Dem surge in Gallup generic congressional ballot preference poll-up by 6 points

[240 is Back]

Dem surge in Gallup generic congressional ballot preference poll-up by 6 points 49-43

http://www.gallup.com/poll/127439/Election-2010-Key-Indicators.aspx

Dems-49%
GOP-43%

Dems haven't had a lead this large in months.
6 points is larger than the lead they had in Gallup's final 2006 midterm poll.



Tea party losing momentum?  Obama's pounding home the same talking points working? 

[Dos Equis]

The RCP average has Republicans leading Democrats 44.4 to 41.9.  Rasmussen has Republicans ahead 45 to 36.  Fox has them ahead 41 to 37.  Time has Democrats ahead 43 to 42.  Bloomberg says 48 to 40 Republicans.  PPD says tie.  ABC says 49 to 45 Republicans.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/polls/

[240 is Back]

The RCP average has Republicans leading Democrats 44.4 to 41.9.  Rasmussen has Republicans ahead 45 to 36.  Fox has them ahead 41 to 37.  Time has Democrats ahead 43 to 42.  Bloomberg says 48 to 40 Republicans.  PPD says tie.  ABC says 49 to 45 Republicans.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/polls/

The dems have spent the last 18 months shoving ultra-lib legislation down the country's collective throats.... we're essentially an inch away from another great depression...

And things are "pretty much tied"?   

Republicans are either very much wrong about the way people feel, or they are brutally failing to capitalize upon the disdain for libs by differentiating themselves in any way.

[tonymctones]

The dems have spent the last 18 months shoving ultra-lib legislation down the country's collective throats.... we're essentially an inch away from another great depression...

And things are "pretty much tied"?   

Republicans are either very much wrong about the way people feel, or they are brutally failing to capitalize upon the disdain for libs by differentiating themselves in any way.

when I just cant seem to deal with your ignorance...youtube 

[240 is Back]

brutal attack the messenger lol....


Tony, do you think the repubs should be in better shape in polls right now?  Do you think "tied" is A-okay, all things considered?  Dems couldn't have botched things any worse if they tried - and about half the country still loves em.

[tonymctones]

brutal attack the messenger lol....


Tony, do you think the repubs should be in better shape in polls right now?  Do you think "tied" is A-okay, all things considered?  Dems couldn't have botched things any worse if they tried - and about half the country still loves em.

LOL see 240 this is why nobody around here really takes you serious...you say they are tied b/c you want to use the possible error, then when comes to the amount of illegals we deport you use an extreme number instead of being conservative...

youre the court jester of the getbig politics board simply running around for amusement and contributing little...congrats 

you know you could spin it the other way and say with as bad as the reps were viewed during the election and as bad as they are painted by the majority of the media that they shouldnt be ahead in any poll...but hey Ill leave the court jestering up to you 

[Dos Equis]

brutal attack the messenger lol....


Tony, do you think the repubs should be in better shape in polls right now?  Do you think "tied" is A-okay, all things considered?  Dems couldn't have botched things any worse if they tried - and about half the country still loves em.

I think what Tony is trying to say is this is brutal liberal spin.  For example, saying "about half the country still loves" Congressional Democrats, when Congress has an approval rating of 21.8 percent and a negative rating of 71.2 percent, sounds like the comment of a liberal hack.  Not calling you a hack, just saying what it sounds like.  

[240 is Back]

LOL see 240 this is why nobody around here really takes you serious...you say they are tied b/c you want to use the possible error, then when comes to the amount of illegals we deport you use an extreme number instead of being conservative...

youre the court jester of the getbig politics board simply running around for amusement and contributing little...congrats  

you know you could spin it the other way and say with as bad as the reps were viewed during the election and as bad as they are painted by the majority of the media that they shouldnt be ahead in any poll...but hey Ill leave the court jestering up to you  

I didn't understand what you were saying here.  

You believe the repubs are not creaming the dems in the polls - because of the media?

In that case, what can they do to combat this?  And more importantly, exactly when did the media become powerful enough to sway most voters left?  Repubs won in 00, 02, and 04... so did someone change the switch to "LEFT" in 2006?

