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Title: App maker: Trump will win
Post by: markofan on August 14, 2016, 08:50:08 AM
http://www.usatoday.com/story/tech/2016/08/13/app-maker---trump-win-election/88640044/
Title: Re: App maker: Trump will win
Post by: The Abdominal Snoman on August 14, 2016, 04:27:14 PM
I think Trump will get a lot of votes from people who will never admit they voted for Trump.
Title: Re: App maker: Trump will win
Post by: jude2 on August 14, 2016, 05:34:30 PM
I think Trump will get a lot of votes from people who will never admit they voted for Trump.
Fact.
Title: Re: App maker: Trump will win
Post by: Never1AShow on August 14, 2016, 07:06:37 PM
I think Trump will get a lot of votes from people who will never admit they voted for Trump.

I've seen stories showing up to 30% won't admit it.  Wonder why?
Title: Re: App maker: Trump will win
Post by: TheShape. on August 14, 2016, 07:36:51 PM
I've seen stories showing up to 30% won't admit it.  Wonder why?
They don't want to be attacked by liberal fascists.
Title: Re: App maker: Trump will win
Post by: SaintAnger on August 14, 2016, 09:09:20 PM
Never heard of that app.
Title: Re: App maker: Trump will win
Post by: jude2 on August 14, 2016, 09:25:24 PM
I've seen stories showing up to 30% won't admit it.  Wonder why?
Because people who publicly display their vote for him, have problems. I have seen non Trump folks destroy property of his supporters.
Title: Re: App maker: Trump will win
Post by: SquidVicious on August 14, 2016, 09:59:50 PM
Because people who publicly display their vote for him, have problems. I have seen non Trump folks destroy property of his supporters.
For sure. Cars with Trump stickers get keyed. Homes with Trump signs get vandalized. People know what's up. If you think these people are being counted, you're in for a hyuuuuuuuge surprise come November.
Title: Re: App maker: Trump will win
Post by: 240 is Back on August 15, 2016, 05:02:20 AM
For sure. Cars with Trump stickers get keyed. Homes with Trump signs get vandalized. People know what's up. If you think these people are being counted, you're in for a hyuuuuuuuge surprise come November.

We heard this in 2008 and 2012.   unfortunately, in the end, the polls were pretty right on. 

Rassmussen has a late night prediction of "romney will win it!" and Mccain had a last minute false drudge headline of "within one point" that Drudge duplicated in 2012.

And in 2016, without a doubt, the Drudge headline the night before the election will be "Trump miraculously pulls close at the last minute" to motivate people.  Drudge does it every year, and every year it's BS.

The polls are very accurate when it comes to presidential elections, down to the county.  Nate and 538 was insanely accurate in 2012 Romney counties. 
Title: Re: App maker: Trump will win
Post by: Grape Ape on August 15, 2016, 05:06:18 AM
Nate and 538 was insanely accurate in 2012 Romney counties. 

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-i-acted-like-a-pundit-and-screwed-up-on-donald-trump/
Title: Re: App maker: Trump will win
Post by: 240 is Back on August 15, 2016, 05:10:47 AM
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-i-acted-like-a-pundit-and-screwed-up-on-donald-trump/

you're talking about his singular approach to predicting trump performance against 16 others in a reckless unprecedented primary clusterfck.

i'm talking about his macro predictions on the US presidency.  Apples and oranges.

The same way intrade and predictors were very wrong about John Roberts' ruling on obamacare.

with the prez election, there is just SO MUCH polling data and they get it right.  They'll have Hilary up by 6 and she'll win by 7.  They get it right.  I love politics board, I love the media psychology of it... and I see it every election cycle.  They challenge the legitimacy of polls WHEN THEY ARE BEHIND.   When Trump was UP in the polls, all he could talk about was how right they're getting it. When he acts like a fool and sinks ten points... suddenly they're all full of shit. 

We can bump this later, but there's no point.  The prez polls get it right every time now.  The computing and calculating are just too good these days.  If trump is up 3 points in them when election day arrives (entirely possible, given the fact hilary is a freakin criminal), then he will win without a doubt.  If hilary is up 3+ points, she will win.  It's not even up for debate, IMHO.
Title: Re: App maker: Trump will win
Post by: Grape Ape on August 15, 2016, 05:29:49 AM
you're talking about his singular approach to predicting trump performance against 16 others in a reckless unprecedented primary clusterfck.

No, I wasn't.

I never even read the article, just knew it existed and posted it to make you read it.
Title: Re: App maker: Trump will win
Post by: 240 is Back on August 15, 2016, 05:32:37 AM
No, I wasn't.

