Author Topic: Florida Poll: Rubio Leads Primary Opponent By 33 Points  (Read 2655 times)

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Florida Poll: Rubio Leads Primary Opponent By 33 Points
« on: August 04, 2016, 10:39:27 AM »
Could have used those folks a few months ago.  lol

Florida Poll: Rubio Leads Primary Opponent By 33 Points
By Mark Swanson   |   Wednesday, 03 Aug 2016

Marco Rubio is going to cruise to victory in his upcoming Florida Republican primary, according to the latest St. Pete Polls.

Rubio has a 33-point lead over challenger Carlos Beruff, 55 percent to 22 percent. After balking at first, Rubio announced in June that he would indeed run for re-election to the Senate.

The primary is Aug. 30.

The survey's other results:

Rubio has 69 percent of the Hispanic vote;
Rubio has 67 percent of the millennial vote;
24 percent said they would choose someone else or were undecided;
54 percent said current Florida Gov. Rick Scott would make a good senator.

The poll surveyed 1,835 likely Republican primary voters and has a margin of error of 2.3 percent.

http://www.newsmax.com/Politics/Florida-Poll-Rubio-Leads-Primary/2016/08/03/id/741985/#ixzz4GO0pesq9

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Re: Florida Poll: Rubio Leads Primary Opponent By 33 Points
« Reply #1 on: August 04, 2016, 11:26:44 AM »
florida is kicking ass.  Rick Scott is creepy as fck, and he's slashed the shit out of a bunch of education programs, which may cause things to suck longterm.  but it's rocking right now. 

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Re: Florida Poll: Rubio Leads Primary Opponent By 33 Points
« Reply #2 on: August 04, 2016, 02:57:27 PM »
Good for him.  Because he sure doesn't have any other options if he loses.  Lobbyist?  Nope.  VP?  Nope.  Cabinet position?  Nuh-uh. 

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Re: Florida Poll: Rubio Leads Primary Opponent By 33 Points
« Reply #3 on: August 25, 2016, 12:56:42 PM »
Poll: Rubio, Murphy Set to Win Primaries as Tough November Election Looms
By Theodore Bunker   |    Thursday, 25 Aug 2016

Florida Republican Sen. Marco Rubio and his chief opponent, Democratic Rep. Patrick Murphy, are likely to win their party primary races, but face a close election in November, according to a new poll.

"It's a competitive race. It's not a slam dunk," Brad Coker, who led the survey by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, told Politico.

In the upcoming four-way Republican primary, Rubio holds a strong lead:
•Marco Rubio: 61 percent;
•Carlos Beruff: 22 percent;
•Ernie Rivera: 1 percent;
•Dwight Mark Anthony Young: 1 percent;
•Undecided: 15 percent.

In the Democratic primary, with five candidates, Murphy enjoys a strong advantage:
•Patrick Murphy: 55 percent;
•Alan Grayson: 22 percent;
•Pam Keith: 4 percent;
•Roque De La Fuente: 0 percent;
•Reginald Luster: 0 percent;
•Undecided: 19 percent.

Rubio, already elected statewide, is widely known and well-liked:
•Recognize/Favorable: 44 percent;
•Recognize/Unfavorable: 35 percent;
•Recognize/Neutral: 19 percent;
•Don't Recognize: 2 percent.

While Murphy is less known, but his unfavorable level is lower:

•Recognize/Favorable: 30 percent;
•Recognize/Unfavorable: 11 percent;
•Recognize/Neutral: 38 percent;
•Don't Recognize: 21 percent.

Although Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump is expected by some to have a negative impact on GOP Senate candidates, Coker expects Rubio to have one advantage:

"Rubio can keep the Hispanic voters that Trump is losing," Coker said.

At a GOP fundraising event in Palm Beach County, Rubio gave a speech portraying his Senate race as a vital protection against a Democratic majority in the upper chamber of Congress.

"If we lose the Florida Senate race, we put the balance of power in danger in the U.S. Senate," he said, according to The Washington Post.

