Author Topic: Primary night yields good news for President Obama and Democrats  (Read 868 times)

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Did the tea party and anti-incumbent sentiment peak just a few months too early? 




President Barack Obama and the Democratic Party, who have been starved for good news through much of 2010, finally received a generous helping Tuesday night.

Republicans, meanwhile, were left with several new reasons to wonder whether all the favorable national trends showing in the polls are enough to overcome local candidates who are inspiring little confidence about their readiness for the general election 12 weeks from now.

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POLITICO 44
In each of the four states that held primaries Tuesday, the GOP either nominated or gave an overnight lead to candidates tarnished by scandal, gaffes or some other significant vulnerability.

The headline victory belonged to Sen. Michael Bennet, the Colorado Democrat who, with extensive help from Obama and the party establishment in Washington, galloped to a surprisingly wide 9-point victory over challenger Andrew Romanoff. A former state House speaker, Romanoff once looked well-positioned to rally liberal discontent and give the White House a very visible black eye.

But the party establishment showed it still has some fight, even in an anti-establishment year. And Democrats, in an assessment that many independent analysts tend to agree with, said the most favorable news for them may have come from the results on the Republican side.

The GOP nominee will be Ken Buck, a county prosecutor and insurgent conservative who Democrats will try to paint as a Colorado version of Sharron Angle — the Nevada Republican whose rhetorical stubbed toes and strident ideological profile have weakened GOP prospects there.

The Colorado results, combined with Tuesday's returns in Connecticut, Georgia and Minnesota and other recent primaries, suggest it may be time to scrutinize a treasured 2010 story line — about an angry electorate, determined to punish insiders and professional pols of all stripes, rushing to embrace ideological insurgents.

It’s not that this narrative is all wrong. But it appears to be significantly more true among Republicans than Democrats.

Buck, for instance, was favored by some tea party activists but opposed by much of the state and national party leadership. Buck’s caught-on-tape remark that he ought to be elected because he didn’t wear high heels wasn’t enough for Lt. Gov Jane Norton to close the gap in their primary, but it will certainly be used against the Republican nominee in the general election.

Republicans also didn’t do themselves any favors in Colorado’s gubernatorial contest by narrowly nominating Dan Maes. GOP leaders had hoped former Rep. Scott McInnis, who has become embroiled in a plagiarism scandal, would win the nomination and then agree to drop out — allowing the party to tap a new nominee who would give them a better chance against former Denver Mayor John Hickenlooper.



Read more: http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0810/40941.html#ixzz0wJEcKIBh

Soul Crusher

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Re: Primary night yields good news for President Obama and Democrats
« Reply #1 on: August 11, 2010, 07:59:30 AM »
How unbelievably stupid.   

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Re: Primary night yields good news for President Obama and Democrats
« Reply #2 on: August 11, 2010, 08:02:15 AM »
Left wing idiot spin.Heard that dunce Scarborough talking about this today.Sorry,you are going to see republicans take the house AND senate in Nov.and if they dont take the senate,they will have enough votes to stop Husseins agenda.

I dont see how tea party candidates winning shows they peaked early or is good news for Obama.Colorado will go republican.All the republican has to do is just show how the democrat voted FOR the stimulus and health care,its over.

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Re: Primary night yields good news for President Obama and Democrats
« Reply #3 on: August 11, 2010, 03:56:58 PM »

No, Obama Did NOT Get A Huge Political Win Last Night
Joe Weisenthal | Aug. 11, 2010, 7:52 AM | 686 |  15
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That's the spin from POLITICO, which argues that a string of primary results from last night represented a huge gift to the victory-starved Obama administration.

Why?

Well, basically because Democratic establishment candidates won their primaries, while the GOP was rocked by gaffe-prone tea-partiers that may be weak in in November.

We're not so convinced.

Look, midterm elections, the cliche goes, are decided by turnout and enthusiasm.

Which side is going to generate more enthusiasm? The handpicked candidates of The White House, or the rollicking, full-throated tea partiers? Don't waste your time actually answering that.

The market isn't convinced there was some sudden shift.

The GOP is still at 60% odds on InTrade to take over The House.



Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/august-10-primary-night-2010-8#ixzz0wLBcNuBA



Dos Equis

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Re: Primary night yields good news for President Obama and Democrats
« Reply #4 on: August 11, 2010, 04:49:01 PM »
Not surprised Obama bots would be encouraged by this.  Means nothing IMO.  I think Democrats will be taken to the woodshed in November.

Also, regarding Obama's influence, I've been reading articles that talk about how even Democrats know that Obama is "toxic" right now.  I doubt that changes over the next few months. 

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Re: Primary night yields good news for President Obama and Democrats
« Reply #5 on: August 11, 2010, 04:58:54 PM »
 POLITICO, leans to the right most of the time

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Re: Primary night yields good news for President Obama and Democrats
« Reply #6 on: August 11, 2010, 07:28:00 PM »
POLITICO, leans to the right most of the time

Ever here of journolist?

