We can't leave until the region is stable and the iraqi military and Government is stable!!
The region will never be stable. There are always going to be warlords in villages and local militias. History has shown that is how they live and that is what they want. It would seriously take 15 years of presence to instill an entire generation of people who don't believe in that system, and that would take many more troops than we have there now. Their learned religious fundamentals state they are a three-vision nation, and they have been for a thousand years. We will not change that. not possible.
The Iraqi military and police force - they are dying to take back some of the old guys who were dismissed when we disbanded their military. Those guys running around with IEDs are former military men - it's all they know. Suddenly hungry and jobless, they're going to blow shit up until they die, or until they are rehired to do that for a living. And they are too far embedded in the population to kill every one- we simply cannot do it, and given the last 3 years of occupation, we're no closer to doing that then when we started.
The moment we leave, they will stabilize out of necessity. They will clash violently- what they all want - then the winner will absorb the remnants of the loser. Their sense of nationalism is sitll there. Once we leave - at least scoot to the borders and give them their cities back - they will re-unite into their individual regions, and find a working relationship.
That's the thing which many are not separating. We all supported the liberation of Iraq, the ousting of Sadaam, and the clearing of WMD. that is what we did! Nowhere in that initial war charge did Bush say "we will also be occupying longterm as we rebuild their social structure over 1 or 2 generations". Many were shocked when we turned down a heavily-Muslim Euro/UN offering to take over. The perfect out! We would hae left after a year and been clear winners and heroes!
The only possible reason for us not accepting UN assistance (troops and money) is that we wanted to reap the windfall of the newly freed resources. And suddenly, that moves us form liberators, to plunderers.
We accomplished the goals endorsed by the congress. If Bush wants an Occupation Bill, by all means, put it before Congress and let them vote. Anyone wanna put money on the outcome?