Prediction Time: Official UE will peak when, and at what point?

[240 is Back]

I predict it will peak at 11.2% in May 2010, then start dropping.

[Soul Crusher]

I predict it will peak at 11.2% in May 2010, then start dropping.

15.5% official - February 2012. 

[BM OUT]

I predict it will peak at 11.2% in May 2010, then start dropping.

It will peak at 12% in Aug.Then it wont drop under 10% until Obama is out of office.However,it could go up WAY more if they pass cap and trade.

[Hedgehog]

It probably already peaked. Businesses are already starting to look into growth. My guess is that the first quarter will see a slight change. Then 2nd quarter will be even better. A slight rise in the 3rd quarter due to all graduates. And fall could probably be a pretty big recovery.
I'm guessing it will be down to 7 percent in a year.

[MuscleMcMannus]

It probably already peaked. Businesses are already starting to look into growth. My guess is that the first quarter will see a slight change. Then 2nd quarter will be even better. A slight rise in the 3rd quarter due to all graduates. And fall could probably be a pretty big recovery.
I'm guessing it will be down to 7 percent in a year.

LMAO!   

Hyperinflation is coming.  The US economy is going to get much worse before it gets better.  People like you fail to grasp that the US economy has changed forever.  double digit unemployment is here to stay.

[Hedgehog]

LMAO!   

Hyperinflation is coming.  The US economy is going to get much worse before it gets better.  People like you fail to grasp that the US economy has changed forever.  double digit unemployment is here to stay.

time will tell who's right. If I am wrong come springtime I'll admit it. I suppose you will too.

[Soul Crusher]

time will tell who's right. If I am wrong come springtime I'll admit it. I suppose you will too.

Ha ha.  Are you freaking kidding? 

No company is going to hire anyone with the communist in the WH imposing new mandates, fees, taxes, etc on employment. 

In February-April 2010 we are heading for a double dip or worse.

Get this through your head, SOCIALISM does not work.     

[240 is Back]

8.1 percent today.

[Soul Crusher]

8.1 percent today.

You are an idiot.  Off yourself  8.1 is a fiction . 

[240 is Back]

It probably already peaked. Businesses are already starting to look into growth. My guess is that the first quarter will see a slight change. Then 2nd quarter will be even better. A slight rise in the 3rd quarter due to all graduates. And fall could probably be a pretty big recovery.
I'm guessing it will be down to 7 percent in a year.

It took a little longer than a year, but your prediction may end up being right.   

Double digit UE isn't an issue in the 2012 presidential race.

Any discussion on "but but but the UE number is false" needs to prove it.  Obama fakes the UE?  Which govt agencis are in on it?  How deep does the conspiracy go?  When did it start?

You can't just assign "oh, those numbers are BS" because it paints obama in a favorable light.

[Soul Crusher]

It took a little longer than a year, but your prediction may end up being right.   

Double digit UE isn't an issue in the 2012 presidential race.

Any discussion on "but but but the UE number is false" needs to prove it.  Obama fakes the UE?  Which govt agencis are in on it?  How deep does the conspiracy go?  When did it start?

You can't just assign "oh, those numbers are BS" because it paints obama in a favorable light.

240 - i take back any nice things i have ever said to you.   You are a lemming and an obama drone and shill.       

[240 is Back]

240 - i take back any nice things i have ever said to you.   You are a lemming and an obama drone and shill.       

Hey man, I was a CTer about 5 years before you.  I dont believe a damn thing that the media or govt says.  its like pro wrestling to me - I know it's all fake but i still watch to be enteretained and to debate it.

So as a fellow CTer, which you are - can you tell us when the govt started fudging the UE numbers? 

We're in agreement they're BS... I'm just asking you to back up your claim.

[Soul Crusher]

Hey man, I was a CTer about 5 years before you.  I dont believe a damn thing that the media or govt says.  its like pro wrestling to me - I know it's all fake but i still watch to be enteretained and to debate it.

So as a fellow CTer, which you are - can you tell us when the govt started fudging the UE numbers? 

We're in agreement they're BS... I'm just asking you to back up your claim.

Back up what claim? 

WHAT PART OF 88 MILLION OUT OF THE WORK FORCE, LOWERT LFPR IN 30 YEARS, 260K BD ADJUSTMENT, 500K DROPPED FROM THE ROLLS, DO YOU NOT UNDERSTAND? 

[240 is Back]

Back up what claim? 
WHAT PART OF 88 MILLION OUT OF THE WORK FORCE, LOWERT LFPR IN 30 YEARS, 260K BD ADJUSTMENT, 500K DROPPED FROM THE ROLLS, DO YOU NOT UNDERSTAND? 

Who ordered the got to exclude these numbers?  when?  was it like this under bush/clinton?  what changed and when?

if 500k are dropped from the rolls, has this happened before?  or did obama implement this?

See, I can't sit at the table and argue with friends without being able to point out EXACTLY when the eval rubric changed.  When did this happen?  who did it?  personally, I would never try to attack the number by saying "the standards changed" without being able to show  WHO changed it, HOW, and WHEN.

Can you answer these things?  Or do you just have accusations and no evidence?

[Soul Crusher]

Who ordered the got to exclude these numbers?  when?  was it like this under bush/clinton?  what changed and when?

if 500k are dropped from the rolls, has this happened before?  or did obama implement this?

See, I can't sit at the table and argue with friends without being able to point out EXACTLY when the eval rubric changed.  When did this happen?  who did it?  personally, I would never try to attack the number by saying "the standards changed" without being able to show  WHO changed it, HOW, and WHEN.

Can you answer these things?  Or do you just have accusations and no evidence?