Its not a CT at all.    The democrat machine is based on a aggregate groupe of the following, with which falls apart instantly if any one groups falls off:
1.    Government Unions
2.  90% of the Black Vote 
3.  60% or more of the Hispanic vote 
4.  The far left fringe voters (PETA, Green Peace, NutRoots, etc)  
5.  45-55% of the female white vote 
6.  35-45% of the White male vote.  
7.  85% of the liberal jewish vote (mostly for $$$)
If any part of that coalition is gone, the dems never win.  
Even KRS 1 called it out like it.