Author Topic: Politico posts article giving pollsters (and itself) wiggle room if Coakley wins  (Read 318 times)

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Interesting how this article suddenly appeared out of nowhere at the last minute:

Pollsters uneasy about Massachusetts

Republican Scott Brown’s dramatic rise in polls taken on the eve of Election Day in Massachusetts has some pollsters worried about whether they have another New Hampshire on their hands.

Brown has gone from a relative unknown to a frontrunner in only a matter of weeks and special elections – especially in states like Massachusetts that rarely get polled by most national firms – are notoriously hard to predict. And while pollsters are fairly confident of their own analysis, that combination of factors has them worried that Massachusetts results tonight could be a shocker.

“If the polls in Massachusetts are as accurate as they typically are in a fall general election, than the odds are very, very long” that Democrat Martha Coakley will win, said Mark Blumenthal, editor of Pollster.com. “But this isn’t a fall general election and there is a lot that is very odd about this race.”

-snip -

Like other pollsters who spoke to POLITICO, Blumenthal said Coakley’s position heading into Election Day is similar to the one Hillary Clinton held just before the Democratic presidential primary in New Hampshire in 2008 – where she rose from the political dead to upset Barack Obama and stun the political world.

More - http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0110/31666.html