[240 is Back]

I think what Tony is trying to say is this is brutal liberal spin.  For example, saying "about half the country still loves" Congressional Democrats, when Congress has an approval rating of 21.8 percent and a negative rating of 71.2 percent, sounds like the comment of a liberal hack.  Not calling you a hack, just saying what it sounds like.  

You're showing the low number of congress in general - both parties.  This brand new poll shows the dems with a hefty lead.  Even if this poll is an outlier... I have to wonder... Why the heck aren't the repubs leading every poll by 20 points?  What else can the dems do?  Why can't the repubs capitalize?  Obama is at 48% gallup approval rating today.  Nothing sticks to the guy, and he's just ramping up for the fall. 

IMO, the tea party shot their load about 6 months too soon.   

[tonymctones]

I didn't understand what you were saying here.  

You believe the repubs are not creaming the dems in the polls - because of the media?

In that case, what can they do to combat this?  And more importantly, exactly when did the media become powerful enough to sway most voters left?  Repubs won in 00, 02, and 04... so did someone change the switch to "LEFT" in 2006?

what im saying is you contribute little to nothing of significance to this board...youre a step above mons venus...

It was an attempt at spin 240 I apologize if its not up to your standards but I dont get the daily practice that you do. The reps need to get younger blood to be able to communicate with younger voters who use different types of communication mediums...with that in mind 240 what happend in the realm of communication in terms of young ppl in 2006? Facebook...

GOP needs fresh blood and a return to true conservative principles...

[Dos Equis]

You're showing the low number of congress in general - both parties.  This brand new poll shows the dems with a hefty lead.  Even if this poll is an outlier... I have to wonder... Why the heck aren't the repubs leading every poll by 20 points?  What else can the dems do?  Why can't the repubs capitalize?  Obama is at 48% gallup approval rating today.  Nothing sticks to the guy, and he's just ramping up for the fall. 

IMO, the tea party shot their load about 6 months too soon.   

Even if you only look at Gallup and not others that contradict Gallup, a six point lead is hardly "hefty."  Usually, the margin of error is four or five percent.  

You'll never see any party up by twenty points, consistently.  There is a core group from each party that will always vote along party lines.  

The fact Democrats are projected to lose both the House and Senate by Democrats should tell you all you need to know about how much trouble they are in.  

[240 is Back]

The fact Democrats are projected to lose both the House and Senate by Democrats should tell you all you need to know about how much trouble they are in. 

Who is projecting the senate to go repub?  House may go, but they need to steal ten seats to win seante.  most conservatives are estimating 5 seats is realistic, and 7 or 8 would be incredible.  Which 10 seats do you think jump repub?

[Dos Equis]

Who is projecting the senate to go repub?  House may go, but they need to steal ten seats to win seante.  most conservatives are estimating 5 seats is realistic, and 7 or 8 would be incredible.  Which 10 seats do you think jump repub?

Didn't Gibbs just say Democrats could lose the House and Senate? 

I have no idea which seats are likely to change.  Haven't been following individual races.  Except I'd love to see Harry Reid lose. 

[240 is Back]

Didn't Gibbs just say Democrats could lose the House and Senate? 

I have no idea which seats are likely to change.  Haven't been following individual races.  Except I'd love to see Harry Reid lose. 

House may fall (still only 56% chance on Intrade world wagering)... but Senate would take a miracle. 

Reid is a moron... but the repubs put up a wackjob who just can't stop talking... so he will probably keep his seat too.


As for Gibbs, Hanniy and Chris mathews and everyone in between believe he was just trying to 'rally the troops', or get the dem voters (and donors!) a little scared and motivated.  When hannity and mathews agree on something lol...

[tonymctones]

As for Gibbs, Hanniy and Chris mathews and everyone in between believe he was just trying to 'rally the troops', or get the dem voters (and donors!) a little scared and motivated.  When hannity and mathews agree on something lol...

actually many ppl feel he was just being honest including that brunette andrea chick on fox and a commentator on CNN...but dont let facts get in the way...

if that were the case why would pelosi chastise him and biden deny?

[Dos Equis]

House may fall (still only 56% chance on Intrade world wagering)... but Senate would take a miracle. 

Reid is a moron... but the repubs put up a wackjob who just can't stop talking... so he will probably keep his seat too.


