If you're looking for credibility - this nate Silver goof predicted the 2008 election perfectly in the electorate - he predicted all 50 state accurately when nobody else of major polling did.
Nate Silver to protest organizer: 2 million estimate like saying "his penis is 53 inches long
Excerpt: "The way this false estimate came into being is relatively simple: Matt Kibbe, the president of FreedomWorks, lied, claiming that ABC News had reported numbers of between 1.0 and 1.5 million when they never did anything of the sort. A few tweets later, the numbers had been exaggerated still further to 2 million. Kibbe wasn't "in error", as Malkin gently puts it. He lied. He did the equivalent of telling people that his penis is 53 inches long."
