Well, if Jay would get his shit together, he could dominate with his size, but his over reliance on pharmaceuticals to get in shape seems like a roll of the dice, to say the least. Dexter's winning this year is quite an accomplishment, but he is devoid of a real "wow" factor. He may have truly been the best man on that night, but if one were to rely on photos alone, which you really can't of course, I would have went with Heath over Dexter this year. Next year, Heath will make sure that the gap is enough to overtake Dexter, not to mention Vic and others entering the equation.
Assuming that Jay has anything left, I'll say right now that he will place above Dexter next year. Perhaps the humiliation of letting the title slip away will finally have taught him a lesson. If so, Dexter won't beat Jay again.