I never even read the article, just knew it existed and posted it to make you read it.

the 538 article you posted = nate explaining why he was wrong about trump winning nomination. 
Title: Re: App maker: Trump will win
Post by: Grape Ape on August 15, 2016, 05:44:56 AM
the 538 article you posted = nate explaining why he was wrong about trump winning nomination. 

I knew he botched that.  Silver was a big baseball analytics guy so his name popped up on a baseball message board referring to that article.

I can't even follow this election anymore - too ridiculous.  Two horrid candidates.
Title: Re: App maker: Trump will win
Post by: 240 is Back on August 15, 2016, 05:47:41 AM
I knew he botched that.  Silver was a big baseball analytics guy so his name popped up on a baseball message board referring to that article.

I can't even follow this election anymore - too ridiculous.  Two horrid candidates.

it's like we are at an awful NFL game.  our home team is down by 30 points in the 3rd quarter and we're about to be eliminated from the playoffs after starting the season 5-0.

We paid a shitload for the tickets so we may as well stay.  But it's a crap game, it's cold out, and our top players keep getting hurt.
Title: Re: App maker: Trump will win
Post by: Grape Ape on August 15, 2016, 05:56:37 AM
it's like we are at an awful NFL game.  our home team is down by 30 points in the 3rd quarter and we're about to be eliminated from the playoffs after starting the season 5-0.

We paid a shitload for the tickets so we may as well stay.  But it's a crap game, it's cold out, and our top players keep getting hurt.

What bothers me is how the left supporters can't admit their candidate is crap and try to downplay everything surround her.  Role model for women?  How is someone who stays in a relationship with a serial cheater and even tries to slander the accusers a good role model?I could accept the "anyone but Trump mantra" if I believed they wouldn't be voting Trump if he ran as a dem, but I know they would.

And the right its equally fucked.  They have no right to complain about Trump, because they were so bad themselves he beat their sorry asses.

Title: Re: App maker: Trump will win
Post by: 240 is Back on August 15, 2016, 06:04:52 AM
What bothers me is how the left supporters can't admit their candidate is crap and try to downplay everything surround her.  Role model for women?  How is someone who stays in a relationship with a serial cheater and even tries to slander the accusers a good role model?I could accept the "anyone but Trump mantra" if I believed they wouldn't be voting Trump if he ran as a dem, but I know they would.
And the right its equally fucked.  They have no right to complain about Trump, because they were so bad themselves he beat their sorry asses.

The fact that Trump is only down 3 to 7 points is a testament to just how hated hilary really is... her own supporters are lukewarm about her.  The bernie people hate her.  She cheated her way into the nomination and should be indicted for the email stuff. and the pay for play stuff is serious too.

Hilary = a bank manager that secretly works as a bookie.

Trump = a former bookie bank manager, who claims he doesn't make book anymore, but does get Baker act'd every few months for psychotic episodes where he wakes up naked covered in glitter in a zoo.
Title: Re: App maker: Trump will win
Post by: mr.turbo on August 15, 2016, 06:47:45 AM
App maker everyone else : Trump will not win

faxed
Title: Re: App maker: Trump will win
Post by: Never1AShow on August 15, 2016, 07:33:24 AM
It's a testament to the entire media being pretty much controlled by 6 corporations, including Newscorp Fox, and pushing a globalist agenda by ignoring everything she does and all of her negatives.  It'd be exactly the same with Cruz or any R.  Even still her negatives are on par with his.  The same case can be made for her throwing the elections as his, many, many gaffes, scandals, etc.

Trump is the only R in 30 years that can talk past and over them, and the only one willing to fight the PC war, and that's why he'll win.
Title: Re: App maker: Trump will win
Post by: Yamcha on August 15, 2016, 07:58:23 AM
Trump is the only R in 30 years that can talk past and over them, and the only one willing to fight the PC war, and that's why he'll win.

Hope you are right.
Title: Re: App maker: Trump will win
Post by: 240 is Back on August 15, 2016, 08:37:37 AM
It's a testament to the entire media being pretty much controlled by 6 corporations, including Newscorp Fox, and pushing a globalist agenda by ignoring everything she does and all of her negatives.  It'd be exactly the same with Cruz or any R.  Even still her negatives are on par with his.  The same case can be made for her throwing the elections as his, many, many gaffes, scandals, etc.

