Author Topic: The 2024 General Election  (Read 124430 times)

Agnostic007

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Re: The 2024 General Election
« Reply #2425 on: October 14, 2024, 09:49:39 PM »
You posted national polls in response to commentary and data about Pennsylvania.

Nah, I posted a conglomerate of national polls and at the top of the page it shows the democrats +1 in Pennsylvania. You need to learn how to read polls if you are going to contribute anything useful. Not that I'm holding my breath

Dos Equis

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Re: The 2024 General Election
« Reply #2426 on: October 14, 2024, 09:54:40 PM »
Nah, I posted a conglomerate of national polls and at the top of the page it shows the democrats +1 in Pennsylvania. You need to learn how to read polls if you are going to contribute anything useful. Not that I'm holding my breath

Oh shut your pie hole you lying liar.  lol  I see you avoided addressing how you lied about the Trump impeachment vote. 

Dos Equis

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Re: The 2024 General Election
« Reply #2427 on: October 14, 2024, 09:59:46 PM »
Trouble everywhere for the empty suit Kamala Harris.

Eric Daugherty
@EricLDaugh
NEW: Trump has taken the lead among independents in the latest CBS poll.

It went from Harris+3 to, now, Trump+4.



https://x.com/EricLDaugh/status/1845857656017178723

illuminati

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Re: The 2024 General Election
« Reply #2428 on: October 14, 2024, 10:23:12 PM »
Oh shut your pie hole you lying liar.  lol  I see you avoided addressing how you lied about the Trump impeachment vote.

I'm at a loss to understand what has happened to Ag he's all over the place
& not the same man he was not that long ago.

Constantly posting rubbish & avoiding answering any direct questions.
Even though we often clashed I had time & respect for him, sadly that is
Fast dwindling.

Dos Equis

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Re: The 2024 General Election
« Reply #2429 on: October 14, 2024, 11:12:48 PM »
I'm at a loss to understand what has happened to Ag he's all over the place
& not the same man he was not that long ago.

Constantly posting rubbish & avoiding answering any direct questions.
Even though we often clashed I had time & respect for him, sadly that is
Fast dwindling.

He's a dishonest poser. 

Dos Equis

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Re: The 2024 General Election
« Reply #2430 on: October 15, 2024, 11:43:33 AM »
Charlamagne tha God says young Black man predicted Trump's podcast appearance will get him elected
'The interview was fire, bro, I don’t know what to tell you' Andrew Schulz said of his 'Flagrant' Trump interview
By Alexander Hall Fox News
Published October 15, 2024
https://www.foxnews.com/media/charlamagne-tha-god-says-young-black-man-predicted-trumps-podcast-appearance-get-him-elected

Dos Equis

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Re: The 2024 General Election
« Reply #2431 on: October 15, 2024, 11:50:10 AM »
GOP Only Needs to Flip Two Senate Seats to Win the Majority, but Polling Shows They Could Take Five
By Jennifer Oliver O'Connell | October 14, 2024
https://redstate.com/jenniferoo/2024/10/14/gop-only-needs-to-flip-two-senate-seats-to-win-the-majority-but-polling-shows-they-could-take-five-n2180539

Grape Ape

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Re: The 2024 General Election
« Reply #2432 on: October 15, 2024, 12:55:21 PM »
Last I checked she was a couple percent ahead in the national polls.

Yes, which is worse than how Clinton and Biden were polling vs Trump in the last two elections.

You then told me I was full of shit.

She needs to be further ahead of any national poll in order to win.  This is mostly based on how much of the population identifies as democrat, and how Trump fared in the last two elections.

And the trend is trending  towards Trump.  RCP has him up +3 in PA

https://www.realclearpolling.com/latest-polls

Y

Primemuscle

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Re: The 2024 General Election
« Reply #2433 on: October 15, 2024, 02:45:23 PM »
You posted national polls in response to commentary and data about Pennsylvania.


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Primemuscle

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Re: The 2024 General Election
« Reply #2435 on: October 15, 2024, 02:53:24 PM »
https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/pennsylvania/trump-vs-harris

The polls change daily. Check your dates - October 13th. What I posted is October 15th, today's  Pennsylvania poll numbers. The graph show polls over a period of time.