As for Gibbs, Hanniy and Chris mathews and everyone in between believe he was just trying to 'rally the troops', or get the dem voters (and donors!) a little scared and motivated.  When hannity and mathews agree on something lol...

I'd love to see turnover in the Senate.  

I listened to the clip of Reid's opponent.  She's hardly a "wackjob."  She hasn't said anything different than Obama when it comes to her faith.  

[240 is Back]

She hasn't said anything different than Obama when it comes to her faith. 

i'd love to see Repubs win the senate... I just do'nt think it'll happen.  And the way Repubs are letting obama hammer them for supporting the bush tax cuts - while hating on unemployment.


Angle believes an 11-year old girl raped by her father should have to deliver the baby - and she wanted to eliminate social security.   Oh, and medicare too - she said we need to phase that out. 

She's an extremist.  And unfortunately, a little too extreme.  A more moderate candidate would have creamed Reid.   Reid was at 25% in January... and Angle just talked until he moved right back up
 

[Dos Equis]

i'd love to see Repubs win the senate... I just do'nt think it'll happen.  And the way Repubs are letting obama hammer them for supporting the bush tax cuts - while hating on unemployment.


Angle believes an 11-year old girl raped by her father should have to deliver the baby - and she wanted to eliminate social security.   Oh, and medicare too - she said we need to phase that out. 

She's an extremist.  And unfortunately, a little too extreme.  A more moderate candidate would have creamed Reid.   Reid was at 25% in January... and Angle just talked until he moved right back up
 

None of that makes her a "wackjob." 

You should compare her comments on faith to Obama. 

[BM OUT]

None of this matters.In Nov. republicans will destroy the democrats at the polls,the real polls.By the way,this will be 100% an election about Obama.

[Soul Crusher]

Why didn't you include all the polls 240? 
________________________ ________________________

Generic Congressional Vote
Polling Data

Poll Date Sample Republicans  Democrats  Spread

RCP Average 7/7 - 7/18 -- 44.4 41.9 Republicans +2.5

Gallup 7/12 - 7/18 1535 A 43 49 Democrats +6

Rasmussen Reports 7/12 - 7/18 3500 LV 45 36 Republicans +9

FOX News 7/13 - 7/14 900 RV 41 37 Republicans +4

Time 7/12 - 7/13 1003 A 42 43 Democrats +1

Bloomberg 7/9 - 7/12 875 LV 48 40 Republicans +8

PPP (D) 7/9 - 7/12 667 RV 43 43 Tie

ABC News/Wash Post 7/7 - 7/11 LV 49 45 Republicans +4

See All Generic Congressional Vote Polling Data

[240 is Back]

33, your defense point is, "look, other polls show it's about a tie".

Really?  A tie?  That's the best you can do after 18 months of shit policy?  A Tie??

[Soul Crusher]

33, your defense point is, "look, other polls show it's about a tie".

Really?  A tie?  That's the best you can do after 18 months of shit policy?  A Tie??

Who said its a tie? 

There is one poll showing Dems up and the others show its not.   Rasmussen has a better record than Gallup as per 2008, yet you hang your dreams on Gallup and you hope the Messiah gets a huge a victory in November. 

Additionally, polling mid terms is harder since there is less turnout and usually by those more pissed off. 

 

[MCWAY]

Who is projecting the senate to go repub?  House may go, but they need to steal ten seats to win seante.  most conservatives are estimating 5 seats is realistic, and 7 or 8 would be incredible.  Which 10 seats do you think jump repub?

Most pundits are claiming the Dems lose the House. The only one that says they'll lose the Senate as well is Dick Morris.

Of course, he was part of the Clinton Adminstration, when the Dems got massacred. He claims that the scenarios today are almost identical to what they were in the mid-90s.

[240 is Back]

Who said its a tie? 

There is one poll showing Dems up and the others show its not.   Rasmussen has a better record than Gallup as per 2008, yet you hang your dreams on Gallup and you hope the Messiah gets a huge a victory in November. 

Gallup has this data for the last 30+ years... Rass is the outlier here.

[Soul Crusher]

Gallup has this data for the last 30+ years... Rass is the outlier here.

Oh freaking please 240 - are you that fucking dumb? 

Did you see the Bloomberg poll? 

Bro - your liberalism and obama daily kneepadding is becoming even much for you.