Trump is the only R in 30 years that can talk past and over them, and the only one willing to fight the PC war, and that's why he'll win.

i think apps, polling groups, and pundits are quickly learning Drudge will give them headline billing IF they say anything to offer promise and hope to desperate trump supporters.  these scrub USC polls saying trump up by 1, these apps saying trump will win - they become household names overnight with one flimsy claim because Drudge does WAY better when the home page has good trump news.  It's hard to find these days.
Title: Re: App maker: Trump will win
Post by: mr.turbo on August 15, 2016, 10:20:30 AM
It's a testament to the entire media being pretty much controlled by 6 corporations, including Newscorp Fox, and pushing a globalist agenda by ignoring everything she does and all of her negatives.  It'd be exactly the same with Cruz or any R.  Even still her negatives are on par with his.  The same case can be made for her throwing the elections as his, many, many gaffes, scandals, etc.

Trump is the only R in 30 years that can talk past and over them, and the only one willing to fight the PC war, and that's why he'll win.

is it biased against the GOP to report on the many many republicans who object to their nominee?

 ???

(http://vignette1.wikia.nocookie.net/marvel_dc/images/6/69/Green_Kryptonite_0003.jpg/revision/latest/scale-to-width-down/640?cb=20110917185037)
Title: Re: App maker: Trump will win
Post by: TheShape. on August 15, 2016, 02:02:48 PM
He'll never run
He'll never file
He'll never hit 20%
He'll never win a state
He won't get to 1237
He won't be our nominee
He'll never be president (You are right here.)
He won't build the wall
He won't win the reelection
Title: Re: App maker: Trump will win
Post by: Dr Dutch on August 15, 2016, 02:07:22 PM
I think Trump will get a lot of votes from people who will never admit they voted for Trump.

They also said that in the end Americans wouldn't vote for a black guy, but they did. Twice.
Title: Re: App maker: Trump will win
Post by: polychronopolous on August 15, 2016, 02:08:57 PM
He'll never run
He'll never file
He'll never hit 20%
He'll never win a state
He won't get to 1237
He won't be our nominee
He'll never be president (You are right here.)
He won't build the wall
He won't win the reelection

Exactly.
Title: Re: App maker: Trump will win
Post by: 240 is Back on August 15, 2016, 05:07:52 PM
He'll never run
He'll never file
He'll never hit 20%
He'll never win a state
He won't get to 1237
He won't be our nominee
He'll never be president (You are right here.)
He won't build the wall
He won't win the reelection

I've been right about Trump.   A month before he announced, I posted he would, and the date.
I predicted the angry base would choose him and the others would split 60% of the vote.
I predicted 1237 would be a cakewalk and he'd wreck the others on a personal level that hurts longterm.

I predicted he'd lose or win by 40 states.   Win if he was SERIOUS about running, because he's a master at TV, a master at running massive organizations, and a master at making people LIKE him.  I said he'd LOSE by 40 states if he was in it to tank, and give hillary a huge mandate and maybe senate to go with it.  He's an organizational development MASTER... so putting together a few campaign offices should have been a breeze.

If I was WRONG about my "dem plant" theory, then he'd win by 40 states.
If I was RIGHT about my "dem plant" theory, he'd secure nomination then suck at everything possible.   SO far, that seems to be the case.
Title: Re: App maker: Trump will win
Post by: Never1AShow on August 15, 2016, 06:31:43 PM
I've been right about Trump.   A month before he announced, I posted he would, and the date.
I predicted the angry base would choose him and the others would split 60% of the vote.
I predicted 1237 would be a cakewalk and he'd wreck the others on a personal level that hurts longterm.

I predicted he'd lose or win by 40 states.   Win if he was SERIOUS about running, because he's a master at TV, a master at running massive organizations, and a master at making people LIKE him.  I said he'd LOSE by 40 states if he was in it to tank, and give hillary a huge mandate and maybe senate to go with it.  He's an organizational development MASTER... so putting together a few campaign offices should have been a breeze.

If I was WRONG about my "dem plant" theory, then he'd win by 40 states.
If I was RIGHT about my "dem plant" theory, he'd secure nomination then suck at everything possible.   SO far, that seems to be the case.


You were wrong over and over again through the primaries, as shown above.
Title: Re: App maker: Trump will win
Post by: polychronopolous on August 15, 2016, 06:45:07 PM
I've been right about Trump.   A month before he announced, I posted he would, and the date.
I predicted the angry base would choose him and the others would split 60% of the vote.
I predicted 1237 would be a cakewalk and he'd wreck the others on a personal level that hurts longterm.

