnn-poll-biden-trump?cid=ios_app

Biden leads Trump 53% to 42% among registered voters, roughly steady from CNN’s poll in early March. The nationwide picture shows Biden starts with an edge among voters generally, but national polling cannot address the state-by-state electoral college race which ultimately determines the presidency.
Title: Re: Current Electoral Map based on Polling
Post by: Thin Lizzy on March 30, 2024, 09:39:54 AM
April 2024:

Title: Re: Current Electoral Map based on Polling
Post by: deadz on March 30, 2024, 11:24:05 AM
I wouldn’t bank on PA, but I don’t think Trump will need it. At this time in 2020, Biden was polling 8  percentage points better in the National averages than he is now. That’s fact, not opinion. While, not a sure thing, I don’t think anything an incapacitated Biden or his people can do between now and November will help.
That's A LOT of RED!
Title: Re: Current Electoral Map based on Polling
Post by: Thin Lizzy on March 30, 2024, 02:40:00 PM
That's A LOT of RED!

Biden is underperforming everywhere. In 2020, NY Polls had him up 30. He won by 23.

This time around Biden is only up 10 in the polls with the full field:

NY might be a less than 10 point win for the Dems.

Title: Re: Current Electoral Map based on Polling
Post by: Thin Lizzy on March 30, 2024, 02:41:05 PM
2020

Title: Re: Current Electoral Map based on Polling
Post by: Gym Rat on March 30, 2024, 03:49:17 PM
80+ year old men in a power battle.
Sad that the county's this fukked and there are no good/experienced people in either party.
They all suck glory-hole caulk like that disgusting caulk-sukker Prime... Deviant libturd fukktard...

(https://fastly.4sqi.net/img/general/600x600/4PFYZTTJQ2HAQDSJYVECCWRSUH1UPJY0CMJ11LUNUX52GUNE.jpg)
Title: Re: Current Electoral Map based on Polling
Post by: Primemuscle on March 30, 2024, 05:09:41 PM
80+ year old men in a power battle.
Sad that the county's this fukked and there are no good/experienced people in either party.
They all suck glory-hole caulk like that disgusting caulk-sukker Prime... Deviant libturd fukktard...

(https://fastly.4sqi.net/img/general/600x600/4PFYZTTJQ2HAQDSJYVECCWRSUH1UPJY0CMJ11LUNUX52GUNE.jpg)

Since when were inmates in the psycho ward at the state mental hospital allowed to use pencils? It looks like you could not find anything but a used paper bag to write this stupid little piece of juvenile crap on. You are a sad, sad deranged psychotic idiot. I almost feel sorry for you. On second thought... 
Title: Re: Current Electoral Map based on Polling
Post by: deadz on April 01, 2024, 02:24:52 PM
MAGA
Title: Re: Current Electoral Map based on Polling
Post by: Thin Lizzy on April 01, 2024, 05:03:55 PM
I don’t see much changing going forward. Given that Biden is fucking up on an almost daily basis with the latest being turning Easter into Tranny day, IMO the probabilities favor his underperforming the polls in November especially given the third party candidates which certainly will hurt Biden.
Title: Re: Current Electoral Map based on Polling
Post by: chaos on April 01, 2024, 05:28:14 PM
Polls are gay and useless. They'll manipulate the electronic machines to their liking the night of the election. ;)
Title: Re: Current Electoral Map based on Polling
Post by: Grape Ape on April 01, 2024, 05:40:36 PM
The SC f'd up things for Republicans by overturning Roe v Wade.
Title: Re: Current Electoral Map based on Polling
Post by: Agnostic007 on April 01, 2024, 08:15:51 PM
Polls are gay and useless. They'll manipulate the electronic machines to their liking the night of the election. ;)

No... but I agree that this far out polls are useless
Title: Re: Current Electoral Map based on Polling
Post by: Agnostic007 on April 01, 2024, 08:23:57 PM
Looking at the 538 polling site... It appears at this point to be a toss up. I think that likely reflects the current situation. I wouldn't put a dime on the election outcome at this point without some really good odds.

I'm not a fan of Biden. Too old, hasn't really accomplished much, though some of that isn't on him. But overall, a mediocre President

Trump.. I'm obviously in the minority on this, but it's my opinion his total lack of protocol, ethics, morals, humanity, self awareness, would be more destructive than the alternative.

But, if Trump wins, I'll be damned if I will spend 4 years like some claiming some magical interference. If America wants Trump, so be it. I'm one voice.
Title: Re: Current Electoral Map based on Polling
Post by: Thin Lizzy on April 02, 2024, 06:08:15 AM
Looking at the 538 polling site... It appears at this point to be a toss up. I think that likely reflects the current situation. I wouldn't put a dime on the election outcome at this point without some really good odds.

I'm not a fan of Biden. Too old, hasn't really accomplished much, though some of that isn't on him. But overall, a mediocre President

Trump.. I'm obviously in the minority on this, but it's my opinion his total lack of protocol, ethics, morals, humanity, self awareness, would be more destructive than the alternative.