"And even if we win the presidency, you won't be able to get anything done because Chuck Schumer is blocking it. We cannot lose the Senate. And we cannot lose Florida," he said, referring to the senior senator from New York.

Mason-Dizon Polling surveyed 625 registered voters in Florida by phone, from Aug. 22-24, with a margin of error of +/- 4 percentage points.

http://www.newsmax.com/Politics/Rubio-Murphy-Win-Primaries/2016/08/25/id/745131/#ixzz4INMN0uud

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Re: Florida Poll: Rubio Leads Primary Opponent By 33 Points
« Reply #4 on: August 25, 2016, 12:58:28 PM »
Florida is doing very well.  I doubt many incumbents get the boot.  Rubio should win easily.  It's actually been an awesome season even though the water on beaches sucks with the lake okechobee runoff

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Re: Florida Poll: Rubio Leads Primary Opponent By 33 Points
« Reply #5 on: August 31, 2016, 09:42:27 AM »
After Easy Win, Rubio Has Bigger Challenge to Keep Seat
Wednesday, 31 Aug 2016

Republican Sen. Marco Rubio's presidential aspirations and insistence that he was done with the Senate didn't hurt him with GOP voters, now it's time to see if the rest of Florida will be as forgiving as he seeks a second term.

Rubio easily won the Republican nomination to retain his seat and will be challenged by Democratic U.S. Rep. Patrick Murphy, who defeated Congressman Alan Grayson in Tuesday's Senate primary. It's a race Democrats are targeting in an effort to regain a majority in the Senate, and their hope is that Rubio's presidential ambitions have dulled the shine he had with Florida voters.

In other races Tuesday, U.S. Rep. Corrine Brown lost a primary as she faces felony fraud charges. It will end her 24-year congressional career as former state Sen. Al Lawson is almost assured of replacing her in the heavily Democratic district. Congresswoman Debbie Wasserman Schultz, who resigned last month as Democratic National Committee chairwoman, fended off the first serious challenge she's faced since winning office in 2004 by beating Tim Canova, a Bernie Sanders-backed law professor.


Rubio and Murphy have already been giving a preview of the general election match up, with each candidate focusing on each other rather than their primary opponents in the weeks leading up to the nominating contest.

Murphy says Rubio cares more about political ambition than voters and can't even commit to serving all six years in the Senate if he wins, and Rubio says Murphy is a privileged son of a wealthy man who has lied about his education, work experience and starting a small business.

"He's going to have to account for his four years in Congress, where he was ranked by a non-partisan group as one of the most ineffective members," Rubio said after winning. "That's a hard thing to achieve in a Congress that's been as ineffective as this one has been over the last 10 years."

Murphy also immediately attacked Rubio after his victory.

"Senator Rubio is trying to distract from his terrible record. Here's a guy who has missed more votes than any senator from Florida in nearly 50 years. He told us he doesn't like the job and just yesterday he told us he said he won't commit to a six-year term," Murphy said.

There is evidence that the presidential run has taken a toll on Rubio. A Quinnipiac University poll taken before he announced his presidential campaign showed a 54 percent job approval with voters, compared to 35 percent disapproval. After he announced he'd seek a second Senate term, those numbers dipped to 46 percent approval and 43 percent disapproval.

Democratic party leaders felt Murphy, a former Republican, has the best chance in the general election. He was backed in the primary by President Barack Obama and Senate Minority Leader Harry Reid. Vice President Joe Biden traveled to Florida three times to campaign with Murphy. Grayson, a fiery liberal who often makes headlines with brash statements, was seen as too inflammatory to win over a state that tends to support moderate candidates.

But Murphy is still largely unknown in Florida and outside Republican groups began running negative ads against him weeks ago. Until Rubio decided in June to seek another term, it was expected that Murphy's Republican challenger would also be a lesser known candidate.

Rubio will start the contest with the advantage of already having won a statewide election in a state with more than 12 million voters. Still, Rubio's chances of re-election could rely heavily on the presidential election between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump. If Clinton wins by a large margin, it could hurt Rubio in the state Obama carried in 2008 and 2012.

Rubio has half-heartedly endorsed Trump, but says he won't campaign with him. Murphy has repeatedly pointed out that Rubio called Trump a conman who can't be trusted, but now supports him.

Democrats hope to gain seats in Florida's heavily Republican U.S. House delegation after court-mandated redistricting chipped away the advantages of some incumbents.

Florida had to rip up and redraw its congressional maps after they were found to violate the state constitution's provision requiring compact districts that don't favor incumbents or political parties. That spurred one of the state's most heavily contested congressional election years. Florida will eventually send at least eight new House members to Washington.

Republicans now outnumber Democrats 17-10 in the state's congressional delegation. If Democrats sweep all four seats seen as competitive in November, that Republican advantage could be reduced to 14-13.

One of those is now held by U.S. Rep. David Jolly, a Republican who was expected to win Tuesday, but who would then have to beat former Gov. Charlie Crist, who used to be a Republican but is now a Democrat.

http://www.newsmax.com/Politics/US-Congress-2016-Florida/2016/08/31/id/745984/#ixzz4IvejOhia

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Re: Florida Poll: Rubio Leads Primary Opponent By 33 Points
« Reply #6 on: August 31, 2016, 10:50:28 AM »
Murphy appears to be doing well on paper but he is going to run out of steam and falter near the end.

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Re: Florida Poll: Rubio Leads Primary Opponent By 33 Points
« Reply #7 on: August 31, 2016, 11:09:43 AM »
Rubio will win again.  He's a strong frontrunner for 2020 presidency.  He and Cruz were right, and the mouth breather base voters who chose trump were wrong.  they have 'should have went with this guy' factor.  A ryan/rubio ticket would be a fresh alternative to a 74 year old Hillary.

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Re: Florida Poll: Rubio Leads Primary Opponent By 33 Points
« Reply #8 on: September 07, 2016, 10:51:09 AM »
Fla. Senate Race: Marco Rubio and Patrick Murphy in Statistical Tie

Sen. Marco Rubio and challenger Rep. Patrick Murphy of Florida.
By Cathy Burke   |   Tuesday, 06 Sep 2016

The heated race for the U.S. Senate in Florida reportedly shows incumbent Sen. Marco Rubio in a statistical dead heat with his Democratic challenger, Rep. Patrick Murphy, according to Democratic polling for the contest.

The Hill reports the survey by Civis Analytics for Senate Majority PAC, a Democratic super PAC, breaks down like this:

Murphy: 45 percent
Rubio: 44 percent
Undecided: 9 percent

The Hill reports the survey's model shows undecided voters are more likely to break toward Murphy; Civis picks the Democrat to win in November with 51.6 percent of the vote.

The poll was conducted Aug. 9-Aug. 15, more than two weeks before both candidates won their respective primaries, The Hill notes.

In an averaging of polls by Real Clear Politics, Rubio has a 5.7 percentage point lead over Murphy.

http://www.newsmax.com/Politics/marco-rubio-patrick-murphy-poll-dead-heat/2016/09/06/id/746988/#ixzz4JaraNYD8

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Re: Florida Poll: Rubio Leads Primary Opponent By 33 Points
« Reply #9 on: September 07, 2016, 11:05:03 AM »
Rubio will find a way to win.   

he needs to just publicly diss the shit out of Trump.   Public opinion of Trump is thru the floor here.  People have big laughs mocking him in bars now.  If anyone is supporting trump, they usually STFU about it.  It's that taboo to support such an ass.

Rubio needs to differentiate himself.

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Re: Florida Poll: Rubio Leads Primary Opponent By 33 Points
« Reply #10 on: October 03, 2016, 09:47:25 AM »
Dems stop spending to oust Rubio in Florida, as path to Senate takeover gets rockier
Published October 01, 2016 
FoxNews.com

Washington Democrats’ strong bid to take control of the Senate by defeating several Republican incumbents is showing signs of struggling in the final weeks of the election cycle.

In Florida, Democrats targeted first-term GOP Sen. Marco Rubio, considering his failed effort to fix the country’s problematic immigration system and him frequently abandoning Capitol Hill responsibilities to run for president made him unpopular among voters.

But with less than six weeks before Election Day, Rubio is maintaining a roughly 6-percentage-point lead. And the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee is cutting back a planned advertising blitz in Florida, which includes canceling ads into early October.

The group, whose primary goal is to keep and win Senate seats, says it stands behind candidate Patrick Murphy. However, such a move late in the election cycle usually means a change in strategy in which such groups reallocate remaining money to states where TV advertising costs far less and they have better chances in November.

Democrats must win at net total of four or five seats to retake control of the Senate.

At the start of start of the cycle, Democrats targeted the seat occupied by Rubio as well as those of GOP incumbents Sens. Rob Portman, Ohio; Kelly Ayotte, New Hampshire; Ron Johnson, Wisconsin; and Pat Toomey in Pennsylvania -- all battleground states where they had hoped, at the very least, Republican president nominee Donald Trump’s sometimes divisive campaign would help their cause.

However, Ohio, a so-called “rust belt” state with a large number of older, white middle-class voters seems poised to swing Republican on November 8, with Trump doing well against Democratic rival Hillary Clinton and Portman now pulling away.

Portman leads Democratic challenger, former House member and Gov. Ted Strickland, by 13 percentage points, according to the RealClearPolitics’ polls average.

“We’re very proud of the robust organization we’ve built over the past two years across all of Ohio’s 88 counties," Portman campaign manager Corry Bliss recently told The Wall Street Journal, while also highlighting outreach efforts to Hispanic and black voters, challenging voting blocs for Republican candidates.

In New Hampshire, Ayotte, a first-term senator, is clinging to a 2.5 percentage point lead over Democratic challenger Gov. Maggie Hassan.

And in Pennsylvania, which has voted for the Democratic nominee in the past six presidential elections, Toomey is in a dead heat with Democratic challenger Katie McGinty.

In Indiana, former Democratic senator and Gov. Evan Bayh is having a harder-than-anticipated time trying to win the open Senate seat held by Republican Dan Coats, amid reports about recent years working as a consultant at a Washington lobbying firm, as reported earlier this week by The New York Times.

The popular Bayh purportedly also entered the race with $10 million to spend, but attack ads by outside conservative groups have in recent weeks essentially cut in half his double-digit lead over GOP Rep. Todd Young.

“Different states, same bad headlines,” the Natioanl Republican Senatorial Committee, the DSCC’s counterpart, said after several stories earlier this year on the race.

Still, in Wisconsin, former Democratic Sen. Russ Feingold is nearly 10 percentage points ahead in his bid to unseat GOP incumbent Sen. Ron Johnson.

The RCP average now has Democrats winning a net total of four seats.

Bayh isn’t the only Democratic candidate getting hammered by ads from outside conservative groups, including several that have clearly stated their intentions of trying to save the Senate for Republicans instead of backing Trump.

In Florida, Rubio and outside Republican groups have recently outspent the lesser-known Murphy and Washington Democrats more than 3-to-1 with ads blasting Murphy for embellishing his resume, calling him "untrustworthy."

Murphy said he's not worried, confident of overcoming the ad onslaught though he trails in polls and many Florida voters have barely heard of him.

Republicans for Rubio are hitting Murphy for overstating claims on his resume to be a certified public accountant, small business owner and a college graduate with two degrees.

Murphy was a licensed CPA in Colorado but not Florida, where he worked for an accounting firm. He was part-owner of a business established by his wealthy father, and though a double major at the University of Miami, he earned just one degree.

Murphy has received help from the American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees and the Senate Majority PAC, but those advertising buys have been dwarfed by outside Republican groups.

The Associated Press contributed to this report.

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2016/10/01/dems-stop-spending-to-oust-rubio-in-florida-as-path-to-senate-takeover-gets-rockier.html

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Re: Florida Poll: Rubio Leads Primary Opponent By 33 Points
« Reply #11 on: November 03, 2016, 01:43:50 PM »
Quinnipiac Poll: Rubio Opens 6 Point Lead in Florida Senate Race
Thursday, 03 Nov 2016

Incumbent GOP Sen. Marco Rubio has a 6-point lead over Rep. Patrick Murphy, the Democrat challenging him for his seat,  a Quinnipiac University Poll released Thursday shows.

The poll shows:
•Marco Rubio: 50 percent.
•Patrick Murphy; 44 percent.

Rubio's lead among independent voters, 54 percent to 38 percent for Murphy, signals Rubio is highly likely to win, says Peter Brown, assistant poll director.
 
"Candidates with a 16-point lead among independent voters rarely lose, and Sen. Rubio, who has that edge over U.S. Rep. Patrick Murphy, appears to be pulling away from the challenger. But anything is possible," Brown said.

http://www.newsmax.com/Politics/rubio-murphy-florida-senate/2016/11/03/id/756860/#ixzz4OyqxpSQT

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Re: Florida Poll: Rubio Leads Primary Opponent By 33 Points
« Reply #12 on: November 03, 2016, 01:52:53 PM »
2 good men in this race, but I support Rubio.
Looks like he'll win in close one this time.

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Re: Florida Poll: Rubio Leads Primary Opponent By 33 Points
« Reply #13 on: November 03, 2016, 02:11:39 PM »
This one is interesting:


http://m.arktimes.com/ArkansasBlog/archives/2016/11/02/arkansas-poll-yep-trump-will-carry-arkansas

PRESIDENT: Donald Trump, 59; Hillary Clinton, 36. (18 percent of the sample was undecided, but that number was removed from the tally.

Howard

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Re: Florida Poll: Rubio Leads Primary Opponent By 33 Points
« Reply #14 on: November 03, 2016, 02:25:10 PM »
This one is interesting:


http://m.arktimes.com/ArkansasBlog/archives/2016/11/02/arkansas-poll-yep-trump-will-carry-arkansas

PRESIDENT: Donald Trump, 59; Hillary Clinton, 36. (18 percent of the sample was undecided, but that number was removed from the tally.

No doubt  Trump will carry some states, but, lose the overall tally where it counts in the electoral college.

Thin Lizzy

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Re: Florida Poll: Rubio Leads Primary Opponent By 33 Points
« Reply #15 on: November 03, 2016, 02:29:41 PM »
No doubt  Trump will carry some states, but, lose the overall tally where it counts in the electoral college.


Statements like this give me the utmost confidence that Trump will win easily.

Did you see the new Podesta email in which he talks about "sticking the knife in Bernie" and "Grinding him to a pulp"?


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Re: Florida Poll: Rubio Leads Primary Opponent By 33 Points
« Reply #16 on: November 03, 2016, 02:53:08 PM »

Statements like this give me the utmost confidence that Trump will win easily.

Did you see the new Podesta email in which he talks about "sticking the knife in Bernie" and "Grinding him to a pulp"?



Ok, I know you're a political junkie and all into this election.
The harsh reality is that the majority of voters are a lot more casual then either of us .
You're analyzing information that isn't on most peoples radar.

I know you know a lot about Trump and why we should hate Hillary.
BUT, have you ever sat back and tried to understand why some of us support Hillary over Trump?

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Re: Florida Poll: Rubio Leads Primary Opponent By 33 Points
« Reply #17 on: November 03, 2016, 04:00:45 PM »
Ok, I know you're a political junkie and all into this election.
The harsh reality is that the majority of voters are a lot more casual then either of us .
You're analyzing information that isn't on most peoples radar.

I know you know a lot about Trump and why we should hate Hillary.
BUT, have you ever sat back and tried to understand why some of us support Hillary over Trump?


Yeah, you're big government Libs, who don't like the free market. It's as simple as that.

Btw, you're not qualified to tell me about Hillary. She was my Senator for 8 years. She was your Senator for 0 years.

During the time she was Senator, the Democratic Party in NY was run by Sheldon Silver who is now looking at 12 years for corruption, but I'm sure you knew that.

http://nypost.com/2016/05/03/sheldon-silver-gets-12-years-in-prison-for-corruption/