Rogers really has nothing to lose and everything to gain in this fight . If he loses, he was "green", wasn't ready yet etc... he should be loose as a goose, which could be a huge advantage . He does hit like a mule , if he connects it could very easily be lights out for Fedor . If Fedor stands and trades with him I think he is taking a huge gamble .
Fedor is facing a for real fighter in the stand up area - real punching power etc... Rogers' mental game I don't know - if he believes everything that is said about Fedor then he may be at a disadvantage .... If the fight goes to the ground I can't see it lasting very long . Fedor comes across as an educated man and I have to believe he and his camp are very aware of all " possibilities" that could happen (things that could go wrong for Fedor ) if he takes the wrong approach to this fight .