But, if Trump wins, I'll be damned if I will spend 4 years like some claiming some magical interference. If America wants Trump, so be it. I'm one voice.

I get it that you hate Trump but I’m looking strictly at the numbers without editorializing. Trump is ahead in every swing state. Sure things can change but It’s currently not a toss up.
Title: Re: Current Electoral Map based on Polling
Post by: Grape Ape on April 02, 2024, 07:28:45 AM
I still don't think Trump will get elected.

Female housewives and liberal jewish folks will once again vote against their own best interests.
Title: Re: Current Electoral Map based on Polling
Post by: Thin Lizzy on April 02, 2024, 10:22:56 AM
I still don't think Trump will get elected.

Female housewives and liberal jewish folks will once again vote against their own best interests.

Trump has closed the gap with women and has expanded it with men.

Most Jews are in States that Biden would win anyway: NY & CA.

Again, I’m going strictly by the numbers.


NBC is absurdly liberal:


https://www.nbcnews.com/meet-the-press/first-read/2024-gender-gap-grows-not-bidens-direction-rcna137232

In 2020, Biden won female voters by 15 points (57% to 42%), while then-President Donald Trump won men by 8 points (53% to 45%), according to the NBC News exit poll.

But in our latest national NBC News poll, the gender gap has grown to 32 points: Biden is winning women by 10 (50% to 40%), and Trump is now ahead among men by a whopping 22 points (56% to 34%).
Title: Re: Current Electoral Map based on Polling
Post by: deadz on April 02, 2024, 11:51:22 AM
I still don't think Trump will get elected.

Female housewives and liberal jewish folks will once again vote against their own best interests.
If so, goes to show how truly stupid most of America is. They’d rather suffer than elect the the “Orange man”.
Title: Re: Current Electoral Map based on Polling
Post by: Agnostic007 on April 02, 2024, 11:57:57 PM
I get it that you hate Trump but I’m looking strictly at the numbers without editorializing. Trump is ahead in every swing state. Sure things can change but It’s currently not a toss up.

I'm a gambler... no emotion in this. 538 is saying a toss up. If you have information that says otherwise I'm open to it. I'm resigned to the possibility this could go either way.. but if you think it is not a toss up... I'm listening
Title: Re: Current Electoral Map based on Polling
Post by: Humble Narcissist on April 03, 2024, 12:11:54 AM
No... but I agree that this far out polls are useless
Yeah, a lot will happen between now and November.
Title: Re: Current Electoral Map based on Polling
Post by: Gym Rat on April 03, 2024, 02:43:34 AM
I still don't think Trump will get elected.

Female housewives and liberal jewish folks will once again vote against their own best interests.

Same, too corrupt, and too much insanity out there. The new thing is to hate oneself and hate America.

I think both guys need to go away and out to pasture now.
It's a very embarrassing "race"...

IMO things have settled as far as financial things (mostly) like 401K's, gas is OK, etc...
So I dont think the shitter admin can do much worse as far as some of that is concerned.
Other stuff like sending billions off to war, yeah, that's horrible bullshit. And all the tranny nonsense.
A bit disturbing. And the immigration (lack of) kills us. Crime, drugs, trafficking, etc.

But cmon, 4 more years of hilarity with the shitter. And think of all the poems, meme's and shit I can still post up!!!   :o

"Cmon man, you know the thing"!!!
Title: Re: Current Electoral Map based on Polling
Post by: Thin Lizzy on April 03, 2024, 05:13:23 AM
Yeah, a lot will happen between now and November.

Let’s say you’re going to bet the Super Bowl winner at the start of NFL preseason. Yeah a lot can change. You have 30 teams and some are going to under perform others will out perform and of course you have injuries.

In this case, you only have two candidates, and they’re both very known quantities. Other than one of them possibly dying not much is going to change.
Title: Re: Current Electoral Map based on Polling
Post by: Thin Lizzy on April 03, 2024, 05:19:36 AM
This is the first poll I’ve seen from Jersey:
Title: Re: Current Electoral Map based on Polling
Post by: Thin Lizzy on April 03, 2024, 05:22:21 AM
Biden won the state by 16 in 2020. He’s gonna win it again but the pattern of Biden underperforming everywhere has been consistent:


Title: Re: Current Electoral Map based on Polling
Post by: Thin Lizzy on April 03, 2024, 04:18:12 PM
Apparently, Jill Biden was on a morning show and freaked when presented with these polls:

Title: Re: Current Electoral Map based on Polling
Post by: Thin Lizzy on April 03, 2024, 04:18:57 PM
⬇️
Title: Re: Current Electoral Map based on Polling
Post by: Thin Lizzy on April 03, 2024, 04:20:36 PM
WI a lone bright spot for Biden
Title: Re: Current Electoral Map based on Polling
Post by: Primemuscle on April 03, 2024, 06:20:07 PM
Same, too corrupt, and too much insanity out there. The new thing is to hate oneself and hate America.

I think both guys need to go away and out to pasture now.
It's a very embarrassing "race"...

