http://conversation101.squarespace.com/nevada-senate/2010/7/28/another-poll-shows-reid-ahead-in-nevada.htmlAnd this time… it’s Rasmussen:
Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid has edged ahead of his Republican opponent Sharron Angle in his bid for reelection in Nevada. Both candidates are seen to hold extreme views by large segments of the population.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in Nevada finds Reid with 45% of the vote, while Angle earns 43% support. Seven percent (7%) favor some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided.
Reid has now led in three straight polls: Mason-Dixon, Public Policy Polling, and now Ras. On June 9th, the Rasmussen results had Angle ahead by eleven. To say that the momentum in this race belongs to Harry Reid would be a drastic understatement.
50% of Nevada “likely voters” find Harry Reid’s views “extreme.” 58% say that about Angle’s views. And there’s your race, folks. Reid’s defined Angle on his terms, and she’s done herself no favors by playing into his portrait of a neophyte, unserious, unready candidate. All things else being equal, if Nevadans are going to have a Senator they dislike, they probably would rather have the Senate Majority Leader than a freshman backbencher.
Rasmussen now considers the race a “Lean Democratic” one, which would, as I’ve mentioned, make Senate takeover impossible. If Harry Reid wins, he will return to Washington as the Majority Leader of the US Senate. As for my aggregate, I’d still be willing to give you Angle -2, but I wouldn’t feel great about doing it:
