Election 2010: Arizona Governor
Arizona Governor: Brewer (R) 60%, Goddard (D) 38%
Wednesday, September 08, 2010
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Despite her halting debate performance last week, Arizona Republican Governor Jan Brewer now earns 60% of the vote in her bid for reelection, her best showing in the race to date.
A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Arizona Voters shows Democratic Attorney General Terry Goddard with 38% support. One percent (1%) like some other candidate in the race, and another one percent (1%) are undecided.
The race remains Solid Republican in the Rasmussen Reports Election 2010 Gubernatorial Scorecard.
Two weeks ago, Brewer posted a 57% to 38% lead over Goddard. Since May, Brewer's support has steadily risen from 52%, while Goddard's has hovered in the 35% to 39% range.
[b]The survey, taken Tuesday night, follows nearly a week of negative publicity surrounding Brewer's debate performance and suggests that voters remain focused on the issues that divide the two candidates. Brewer remains a champion of the state's law cracking down on illegal immigration despite a U.S. Justice Department challenge, and she maneuvered around Goddard to fight the new national health care bill in court. Goddard opposes the immigration law and supports the health care bill. [/b]
Not that voters in the state are unaware of the debate. Eighty-five percent (85%) say they have followed recent news stories about Brewer's performance in the debate at least somewhat closely, with 47% who have followed Very Closely.
Forty-eight percent (48%) say her handling of the debate is at least somewhat important to how they will vote, with 22% who say it's Very Important. Fifty-one percent (51%) say it's not very or not at all important.
But as Scott Rasmussen explains, "In a family, we feel free to pick on our siblings, but when an outsider does, we pull together as a family. That seems to be the case in Arizona. Part of Brewer's appeal clearly is her signing of and defense of the immigration law. But another part of her appeal is that a lot of people in Arizona don't like their governor and their state being picked on by outsiders."
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The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Arizona was conducted on September 7, 2010 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
Longtime Republican Senator John McCain runs well ahead of his Democratic challenger Rodney Glassman in the first Rasmussen Reports post-primary survey of the Arizona Senate race.
Sixty-seven percent (67%) of Arizona voters say there are at least somewhat angry at the policies of the federal government. This includes 53% who are Very Angry, 13 points higher than the finding among voters nationally.
Thirty-one percent (31%) of the state's voters don't share that anger, but just nine percent (9%) are Not At All Angry.
Eighty-seven percent (87%) of those who describe themselves as Very Angry at the policies of the federal government favor Brewer. Eighty-four percent (84%) of the much smaller group that's Not At All Angry back Goddard.
Sixty-four percent (64%) of voters in Arizona approve of the way Brewer is performing as governor, unchanged from two weeks ago and a remarkable improvement from 41% in March, a turnaround that highlights the impact of her signing of the state's much talked about immigration law.
Brewer is viewed favorably by 62% of Arizona voters and unfavorably by 37%. This includes 31% with a Very Favorable opinion of her and 28% with a Very Unfavorable view.
Forty percent (40%) view Goddard favorably, including 23% with a Very Favorable opinion. But 54% regard him unfavorably, with 31% Very Unfavorable toward him.
See toplines for other data from this survey. Full demographic data is available to Platinum Members only.
In 2008, Rasmussen Reports projected nationally that Barack Obama would defeat McCain in the presidential contest by a 52% to 46% margin. Obama won 53% to 46%. Four years earlier, Rasmussen Reports projected the national vote totals for both George W. Bush and John Kerry within half-a-percentage-point.
In Arizona during the 2008 campaign, Rasmussen Reports polling showed McCain winning the state by a 51% to 45% margin. He defeated Obama 54% to 45%.
In the 2006 Arizona governor's race, Rasmussen polling showed Janet Napolitano defeating Len Munsil 58% to 37%. Napolitano won 63% to 35%. In the 2006 race for U.S. Senate, Rasmussen polling showed Jon Kyl leading Jim Pederson by nine, 51% to 42%. Kyl won by nine, 53% to 44%.
Rasmussen Reports has released polls on the 2010 governor's races in Alaska, Alabama, Arizona, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Florida, Georgia, Hawaii, Idaho, Illinois, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, Nebraska, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, New York, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Vermont, Wisconsin and Wyoming.
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240, Blacken, Danny, and the rest of the libs are deeply saddened by this.
