hhhhhhhmmmmmmm.
http://conversation101.squarespace.com/nevada-senate/2010/7/16/reid-takes-lead-in-nevada.html Friday, July 16, 2010 at 8:52AM
After what pollster Brad Coker described as “five perfect weeks” the latest Mason-Dixon numbers out of Nevada show Harry Reid establishing a statistically significant lead in the Senate race against Sharron Angle:
The Mason-Dixon poll showed that if the general election were held now, Reid would win 44 percent to 37 percent for Angle. Ten percent were undecided, 5 percent would choose “none of these candidates,” and the remaining 4 percent would pick another candidate on the ballot.
Much will be said in the coming weeks about the political resurrection of the Senate Majority Leader, but really, this has very little to do with Reid or his campaign. I simply reinforces an oft-neglected rule in politics: when your opponent is having trouble, just stay out of the way. And Angle isn’t just having trouble, she’s imploding like the house at the end of Poltergeist.
Update on Friday, July 16, 2010 at 2:49PM by Registered CommenterYeggo
Ben Smith shares an e-mail he received from a Nevada politico… on Politico:
They’ve run a textbook campaign for an incumbent in trouble, and i don’t see Angle stopping that slide. She did get a good money number this week, but this poll is going to scare off money as well. A total f*** up by the state and national Republicans to allow Angle to get nominated.
Update on Friday, July 16, 2010 at 2:59PM by Registered CommenterYeggo
To be balanced, here’s Ed Morrissey from Hot Air:
However, a couple of bright spots can be found. First, Angle had a good fundraising quarter and finally has cash in the bank. Most importantly, even though she bled voters in almost every category, they didn’t go to Reid. He’s still only getting 44% of the vote, far below the 50% threshold an incumbent needs to be safe in this climate. For the moment, voters don’t have to pull the lever for Angle, and she has three months to define herself rather than allow Reid to do it for her. If 56% of the voters don’t want Reid, that shouldn’t be a difficult sell for Angle, but she has to step up her game now and avoid any further mistakes.
Good points, all. But consider that because of Nevada’s “None of the Above” option, Reid could plausibly win this thing with only 44% of the vote. Also, while Angle did have a good fundraising quarter, and does have $1.8 million cash on hand, Reid’s war chest currently stands at $9 million.