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Re: Primary night yields good news for President Obama and Democrats
« Reply #7 on: August 11, 2010, 08:53:26 PM »
It'll be hard to make those arguments if Reid defeats Angle...
It'll be hard to make those arguments if Crist defeats Rubio...

Dos Equis

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Re: Primary night yields good news for President Obama and Democrats
« Reply #8 on: August 11, 2010, 08:58:26 PM »
What?  The fact the Senate Majority Leader will likely keep his job and a Republican-turned-"independent" may win a Senate seat will say zero about Obama's toxic effect.  You have to look at the entire picture. 

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Re: Primary night yields good news for President Obama and Democrats
« Reply #9 on: August 11, 2010, 09:23:03 PM »
Election 2010: Florida Senate: Rubio (R) 38%, Crist (I) 33%, Meek (D) 21%
Rasmussen ^ | 8-11-10

Posted on Wednesday, August 11, 2010 5:31:21 PM by Justaham

The race for the U.S. Senate in Florida continues to be all about Governor Charlie Crist and former state House Speaker Marco Rubio, regardless of which Democrat they face.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in Florida shows Rubio with 38% of the vote and Crist at 33% if Congressman Kendrick Meek is the nominee. Meek earns 21%. Only one percent (1%) prefer some other candidate, and seven percent (7%) are undecided.

If billionaire Jeff Greene is the Democratic candidate, Crist gets 37% support to Rubio’s 36%, with Greene trailing at 20%. two percent (2%) like another candidate, and five percent (5%) are undecided.

Last month, Rubio also held a narrow lead if Meek is the Democratic nominee, and Crist was slightly ahead with Greene in the race.



--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOPICS: Front Page News; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: crist; fl2010; florida; flpoll; rubio



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Re: Primary night yields good news for President Obama and Democrats
« Reply #10 on: August 12, 2010, 06:20:31 AM »
It'll be hard to make those arguments if Reid defeats Angle...
It'll be hard to make those arguments if Crist defeats Rubio...


So,let me get this straight,if Reid and Crist win but the republicans take the house and gain seats in the senate,its a big day for Obama?Wow,ok 240 SHULTZ.

Take a look at the turnout rate in Colorado between democrats and republicans.The republican that lost got more votes the Obamas boy did in winning.Face it ,its over.Obama has destroyed the democrat brand which is why he wont be on the ticket in 2012.

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Re: Primary night yields good news for President Obama and Democrats
« Reply #11 on: August 12, 2010, 06:42:41 AM »
A Primary Victory Boosts…WHAT?
John Podhoretz - 08.11.2010 - 4:30 PM


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I’ve read some cracked political analysis in my time, but a story on the New York Times website this afternoon called “A Primary Victory Boosts White House, for Now”

May be the San Andreas Fault of cracked political analyses. It seems, according to the reporter Jeff Zeleny, that the White House is rejoicing today in the primary victory of Colorado Senate candidate (and sitting Senator by appointment) Michael Bennet over an insurgent Democrat named Andrew Romanoff:

President Obama and his White House on Wednesday were savoring one of their sweetest victories of the midterm election season, as Senator Michael Bennet’s triumph in the Colorado Democratic primary on Tuesday interrupted the political storyline that all incumbents are doomed by voter discontent.

The story goes on to say that Obama had invested his political capital in Bennet, that if Bennet had gone down it would have demonstrated his weakness, and so on.

I don’t know if the fault is the White House’s or Zeleny’s, but this is, quite simply, insane. The race in question was in a Democratic primary. The results tell us very little about the mood of the overall electorate in November, especially the mood among independent voters. And what little information there is to be gleaned from the results should actually be very worrying to Democrats, because in this contested primary, far fewer votes were cast for the two Democrats than for the two Republicans who went at it yesterday.

So what exactly is this story about? It’s about a liberal fantasy. The liberal fantasy is that the insurgent mood abroad in the land is generic. It’s “anti-incumbent.” It’s not anti-Obama, or anti-Democrat, or anti-liberal. It’s a “throw the bums out” thing, and does not represent a rejection of the policies of the past two years but a frustration with the continuing lethargy of the economy.

It’s understandable why people who generally support the actions over the past two years would wish to believe this — and why they would think that a challenge from Obama’s Left (which is effectively what his rival’s candidacy was) stems from the same root as the challenges from the anti-Democrat right. It’s just about dissatisfaction if that’s all true, and dissatisfaction can be replaced by satisfaction if the right things happen and the right words are used.

If, however, what is happening is a rejection of the ideas Obama has championed and the policies that emerged from those ideas, then there’s really nothing he can do other than repudiate them or make a sharp turn away from them. This is something the people who populate the White House — and the New York Times — are unwilling to contemplate. And so they are left taking comfort in phantom victories — phantom victories that presage catastrophic losses.


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sounds like 240 to the tee, cracked in the head.