I predicted he'd lose or win by 40 states.   Win if he was SERIOUS about running, because he's a master at TV, a master at running massive organizations, and a master at making people LIKE him.  I said he'd LOSE by 40 states if he was in it to tank, and give hillary a huge mandate and maybe senate to go with it.  He's an organizational development MASTER... so putting together a few campaign offices should have been a breeze.

If I was WRONG about my "dem plant" theory, then he'd win by 40 states.
If I was RIGHT about my "dem plant" theory, he'd secure nomination then suck at everything possible.   SO far, that seems to be the case.

What is this "he'll either win or lose" bullshit??

What kind of predication is that!?  :D
Title: Re: App maker: Trump will win
Post by: 240 is Back on August 15, 2016, 07:51:20 PM
What is this "he'll either win or lose" bullshit??

What kind of predication is that!?  :D

I knew the race would not be close.
I knew if Trump was truly running, he woudl absolutely decimate hilary.
I knew if he was purposely losing, he'd lose by a mile.   Which is what he's doing.

If you read the poli board, you already know my #1 theme for this past year was "Trump is gonna run, trump is gonna win the nomination, trump is going to ensure hilary wins".   So far, it's looking accurate.
Title: Re: App maker: Trump will win
Post by: 240 is Back on August 15, 2016, 07:53:48 PM
You were wrong over and over again through the primaries, as shown above.

i mocked repubs every inch of the way during the primaries for continually picking this lying, shady hilary pawn.
Title: Re: App maker: Trump will win
Post by: mazrim on August 16, 2016, 08:22:41 AM
I knew the race would not be close.
I knew if Trump was truly running, he woudl absolutely decimate hilary.
I knew if he was purposely losing, he'd lose by a mile.   Which is what he's doing.

If you read the poli board, you already know my #1 theme for this past year was "Trump is gonna run, trump is gonna win the nomination, trump is going to ensure hilary wins".   So far, it's looking accurate.
I love how you lie so casually. You are either schizophrenic or a supreme liar.

You have posts directly saying,"Its looking like he may win some primaries and possibly the nomination." Doesn't sound like you thought it wasn't going to be close. I won't go too much into the rest but basically you just blow with whatever wind comes your way.

"Nobody thought he could get this far.  When he wins the nomation - with hilary facing indictment... it's hard to bet against Trump there." Sounds like you were really firm on this conspiracy stuff as well or a landslide victory/loss here as well.
Title: Re: App maker: Trump will win
Post by: Kwon on August 16, 2016, 08:40:14 AM
T - RUMP
(http://dynastyseries.com/wp-content/2016/08/rosa-acosta-mrguerra-dynastyseries-303126.jpg)
Title: Re: App maker: Trump will win
Post by: SF1900 on August 16, 2016, 08:49:13 AM
I love how you lie so casually. You are either schizophrenic or a supreme liar.

You have posts directly saying,"Its looking like he may win some primaries and possibly the nomination." Doesn't sound like you thought it wasn't going to be close. I won't go too much into the rest but basically you just blow with whatever wind comes your way.

"Nobody thought he could get this far.  When he wins the nomation - with hilary facing indictment... it's hard to bet against Trump there." Sounds like you were really firm on this conspiracy stuff as well or a landslide victory/loss here as well.

What does schizophrenia have to do with lying about politics?  ??? ???
Title: Re: App maker: Trump will win
Post by: mazrim on August 16, 2016, 10:52:14 AM
What does schizophrenia have to do with lying about politics?  ??? ???
^
Currently in one of his episodes of extreme trollishness or stupidity (haven't figured that out yet but this post helps to bring me to a pretty solid conclusion).
Title: Re: App maker: Trump will win
Post by: funk51 on August 16, 2016, 12:40:21 PM
it's like we are at an awful NFL game.  our home team is down by 30 points in the 3rd quarter and we're about to be eliminated from the playoffs after starting the season 5-0.

We paid a shitload for the tickets so we may as well stay.  But it's a crap game, it's cold out, and our top players keep getting hurt.
[/quote                                 nice sports analogy,,, i liken the election to the 1962 mets.......team is bad you know it's bad, either way america loses , but you still watch due to the name recognition........ i think they should just give obammy another term till they can come up with two worthy candidates...
Title: Re: App maker: Trump will win
Post by: SF1900 on August 16, 2016, 06:01:08 PM
^
Currently in one of his episodes of extreme trollishness or stupidity (haven't figured that out yet but this post helps to bring me to a pretty solid conclusion).

I just don't understand or see the connection between schizophrenia and lying about politics. Do schizophrenics often lie in political discussions?