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Re: The 2024 General Election
« Reply #2436 on: October 15, 2024, 03:26:23 PM »
And the only reason why she’s this is because the media is running interference

illuminati

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Re: The 2024 General Election
« Reply #2437 on: October 15, 2024, 03:31:17 PM »
And the only reason why she’s this is because the media is running interference

MSM are totally corrupt & untrustworthy
They all need wiping out.

Grape Ape

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Re: The 2024 General Election
« Reply #2438 on: October 15, 2024, 03:32:51 PM »
The polls change daily. Check your dates - October 13th. What I posted is October 15th, today's  Pennsylvania poll numbers. The graph show polls over a period of time.

Yes, and on the 15th:

Quote
Pennsylvania This Day in History: October 15, 2020: Biden +6.4 | October 15, 2016: Clinton +8.2

Harris is polling much worse than Biden or Clinton did v Trump.  That is not good for her.

Her internal polling must be much worse, evidenced why she's going on Fox, and entertaining going on Rogan, should he invite Trump.

Y

Primemuscle

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Re: The 2024 General Election
« Reply #2439 on: October 15, 2024, 04:11:37 PM »
And the only reason why she’s this is because the media is running interference

Good news! You could make a fortune at https://kalshi.com. I strongly suggest you place some big money bets on the election results with them.

'Federal court rules that Kalshi can host election bets. Yes, You Can Now Bet on Elections in the US. A US judge has overturned a moratorium that stopped gambling companies from letting people bet on election results.'

Note: If you haven't already signed up with Kelshi, when you do, they send a verification code to your email inbox. If you don't get it, be sure to check your spam file. That's where I found it.  ;D

Coach is Back!

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Re: The 2024 General Election
« Reply #2440 on: October 15, 2024, 05:00:34 PM »
Good news! You could make a fortune at https://kalshi.com. I strongly suggest you place some big money bets on the election results with them.

'Federal court rules that Kalshi can host election bets. Yes, You Can Now Bet on Elections in the US. A US judge has overturned a moratorium that stopped gambling companies from letting people bet on election results.'

Note: If you haven't already signed up with Kelshi, when you do, they send a verification code to your email inbox. If you don't get it, be sure to check your spam file. That's where I found it.  ;D

You’re really bad at this 😂


Coach is Back!

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Re: The 2024 General Election
« Reply #2441 on: October 15, 2024, 05:25:40 PM »
.

Dos Equis

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Re: The 2024 General Election
« Reply #2442 on: October 15, 2024, 05:52:24 PM »
Kamala Harris Says Reparations for Black Americans Deserve Review
Story by Akayla Gardner and Jennifer Epstein
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/kamala-harris-says-reparations-for-black-americans-deserve-review/ar-AA1skwX1

Dos Equis

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Re: The 2024 General Election
« Reply #2443 on: October 15, 2024, 08:15:02 PM »
Rallies in Colorado, California, and New York, states he is not going to win, shows that the internal polls have Trump looking very good.  He is trying to affect the "popular vote."  Smart. 

President Donald J. Trump to Hold a Rally in New York, New York
https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-hold-a-rally-in-new-york-new-york

Dos Equis

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Re: The 2024 General Election
« Reply #2444 on: October 15, 2024, 08:17:05 PM »
Kamala Harris could never do this.

Collin Rugg
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Donald Trump had a fiery interview today with the editor-in-chief of Bloomberg John Micklethwait.

Here are the top 5 moments:

5. Trump roasts the Federal Reserve, says they show up to the office once a month to "flip a coin."

4. Trump calls out Micklethwait to his face along with the Wall Street Journal for being "wrong about everything."

3. Trump rips European car companies for circumventing tariffs by shipping some parts to be assembled in America.

2. Crowd starts cheering after Trump spars with Micklethwait over tariffs, says if companies want to avoid them they just have to build their plants in America.