IMO things have settled as far as financial things (mostly) like 401K's, gas is OK, etc...
So I dont think the shitter admin can do much worse as far as some of that is concerned.
Other stuff like sending billions off to war, yeah, that's horrible bullshit. And all the tranny nonsense.
A bit disturbing. And the immigration (lack of) kills us. Crime, drugs, trafficking, etc.

But cmon, 4 more years of hilarity with the shitter. And think of all the poems, meme's and shit I can still post up!!!   :o

"Cmon man, you know the thing"!!!

I am sincerely shocked to read your opinion about the suitability of these two dudes’ age for Presidency. I have maintained they are both too old for the job for a long time... and I should know because I am as old as they are. The problem is that neither party has the courage to make a change in candidates if that could even happen at this point. 
Title: Re: Current Electoral Map based on Polling
Post by: Humble Narcissist on April 04, 2024, 12:42:02 AM
Let’s say you’re going to bet the Super Bowl winner at the start of NFL preseason. Yeah a lot can change. You have 30 teams and some are going to under perform others will out perform and of course you have injuries.

In this case, you only have two candidates, and they’re both very known quantities. Other than one of them possibly dying not much is going to change.
Injuries decide it in the NFL. This year in politics it may be death.
Title: Re: Current Electoral Map based on Polling
Post by: Thin Lizzy on April 04, 2024, 07:07:35 AM
For Biden to have a shot, he needs to win the popular by at least two due to California having such a big disparity. In 2020 he won the state by 5 million votes. This time should be closer but the difference will still be huge.

Title: Re: Current Electoral Map based on Polling
Post by: Thin Lizzy on April 04, 2024, 07:10:24 AM
Injuries decide it in the NFL. This year in politics it may be death.

Truly the most bizarre race in American history with a candidate that clearly should be in a nursing home.


https://thehill.com/media/4573291-sage-steele-says-espn-told-her-not-to-deviate-from-biden-interview-script/

“That was an interesting experience in its own right because it was so structured,” Steele said in a recent interview with Fox News Digital. “And I was told, ‘You will say every word that we write out, you will not deviate from the script and
Title: Re: Current Electoral Map based on Polling
Post by: Dos Equis on April 04, 2024, 12:42:44 PM
Injuries decide it in the NFL. This year in politics it may be death.

Definitely possible. 
Title: Re: Current Electoral Map based on Polling
Post by: Humble Narcissist on April 04, 2024, 11:40:36 PM
Truly the most bizarre race in American history with a candidate that clearly should be in a nursing home.


https://thehill.com/media/4573291-sage-steele-says-espn-told-her-not-to-deviate-from-biden-interview-script/

“That was an interesting experience in its own right because it was so structured,” Steele said in a recent interview with Fox News Digital. “And I was told, ‘You will say every word that we write out, you will not deviate from the script and
The media has been protecting him for years. If he were a republican they would have run him out of office a long time ago. More proof that we have an extremely biased left wing media.
Title: Re: Current Electoral Map based on Polling
Post by: Gym Rat on April 05, 2024, 01:22:19 AM
The media has been protecting him for years. If he were a republican they would have run him out of office a long time ago. More proof that we have an extremely biased left wing media.

More like corrupt, evil, bought, weaponized, etc...
They dont even try to hide it anymore.
Libz are a deranged cult... (Of child groomers, confused gender tards, commies and evil corrupt cvntz)..
Pubtards, many are right behind the libturdz...
Title: Re: Current Electoral Map based on Polling
Post by: Thin Lizzy on April 05, 2024, 03:52:29 AM
Like I said, Biden is better off in the basement. Whenever people hear the garbled mess that comes out of his mouth, he drops in the polls:

Title: Re: Current Electoral Map based on Polling
Post by: chaos on April 05, 2024, 05:29:00 PM
I have maintained they are both too old for the job for a long time... and I should know because I am as old as they are.
This is a pretty universal feeling among party lines. Like I've said, there are minimum ages, there should be maximum ages for ALL political positions.
Title: Re: Current Electoral Map based on Polling
Post by: Thin Lizzy on April 06, 2024, 05:47:21 AM
This is a pretty universal feeling among party lines. Like I've said, there are minimum ages, there should be maximum ages for ALL political positions.

Would  I like to have somebody younger? Of course, but Trump has a lot of energy for a guy that age so I’m not really concerned about it and he’s gonna be a good seat warmer for DeSantis in four years who hopefully will learn from his lackluster campaign.
Title: Re: Current Electoral Map based on Polling
Post by: Thin Lizzy on April 06, 2024, 05:50:10 AM
Trump isn’t gonna win NJ but his polling there bodes well for battleground states.



Biden’s lead over Trump in N.J. is slimmer than expected, poll finds
   Updated: Apr. 05, 2024, 1:06 a.m.|Published: Apr. 04, 2024, 5:09 p.
   By Eric Conklin | NJ Advance Media for NJ.com


With the 2024 election seven months away, President Joe Biden holds a 7-percentage-point lead over former President Donald Trump in blue-leaning New Jersey as both head toward a presumptive rematch, according to a new poll.