1. Trump calls Gavin Newsom "Newscum" which prompted Micklethwait to correct him, which then prompted Trump to correct him back.

https://x.com/CollinRugg/status/1846295590126162419

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Re: The 2024 General Election
« Reply #2445 on: October 16, 2024, 12:32:15 AM »
Rallies in Colorado, California, and New York, states he is not going to win, shows that the internal polls have Trump looking very good.  He is trying to affect the "popular vote."  Smart. 

President Donald J. Trump to Hold a Rally in New York, New York
https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-hold-a-rally-in-new-york-new-york
I was thinking that myself. He may also think those states are actually in play.

Dos Equis

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Re: The 2024 General Election
« Reply #2446 on: October 16, 2024, 01:16:22 AM »
I was thinking that myself. He may also think those states are actually in play.

He might think that, but I don't see how he makes up the millions of votes in California and New York, especially California.  Those people are nuts.  Keep in mind that Hillary Clinton's entire popular vote spread came from California in 2016 and Biden's entire popular vote spread came from California and New York in 2020.  I think the best Trump can do is cut those numbers down substantially.  If he does, he likely gets more popular votes. 

I've been talking about this since 2016:

Every time I hear a liberal pundit talk about the election they mention the popular vote.  Several problems with this, including:

1.  This was not a popular vote contest.  It was a electoral vote contest.  It's sort of like mentioning who got more yards or had more time of possession rather than looking at the scoreboard. 

2.  Clinton leads the popular vote by about 2.8 million votes.  The context is this: Clinton received 3.4 million more votes than Trump in California and 1.5 million more votes than Trump in New York. That’s a total spread of about 4.9 million votes from only two states. In fact, her entire spread is accounted for California alone.  Trump did not really campaign in either California or New York, because he knew he was going to lose those states and didn’t need them to win the election.

3.  The Electoral College prevents a handful of states from deciding a national election. Keep this in mind when people talk about the popular vote.

I ran these numbers in 2023:

I just took a look at the total vote numbers.  Some interesting observations:

1.  Biden received 81,282,501 votes.

2.  Trump received 74,223,975. 

3.  Both numbers were record turnouts.  I think the reason was largely related to the mass numbers of mail-in votes.  I think the numbers for both parties will drop in 2024. 

4.  Just like 2016, the "popular vote" was dramatically impacted by California and New York.  In 2016, Hillary Clinton's entire popular vote spread came from California.  In 2020, Biden got 11,110,639 votes in California and 5,249,886 votes in New York. 

5.  In 2020, Trump got 6,006,518 votes in California and 3,251,987 votes in New York. 

6.  The Biden spread in California was 5,104,121 and in New York was 1,992,899, for a total of 7,097,020.

7.  Biden's total popular vote spread in 2020 was 7,059,526.  In other words, the California and New York vote totals account for all of Biden's popular vote spread. 

8.  If you subtract California and New York from both Biden and Trump, Biden got 64,922,976 votes and Trump got 64,965,470.  In other words, Trump got more popular votes than Biden outside of California and New York. 

I'm pretty sure Trump never set foot in California during the 2020 election. 

Good context for Biden's 81 million votes.   

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_United_States_presidential_election

Dos Equis

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Re: The 2024 General Election
« Reply #2447 on: October 16, 2024, 01:24:10 AM »
Collin Rugg
@CollinRugg
JUST IN: Donald Trump cracks 58% for the first time against Harris on political betting platform Polymarket.
 
The surge comes as the left has launched a coordinated smear campaign to make Trump look "unfit" for office.
 
The betting markets appear to see through the smear campaign as Trump's odds to win surge.

The development also comes after a new NBC poll shows Trump surging five points in the past month.

Harris is trying to counter Trump's improving numbers by appealing to male voters, specifically with a hunting outing by Tim Walz and a potential Rogan interview.

https://twitter.com/CollinRugg/status/1846265576970506621

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Re: The 2024 General Election
« Reply #2448 on: October 16, 2024, 10:32:04 AM »
Mr Trump =  a hyper precious, physically decrepit, mentally degenerate huckster

An ideal candidate for the countrys need for a Caudillo
c

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Re: The 2024 General Election
« Reply #2449 on: October 16, 2024, 11:56:18 AM »
Up 20 today